BOWL GUIDE 2021-22

I'll have a LOT more later - usually less senile for bowl season

  >> last 6 yrs 128-73

      * one unit  54-20

      * smaller   74-53

one unit or more

Irish -1

OU -3

S Caro +10'

E Michigan +10

smaller

Ga St -3 (will bump / line is strange - should be 8' at least)

E Caro +3' - might bump / will play ML

Sparty +5

Wazzu +3 / ML

Kentucky +3/ML

Utah +7 (might bump)

Hogs +4 / ML

leans/waiting (will change often)

N Illinois (but bad bowl team historically)

WKU - but App St GREAT bowl team

UTEP

Kent St - Wyoming solid in bowls tho (3-0 under HC)

Army - line drops?

UCF ?

Hawaii

Miss St - think the Pirate wants to win this one haha

Terps ??

Vols?

Wake ??

Kan St ???

NTX ?

Christmas is here….best day of the year, BA’s Bowl picks!! 
GL this season…make it happen!  

you too Winners1941! 

For now :

$ pick the winner of the game - they usually cover - bet dogs (esp. small) on the ML too

$ step 1 is to determine the MINDSET of the team

     *** is THIS where they wanted to be, when the season began?

     * does the HC care about bowls / prepare his team well?

     * recent bowl history? big W last year, or embarrassed?

     ** has their 'story' been written, or is their more work to be done?

$  is their HC, and or KEY players likely to leave ?

QUALITY PRACTICE TIME IS MOST IMPORTANT > YOU PLAY LIKE YOU PRACTICE

     *** forget MOTIVATION, you don't understand what motivates these guys

            >> are they FOCUSED on the bowl, or are there major distractions/disruptions?

dammit Wolfe... it's 3:30AM man - you'll wake up our pal winners .............

The answer to your question .......

"well what about OU and the Irish"?

I think OU had an early exit after Baylor loss (really) - with Big Bob Stoops coaching them here - I think they rally and finish strong. Can't see the Ducks, with the late humiliation, getting ready for this one .... complete with coach leaving?? NFL DE should opt out ?

Irish should kick Okie State's azz - Pokes off TERRIBLE LATE and DUMB LOSS / tough to prepare for this one.... Irish rally around new HC....

adding smaller

Vols -1

Boiler stars opt out ? Last time here they lost by 50 to Auburn... nice crowd edge for Vols

@bookieassassin

 i recall this game. i took the purdue team total over. jim irsay flew in a kid with cancer for this game and everyone thought malzahn would have auburn in a letdown spot, and purdue would rock auburn for the boy with cancer. this game was BRUTAL!!

How can you pick these Bowl games without knowing which players are opting out of playing? 

For instance Michigan State could be without Kenneth Walker which would substantially hurt their chances. 

It is in the best interest of a lot of these top players to not play.

damned fine record. and as i recall, you're even better in-game during the bowl season.

something to consider this year vs other years:

many of these teams opted out of bowl games last year--boise, mich st, minn, l'ville, utah, penn st, sdsu, and probably others.  so they may be enthused about going to an otherwise lesser game/location this year.

added / smaller

UTEP +14

W Michigan +6 / ML

UTakEmPoints - extra small .... Fresno HC and QB gone - now playing stinkin' UTEP in a total crap bowl?

    >> Miners wore down a bit, but D and QB not that bad .....1H maybe better......will definitely watch for signs of Fresno pulling away late ..... maybe hedge in-game

W Michigan - type of game they get up for (talented team - beat PITT away)... looks like NEvada HC is leaving - QB might opt out .....nice home edge for WM.... might bump this one up

frauditor17 - good man ......

yep no doubt should be considered .... 1st thing I look at is what happened last year

    >> Boise and BC had their game cancelled in 2018 (loved BC there) - then got destroyed in 2019 - missed 2020

Like EC, and considering CM - but should maybe back off considering above .......

Mr. BA - I’m an old guy who’s watched college football since i was 5…and one of my top 5 rivalries every year is Army/Navy. Simply nothing like it. My Grandfather was a West Point Grad 1930’s, and he would wager me every year and take Navy!! Hahahaha.  He won more than I did (the wager was often a hand written card sent in the mail to the winner) and it also made me a fan of the Black Knights at the same time.  
You can ask Winners1941, he will agree this game means a lot.  So I’m wondering which way the wind blows this year in your opinion?  I lean Navy +7.5 (small) points being at a premium, but honestly I only know a handful of players.  
Sorry to hit ya up late….im on HST living Aloha time.  

Long Live College Football

Wolfe - Winners is mad at me for last week's Iowa and Duck picks -so prolly not speaking for awhile ha ...............

I'll check it out - need to look into that one and FCS action ...... love the game, esp. when snowing - but seldom bet it for some reason - game has gone UNDER like 15 straight times or so

     >> off the top of my pumpkin head - the loser of last years game and/or dog starts strong ..... better team ( here Army) takes over late and usually wins SU and covers ?? ..... but will look further ..........

adding one unit +

Ole Miss +2/ML

 confusion here is the idea the B12 can compete vs SEC ..... only if SEC is not focused (Georgia/Bama)

Here Bears peaked vs Okie St - Rebels not finished - 

Hey BA, looking at S Carolina myself. Where you getting + 10? I'm seeing +7/+7.5

opener

missed 11'

Mel sayin Mich State not expecting the opt outs .. maybe / maybe not .. But Whipple resigning and Kenny P is off to do Heisman stuff as almost sure thing runner up .. party time if there ever was one .. suppose he could play but doubt he's getting whoever the new playcaller is up to speed this week lol .. idk .. seems like really likely case of unfinished business 10-2 monster rise but known for long enough now they'd miss the conf champ game vs Pitt whose pretty much finished all the business they coulda dreamed of pressn ..