Bowl Picks 2022-23

Here are my 2 Friday plays. I'm leaving for Vegas in 5 hours so once I'm there I'll know exactly what lines I'm getting. When I return this afternoon I will post the other 16 sides, plus 5 Dog MLs. All side bets are 1 unit, all Dog MLs are 1/2 unit.

Miami (OH) +10.5? 

Miami (OH) ML +300? 

Troy +1.5? 

Ok let’s go 

@gratefulbets

Here are the plays that I made today at MGM.    These are plays within my system but with key player(s) that are questionable, so no play: 

Miami (OH) +10.5 -110                                      BYU +5.5, LA Laf +6.5, Mem -7, CC +9.5, TX Tc +4, MN -7, IA +2.5, 

Miami (OH) ML +310

Troy +2.5 -105

Troy +120

Fla +10 -110

WA St +4 -110

WA St +150

Rice +6.5 -110

Boise -10.5 -110

E MI +4.5 -110

E MI +150

W KY +4.5 -110

W KY +150

Bay -5.5 -110

SD St -7 -110

N MX St +3 -105

N MX St +135

AR -3 -110

Pitt +6.5 -110

ND -2.5 -110

OH St +6.5 -105

The formatting above did not work as expected so here is what I meant

Fantastic we were both on the first 2 plays that both won. Thank you for posting and I will look at all of your remaining plays and possibly consider mine, Although I am committed for the first 11 games. Glad we both saw things the same and won both plays today. 

Updates on some of my picks. I found a site that offers more in-depth info on team injuries, transfer portals, and coaching changes.

Fla is a No Play, they have too many personnel issues.

Also, I found 2 mistakes with 2 of my plays:

The Rice/USM game should be USM -6.5

The ND/S Car game should be No Play

GL @gratefulbets 

back been awhile mah man

Happy Holidays & Mele Kalikimaka 

Washington St. has 3 of their 4 top WR's out so WA ST. NO PLAY

New list of plays;

Miami (OH) -10.5 -110 W

Miami (OH) ML +310 L

Troy +2.5 -105 W

Troy +120 W

USM -6.5 -110

Boise -10.5 -110

E MI +4.5 -110

E MI +150

W KY +4.5 -110

W KY +150

Bay -5.5 -110

SD St -7 -110

N MX St +3 -105

N MX St +135

AR -3 -110

Pitt +6.5 -110

OH St +6.5 -105

@gratefulbets

To understand your play selections, are you buying out on some plays? Because your first few posts you indicated that you made plays yesterday at MGM, now you are stating some are different sides or no plays?

@darren3472

 Yes, I can't change my bets unless I fly back to LV at some point, but the RICE play and Florida play will have to stand for today.

Unfortunately, I'd prefer that the system wins and not the ill placed bets. All of my bets are $200 on sides, $100 on ML dogs, so not too much to worry about. 

@dibcompany

 https://www.actionnetwork.com/ncaaf/2022-college-football-postseason-roster-updates-bowl-game-opt-outs-transfer-portal-player-injuries-more

with you everywhere but Boise. Everyone in love with Boise this year so you have good company. I just think Boise's offense is too big of an unknown each week. 

My system is not 100% correct, it doesn't "think" so your thinking may be correct. I'm just following the "numbers" and trying to improve the overall system every year. 

The only thinking that I need to do for the system is adjust for player and coaching personnel issues. 

GL

 Adding OK St. +3

@gratefulbets

 Ugh well fck me running…too busy yesterday getting ready to host a family party and missed this. Got my ass reamed with UF and WSU…I guess I better keep a close “check back” with you to look for cancellations… I was gonna follow your system exclusively. 
GL to us the rest of the way 

@doogie43

 Yeah, I too lost some bets but at least the system is still winning, so far. The Rice/USM play was just a mistake on my part. The Fla and WA plays are reminders that every team needs to be vetted for player participation, something everyone should do.   

List of plays:

Miami (OH) -10.5 -110 W

Miami (OH) ML +310 L

Troy +2.5 -105 W

Troy +120 W

USM -6.5 -110 W

Boise -10.5 -110 L

E MI +4.5 -110 W

E MI +150 W

W KY +4.5 -110

W KY +150

Bay -5.5 -110

SD St -7 -110

N MX St +3 -105

N MX St +135

OK St. +3

AR -3 -110

Pitt +6.5 -110

OH St +6.5 -105

The Hilltoppers are without more than a dozen players!!

@GiantFan18

 Probably a good reason to bet WK.