I think the hard thing for some to comprehend (as well as myself @ first) is why you choose to side w/ line openings (Vegas) rather than Kenpom b/c many regard Kenpom as a great site for information. This is HIS SYSTEM and you have to respect it because he has a plan.
Check out Ken Pom's blog post on 11-11-11. He talks about this exact situation
0
Quote Originally Posted by TommyGunner:
I think the hard thing for some to comprehend (as well as myself @ first) is why you choose to side w/ line openings (Vegas) rather than Kenpom b/c many regard Kenpom as a great site for information. This is HIS SYSTEM and you have to respect it because he has a plan.
Check out Ken Pom's blog post on 11-11-11. He talks about this exact situation
Beaver I have a question concerning the system and the top 3 games on FanMatch.
1) UNC @ Va Tech. Kenpom has them @ 3. This is the public's favorite game and the spread has moved all the way to 7.5. Now I know the system says to take UNC, but because the public is so heavy on UNC, do you personally think Va Tech is the better play here?
2) UCLA @ Oregon State. Kenpom has Oregon St. by 2, but it also says ****UCLA is better than Oregon St. by about 25 teams**** With the public heavily on Oregon State, doesn't UCLA (whose been playing great) look life a gift??
3) Cal @ Washington. Kenpom has Cal by 5. They are about 75 teams better than Washington. Again, with the public heavy on Oregon State does Cal seem to be a gift?
Beaver, I guess the point/question i am trying to make/ask is if you have had any experience w/ this. Obviously the system will not be flawless and is unlikely to be positive every night. Do you have any history w/ these kinds of teams: 1 Kenpom has slated as much better, 2 they are underdogs, and 3 the public is running away from?
*Using the system I will def. be taking Washington State and most likely San Jose State, but I was just wondering if you had any thoughts on UCLA and Cal.
0
Beaver I have a question concerning the system and the top 3 games on FanMatch.
1) UNC @ Va Tech. Kenpom has them @ 3. This is the public's favorite game and the spread has moved all the way to 7.5. Now I know the system says to take UNC, but because the public is so heavy on UNC, do you personally think Va Tech is the better play here?
2) UCLA @ Oregon State. Kenpom has Oregon St. by 2, but it also says ****UCLA is better than Oregon St. by about 25 teams**** With the public heavily on Oregon State, doesn't UCLA (whose been playing great) look life a gift??
3) Cal @ Washington. Kenpom has Cal by 5. They are about 75 teams better than Washington. Again, with the public heavy on Oregon State does Cal seem to be a gift?
Beaver, I guess the point/question i am trying to make/ask is if you have had any experience w/ this. Obviously the system will not be flawless and is unlikely to be positive every night. Do you have any history w/ these kinds of teams: 1 Kenpom has slated as much better, 2 they are underdogs, and 3 the public is running away from?
*Using the system I will def. be taking Washington State and most likely San Jose State, but I was just wondering if you had any thoughts on UCLA and Cal.
I decided to ML Canisius because using the Kelly method that was a real small bet amount. Figured it would be worth the risk considering the juice would eat up lots of profit on a straight wager of that small size.
Note to the regulars in here: I check your friend requests. I sent friend requests to a bunch of you guys that regularly contribute and help out. Let's have a big night and get those bankrolls ready for the weekend!
0
I'll let Beaver handle the above.
I decided to ML Canisius because using the Kelly method that was a real small bet amount. Figured it would be worth the risk considering the juice would eat up lots of profit on a straight wager of that small size.
Note to the regulars in here: I check your friend requests. I sent friend requests to a bunch of you guys that regularly contribute and help out. Let's have a big night and get those bankrolls ready for the weekend!
Was just double checking the plays tonight. Correct me if im wrong, but dont see how NC Greensboro is a play. Kenpom has NC Green +2 and Betonline opened it at pick. Thats only a difference of 2. Doesn't it need to be a diff of 2.5 in the 0-4 range to be a play? Maybe I misread something.
0
Was just double checking the plays tonight. Correct me if im wrong, but dont see how NC Greensboro is a play. Kenpom has NC Green +2 and Betonline opened it at pick. Thats only a difference of 2. Doesn't it need to be a diff of 2.5 in the 0-4 range to be a play? Maybe I misread something.
Was just double checking the plays tonight. Correct me if im wrong, but dont see how NC Greensboro is a play. Kenpom has NC Green +2 and Betonline opened it at pick. Thats only a difference of 2. Doesn't it need to be a diff of 2.5 in the 0-4 range to be a play? Maybe I misread something.
