Posted:
#1
NC State has not started the season off running the ball well. 3.9
ypc against the stout defense of Western Carolina and only 3.4 ypc
against UCF. And with Russel Wilson only completing 50% of his passes
(10 for 30 against UCF) their offense could be in for a long night.
Cincinatti's offense has not looked much better (as I don't think you
can count the 2nd half against Indiana State when all they did is run
the football). The question is....which offense has the best change to
turn it on Thursday Night.
I wish Fresno State would have played last week, as we would have
a true measure of how good their Defense really is. I watched the
first half of the Cincy game, and the Bulldog's D was playing their
balls off. I go back and check on UCF's defense and South Dakota State
averaged 4.5 ypc.....surely NCState would fair better than the 3.4 that they managed!
With all this being said, I think NCState really struggles on
offense, as they don't have any excuses in their first two weeks.
Cincy can at least be given the benefit of the doubt that they have a
new coaching staff, new mentatlity and are making adjustments. They lost several playmakers and guys are still finding their spot on the offense.
Both teams are comming off a short weak (so no advantage there).
You could say that NCState has the advantage of playing at home on the
short week and Cincy travels, but Cincy was home last week, while the
NCState players probably didn't get home until 2-3 am Sunday morning
from their Trip to Florida. As well, Cincy played against an FCS team in which many of their starters sat in the 3rd quarter.
Cincy has TWO 300 pounders anchoring the middle of their D and
they should cause problems for NCStates first year Center (the most
important position on the OL when trying to run the football). NC State does have some stub LBs and after watching the Fresno game they will be trying to blitz the piss out of Collaros. I think both Collaros and the coaching staff has learned from that game, he'll get a good mixture of screens and draws to slow down the rush as well as hopefully learned his proper check downs (get rid of the football).
Neither team is going to have much success running the
football, and it'll come down to who's better passing/stopping the
pass. Collaros is completing over 60% of his passes, while Wilson is
at 50%. NCState gave up passes of 20,21,29 and 35 yards against UCF,
while allowing their backup QB to complete 7-10 passes, and if UFC
doesn't fumble at the 11 yard line (after the 20 yard completion) with
53 seconds left in the game, they probably time the game and win it in
OT. .
Should be a good game to watch, but I think the CincyO v. NCState
D, has an advantage over the NCStateO v. Cincy D, which means that I
think Cincinatti gets it done tonight and the ACC loses yet another
game out of conference.
Cincinatti + ? (I am going to hold out on placing the wager in hopes to get them at +3. It seems as if the covers guys are starting to back NCState and I am hoping the line moves accordingly. If not, I may play the ML.
Also, the old saying is that 3 points is awarded for home field advantage. The fact that NCState is only favored by 2 still shows that Vegas prefers Cincy at a neutral site.
Also, the old saying is that 3 points is awarded for home field advantage. The fact that NCState is only favored by 2 still shows that Vegas prefers Cincy at a neutral site.
TOTAL - I would take the under considering the offensive struggles,
but with both teams being on a short week, it gives the defense less
time to prepare, so I would stay away from the total.
BOL
BOL
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