Best betting Stradegy???

   I look at the board on Monday or early Tuesday and usually throw out 70% of the games... I do this just on my knowledge and not seeing any value in the line...I then concentrate on the other 30% of the lines and then cut down to about 15 % after i do some homework... I will usually bet about 3-4 games a week... I pick those games then check out other top handicappers on here for info on games they like... Sometimes they will write something that makes me not bet a game i would have bet or take 1 of those 70% i have thrown out aand bet on them...Some of the best handicappers on here that i read are  Boom-Boom, Nostradoumeos, Double Up For Life, Kaplan and Who Dey... Those are just a few of them off the top of my head...

What are your guys methods for handicapping...

Win Baby Win.....

Your last three words say it all, exactly what I was thinking even before opening this thread

Knowing your conferences/teams is what makes or breaks your season. Betting on a squad on just reputation or tailing will leave you -$ for the year, research and having a feeling for certain teams is key. Creating your own lines before actual lines come out will make it easier to cut out a majority of the match-ups, you have to find value in games, if not, don't bother. Lastly, discipline. Money management goes along with this, but CFB is a marathon, not a sprint. Just because you went 6-0 in week one doesn't mean you blow your load in week 2, stick to your M.O....win in the long run.

Like you mentioned, when top cappers on this forum side with you, that's always a good thing too.

BOL

Here's a recipe....Fade the Memphis Tigers all season long  

  Your dead on  knowing a conference and teams..I live in Ky 5 miles from Cincy.. I watch alot of SEC games, Cincy games and N.D. games..I do seem to do better on these teams in particular...

It could be another long yr in Memphis..

never bet on bad teams...

bet against EMU, WKU, San Jose St and New Mexico state all season and you SHOULD profit money!

I was thinking of doing a $50 parlay with WKU,EMU,NM and NM St all LOSING against the spread week 1....

i wouldnt parlay...there is a reason the payouts are so high...i would say bet AGAINST all for and you should at worst split...probably 3 for 4 tho which aint damn bad...

You're doing things the right way. 

I do some of the same things you do.  Although if I do happen to throw something out.  I do recheck the lines later on in the week and make sure I didn't miss anything.  Honestly, have won or made the most money when I do this.  Some of my biggest bets have been from this method.  I do seem to sometimes get enamored with one game.  Then when I go back I seem to find something I over looked.  Just a thought.

My methods would take me to long to type.

if you have the TIME to stay ahead....the BEST strategy.....is to eliminate those same games by SUNDAY at 6:00pm or so.......(just before the later NFL games are over).......at that point have a number you like for next week's games.......and FUCKIN'  hammer those EARLY numbers ......

    * main reason why I don't hang around too much in- season......guys are still looking for angles thursday......friday.........WTF?......shit man you're 1-2 weeks behind.......

I try to discuss the following weeks games 1st part of week ? .......get little response....
by the end of week at the LATEST......you should have the following week DONE......(mostly)

That way you can sit and enjoy the games on Sat (kinda)......> best to take notes as you go.....

MUST.....get your hungover /fat ass up on Sunday EARLY.....go thru boxscores.......figure out "what REALLY happened"....... have those games you like......along with the numbers you like.....ready to go......so around 6:00pm......you are perched over your computer.........like a fuckin' COBRA......ready to strike  ........!

In my opinion-

First find out a teams stability number (Coaching, QB, returning starters) this gives a good idea how stable these teams are comming in, but stability does not always win games, power wins.

Second find a teams power rating, specifically looking position to position.

I bet slow the first four wks of the season, unless teams are playing tough games, and not cup cakes.  After the fourth game I try to look at box scores as bookieassassin mentioned above and figure out what really happened on the field, mainly I look at turnovers, field position, and 3rd down conversions, wich teams controlled the clock well and controlled the field position in terms of how many yrds gained vrs points scored and yrds allowed vrs points allowed.  After wk four I have a much better idea of which UD's have value and which small fav's have value.  You will notice I normally only take UD's and small Fav's, just my thing, ive not had a good record on large fav's.  I stay away from most all sucker bets, except the ocassional bullet proof teaser.  Oh and most importantly, I never bet more than I can afford to lose.  I find lines I feel I have a proven edge and I bet it, and thats the only time I bet.

gl all, I look forward to this season. 

