Yeah, I just couldn't go with Vandy, too bad, missed a beatdown. Made up my mind to go light week 0. And no play on WKU either at the islands. Wonder if they will even offer a spread vs Mich?? 
maybe ten minutes before kickoff.
Huskers hurting for sure, 
curious to see spread vs North Dakota.
@UNIMAN
SP+ pre-ssn has Mich -41 neutral line .. obvi nothing neutral about hawaii going to the bighouse so idk maybe shoulda been -48 ... but that was also last week lol .. I'd have fun w it but I think it depends on the QB's whose in , etc .. harbaugh light em up for sure but kinda mission accomplished if he's up by 45 maybe leaves us hanging puttin rudy's in there in H2 could def see that happen ... maybe check H1.. -28 I'd have fun w it ..
@shakey12381
oh ha yeah thx shakey .. thats interesting where you see that at just google i'll find it?...
.. still good w my BG/UCLA bet though .... what are the stats on 100 degrees and higher .. at some temperature we're gunna get to 100% under winners, trying to figure out what that is .. lol ..
Yeah, I saw something on that too. https://www.actionnetwork.com/ncaaf/college-football-2018-week-2-weather-betting-forecast
See CSU jumped to +31.5 at FD. Had to Google to see if problem at CSU, found nothing. Damn tempted to grab that!
***Be sure to check those weather reports looks like a heatwave comin .. you want yer lock of the MF century team to cover those 4TD's in 95 degree heat idk Q4 rolls around you might be wondering why that up tempo offense is lookin a little sluggish .. A few might also look a little drowsy next week when you expect them lock'd n loaded droppin degen moneybags on you again .. I'll give ya a hint on one of those teams .. they joined my (very very non exclusive) 10 Point Bridge Club today!!! .. ***
Think we're getting the right movement on almost everyone C.Mich line and TCU/Colo and Florida/Utah being the oddball decenters for now anyway .. Utes/Gators finally coming back, 51 now .. aww no hurricane? aww..... lol .. Good luck!!!
BRIDGE ROUNDUP
BRIDGE PLAYS:
W.VA @ PITT -7
TULSA -1 @ WYOMING
W.KENTUCKY -11.5 @ HAWAII
UTAH @ FLORIDA OVER 52.5
SMALLER:
BUFFALO @ MARLYLAND -20.5
VA.TECH @ OLD DOM +8.5
UL-MONROE +38.5 @ TEXAS
CO.STATE +30 @ MICHIGAN
W.KENTUCKY -7.5 @ HAWAII
C.MICHIGAN +19 @ OK.STATE
TEXAS STATE +10 @ NEVADA - BOBs 10 Point Bridge Club, BOOM!
C.MICH @ OK.ST UNDER 59.5
L'VILLE @ CUSE UNDER 59.5
APP STATE @ UNC UNDER 57
TCU @ COLORADO UNDER 55
HOUSTON @ UTSA UNDER 61.5
B.GREEN @ UCLA UNDER 57.5
SMALLER
COLO STATE +31 @ MICHIGAN
2nd smaller bet on this one but line popped to 31 and might even pop more if it gets degenerated further .. but funny feeling it drops back to 28ish where it came from .. im just gunna take a stab at it here again and we'll see. Michigan went I believe 11-2 ATS or something insane LY and Harbaugh's penchant for running it up at home in these non-cons is pretty well known . No doubt Rams are going into the mouth of the dragon but also no chance the books are handing out a sweetheart deal to Michigan backers they know where the money is going on this one .. Michigan to cover .. total going over .. Rams have a solid group of receivers and the depth chart has everyone we'd expect on both sides including the very good kicker .. might not take them if they didn't have a decent one .. the D looks to have a bit of uncertainty and new coordinator and gunna have to live with that will def be xxing my fingers some of those drives get stalled out in the red zone again .. taking my shot on books not interested in losing money and just gut feel about the quality of receiving targets the rams are gunna have .. commence sweating in 3..2...1....
