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Better defense bowl season trend

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Posted: #176

Lets go TCU!!! Patterson had to coach em up at halftime!!!! 

 
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Posted: #177

Quote Originally Posted by EusebioPhilly:

This system doesn’t take into account the stupidity of Hill. Killing meGood luck fellas

Hit the nail on the head there 

 
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Posted: #178

TCU!!!! Let’s go!! 

 
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Posted: #179

an_wooBOOM!!! Right back in this Bi$H!!’

 
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Posted: #180
I'm going to continue with 1 unit instead of 3 from here on out, only because of conflicting with totals that are going over.
 
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Posted: #181

System is fading, just like the 'under' thread that everyone was so hyped about.  See the writing on the wall...these things don't last.  Play the %'s.

 
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Posted: #182
1-3 day but still hitting 77% so I'd say that's pretty solid. Only a few more days left so I'm following the trend until the New Years Day games. 

bad day yesterday, Ill be looking at the numbers to see if I can see a trend with the games that lost. 1-3
still rocking 77%

Plays for tomorrow

Wake-3
NC State -7
Utah St. -4
Northwestern -8
Ohio State -8

Leggo Chalk! lol

ATS 20-6(19-5 for single digit spreads)
SU 20-6 (19-5 straight up for single digit spreads)
9 straight up dog wins
Also 25-1 on winning team covering the spread


 
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Posted: #183
 
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Posted: #184
Crap I jumped on Kentucky earlier. Good luck on the rest. I got +8
 
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Posted: #185
All favorites today. 
 
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Posted: #186
Health
 
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Posted: #187

Wait doesnt Texas A&M have a better defense?

 
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Posted: #188
Some regression was due just because it was hitting so high, but its still hitting well into the 70's so no one should be complaining....unless you jumped on last night lol. 

This system typically averages out in the mid to high 50%s the last 3 years if my memory serves me correctly. Thanks for the work of posting the system picks on here for everyone. Hope everyone jumped on early and took advantage of the insane run through the early bowls!! Lets hope it continues
 
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Posted: #189
Whoops, I just went back and looked and using Saragin rankings this system went 24-15 (61.5%!) last year!! 

If this system even goes 7-7 through the remaining 14 games it still going to hit 68%. My favorite college football system. Using the saragin stats, there are still two games that come up as "big" plays, which im excited about. One of them is a playoff game!!! Lets Go!!!!!
 
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Posted: #190
Quote Originally Posted by goodybags:

Whoops, I just went back and looked and using Saragin rankings this system went 24-15 (61.5%!) last year!! 

If this system even goes 7-7 through the remaining 14 games it still going to hit 68%. My favorite college football system. Using the saragin stats, there are still two games that come up as "big" plays, which im excited about. One of them is a playoff game!!! Lets Go!!!!!

I meant to say one of them is a New Years day game not playoff game sorry! Sorry for all the posts in a row but wanted to correct myself
 
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Posted: #191
I just looked at the Sagarin ratings and so far if you went by the teams he lists as the Sagarin difference they have went 18 and 6 ats  today that is all 5 favorites you all might want to consider adding this as another filter to make your picks
 
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Posted: #192

You will start to believe me after today.

 
Legend
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Posted: #193
Quote Originally Posted by Nesby:

You will start to believe me after today.

Then bet the other way and worry about YOUR bets.

Otherwise, who cares! 
Histrionic personality disorder. It's sad
 
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Posted: #194
A few nuances and yesterday is very understandable.

1) Navy-UVA.  Extreme weather plus being a home game for Navy played into their hands.  Otherwise their ratings were pretty close to even.

2) Va-Tech and OkSt.  While VT had the superior D,  OKST had the superior Offense, #2 vs #51.  Even then, VT had a good shot at covering on the last drive.  But taking Offensive numbers into account, this was a coin flip.

3). TCU farted around with trick plays and stuff they don’t normally do in regular games.  The system can’t account for that.  Missed the push by 1 point despite wasting the first quarter getting cute.

4) MSU, no surprises.

So going forward, I’m also looking at the Offensive ranks for large deltas and considering if the coach has a habit of going high risk in Bowl season.
 
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Posted: #195

damn another lost

 
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Posted: #196
it lost for me as well but was a push according to his post always buy that half point or get that line grr sucks!
 
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Posted: #197

Quote Originally Posted by Nesby:

You will start to believe me after today.

I think you might be right. 2-5 the last 7. It is starting to regress.

 
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Posted: #198
Quote Originally Posted by AznBall3r:

I think you might be right. 2-5 the last 7. It is starting to regress.


How do you get 2-5 in his last 7 when he was 3-2 today?? 

Things i believe still look good if you actually watched these games today. NW dominated the entire game could/should have easily covered without the ridiculous decisions by their HC and Utah loses in OT after fumbling going in on the 1yrd line and missing 4 fg. 

Keep up the good work man
 
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Posted: #199
you have to take into account more than just the defense when it comes to the side number.. you just scout, prep and cap the games including the defense just like everything else.. you can't just win by blindly laying the points based solely on one single position group of all the ones involved in a single football game...
 
 
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Posted: #200
Quote Originally Posted by jwheels86:

you have to take into account more than just the defense when it comes to the side number.. you just scout, prep and cap the games including the defense just like everything else.. you can't just win by blindly laying the points based solely on one single position group of all the ones involved in a single football game...
Lol, I'd gladly put up what I've won this year on Bowls playing this angle then what you have won with your angle.
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