Topperchris just rise to the occasion and don't parlay but bet against certain teams.....See Jdnmoney's list 

SJSU may be........................              ?

as often happens around here - bookie has already almost stated my exact thoughts 

example for week 2 (sept 11 games)

Sun-Mon Aug 29-30 - review matchups keeping in mind what the projected line will be, using accurate third party line based ratings and feel for what oddsmaker would adjust beyond that, eliminate 2/3 of the games where no advantage exists against that projected line or where matchup has conflicting angles or no feel for the matchup

Tues-Fri (Aug 31-Sept 3) - focusing on the remaining 10-15 games where potential angle might exist if line is fair....review matchup in further detail - how teams matchup, trends, injury reports, situation, etc, further narrowing down to 5-10 games (or whatever comfortable with)

Sat-Sun (4th-5th) - watch week 1 games Sat keeping particular eye on any week 2 teams you might be involved with, Sun morning review Sat results in detail and check injury reports for any new injuries or status updates....re-evaluate results from earlier week analysis to see if anything has changed in regards to team or projected line, for example if Wisky beats UNLV 20-13 can anticipate a lower number the following week against SJ St or if win 52-7 then line will be more than previously projected, evaluate which of the 5-10 are still in play or if any new ones as result of previous week results...then just wait for Sun night lines unless specifically waiting on questionable key injury there's no reason to pass up a good number (other than being unprepared or lack of confidence)...of course key is you have to actually have the better of the number more often than not, generally a good indicator is whether other early money is with you and line actually moves...eventually you become part of the sharp money rather than just dealing with the leftovers after line has already been 'corrected'

the only other reason to intentionally wait (besides pending key injury) is if you're actually anticipating going opposite side of early money or if anticipating late public money will drive number in your direction later in the week...whatever it takes to get the best number possible for whatever team your're interested in

BOL TO ALL!!!

STAYING ON TOP OF ALL SCORES, STATS AS ALREADY MENTIONED. LOOKING AT LEAST 2WEEKS AHEAD IS ALSO KEY IMO. THERE ARE SO MANY GAMES IT CAN BE VERY OVERWHELMING, I BREAK DOWN THE GAMES IN TIMES STARTED 12PM,3-4PM,ETC. I LOOK FOR WAY OFF LINES IN NON TELEVISED GAMES AND DOGS AT HOME BARKING!!

Exactly.

WKU went 4-0 ATS last 4 games of 2009...

Just sayin'...

Money management and good handicapping services.  College Football Gambling That is if you are looking to make money.  If you are just looking for fun, that will only last you a month or two of betting on whomever you want.

excellent posts by bookieassassin and nostradamus

I don't think there is a best way to 'cap games.  Each 'capper has his own method and tries to find what works for him.  I employ different methods for early-season games (weeks 1-4) and the rest of the season.  Relying as I do on game statistics (as of week 5) as part of my 'capping for the following week's schedule makes it impossible with this method to 'cap beyond the coming week's games.  If the 'capper can be ready for the following week's games when the lines are released on Sunday evening, more power to him, because it gives him one more edge.  Reviewing game summaries and stats is helpful--in my case, when it comes to adjusting power ratings--because final scores don't always tell the whole story.  I'm primarily a fundamental 'capper but situational and technical 'capping also have their place.

As for cfgadmin's post, good money management is essential to staying in the black/maximizing profits (or minimizing losses) but good handicapping services are not.  On the home page of "College Football Gambling," the reader is told in one section, "Do not handicap you own games...You really need a dependable college football handicapping service if you are serious about making money in the long term. You are better off having the experts pick the games for you..."  WTF???  Gee, I'm serious about making money in the long run, but I don't need a handicapping service, dependable or otherwise.  If you don't have the TIME to 'cap your own games, crunch the numbers and do the research, then a reputable service may be a good option.  However, CFG's assertion as stated should be an insult to anyone who does 'cap their own games and has found a method that works.  Only the sorriest, most ignorant and gullible fool would fall for a sales pitch like that.