All Forums | College Football

ALL ABOARD the lindetrain - Week 5

...
Participants:
Search model icon
Views: 6027
Posts: 82
 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: Jul, 2006
Posts: 5367
Posted: #26
Buffalo +16
 
Could the Drew Willy train pull off the upset?
 
Covers Rehab
Participation Meter
Joined: Apr, 2007
Posts: 4415
Posted: #27
Quote Originally Posted by lindetrain:

I respect your opinion, but what do you think the coach is going to tell you?  "Ahhh, we ain't really worried about this one..."

Sorry linde that's one I have to disagree on with my new system.

Play the team that the better looking avatar says

 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2006
Posts: 4263
Posted: #28
linde,
 
I like most of your leans.... Whenever I think a team is primed for a let down (ball st.) they come out and play a good game... I will probably pass but I think you have a winner....
 
I like your Temple pk a lot.... I agree with JP as I don't think the points will matter, Temple ML for me....
 
Agree with Ill and GT... Both those lines stink to high heaven and both should be played on the ML IMO...
 
Do you have the guts to play S. miss on the ML?  I don't know if I do, but +10 does look pretty nice...
 
great thread keep up the good work..
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2006
Posts: 4263
Posted: #29
Forgot to mention....  If you like Auburn + the points, do you like Miss St. and Ole piss as well?
 
Covers Rehab
Participation Meter
Joined: Apr, 2007
Posts: 4415
Posted: #30
I think the Army QB may be out too. 
 
The ONLY one I disagree is GT over Clemson.  I think this Clemson team is dangerous.
 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: Jul, 2006
Posts: 5367
Posted: #31
Quote Originally Posted by male escort:

 
Do you have the guts to play S. miss on the ML?  I don't know if I do, but +10 does look pretty nice...
 

I definitely think they could win this one, but I'm not going to play the ML...I just can't emphasize enough how I think Boise underestimates the difficulty of this game.  They always win at home, this is just a C-USA school, etc...I think they don't take USM as serious as they should.  USM, on the other hand, has a chance to show people how good they are on national TV by possibly going into Boise and pulling off an upset.

 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: Jul, 2006
Posts: 5367
Posted: #32
Quote Originally Posted by male escort:

Forgot to mention....  If you like Auburn + the points, do you like Miss St. and Ole piss as well?

I don't think I'm gonna take Auburn, I don't like Mississippi State, and Ole Miss just is not a team I'm interested in betting for a while despite winning that bet easily last week...

Those Mississippi schools are usually  later in the season though when they're big underdogs.

 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: Jul, 2006
Posts: 5367
Posted: #33
Quote Originally Posted by takepoints:

I think the Army QB may be out too. 
 
The ONLY one I disagree is GT over Clemson.  I think this Clemson team is dangerous.

Temple is gonna win this game baby!  I agree Clemson is dangerous, but every week is a new week, and every team is liable to not put their best effort out on the field.  GT needs this game, Clemson has VT on deck...not a good situation for them if you ask me.

 
Covers Rehab
Participation Meter
Joined: Apr, 2007
Posts: 4415
Posted: #34
linde - Any thoughts on BYU -5.5 @ New Mexico?
 
Big game for both...
 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: Jul, 2006
Posts: 5367
Posted: #35
Quote Originally Posted by takepoints:

linde - Any thoughts on BYU -5.5 @ New Mexico?
 
Big game for both...

No value in BYU at all...NM is playing very well and I have to lean to them atleast keeping it close in this game.  No play for me though.

 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2007
Posts: 3
Posted: #36
lindetrain,
 
I have been watching your post for weeks and appreciate your views.  Additionally, your knowledge of the game. 
 
I have a couple of takes on the FLA/AUB game.  I have played Florida heavy for reason noted below.
                          -revenge (Florida lost last year battle)
                          -Played at night in the SWAMP
                          -Florida drops in polls due to close loss to Miss.
                          -This is Auburns first road game
                           (teams of note struggle in 1st road games)
 
Your thoughts
 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: Jul, 2006
Posts: 5367
Posted: #37
Very good point on Auburn's first road game, which could definitely hurt them.  With it being at the Swamp, you gotta wonder if Cox throws 6-7 INTs.  They really could struggle there.
 
I don't think revenge means a lot here because A) Auburn is not good enough for UF to be worried about revenge, and B) UF is more worried about next week's game.
 
I'm not going to play Auburn at this point and will probably just stay away...
 
 
 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2006
Posts: 5108
Posted: #38
Lindetrain,

I quote this from Sportfanatic's post/thread:
"since 1997, teams are 2-15 ATS after losing a game outright as a favorite of 20 or more points....Louisville fits this number this week."

What do you think about NC State?  I can get it at +10.5 at my book (betED)
 
Covers Linesmen
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2005
Posts: 66698
Posted: #39
highside...nc state is on my short list of bets "left to make" this week

i have to convince myself the Lville has given up first

linde - i love florida this week...but i dont think i could lay 3 tds in one week on two diff games
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2006
Posts: 20924
Posted: #40
Quote Originally Posted by lindetrain:

Temple +7 (-115)

This line is just ridiculous to me...if I could've gotten it at the opening line it would've been my first 2-unit bet of the year.  This is not the same Owl team as last year, as they continue to prove every week.  Army has not shown me much at all so far and I don't think they should be laying more than a FG, if that, here...

ok just dont go crazy on it BUFFALO killed them by alot dont remember the score exactly think it was something like 35 or more to 7....
 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: Jul, 2006
Posts: 5367
Posted: #41
Baylor +17
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2006
Posts: 1797
Posted: #42
Linde, great thread and info.

