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Bowl Season - Dec 19 to Dec 30

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Posted: #51
Quote Originally Posted by vorvan:

new mexico now +7,5 pinnacle 

yup  ....congrats to anyone who got down some small potatoes at a higher number

"We move lines and change lives. Forever."
 
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Posted: #52
Good luck in bowls Mega, always enjoy reading your analysis!  

 
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Posted: #53
Quote Originally Posted by bk1374:

Good luck in bowls Mega, always enjoy reading your analysis!  


GL to you as well pal !! 
 
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Posted: #54
Surprised u don't have Utah as a play.BYU lost to Mizzou and their coach bailed...Hey man,I don't mean to question your expertise because u have had a Hall of Fame season.I've really enjoyed your thread Mega and u are one cool cat.
 
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Posted: #55
Quote Originally Posted by warcameagle56:

Surprised u don't have Utah as a play.BYU lost to Mizzou and their coach bailed...Hey man,I don't mean to question your expertise because u have had a Hall of Fame season.I've really enjoyed your thread Mega and u are one cool cat.


Hey bro  love to hear other opinions bro.....From what I am reading - BYU HC is going out on great terms and they are extra jacked up to get that win #100 and carry the HC off the field....BUT BUT BUT - that does not mean it will happen....Given the way Utah performed down the stretch and their offensive skill guys out across the board - lean slightly to BYU but like we said - best value is in the under and TTs under. GL ! mega
 
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Posted: #56
and keep in mind we do not pretend to be bowl game wizards

pick 1 - clemson - tigers stink barely beat syracuse and could not score 40 in a rainstorm vs ND
pick 2 - south florida - WK QB is like Dan Marino with a better release and who does not wanna bet great qBs ??

 
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Posted: #57

Congratulations on a magnificent regular season Megs.......truly outstanding ....!!

I wasn't kidding when I said I want to be one of your featured cappers at www.megalocks.com when it launches

Megalocks Incorporated - "Murdering bookies world wide since 2003"

Have a great bowl season bud 

 
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Posted: #58
Quote Originally Posted by Alien-1:

Congratulations on a magnificent regular season Megs.......truly outstanding ....!!

I wasn't kidding when I said I want to be one of your featured cappers at www.megalocks.com when it launches

Megalocks Incorporated - "Murdering bookies world wide since 2003"

Have a great bowl season bud 



thanks buddy !! appreciate it. you have always been a money making machine  I dont know how you do multiple sports well - in fact - we respect anyone that can do that .....We promise to keep you on the short list !
 
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Posted: #59
Acura Burger King Dirty Sanchez Famous Idaho POTATO BOWL

Utah St 6.5 Akron (48)

Megalocks line 8

Sagarin 8

The first thing we looked at in this matchup was the motivation. As you know - it is just a guess. All the players want to win - but it always key to try and grasp who might be a bit more motivated. Well this is Akron's 2nd EVER bowl game and they have yet to win one. Check. They may not win but obviously they will run through a wall trying to win one. Utah St was hoping for a MW championship and we just love what they have done the last couple of years but this cannot be what they had hoped for/ Plus - 5 straight bowl games and 3 straight bowl wins. hash tag YAWN. Edge - Akron.

Here is the problem - our MAC INSIDERS who are so inside they make Chris Mortensen look like he lives on Uranus (insert joke here)....They reminded us that not only is Akron's offense PURE FILTH - but the combined record of the teams they have beat is - get READY Covers Nation............is 20-62  now this may mean nothing - it may mean something - it may mean kinda sorta something - they is just NO WAY we can back a team who's best win is against Buffalo. Maybe La Laf. Color us skeptical.

Yes Akron D is excellent. Not sure how/why Utah St imploded end of year especially on D. Just think this team talent wise is heads and shoulders above Akron - BUT - motivation ?? We increase their chances of covering if Myers starts vs 18 yr senior Keeton.

Summary. No play now. Might take a small taste of the Akron TT under.

mega


 
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Posted: #60
 
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Posted: #61
Quote Originally Posted by lbckhmersk8er:



 
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Posted: #62
I'm trying to apply TT under to NFL. Not working so well. Excited for Bowl games wooT!
 
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Posted: #63
Dang, everyone and their mother is betting WK, tough to take SF in this situation.
 