BRIDGE PLAY
FLORIDA STATE +3
Alright dropped enough to make it Bridge Play Offish .. just barely enough btw, this aint the last game labor day 'win it all back' money you're used to puttin down I'm saving that pick for Monday lol.. Welp we've sorta seen FSU already and can at least say they did not crap in their faces vs another FCS team .. so that's a good start .. But think signs point up finally, Noles were able to get their act together in enough games last year esp down the stretch to see how a little more experience and couple more pieces coming in might flip the ignition for them .. easy to look back and see all the real dud games but also know most very early on and I think Milton was at the helm for all of those ... really rough time for him other than the nice drop in he had vs ND .. Jordan Travis made a good stride last year we saw Fr year he was running around a bit more than I wanted and making a few plays, last year did a bit better and with the ret pro and quite a few good prospects and proven talent coming in via the portal it does just sorta feel like this is the year Norvell can put a full year of good games together .. we definitely know that even when FSU is not 'there' yet they can still wind up and throw a good pitch in a big opener and that's what we're gunnin for here ..
LSU im sure has plenty of guys to rave about but the besides FSU on an uptick we're betting on LSU not really having any real identity, guys still trying their positions out and just not being a complete team yet or executing at a high level .. Kelly is not telling us who the QB is and maybe that's psychin the Noles out a bit .. I will say that I saw enough Jayden Daniels at ASU to know he can be exciting make big plays in the PAC maybe cover spreads once in a while and he is a competitor and left a sure thing cushy starting job in Tempe to maybe pursue NIL riches but he definitely wants to be a starting SEC QB maybe a bit of guts to make that move .. but he can also be a real dud too and just enough games at the PAC level the team didn't quite play right he didn't do one thing or another just was never Mr Reliable and I don't think a big move like this one means he's just gunna fit and click right away or even ever .. Kelly could just say its him by now its not like anyone's planning to see the QB's they had in the bowl game .. idk that's just a little bit weird ... FSU has a couple athletic EDGE additions and if they can contain him in the pocket it might be a tough night with drives stalling out .. if he's breaking big runs or getting out the pocket and heaving it to Boutteee 3 or 4 times then yeah they got a chance if they can turn it into sandlot football .. we also know for sure who FSU showed up with last week and shouldn't be a looooong list of surprise 'outs' at least for them ..
This is obvi not a true neutral field being in New Orleans but I wouldn't bet on a few FSU fans showing up .. pretty short by car puddle jump by plane to get there .. think we're getting points just based on that and the potential of what some of the LSU big name recruits might be capable of .. think there's plenty of unproven potential on each side just a matter of whose better positioned to show up and realize it week 1 .. NOLES SCALP'EM!!!! OHHHHHHHHHHHHH-OHHHHH-OHHHHHH-OHHH-OHHH!!!!!!!
^^^
I do see a 3.5 laying -115 at fanduel that's not too bad either but hate layin odds week 1.. does nip us once in a while but best bet is to always make better guesses and risk less money .. BoL actually down to 2.5 now and I'd trust BoL to be more astute as to the future market direction than fanduel so maybe another 10 point swinger coming lol .. I did grab some of that ML for +135 in addition to the +3 Bridge Play action .. wouldn't fault anyone for taking odds esp in week 1 ... when we're right we're often right big .. might as well get paid big .. or .. maybe a little bigger in this case ..
Good luck!
This game is hard to predict what's going to happen, there's many different scenarios that could play out in this one.. I think both offenses should have success though, over time the Gators D will be much improved with Toney as new DC and Raymond from LSU coaching the DB's but there's still not enough talent in the 2 deep to just brickhouse Utah right away. The Gators offensive line is the 10th largest in the country, will be a strength and help Richardson with run game and pass pro to put up some points. I don't think you're play in this game is wrong, it's just a gamble because there's too many unknowns for FLA. GL brother 
@jwheels86
Yeah its a week 1 total ... agree its definitely a gamble lol ... if I thought it wasn't then I'd have to wonder why vegas was being so generous giving me free money .. my whole approach is asking where do we think average scoring is for the game .. I think Utah/Florida is above avg maybe 58 or so .. if the line came out at 58 3 pts above avg instead of 3 pts below avg then I'd still say 'thats a gamble' but wouldn't bet the over either just lay off the game ..
