Bowl Picks 2022-23

@sportschat

 Thanks for the props but last year I went 22-5 but this year at 12-6, so far, I've spent a ton more time researching and analyzing because of all the "cop-outs and portal potty" players. If things don't improve it will be disappointing. But figuring it out is half the fun and cashing tickets is the other half.

GL

It is getting to the point where so many players are missing it is absurd. The Tenn vs. Clemson game is a great upcoming example. You are really doing great and making adjustments at the right times. Not to make an excuse as we all win and lose games. I truly believe that if Minnesota did not sit Ibrahim in the 2nd half Minn would have covered. Looking at today's card. It is a complete mess. Best of luck today.

it is so annoying with all the guys sitting out. They get this far and stop when this was the objective all season 

Adding TN +4

You are a brave person. I went back and forth on this game and could not find an answer. No play for me. I hope you win.

great call on the Vols

Yeah, it took me some time until I saw the light. Researching QB backup Milton I saw that he had played a little in the past 7 games going 7-0, 63% PR, 720 yds with a 218 QB Rating! And TN being a dog it fit my dog system plays, so I had to play it. 

Also, I bet both Pitt and ND in Vegas before I found that many players on both of those teams, including QBs, were out and that the backup QBs didn't appear to be too good. So that was nice surprise. 

ADDING:

Kansas State Wildcats 7.5 -125

TCU Horned Frogs 8 -120

@sportschat

 Cheers, I hope you're doing well.

To date, DOGS are 18 wins ATS, out of 33 games.

Of those 18 wins, 12 are SU. 

ADDING

Kansas State Wildcats +250...half unit

Ohio State Buckeyes +190...half unit

TCU & OSU really came thru, good calls

System DOG plays today:

Illinois Fighting Illini 4 -120

Utah Utes 1.5 -110

16-11 final tally?? Good job!

You're pretty close. I'm surprised that you were able to track all of my plays with so many changes. There's 2 ways to look at these results. Tally all of the original systems plays (28 plays) without regard for players' status, and compare those results to the results of the subjective changes that I posted to the original list of plays, adding and eliminating teams based on players' status. 

1) My original system plays listed in post #7, including the 7 teams that had players possibly missing (28 total system picks):

Dogs ATS: 10-4

Dogs SU: 4-2

Favs: 4-4

Total: 18-10

2) System plays altered based on subjective analysis of players' status:

Dogs ATS: 11-2 (I'm counting IL as a system win!)

Dogs SU: 4-3

Favs: 2-6

Total: 17-11 (16-12 with IL as a loss)

From these results the DOGS are the best system plays: 14-6 or 15-5.

Another System DOG play...TCU Horned Frogs +14½ -120