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Posted: #64
next pick

Marmot Exxon Filthy Dirty Over-Tanned MILF BOCA RATON BOWL 

Temple -1.5

Megalocks line 4

Sagarin pk em 


Not a shocker to long time MEGALOCKS Platinum Gold God Status Members....we like defense. Toledo is a decent team - but we feel for many reasons - including watching 5 games of both teams that Temple is the side we want for this game.

Temple has a pretty good resume. We like to focus on recent form and overall consistency. They won their last 2 games before losing in the conf champ on the road at Houston. Beat Memphis Cincy Penn St. Played well vs Notre Dame. Really have been good all year. Now of course we like to find the motivation and this is always just a a guess but Temple won 6 games last year and got the BOWL SNUB...have not been to a bowl game since 2011. Can also set a school record with 11 wins. Check. HC has not been to a bowl game - this is a big deal. Plus he eats nails for breakfast. Check. Toledo ? Well their HC left. They #shitthebed at the end of the season trying to get to the MAC title game. How can they be jacked up now? Last yr they won a bowl game. Do not see the motivation.

Most importantly - Xs and Os....Temple D is excellent and get a good running team with a non-mobile QB who has a brain fart every 7 plays or so. 55% completions for Ely and 10 int not what you want here. Temple QB Walker makes us nervous at time - but Toledo D has given up 35 32 23 28 35 last 5 games....There will be opportunities to MATRICULATE in the passing game - as long as the WR do not coat their hands in bacon grease again - and plenty of opportunity for the ELUSIVE ONE - Jahad Thomas to stop on a dime and give 4 cents change running the ball and receiving out of the backfield driving Toledo nuts.

Overall get the better team from the better conference who should be motivated if we read the tea leaves properly. Toledo is still in a bit of a shambles after the coaching change. Final note - Toledo has been living off their win over Arkansas - well they were outgained 515-318 ....They beat BG but as we pointed out several times that was a meaningless game to BG.

GL mega
 
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Posted: #65
lbck 

SCC - NFL is so much fun to bet !! ......The key is to watch their rehearsals the day before the game so you know which coach will accidentally forget the rules and make his team not cover

arrgy - the easy solution is to bet WK - their QB is great - GL 

 
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Posted: #66
 
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Posted: #67
Thread Summary

picks

South Florida +3

Temple -1.5


Write-ups can be found here

USF / WK (post 3)
NM / Arizona (11)
App St / Ohio (27)
LT / Ark St (31)
SJ St / Ga St (41)
BYU / Utah (48)
Akron / Utah St (59)
Temple / Toledo (64)


Agree or disagree - hope you can find some good info in there 

 
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Posted: #68
A&m is in a tail spin.  Line has moved nearly 7 points since the opener.  Louisville likes keeping games close And people are pounding the cards now.  What's your take on -4 with the 3rd string qb
 
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Posted: #69
GL my brotha

BTW…Zona is one of the two easiest calls on the board IMO  (Arkansas being the other) 

 
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Posted: #70
Quote Originally Posted by daneblazer:

A&m is in a tail spin.  Line has moved nearly 7 points since the opener.  Louisville likes keeping games close And people are pounding the cards now.  What's your take on -4 with the 3rd string qb

I am not worried as much about the QB as I am about the overall attitude right now of the AM program. At a pick i would play Louisville - right now looks like a pass - GL buddy !!
 
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Posted: #71
Quote Originally Posted by Temple71:

GL my brotha

BTW…Zona is one of the two easiest calls on the board IMO  (Arkansas being the other) 


Arizona lock city USA how can a P12 team not romp? GL !
 
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Posted: #72
Quote Originally Posted by MEGALOCKS:


I am not worried as much about the QB as I am about the overall attitude right now of the AM program. At a pick i would play Louisville - right now looks like a pass - GL buddy !!

Mega 
 
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Posted: #73
 
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Posted: #74
Mega-Love the Temple pic!

I only bet WK twice in my life.

Last year in the WTF was that Bowl.

And Last month in the WTF was that with 5:03 Bowl.

I can't bet their games anymore, if I do a plague of locusts will storm the field and eat the other team.
 
 
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Posted: #75
Quote Originally Posted by arrgy:

Mega-Love the Temple pic!

I only bet WK twice in my life.

Last year in the WTF was that Bowl.

And Last month in the WTF was that with 5:03 Bowl.

I can't bet their games anymore, if I do a plague of locusts will storm the field and eat the other team.


 understood buddy. we all have our teams that kill us no matter what. GL !
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