One thing that stuck with me about this TENN squad was their offensive performance vs UAB. I'm not sure about my numbers exactly but they were something like 2 for 11 on 3rd down in that game. If UAB had a kicker instead of a headcase, they would've won the game in regulation by 9.
TENN will NOT score more than 1 offensive TD in this game.
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One thing that stuck with me about this TENN squad was their offensive performance vs UAB. I'm not sure about my numbers exactly but they were something like 2 for 11 on 3rd down in that game. If UAB had a kicker instead of a headcase, they would've won the game in regulation by 9.
TENN will NOT score more than 1 offensive TD in this game.
You like Tenn that much huh? I guess I will follow you with this one bro .. Playing with house money at the moment thanks to Oregon. Liking LSU+6 and Neb -6, Zona -6 and Hawaii -3.. Good Luck this week Freak!!!
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You like Tenn that much huh? I guess I will follow you with this one bro .. Playing with house money at the moment thanks to Oregon. Liking LSU+6 and Neb -6, Zona -6 and Hawaii -3.. Good Luck this week Freak!!!
Good write up Jimmy! I backed Bama last week against Ole Miss and watching that offense was frustrating so this # maybe difficult for them to cover on the road. However, I don't feel comfortable betting Tenn....that team is bad. I'll take a pass on this game, but GL!
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Good write up Jimmy! I backed Bama last week against Ole Miss and watching that offense was frustrating so this # maybe difficult for them to cover on the road. However, I don't feel comfortable betting Tenn....that team is bad. I'll take a pass on this game, but GL!
I remember Dooley saying weeks back his team was young, and the best he could say about them was when, they make a mistake we'll try and coach them out of it and hope it works.
I believe the more experinced Alabama team will cover. I'm looking for Ingram to have a brakeout game.
Rolling with the Tide
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Good write up, Jimmy
I remember Dooley saying weeks back his team was young, and the best he could say about them was when, they make a mistake we'll try and coach them out of it and hope it works.
I believe the more experinced Alabama team will cover. I'm looking for Ingram to have a brakeout game.
One thing that stuck with me about this TENN squad was their offensive performance vs UAB. I'm not sure about my numbers exactly but they were something like 2 for 11 on 3rd down in that game. If UAB had a kicker instead of a headcase, they would've won the game in regulation by 9.
TENN will NOT score more than 1 offensive TD in this game.
I don't think Tennessee will have to score more than 1 TD to cover.
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Quote Originally Posted by fortyTWO:
One thing that stuck with me about this TENN squad was their offensive performance vs UAB. I'm not sure about my numbers exactly but they were something like 2 for 11 on 3rd down in that game. If UAB had a kicker instead of a headcase, they would've won the game in regulation by 9.
TENN will NOT score more than 1 offensive TD in this game.
I don't think Tennessee will have to score more than 1 TD to cover.
You like Tenn that much huh? I guess I will follow you with this one bro .. Playing with house money at the moment thanks to Oregon. Liking LSU+6 and Neb -6, Zona -6 and Hawaii -3.. Good Luck this week Freak!!!
I think this is a horrible spot for Bama IMO, just like it was last season. If an offense cannot demonstrate that they are capable of scoring more than 24 points in a game, they have no business laying 17. I think this will be a very close game.
I like LSU a lot. I will be on them this weekend as well.
Don't like Nebraska at all. I like the Cowboys at home with the points.
I have no opinion on Arizona. I have no feel for the PAC 10 most of the time as my small play on UCLA tonight demonstrates.
I've been on Hawaii the last 3 weeks, but I don't like them in this spot at all. I'm not betting this game, but if I did, I would be on Utah St..
BOL PC!!!
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Quote Originally Posted by phancard:
You like Tenn that much huh? I guess I will follow you with this one bro .. Playing with house money at the moment thanks to Oregon. Liking LSU+6 and Neb -6, Zona -6 and Hawaii -3.. Good Luck this week Freak!!!
