On another note, thoughts on two team teasers thru key numbers in cfb? Aware most say appropriate for NFL only. Looks like the Wang teasers no longer quite as lucrative there. Roll Tide!
Being a mostly Big10 bettor I analyzed 6pt teasers in the B1G from last year. Having three non-con games gave two sides for each game and in conference play one side for each team. That equals 210 different choices to tease. ((14 teams x 3 non-cons x 2 =84) + (14 teams x 9 conf. games = 128))=210.
Using Steele's mag ATS there were 27 choices where the 6pt teasers would make a lose or push a win. 27/210 =12.85% of the choices made winners. That's not much.
There were three pushes that you could have teased either team and won.
10 of the 27 were games that had ATS of -/+20 or more. 9 out of the 10 it was the dog that needed to be teased.
And I count 25 B1G games with ATS of -/+20 or more. So for last yr in the B1G 36% (9/25) of dogs +20 or higher could have been teased to winners.
Yet, 72% of the time the B1G covered those -20's or higher and Nebraska covered +22 to the Sooners. (18 out of 25)
Of all these 27 I see maybe 3 that may have qualified as a Wang type tease depending what line you got.(i.e. Penn St +1 vs Iowa may have been +1.5 when you bet.) And then you have to find another one for that two teamer.
Really a small sample size but based on it I would look at teasing +20 dogs, if I did at all.
Really would rather just look at betting the -20's without the tease. Yet that was last year and this year could be a polar opposite, who knows.
1
Quote Originally Posted by fts1409:
On another note, thoughts on two team teasers thru key numbers in cfb? Aware most say appropriate for NFL only. Looks like the Wang teasers no longer quite as lucrative there. Roll Tide!
Being a mostly Big10 bettor I analyzed 6pt teasers in the B1G from last year. Having three non-con games gave two sides for each game and in conference play one side for each team. That equals 210 different choices to tease. ((14 teams x 3 non-cons x 2 =84) + (14 teams x 9 conf. games = 128))=210.
Using Steele's mag ATS there were 27 choices where the 6pt teasers would make a lose or push a win. 27/210 =12.85% of the choices made winners. That's not much.
There were three pushes that you could have teased either team and won.
10 of the 27 were games that had ATS of -/+20 or more. 9 out of the 10 it was the dog that needed to be teased.
And I count 25 B1G games with ATS of -/+20 or more. So for last yr in the B1G 36% (9/25) of dogs +20 or higher could have been teased to winners.
Yet, 72% of the time the B1G covered those -20's or higher and Nebraska covered +22 to the Sooners. (18 out of 25)
Of all these 27 I see maybe 3 that may have qualified as a Wang type tease depending what line you got.(i.e. Penn St +1 vs Iowa may have been +1.5 when you bet.) And then you have to find another one for that two teamer.
Really a small sample size but based on it I would look at teasing +20 dogs, if I did at all.
Really would rather just look at betting the -20's without the tease. Yet that was last year and this year could be a polar opposite, who knows.
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