This particular handicap is bothersome to me though because I had expected books to give us either average or higher 50's total counting on everyone having seen Utah's offense last year and gators are at home maybe helps them keep it close .. if at Utah I'd be more skeptical .. But someone (very very high up like the CEO) at Vegas Oddsmaking Corp had other ideas and put the total below average lol .. No idea their process, but if we were to set highly uncertain pre-ssn totals I'd start every game off at average 55 then tack on what we knon: Average scoring LY, projected offensive/defensive strengths, explosive tendencies, new and exciting talent and portal grabs, coaches and new systems, maybe check the spring game see if anything sticks out like the pace of the offense .. and since its week 1 I'd prob shade everyone under a point because folks just remember the week 1 "TOTAL BLOODBATH" everyone will be searching for unders when the totals come out so just make them bet into less value .... then weather considerations .. I didn't think about florida weather much when I booked this bet and seems a predictably decent shot that Gainsville gets some rain in August .. that was my mistake for not thinking about it .. but at this point we might get some rain but it seems scattered at worst and doubt its super impactful .. in fact wet field alone on grass field like the swamp can really keep a defense off balance .. esp w strong running QB's either taking off or creating time letting receivers break routes etc.. Anyway that's how I think about it and in my head I was playing it at 52.5 3 or so pts below avg when I have it 3 or so above.. almost a full TD diff so went with it..
Not sure what vegas' model says but they would def cross check to SP+ .. Bill C says its 30-33 Utah total 63 .. I didn't have that info when I bet it or at least wasn't considering it but happy to see SP+ likes it even more than I do ... So yeah I'm a bit perplexed now that it not only didnt shade upward but it went down to 50ish .. in general I would say when my gut and other signs say one thing and sportsbooks VERY conspicuously have it the other way then there is usually something i'm missing or not considering .. and 50 seems to me as low as vegas can make the total w out sure thing negative weather impacts ..
Anyway that's where I'm at on that one .. besides the weather factors or surprise injuries I can only guess that vegas might have a good beat on this one and maybe we see the flow of the game just leans things more toward lower scoring .. I'm def not adding anything at 50/51 and would urge some caution if tailing ... would def wait until close to game time and make sure depth charts look good, be sure there are no surprise 'outs' and get a clear picture of the weather .. all info I didn't have back a couple months ago .. - Good luck!
@invest4profits
Yeah thats an easier handicap .. easier doesn't mean I'll be seating less lol .. line already cracked back below 31 maybe comes back or exceeds 31 by kickoff if big money vegas gangstas don't see any value in it ..
Funny situation on the horizon if Michigan covers 31 easy peasy and Hawaii gets trounced big again... what line are we gunna see next week when the HAWAII FADE MOB teams up with the MICHIGAN PLAY MOB on a sure thing lock of the century 100 pt win?.. 55... 60? .. lol .. I don't think they can put a line out that's close to backing those mobs off if they're 3-0 at that point 3 big wins ... and Mich might still cover a monster line and win 77-zip or whatever ..
BRIDGE PLAY - GOY
WISCONSIN @ OHIO STATE -15.5 (FAN.D)
Think its my first GOY BP.. woo-hoo! .. Bucks have a nice test to start vs ND and have plenty of time to get things in order for conf play after this game .. Shout out to the scheduler who followed ND up w Ark State and Toledo .. a pretty great wind up for a haymaker and then don't have to worry much about being off balance on the follow thru with Rutgers on deck .. They get the big game and even if things don't go splendidly I don't think the line will be in much worse shape unless maybe they're in just a real dog fight w the Irish .. tough to imagine with a never ending supply of Nukes on offense.. we may see some fitting that needs to happen into the new look D but again 3 full weeks of workings-ons and 2 games to test things out including a sorta maybe decent G5 team in Toledo .. And that really only matters if the D has a whole lotta changes they need to make .. might be fine week 1 ..