I think this is a horrible spot for Bama IMO, just like it was last season. If an offense cannot demonstrate that they are capable of scoring more than 24 points in a game, they have no business laying 17. I think this will be a very close game.
I like LSU a lot. I will be on them this weekend as well.
Don't like Nebraska at all. I like the Cowboys at home with the points.
I have no opinion on Arizona. I have no feel for the PAC 10 most of the time as my small play on UCLA tonight demonstrates.
I've been on Hawaii the last 3 weeks, but I don't like them in this spot at all. I'm not betting this game, but if I did, I would be on Utah St..
Good write up Jimmy! I backed Bama last week against Ole Miss and watching that offense was frustrating so this # maybe difficult for them to cover on the road. However, I don't feel comfortable betting Tenn....that team is bad. I'll take a pass on this game, but GL!
Thanks CalBear!!! BOL with your card as well.
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Quote Originally Posted by CalBear:
Good write up Jimmy! I backed Bama last week against Ole Miss and watching that offense was frustrating so this # maybe difficult for them to cover on the road. However, I don't feel comfortable betting Tenn....that team is bad. I'll take a pass on this game, but GL!
I remember Dooley saying weeks back his team was young, and the best he could say about them was when, they make a mistake we'll try and coach them out of it and hope it works.
I believe the more experinced Alabama team will cover. I'm looking for Ingram to have a brakeout game.
Rolling with the Tide
Until Alabama remedies the fundamental flaw in their offense which I've been talking about for 4 weeks, there won't be any breakout games for Ingram the rest of his Alabama career. His breakout days are over. Tennessee will do what has working for everyone else, which is to play 9 defenders against 5 or 6 blockers, and unless check-down McElroy can burn someone down the middle of the field, you can stick a fork in Bama's running attack.
The only way I can see Bama covering this game is if the defense does it through completely shutting Tennessee's offense down (possible but Bama's offense will still need to score 18 points), or by scoring themselves via turnovers (also possible).
Betting is a game of probability and value, and I see no value whatsoever on the Bama side of this bet . . . none. The bet IMO opinion is Tennessee or UNDER, or nothing at all.
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Quote Originally Posted by Lucan:
Good write up, Jimmy
I remember Dooley saying weeks back his team was young, and the best he could say about them was when, they make a mistake we'll try and coach them out of it and hope it works.
I believe the more experinced Alabama team will cover. I'm looking for Ingram to have a brakeout game.
Rolling with the Tide
Until Alabama remedies the fundamental flaw in their offense which I've been talking about for 4 weeks, there won't be any breakout games for Ingram the rest of his Alabama career. His breakout days are over. Tennessee will do what has working for everyone else, which is to play 9 defenders against 5 or 6 blockers, and unless check-down McElroy can burn someone down the middle of the field, you can stick a fork in Bama's running attack.
The only way I can see Bama covering this game is if the defense does it through completely shutting Tennessee's offense down (possible but Bama's offense will still need to score 18 points), or by scoring themselves via turnovers (also possible).
Betting is a game of probability and value, and I see no value whatsoever on the Bama side of this bet . . . none. The bet IMO opinion is Tennessee or UNDER, or nothing at all.
while we all know.....Bama sux (won 32 of last 35 SU.....covered 22 of 34).....and McElroy can't play (lost 1 game going back to 8th grade or so....)
You also must consider their opponent... stop thinking Vols of old....think more like Bama is playing Purdue.....the Cuse....or Indiana (actually rated higher)...
* Vols have 18 Fr in 2 deep....14/22 Offensive 2 deep are Fr or Soph.....5/10 OL are Fr.....(2 start)
* Vols have probably the WORST OL among BCS schools.....ranking close to LAST in 1st downs....3rd down %....TFL allowed.....sacks allowed...(gotta take out inflated stats vs Tenn-Martin)
* last 4 games (Fla > UAB > @LSU > @Ga) Vols have rushed 119 times and gained 176 yds......been sacked TWENTY times...UAB outgained them in KNOXVILLE .....544 - 287...and ran 92 plays.....>> they're getting their ass whipped
although I like Bama in this spot....better games to play IMO....game should be close (or Vols up) at halftime.....Bama should take over in 2H as Vols wear down.. just as they did vs Ducks .... Gators.....and mighty UAB....
playing Vols 1H should work ......Bama to come back in 2H should be great play.....I will have that one loaded and ready to fire....Bama has huge edges all over.....offense + defense + coach + QB (yes) + ST..(Vol Kicker still hurt)....and should get back on track here
The impediment to action advances action - what stands in the way becomes the way.
