BOWL GUIDE 2021-22

Great stuff Ba ...like norm ...

I really like Army ML over Mo 

Independents are 5-0 in this game ... last time Army played in this Bowl .... 2018

Won 70-14 vs a better Houston team than this Mizzou team ....

Not fooled by teams having weeks to prepare for the option .... if suck at Run Defense .... you can have 6 months before the game

and still look like crap ..............Mizzou ranks # 115 ...out of 130 Teams in Def Yards Per Rush .... 5.3 Ypr

Thoughts ?

@bookieassassin

@bookie thanks for putting this together as always - you have any lean or play on Army / Navy game? I don’t think I saw one in thread 

army / navy - don't see much, other than the obvious - dog and under as always.....

GTTH I might tease Navy with the under - or over maybe - either probably work

@bookieassassin

 I always like your SECOND THOUGHT PROCESS, anyway! small, but I am now in! thank you B.A.  +7

Yep Navy +7.5..meet you boys at the payout cashier. GL Winners! A+ 

Talk to me about UAB +7... line dropping.. articles galore BYU not thrilled with bowl placement.. should be somewhat home game for UAB (6 hours drive).  

BA thanks for all you do 

Congrats on the fabulous season.  Any current thoughts on UGA ? Thank you.

@Upside

 Army is Brutal ...regardless of how bad Mo is vs the run ..... now on the fence here

@wizeguy57

 Research..there's info out there,,and in here to find out b4 gm time

@TRAIN69

Yeah saw the total was dropping idk man ... put some notes on this one in my thread, stuff i'd be thinking about for playing this total are: ... conf only run D >> mizzzooo giving up 5.5/carry ... Adjust out thier sacks and TFL's for just the average positive run ... 7/carry .. I get its the SEC but thats bottom 10 sitting next to UVA, Wake, Buff, TCU, FIU, Duke .. pretty bad company and Army going on 4th very tough to stop a drive .. nobody had a bad day rushing vs tigers even BC at the start of the year 1st gm w backup QB trucked them all day long  ..  also real open QB comp for whose starting QB for tigers ..  and can't imagine coach is gunna overwork their great RB to win this one unless maybe close game but i'd say he's lucky Badie is even playing .. not much behind him = good for tot under maybe .. QB try out = def a few playing and drink will push the offense for a full 60, will def try to drop a totally meaningless TD with the 3rd string QB w 30 seconds left .. Mizz middle of the pack in going on 4th but could see Army inspiring them to try it? .. Liberty one of the lowest 'go' rates and went for it 7 times.. set Army up numerous times at the 50 .. 4th and longer look for Mizz kicker.. a super ace ..  

Army / Navy combined 10-3 SU/ATS since 2009 .. Army 4-0SU/3-1ATS (3-1 total overs) ..  Navy was blown out bad by ASU / SDSU in the early 2010's outmatched in those games ... what does losing vs Navy and short 10 day turnaround to armed service bowl mean? .. idk but win or lose these two haven't been duds in their bowl games .. not messin with totals unless it really drops and might look at TT's .. implied now ~31/26 give or take a hook .. Be great to hit Army TTO at 30or less.. already playing -3 might grab again if it drops more .. - Good luck .. 

@TRAIN69

BA.....

Notre Dame and OU defensive opt out concern you at all? Its usually QBs, Wrs and RBs that change stuff....but these 2 defenses will be missing pieces....I think I read OU will be down 2 linemen and 2 LBs.....

@TRAIN69

 I’m curious the same thing…surprised ND line didn’t wiggle much. I’m thinking next man up in the N.Dame game, not sure on OU’s depth yet.  I wonder what BA’s thoughts are. 

Solid record and stats as always BA. Great stuff and appreciate the insight. 

they've been without Kyle Hamilton for 5 games i think the other safeties are performing well .. not sure if other major outs on D? .. I see only 3 CB's playing this year thumbing thru stats, i think Henderson is a backup but they play him at safety .. wouldn't want to see anyone else out on D esp in the secondary ..  

.. Kyren has been THEE legit weapon since start of last year bustin those plays vs Duke in the opener .. that one hurts but Tyree and Diggs both did okay as backups but yeah super limited .. 

Oklahoma way more concerning I see Bonitto, Asamoah and Winfrey out .. 3 best .. flip side got Haselwood and Stogner out.. def a situation we might see some other stars say F it and duck out .. maybe the best news is w rattler gone count on Caleb to play all game? .. idk he's had plenty of struggles with the HC/OC/Playcaller on the sidelines ... never thought Sooners were all that good and final 3 games confirmed that plus now the turmoil .. if Oregon surprises us and shows up ready to run the ball at these guys and idk think it could be a long day .. think the move is just wait for in game and see what it looks like .. 

Hey Bookie and All:

just wanted to say good luck to you all on Bowl Season.

I do NOT wager Bowl Season except the Final Four and Title. Trying to figure out coaching changes, sitting out players, motivation is a LOT to guess on. I move onto the NFL til February.

That being said, I think Alabama +120 to win it all seems like a good shot. Should beat Cincinnati, and then doesn’t have to play a dual threat QB. $1K on Bama to win! 

Bookie, Train, Bridge, etc...thank you for all the write ups and insight. Merry Christmas to you and your families! God Bless everyone. 

added a couple ......

    >> gonna wait and see what Tennessee line does, before I add to play

one unit

Irish -1

OU -3

S Caro +10'

E Michigan +10

Ole Miss +2/ML

Virginia -1'

Vols -3/4'?

smaller

Ga St -3

E Caro +3'

Sparty +5

Wazzu +3

Kentucky +3/ML

Utah +7

Hogs +4/ ML

UTEP +14

W Mich +6

Terps +1'

UTSA -2'

leans    Flashes    Army    UCF    Miss St    IOWA ST    Wake    C Michigan?    CINN    NTX?

only opt out I was 'worried' about was Hendon Hooker .... tho I would PREFER that Irish RB play ha

In general you don't wanna make any plays right now - best to wait and see who shows up to practice..... OR, unless confident you can guess / take advantage of current line value.

     eg. I like the Cavs, in Bronco's last game vs SMU....HC / assistants gone... best WR's opt out.

           >> I'm *guessing* that rSoph QB Armstrong returns for next year, (with the announcement of Clemson OC as HC) and plays here. If he doesn't,  I'll hedge in-game if things don't look so good.

Back later ......................

Was looking more at this as well.

Anyone have any comment to add on this?

@bookieassassin

 needyou to talk to me about michigan state moneyline!!!I am locked in @ -130/100 $ line! need your thoughts B.A. or I can buy out now @ same price. Please advise me, thank you