If you read what I posted....
I said I know they are only a 2 pt difference but I am playing them because of the away line movement
0
Quote Originally Posted by Grabano:
Was just double checking the plays tonight. Correct me if im wrong, but dont see how NC Greensboro is a play. Kenpom has NC Green +2 and Betonline opened it at pick. Thats only a difference of 2. Doesn't it need to be a diff of 2.5 in the 0-4 range to be a play? Maybe I misread something.
If you read what I posted....
I said I know they are only a 2 pt difference but I am playing them because of the away line movement
Beaver I have a question concerning the system and the top 3 games on FanMatch.
1) UNC @ Va Tech. Kenpom has them @ 3. This is the public's favorite game and the spread has moved all the way to 7.5. Now I know the system says to take UNC, but because the public is so heavy on UNC, do you personally think Va Tech is the better play here?
2) UCLA @ Oregon State. Kenpom has Oregon St. by 2, but it also says ****UCLA is better than Oregon St. by about 25 teams**** With the public heavily on Oregon State, doesn't UCLA (whose been playing great) look life a gift??
3) Cal @ Washington. Kenpom has Cal by 5. They are about 75 teams better than Washington. Again, with the public heavy on Oregon State does Cal seem to be a gift?
Beaver, I guess the point/question i am trying to make/ask is if you have had any experience w/ this. Obviously the system will not be flawless and is unlikely to be positive every night. Do you have any history w/ these kinds of teams: 1 Kenpom has slated as much better, 2 they are underdogs, and 3 the public is running away from?
*Using the system I will def. be taking Washington State and most likely San Jose State, but I was just wondering if you had any thoughts on UCLA and Cal.
#1 UNC would be a play, but I don't play anything that gets over 65% on covers contests. So that game is a NO PLAY for me.
#2 Oregon St is the favorite because they are at home and it is difficult to win on the road in conference play. This game is not a system play and I know very little about either team. NO PLAY
#3 Washington was over 65% earlier today. NO PLAY
I guess I need to start posting the system rules each week for those who are not familiar with how it works. System plays with over 65% lose more often than not...therefore, they are no plays.
Hope this helps
0
Quote Originally Posted by TommyGunner:
Beaver I have a question concerning the system and the top 3 games on FanMatch.
1) UNC @ Va Tech. Kenpom has them @ 3. This is the public's favorite game and the spread has moved all the way to 7.5. Now I know the system says to take UNC, but because the public is so heavy on UNC, do you personally think Va Tech is the better play here?
2) UCLA @ Oregon State. Kenpom has Oregon St. by 2, but it also says ****UCLA is better than Oregon St. by about 25 teams**** With the public heavily on Oregon State, doesn't UCLA (whose been playing great) look life a gift??
3) Cal @ Washington. Kenpom has Cal by 5. They are about 75 teams better than Washington. Again, with the public heavy on Oregon State does Cal seem to be a gift?
Beaver, I guess the point/question i am trying to make/ask is if you have had any experience w/ this. Obviously the system will not be flawless and is unlikely to be positive every night. Do you have any history w/ these kinds of teams: 1 Kenpom has slated as much better, 2 they are underdogs, and 3 the public is running away from?
*Using the system I will def. be taking Washington State and most likely San Jose State, but I was just wondering if you had any thoughts on UCLA and Cal.
#1 UNC would be a play, but I don't play anything that gets over 65% on covers contests. So that game is a NO PLAY for me.
#2 Oregon St is the favorite because they are at home and it is difficult to win on the road in conference play. This game is not a system play and I know very little about either team. NO PLAY
#3 Washington was over 65% earlier today. NO PLAY
I guess I need to start posting the system rules each week for those who are not familiar with how it works. System plays with over 65% lose more often than not...therefore, they are no plays.
Northshot, fading the public isn't necessarily an easy way to make $$, b/c I have tried it before, but using this system you notice a lot of easy non public plays. The three picks I gave...... Kenpom believed these three teams to be better than their opponents and the public was against them. There are a variety of ways to use Kenpom to your advantage
0
Northshot, fading the public isn't necessarily an easy way to make $$, b/c I have tried it before, but using this system you notice a lot of easy non public plays. The three picks I gave...... Kenpom believed these three teams to be better than their opponents and the public was against them. There are a variety of ways to use Kenpom to your advantage
Copyright � 1995 - 2024
CS Media Limited All Rights Reserved.
If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on
this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide
any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in
your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner
of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.
Hot Forum Topics