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while we all know.....Bama sux (won 32 of last 35 SU.....covered 22 of 34).....and McElroy can't play (lost 1 game going back to 8th grade or so....)
You also must consider their opponent... stop thinking Vols of old....think more like Bama is playing Purdue.....the Cuse....or Indiana (actually rated higher)...
* Vols have 18 Fr in 2 deep....14/22 Offensive 2 deep are Fr or Soph.....5/10 OL are Fr.....(2 start)
* Vols have probably the WORST OL among BCS schools.....ranking close to LAST in 1st downs....3rd down %....TFL allowed.....sacks allowed...(gotta take out inflated stats vs Tenn-Martin)
* last 4 games (Fla > UAB > @LSU > @Ga) Vols have rushed 119 times and gained 176 yds......been sacked TWENTY times...UAB outgained them in KNOXVILLE .....544 - 287...and ran 92 plays.....>> they're getting their ass whipped
although I like Bama in this spot....better games to play IMO....game should be close (or Vols up) at halftime.....Bama should take over in 2H as Vols wear down.. just as they did vs Ducks .... Gators.....and mighty UAB....
playing Vols 1H should work ......Bama to come back in 2H should be great play.....I will have that one loaded and ready to fire....Bama has huge edges all over.....offense + defense + coach + QB (yes) + ST..(Vol Kicker still hurt)....and should get back on track here
while we all know.....Bama sux (won 32 of last 35 SU.....covered 22 of 34).....and McElroy can't play (lost 1 game going back to 8th grade or so....)
You also must consider their opponent... stop thinking Vols of old....think more like Bama is playing Purdue.....the Cuse....or Indiana (actually rated higher)...
* Vols have 18 Fr in 2 deep....14/22 Offensive 2 deep are Fr or Soph.....5/10 OL are Fr.....(2 start)
* Vols have probably the WORST OL among BCS schools.....ranking close to LAST in 1st downs....3rd down %....TFL allowed.....sacks allowed...(gotta take out inflated stats vs Tenn-Martin)
* last 4 games (Fla > UAB > @LSU > @Ga) Vols have rushed 119 times and gained 176 yds......been sacked TWENTY times...UAB outgained them in KNOXVILLE .....544 - 287...and ran 92 plays.....>> they're getting their ass whipped
although I like Bama in this spot....better games to play IMO....game should be close (or Vols up) at halftime.....Bama should take over in 2H as Vols wear down.. just as they did vs Ducks .... Gators.....and mighty UAB....
playing Vols 1H should work ......Bama to come back in 2H should be great play.....I will have that one loaded and ready to fire....Bama has huge edges all over.....offense + defense + coach + QB (yes) + ST..(Vol Kicker still hurt)....and should get back on track here
Since 8th grade McElroy has played a grand total of 2.5 season at QB - his senior year of HS, last season, and half of this season.
McElroy plays on a "team." The teams McElroy has played on have lost 1 game while he's played QB, and thank God for McElroy it is a team sport. If it weren't McElroy would not have a winning record. In short, Alabama has been winning in spite of McElroy, NOT because of McElroy.
I'm quite familiar with Tennessee and all of their shortcomings. Those shortcomings notwithstanding, I think Alabama -17 is a terrible bet for all the reasons stated in my writeup.
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Quote Originally Posted by bookieassassin:
while we all know.....Bama sux (won 32 of last 35 SU.....covered 22 of 34).....and McElroy can't play (lost 1 game going back to 8th grade or so....)