Wisco does have a decent lead in with NMSU before this game but not sure if playing a total Jr High squad helps them all that much, really just a week off.. and they might need it .. I saw the depth chart today for their FCS game and quick compare to what Phil had a month ago there are quite a few concerns and things that just don't really sit right .. the big news is backup QB Wolf got injured and not that it matters that much but now you basically have to make room to give the 3rd guy some real reps or could be Willie Beaman sitch one of these weeks only w a much crapper QB .. Lotta jumbling positions on the OL which was known already but now the starting center is injured so not gunna get those reps this week, if he misses Wash State then I'd start getting concerned about mistakes vs the Bucks.. the backup was slated to be the OL-C in Steele so maybe not as bad as it sounds .. but we also know there's are no sure things at WR, one guy w 34 receptions and 2 for the rest .. the good TE moved on and Mertz really stunk anyway with 2 decent WR's and an NFL capable TE.. Allen is of course the real deal but I suspect he was much more of a realer dealer in last year's offense w a few guys around him .. The D is replacing a much bigger load for the first time in years it should still be good w the top notch DC but even they had a few dings in their depth and more than a few backups are OFY .. not good to see when they're not already flush with proven starters like in years past ..
I already hit Wazzoo +15.5 in Madison week 2, that will be a good test to see how the D can handle a wild pass game and w so many out for the FCS tune up man I think this one could end up being trouble or at least really shake everyone's confidence in Wisco .. hence the reason to punch the Buckeyes ticket sooner than later .. Coogs D-chart looked fine and if Wisco has any trouble defending these guys oddsmakers will get the hint pretty quick.. not sure it skyrockets to 21 but could see it .. Iowa's GOY line @OSU is -21.5 and not sure there is THAT big of a diff between them and the Badgers...
SMALLER - GOY
BAMA -17.5 / TEXAS (FAN)
I think this will conclude the GOY's for this year .. rest are sitting in my already legendary BRIDGE PRE-SSN thread .. Well I can't make it a BRIDGE BOMB how I want to .. we're on the road in a big game and didn't jump on it early enough at the 14.5 spot so gunna have to play it smaller .. but def want to get in sooner than later .. We're not gunna see many quality data points from now to the game but how UT plays this game vs ULM is really gunna be critical in whether the line jumps up or stays where its at .. not sure there's many scenarios it drops maybe possibly it goes to 17 if UT just smokes em in a shutout .. I have a funny feeling ULM's Chandler Rodgers might find the end zone a couple times .. he QB's ULM to some real monster upsets last year and one guy they can really rally around .. and UT's D is what oddsmakers are gunna be looking at .. it doesn't matter much what UT does to ULM's D, can put up 50 on that D and not prove much .. But it sounds like droppin half a hundo is Sark's last concern w everyone hassling him for a depth chart .. In this situation that's a little concerning if its only uncertainty whose the starter or backup .. the prospect of even more guys out is obvi a worse scenario .. either way given they're a ULM game away from playing Bama I think he's telling us what we already know .. there's a bunch of injuries piling up at the OL and WR and gunna be more than a few tryouts on both sides of the ball.... in other words this team is not at all ready for Bama and chance of a good working game plan is fairly low .. On the flip side Bama is ready for much more difficult tests than UT every week of the year even in the off season..
Taking this now because it won't take many mistakes or false starts or INT's or guys not lined up right or missed tackles or blown coverages against ULM before the odds for Bama start churning .. think the line should be -21.5 .. maybe not a monster 10 point mover yer all used to but if things look the part this week I think it could get there .. Plus I finally want to hit a big fun game for once, tired of all this Texas State and Hawaii sheeit ... seeya at the orange bloodbath ...
