2024 College Football Selection Record

4 weeks from today we'll be watching College Football.  

Georgia -13 vs Clemson? Curious you don't find that number to be a bit high?  

Record to Date :      00 of 00 =  000 %   

Bankroll to Date :    100 % of Original Bankroll  

GOY's       

  9 /   7   Texas @  Mich     - 3', 4  - 110          6 %  of current bankroll at risk

10 / 12   tOSU  @  Oregon     pk  - 110          5 %  of current bankroll at risk

10 / 19   UGa.  @  Texas       + 3  - 110          5 %  of current bankroll at risk

11 /   2   Lvlle.  @  Clem.       + 9  - 110          5 %  of current bankroll at risk   

Week 0    

307    SMU        -  20     - 110                          5 %  of current bankroll at risk  

Week 1     

160    Georgia  -  13     - 110                          5 %  of current bankroll at risk    

2 Tm. 7 Pt. Teaser                                          8 %  of current bankroll at risk    

307  SMU        -  17    

160  UGa.        -   6   

National Championship Futures

Oregon       + 800

Texas          + 800

Good Luck

Looking forward to a great season! 

I’m about ready to place on USC +6.5 (-115) vs. LSU.

Any thoughts on that game?

Wise

I appreciate your good vibes on my Texas Longhorns...Its a good endorsement, considering that we are oft over hyped, and don't meet expectations.  I believe there has been a paradigm shift in the attitude of our coaches and players.   The games with Georgia, Michigan and Oklahoma will be tough, but I think we can win at least 2/3...I am with you on SMU in week 0 and Georgia in week 1...I am also leaning UTSA, Syracuse, and South Carolina, all ATS in week 1 as well, with an eye on Nebraska -7 in week 2...  

Good Luck this season.  

JA , This is a difficult matchup for both teams. Both teams are

potentially sound on Offense , but with significant question marks

on defense. The worse part is that both teams rank at the bottom

of my Top 35 in game management. USC has a new DC , but I've

got to see what he's been able to accomplish before I'll make a

wager on them. As far as Game Management goes, the problem

with most teams that have this shortcoming is that to correct this,

the HC and his staff have to understand that the solution to this is

to hold their players accountable. Unfortunately, ego will not

permit some coaches to acknowledge that this problem comes

directly from their staffs inability to recognize the need to change

their style of player management.

I personally would not wager on this matchup in Week 1, as I

need to see what , if any, improvement they have made in both

Team Defense and Game Management for the upcoming season.

Good Luck in whatever you you choose to do.  

LH , Texas was a big player in the Portal this off season, and may be

improved in some key areas for 2024. The shortcomings they have

in O & D production are very correctable, and If they can cut down

on foolish penalties, can be very competitive in the SEC this season.

LH  , Good Luck this season.  

Bookmaker now has SMU - 26 '  vs  Nevada in Week 0.

I keep bringing this up but......It pays to bet matchups early.

FWIW  , I cannot overestimate the effect Game Management has on

the overall success of College and Pro sports today.I  learned the

value of this in my 40 years of managing Major Construction Projects.

My goal was to motivate those under my direction to aspire to

accomplish tasks they never thought possible , and giving them the

tools necessary to achieve personal success in  future endeavours .

Harvard Business School defines leadership thusly:

'' Effective leaders take a personal interest in the  long term development

of their employees , and they use tact and social skills to encourage

employees to achieve their best."

I believe it is imperative to integrate leadership capabilities  of Head

Coaches and their staff into our capping methodology going forward.

Good Luck

GL this season Wise

Thank you my friend. It's good to hear from you. Hope all is well.

Blessings and Good luck this season.       

Looks like the Books are starting to post some Georgia - 14 vs Clemson in Week 1.

FYI    

Thanks bud. I believe that with the TP bringing a lot of teams

closer to parity, the ability of Coaches to manage their rosters

as well as player performance may likely be the difference

between a win or a loss going forward.