You also must consider their opponent... stop thinking Vols of old....think more like Bama is playing Purdue.....the Cuse....or Indiana (actually rated higher)...
* Vols have 18 Fr in 2 deep....14/22 Offensive 2 deep are Fr or Soph.....5/10 OL are Fr.....(2 start)
* Vols have probably the WORST OL among BCS schools.....ranking close to LAST in 1st downs....3rd down %....TFL allowed.....sacks allowed...(gotta take out inflated stats vs Tenn-Martin)
* last 4 games (Fla > UAB > @LSU > @Ga) Vols have rushed 119 times and gained 176 yds......been sacked TWENTY times...UAB outgained them in KNOXVILLE .....544 - 287...and ran 92 plays.....>> they're getting their ass whipped
although I like Bama in this spot....better games to play IMO....game should be close (or Vols up) at halftime.....Bama should take over in 2H as Vols wear down.. just as they did vs Ducks .... Gators.....and mighty UAB....
playing Vols 1H should work ......Bama to come back in 2H should be great play.....I will have that one loaded and ready to fire....Bama has huge edges all over.....offense + defense + coach + QB (yes) + ST..(Vol Kicker still hurt)....and should get back on track here
Since 8th grade McElroy has played a grand total of 2.5 season at QB - his senior year of HS, last season, and half of this season.
McElroy plays on a "team." The teams McElroy has played on have lost 1 game while he's played QB, and thank God for McElroy it is a team sport. If it weren't McElroy would not have a winning record. In short, Alabama has been winning in spite of McElroy, NOT because of McElroy.
I'm quite familiar with Tennessee and all of their shortcomings. Those shortcomings notwithstanding, I think Alabama -17 is a terrible bet for all the reasons stated in my writeup.
Jimmy- you are always ahead of the curve on Bama, and your input in greatly appreciated.
I can remember back a couple years ago before Bama was on the map, you came out with a huge play on Bama +5 against Clemson, and I believe they won that game 34-10...been following ya ever since. Keep up the good work , BOL with all your wagers.
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Jimmy- you are always ahead of the curve on Bama, and your input in greatly appreciated.
I can remember back a couple years ago before Bama was on the map, you came out with a huge play on Bama +5 against Clemson, and I believe they won that game 34-10...been following ya ever since. Keep up the good work , BOL with all your wagers.
Road team is 12-2-1 last 15 ATS. While I would love to see a TN win ATS since I am a huge TN fan. Can't lay $$$ on a TN team that just doesn't have the athletes right now. GL with your play.
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Road team is 12-2-1 last 15 ATS. While I would love to see a TN win ATS since I am a huge TN fan. Can't lay $$$ on a TN team that just doesn't have the athletes right now. GL with your play.
Jimmy- you are always ahead of the curve on Bama, and your input in greatly appreciated.
I can remember back a couple years ago before Bama was on the map, you came out with a huge play on Bama +5 against Clemson, and I believe they won that game 34-10...been following ya ever since. Keep up the good work , BOL with all your wagers.
You know how it is on Covers. The turnover is massive. Next year there will be a whole new breed of people telling me I don't know what I'm talking about, but my record on Bama this season is 6 & 2.
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Quote Originally Posted by Torreny3:
Jimmy- you are always ahead of the curve on Bama, and your input in greatly appreciated.
I can remember back a couple years ago before Bama was on the map, you came out with a huge play on Bama +5 against Clemson, and I believe they won that game 34-10...been following ya ever since. Keep up the good work , BOL with all your wagers.
You know how it is on Covers. The turnover is massive. Next year there will be a whole new breed of people telling me I don't know what I'm talking about, but my record on Bama this season is 6 & 2.
Good Luck Jimmy... I believe Bama will cover in this spot with a bye week on deck and the fact that the offense has not looked good the past couple weeks is a recipe for a beat down i think. BOL though
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Good Luck Jimmy... I believe Bama will cover in this spot with a bye week on deck and the fact that the offense has not looked good the past couple weeks is a recipe for a beat down i think. BOL though
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