BRIDGE ROUNDUP
BRIDGE PLAYS:
W.VA @ PITT -7
TULSA -1 @ WYOMING
FLORIDA STATE +3 / LSU
W.KENTUCKY -11.5 @ HAWAII
UTAH @ FLORIDA OVER 52.5
SMALLER:
BUFFALO @ MARLYLAND -20.5
VA.TECH @ OLD DOM +8.5
UL-MONROE +38.5 @ TEXAS
CO.STATE +30 @ MICHIGAN
CO.STATE +31 @ MICHIGAN
W.KENTUCKY -7.5 @ HAWAII
C.MICHIGAN +19 @ OK.STATE
TEXAS STATE +10 @ NEVADA
C.MICH @ OK.ST UNDER 59.5
L'VILLE @ CUSE UNDER 59.5
APP STATE @ UNC UNDER 57
TCU @ COLORADO UNDER 55
HOUSTON @ UTSA UNDER 61.5
B.GREEN @ UCLA UNDER 57.5
GOY's ADDED
BRIDGE PLAY - GOY WK4
WISCO @ OHIO STATE -15.5
SMALLER - GOY WK2
BAMA -17.5 @ TEXAS
The weather is always gonna be 1000% humid in the first few weeks in Florida and scattered showers/tropical weather rolls in.. Both teams are gonna want to pound the ball, most people would assume that means an under in play but both these systems work off the run then hit explosive plays off Play action BOOM long chunks.. I've been reading a lot about UF rb's busting long runs for TD's in all the scrimmages, that would bode well for your bet either way.. the offense is explosive or the defense still gives up large ones. I just don't know exactly what to expect in the first game from Napier on either side of the ball, I expect the defense to be better simply because they are actually coached now.. Napier wants to use that big OL and run the rock but with Richardson he can hit you with a dime any second or just take off for 70 on you as well. This game is gonna be exciting for fans to watch for sure, as a Gator fan it's a tough one to start a new era with.. but Florida is playing with house money right now especially the way recruiting is finally booming in a way for the first time since Urban was in Gainesville. Big programs playing with nothing to lose and everything to prove can be dangerous for their opponents for sure.
@mfields
I wish I was still playing that spring season bud .. fishing w dynamite every week because it turns out when you actually watch the games the good, the bad and the ugly at that level gets obvious real quick .. Best season ever .. I wonder how fun FCS could be doing that again might be good but no way it would ever be THAT good .. would only work if I had access to the early lines and no limits .. as it stands 5d puts the lines out a few days and then first shots I get are limited heavily at Scamstool and Cheatrivers, they don't like winners much there .. just wouldn't work ..
I tried my hand week 1 LY at a few of those in the Fall after the epic spring money bomb but hadn't scouted any teams and the magic had clearly worn off .. couple teams I liked bombed and no time to do that in season to maybe land a hundred dollar bet if I sneak one in when the limit lords are out to lunch ..
I hit WKY -21.5 vs AP last week .. moved 10 points in 10 minutes and not exactly a tight game but for a minute there WKY was just 1 dumb mistake away from a 31.5 point upset ..
There's a few on my radar I might try out, but only if there's dudes from the spring season I liked that are still playing there .. otherwise might grab some that are really just plays or fades on the FBS team in the matchup ... Might make one FCS play an actual play this year but trust me dude don't listen to me I ain't sharp and only gettin down for fun bucks and really just for fun ... that said if you want some highly uncertain fun plays hereya go ..
Took Akron -14.5 when it came out vs St Francis .. if Akron with 16 returning starters and 16 more FBS guys from the portal, most of which might be the actual starters, if they are not better w the new coaches and at least a 2nd option at QB (undercuffler from albany, an AA in '19 but injured and stunk last fall so idk) .. IF THEY ARE NOT 3 LIGHTYEARS BETTER THEN I'LL.... just watch in total amazement ... no earthly clue how good St. Francis is, they didn't play that spring, name sounds like they'd be a good high school team so should win outright if I'm wrong in my Akron assessment..
Thought about playing UCF -36.5 for fun but held off .. they should win by 70 but idk if S.Car State is good they had a good player last year I think and maybe just a tough buncha dudes .. still should lose by 70 to JRP and The KNIGHTS .. right?...
Only other thing I'm liking is Richmond .. and only because they got that VMI QB kid and his WR Herras .. love those guys and really hate the UVA's profile .. good QB and top WR unit should bomb these guys but the mask comes off at some point .. hope in that one .. will have something on the ML too if anyone even offers it ..
Yeah sorry not gunna be droppin FCS bombs like the good'ole days .. unlikely to lead to anything good ..
Good luck though!!!
Established in 1995,
Hot Forum Topics