@LonghornHoosier

 LH , One thing Texas needs to improve on as they move into SEC play

is Pass blocking , as they are going to find that contrary to play in the

BIG 12 , they are likely to compete with some very talented D Linemen

every week in the SEC. Week 2 at Michigan will be an interesting game

to watch to measure their progress and their preparation for SEC play.

LH  

As a member of this Forum since 2012 , I've tried to post information in an

effort to share with others some of what I have learned about Sports betting

over the last 40 + years. While many of my posts were focused on College

Football where I did some of my best work, I was able to see the changes in

College sports that were coming as well as the changes that were happening

in Bookmaking as the popularity of Sports betting began to grow into what it is

today. My last season posting CFB was in 2017 , where I went  22  of 30 ( 73 % )

in season play. In 2018 - 2022 , I did not wager or post much due to Covid and

other personal reasons.

Instead I spent that time looking at what options Oddsmakers were offering

over a number of Sports and trying to find ways to capitalize on them.

In 2023 - 2024, so far I've had a pretty good season betting across a number

of sports including :

NFL    Super Bowl    Game , futures and prop markets ( posted in NFL forum )

CBB   Tournament   22 of 26 ( 84 % ) , and futures ( posted in CBB forum )

MLB    11 of 12 ( 92 % ) before focusing on CFB.  ( posted in MLB forum )

In my time off from betting CFB, I realized that a whole lot of opportunity was

available to me if I was willing to take the time to learn and understand that

all of the betting options Bookmakers were giving me were opportunities to

generate additional revenue to me , ( rather than to the Bookmaker ) if I was

wise in my understanding the concepts of Value and Risk across all markets

such as spreads , totals , props and futures .

I would  encourage others to expand their knowledge and understanding of

betting  options available to give yourselves a better opportunity to compete

in this ever changing world of Sports betting.

We have just two weeks to go until College  Football begins.

Blessings and Good Luck this Season.

Apologies for only mentioning the most common markets in my Post # 68 , as those are but

a fraction of what is available to wager on overall. For those bettors who have the ability to

accurately determine TLV , Alt. spreads / totals can offer great value to bettors . Live betting

is also a great way to capture TLV and to gain WP on a wager. The ability to bet all markets

early before betting lines " Mature " is  also a great way to capture True Line Value and WP.

Good Luck this Season.

Adding :

3 Team Parlay    - 109

Week 0

307    SMU       m/l                     - 2800

Week 1

160    UGa.      m/l                       -  600

Futures

Wemby    2024 NBA  D.O.P.Y     -  170

Adding :    

3 Team Parlay    - 109

Week 0

307    SMU       m/l                     - 2800

Week 1

160    UGa.      m/l                       -  600

Futures

Wemby    2024 NBA  D.P.O.Y     -  170

Correction.

Good Luck

@WISEGUY36

 I find NFL props SOOO much more profitable vs betting against the spread!! Looking forward to your insights on that and hope to learn further on that aspect!!

Amen to that my friend. But with a lot of big and well capitalized money

chasing plays in the Props and Futures markets it actually pays to bet

props and futures early these days and assume that a percentage of

your bankroll is going to be tied up for some time in exchange for the

best prices that you are likely to find. It's a market that a bettor has to

acquire a " feel" for the way odds are likely to  move , while this is true

for all markets, Props and Futures tend to move much more rapidly

and dramatically. Personally , I was never one to tie up capital for long

periods of time, but the opportunities available today have changed my

thinking on this. I just have to reallocate a portion of capital to longer

term " Investments ." Kinda like an asset allocation into longer dated

Treasuries in a 401 K account.

Blessings and Good Luck this season.  

@LoveCFB1_

Although I have  not posted them to the Forum yet, I have a number

of parlay bets on futures to win Conferences at some great prices ,

which I bet early as soon as they were posted. Those prices are long

gone now.

@WISEGUY36

 I have yet to try futures, maybe next year! But definitely player props have been profitable! Older gentleman I met on here a few years back turned me on to them and taught me some things!