BOWL GUIDE 2021-22

small play

 UCF / Fla 1H under 28'

    *  at BM

BOL BA I like it.

Hey bookie.  North Texas ml today?

MERRY CHRISTMAS / HAPPY HOLIDAYS boys ..............

I'll be around for Ga St / BSU game tomorrow .... maybe some props /Q / in-game bets

so far

    * will play Kan St at 3 small / then add when I get a feel if KSU QB will play (think he will)

one unit

Irish -1

OU -3

S Caro +10'

E Michigan +10 L

Ole Miss +2/ML

Virginia -1'

Vols -3/4

Sparty +5/-2

Ga St -3/5

smaller

E Caro +3'

Wazzu +3/ML

Kentucky +3/ML

Utah +7

Hogs +4/ ML

UTEP +14 W

W Mich +6  ha

Terps +1'

UTSA -2' L

CCaro 3Q -4' L

Oreg St -6' L

Tulsa/ODU over 54 L

UCF +7 W

Kent St TT over 27' W

SDSU 1H -1 W

UCF / Fla 1H under 28' W

leans

KANSAS ST    Rutgers +7' 1H (or 1Q)    Hou / Aub 1H under    Minny    Wisky    Miss St ?    Clemson ????    C Mich ??    Cinn 1H ?

Thoughts on the Aub/Hou 1st H U?

You jump the Iowa St ship after Breese did?

How So Car gonna score? They were anemic before....

BA

Thoughts on ECU? Seems BC will have the advantage on both lines, but ECU finds a way to rise up.

I'm pretty sure Leach will unleash the fury on TT given the opportunity. TT defense is crap, and they will have 3rd string qb and down their top WR....have a feeling it will get ugly and Leach will pour gas on the fire 

@TRAIN69

 Techs defenses got a tiny bit better last couple games but they will get shredded I would imagine 

How could anyone not score on UNC even South Carolina? 

W. Michigan +6  Nice intuition BA  Top Shelf. Great call on Ga St, and I’m behind you on your SEC large plays and also the Gold Domers Fighting Irish…where I’ll meet Winners1941 for a celebratory!  

I’m personally intrigued by the Penn St. v Arkansas matchup and it will absolutely break all tradition if Ohio St doesn’t show up for the Grandaddy of them all! Utah is as feisty as they come, but pound for pound, all the way down to and especially, the coaching level. It’s Bucks all the way…I still see them as a Top 4 team that could have been a tough out in the playoffs.  No one travels like Ohio St, potentially a home game in Pasadena.  Very curious what your thoughts are, because you’re the best in the business!! 

GL everybody…Bookie Assassin is about to catch fire. 

Still recommend to take W Mich at current line or too high at this point

back later.......

Nevada / WM - small bet at WM -6'/7 likely fine ....probably best thing to do is wait for an in-game/2H play.

     >> WM should slaughter these boys, but who TF knows who might not show up for THEM ..... maybe Nevada scores 1st, you might get 3 or so .....WM 2H should work regardless / IF Nevada can compete, it will be EARLY - they won't simply POOF! > show up 2H

BA & Others:

with most of Nevada's Offense and coaches opting out or gone, doesn't the under seem enticing today?  Did they lose many Defensive side players?

GL

Thanks for all the info BA!

thx BA.  Stayed away, and just rode WMU -7. 

@bookieassassin

 kadjing $$$$ thank you B.A. !!! yes SIR! another winner! outstanding, DIRECTIVE! thank you!  W. MICH

adding small ......

Hou/Aub 1H under 26 (at BM)

Mississippi State -355 / Minny -180

    * $100 > $99

one unit

Air Force +1/ML

UH / UA - game total fine, I prefer 1H if it makes sense ..... last game of the year we often see a late scoring rush - when the losing team just says F it .... I see a lower scoring 1H / Houston stays close > (maybe) Auburn pulls away 2H

Think Minny and Leach win SU - both (should) cover really ......I'll be looking for an in-game play on Miss St

Air Force doesn't really fit my profile for a strong play in bowls ..... just think it makes a lot of sense

    >> AF is no doubt the team - THAT WANTS THIS W MORE, will be fired up like crazy to play the rare game vs P5 team (beat Col and Wazzu in 2019) .... Cards goal is " to not finish on a sour note" (meaning Kentucky 52-21 home beatdown). AF missed bowls in 2017/18/20, so should play their azz off here.

I don't see Louisville as a tough team, especially on the road (great bully) .....with the discipline / heart for 4Q here......WAY too many distractions / BS going on these days. Plus they lost 5 of last 8 games SU, with zero wins vs winning teams . The ACC has lost 11 bowls in a row, covering 3.

      $   AF has covered 9/12 bowls ...... service academies are usually a great bowl bet (covering 37/51) ......and if a 65+% winner (AF is) - SA have covered 24/28 !.... Cards are explosive, and AF has given up big plays - but seems to me a game that AF can control / wear down UL D - keep their O off the field......

Still leaning Rutgers 1st H? Can't really wrap my head around how they compete here....went a month between practices....secondary not gonna be able to hold up for long against Hartman and the pace....Can Rutgers put up 24-27, which in theory is what they will need to cover assuming WF puts up the usual 38+

BA

Utes / Ohio St - Bucks will continue to have opt-outs ..... one team REALLY wants to win / the other will see if they can 'flip the switch' when it's time to play.....maybe they can - but for me it's Utah or nothing

Hogs should win I would think buddy - I'll bump them up maybe, or play in-game .....haven't checked on opt-out crap lately tho

SC / UNC - I bet the storyline in bowls, not the match-up mostly.......BUT the SL is changing unfortunately

  >> from an 'all in' SEC team on the rise ----- getting 10 points ----- vs a disinterested ACC team ....to SCaro being the one with players out / N Caro QB in his final game (thought that basterd might pass ha)

I'll let it go for now - wait for the game to start ..... see how their D controls big Sam....if SC is up at the half, I might play NC 2H. Still like getting 10+, but wouldn't make that bet now don't think (maybe small)

No way I play WF - maybe in-game / 2H only ...... think about it, getting ready to play an SEC team (I think they beat 'em - a program changing W) .....focused, fired up like crazy .... now stinking RUTGERS? Their preparation has gotta be half-azz.

    >> they stink sure, but will play out of their freaking minds for awhile .... how long is the question. 2H should belong to WF either way. My feel for Rutgers is weak - spent too long looking at the Michigan game maybe.....

I'll be looking for a play on Central Michigan for sure (love that team).......line should be 7'/8 or so

Think Wazzu has simply gone thru way too much BS to be focused here .... liked them vs Miami, but now the Chips ffs ??

       >> many of their assistants are coaching here with no job for next year / changing offenses

Meanwhile .... CMU is tough on the road , and can RUN ...... Lew Nichols is nation's leading rusher at 143 yds/g. QB makes few mistakes - road tested at LSU and Mizzou. Moving way up from that crap Zona Bowl to El Paso ($300K to 4.5M / lower for them prolly).

They're staying in Tucson - busing it to EP the day before. Initial reports said THAT MORNING / 11am kick) which had me on high alert (300 miles) - but wrong. Problem with a CMU play is that their PASS D stinks / rush D is solid ..........so over a thought for sure.