Just mentioning that GT Coach Chan Gailey is a girl as we all know and is comfortable giving up on games even when leading....something about being fair to bench players or something. Good or bad at least Clemson will play to win.

My 2 cents on Florida since I sit on the 40 yard line....we have no pass rush but we are killing people on run defense. Auburn must run to have a chance in this game and the Turbo offense of Florida will score. Auburn has a legit QB controversy and very little offensive imagination.

Kentucky would have a better chance in this game than Auburn.

I'm taking Temple an Clemson.

 
All-Star
Participation Meter
Joined: Jun, 2007
Posts: 10740
Posted: #43

Quote Originally Posted by oddsbuster:

ok just dont go crazy on it BUFFALO killed them by alot dont remember the score exactly think it was something like 35 or more to 7....

think it was 55-25 (and not that close), having RB Lewis out should help Buffalo chances well if Bulls could stop the pass anyway

 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Jun, 2007
Posts: 4016
Posted: #44
Like the picks so far, Linde. I'm not on S. Miss since I don't know a whole lot about that game. I'm also too afraid to jump on Temple. I gave them a shot in week 2 and they screwed me. I think the only wagers that will involve them in the future is if I'm betting against them! I am on Buffalo, I like Baylor and might put some $$ down on the ML for that game as a shot in the dark since A&M seems really overrated and Baylor is on the up and up over the last few years. It's worth a shot, so the +17 looks really good.

I'm with you on the GT thing. Clemson has burned me a few times this year and they could do it again, but I think that GT has had a few bad plays that cost them their games this season and if Tashard Choice is back and healthy, I will be on GT.
 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: Jul, 2006
Posts: 5367
Posted: #45
Quote Originally Posted by nostradamus12:

think it was 55-25 (and not that close), having RB Lewis out should help Buffalo chances well if Bulls could stop the pass anyway

I think he was referring to my Temple bet, nostradamus...

 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: Jul, 2006
Posts: 5367
Posted: #46
Quote Originally Posted by GatorPud:



Kentucky would have a better chance in this game than Auburn.

That's a fair statement considering Kentucky is atleast 4-5 points better than Auburn...

Auburn is definitely a running team, so I guess that's not good for them if Florida's run D is good like you say.  One thing is for sure - the Tigers are fucked if they get behind early and Cox has to try and lead them back through the air.

 
All-Star
Participation Meter
Joined: Jun, 2007
Posts: 10740
Posted: #47
It's possible Auburn could hang under the number with a great defensive effort 27-10 variety, however appears Florida offense too dynamic to contain and revenge keeps the starters in all the way.
 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: Jul, 2006
Posts: 5367
Posted: #48
South Carolina -13.5 (+100)
 
Very rarely do I find value in favorites according to my power ratings, but I do here...
 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: Jul, 2006
Posts: 5367
Posted: #49

I got a little free play with my player points at BetUS...so what the hell, let's add a little pleaser action.  (I will always document every play I make, because I want my actualy +/- units to be the same as posted)

Southern Miss +4.5 & Temple PK - 0.25 units to win 1.5 units

Baylor +11 & Idaho +19 - 0.25 units to win 1.5 units

Southern Miss +4.5 & Baylor +11 - 0.5 units to win 3 units

 
 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: Jul, 2006
Posts: 5367
Posted: #50
Illinois +3 (+100)
Wisconsin -7 (-120)
Georgia Tech +3
Florida International +12 (-101)
 
That should just about do it...here's what I've got:
 
Southern Miss +10 (+100)
Temple +7 (-115)
Buffalo -16
South Carolina -13.5 (+100)
Baylor +17
Georgia Tech +3
Illinois +3 (+100)
Florida International +12 (-101)
Wisconsin -7 (-120)
 
And...

Southern Miss +4.5 & Temple PK - 0.25 units to win 1.5 units

Baylor +11 & Idaho +19 - 0.25 units to win 1.5 units

Southern Miss +4.5 & Baylor +11 - 0.5 units to win 3 units

All Forums | College Football
About Us
Contact Us
Careers
Our Team
Brand
Testimonials
Betting Guides
Sportsbook Reviews
Sports Betting News
Podcasts
Responsible Gaming
Sports Betting
US Betting Sites
Canada Betting Sites
Canada Casinos
Best Betting Apps
Contests
Streak Survivor
King of Covers
Ultimate Race
Office Pools
The Covers community has
618,670
lifetime members worldwide
Covers 25 Years Logo Established in 1995,
Covers is the world
leader in sports
betting information.
Site Map Help Privacy Terms of Service youtube logo facebook logo twitter logo instagram logo linkedin logo google news logo
Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo
Copyright © 1995 - 2025 CS Media Limited All Rights Reserved.

If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.