BRIDGE PLAYS WEEK 11

Bol this week Bridge

Thanks dudes good luck to you too! 

BRIDGE PLAY

11. WISCO / MICH UNDER 54

Nothing secret here there's two defenses and Wisco's we knw will be really good and if we ever expect to see the Wolverine D show up its in this game. With idk which string QB Wisco goes with we can expect they do their thing here and keep it on the ground and those drives really know how to chew up some clock. Mich QB might be able to sling it vs some of those other teams but I think they'll find the best bet for them is to keep it on the ground as well with the pretty good RB's .. The real hope is we don't get last moment garbage time TD's but I'll trut the team with the lead at the end especially Wisco will get us in a good spot and minimize the threat of the late score .. 

Good luck! 

BOL this weekend Bridge! Would you still take Tulsa at -2.5? Cheers! 

@Nilshu

Thanks Nilshu .. yeah I'm sure I would have taken -2.5 if it opened there instead of -1 last sunday .. not a real signficant move and at the time I kinda suspected Tulsa would be the popular pick and line would maybe even get to 3 so wanted to get my play in early ... same thing I did with NU at pick'em, no way that wasn't moving .... I suggest anyone tailing a play I made 5 days ago at the open do a little homework and take advantage of any news thats either come out or made more clear since then .. This is actually the kinda play you really want to do that with since we have the popular team's lines move in the direction we expected and doubt anyone's really checking the latest news or roster moves, etc .. As I mentioned in the post, really hope Tulsa's D can slow down SMU's rush attack .. if I was looking at the play right now I'd make sure all the guys we want are in their depth chart are expected to play .. 

If you still like the Hurricane by -2.5 the better play might actually be Tulsa TT Over 33 since we'd be relying on the more favorable Hurricane O vs Pony D matchup  ... I do think Tulsa D ends up getting a few more stops but should be plenty of possessions in this one and we know SMU's O is able to play shootout football whether they are ahead or behind ... if we're on the TT then D setting us up with good field position is a bonus but I dont think we're relying on it the way we are in a 3 pt win .. Just comparing diff scenarios, it seems kinda unlikely to me that Tulsa would win by 3 while staying under 33. Don't think they'd be feeling comfortable sitting on a late slim lead like 31-28 or 28-24 until they were in a position to run the clock out ... Also if Tulsa comes out flat and falls behind in H1 like we saw with ECU I'd feel alot better needing a backdoor TT than a 3 point win... Or consider Tulsa does blow past 33 here, think there's a good chance they win but if they're in a shootout not only could lose but very easy to get in a situation where a natural margin of victory number gets thrown off and could also have Tulsa just aiming for a 1 pt win.. i think we've all been there a few times ..     

Anyway, something to think about .. good luck! 

Thanks for such an in-depth response and anayisis. Wish you all the best this year!

Good luck Bridge

For those that care or were locked into Utah game, it just got cancelled 

Utah was faced with the prospect of starting 5-6 walk-ons for the game. Team is riddled with Covid

Hey Bridge. Tulsa now at +1.0. Interesting line change here. Maybe it's worth taking them as a dog now. All the best to you this weekend with your plays! 

@Nilshu

 yeah kinda same considration .. i'd check any late rosters but suspect its just buy back on smu .. still popular team .. I'm Hoping Tulsa TT gets to 31 .. good luck

BRIDGE PLAYS

12. CAL / UCLA OVER 57

Sunday special .. Late schedule game in purest form since matchup was never scheduled this year .. don't like ucla but in fog of craziness might pull it off .. really think both offenses will be able to move the ball here .. expect some really super duper wild results and just kinda think that favors the offenses here .. 

Good luck!

FUN BET 

CAL -3 / OVER 57 .. 3/1 

Good luck!

Another bites the dust. Coastal Carolina/Troy game just cancelled

@robtri

FYI that game was postponed over 24 hours ago!

BRIDGE PLAY

13. G.SOUTHERN TT OVER 30

Mostly a fade of Tex State's defense here which is starting to get gashed after prob most rugged season of any team with 5 straight road game stint capped at BYU, couple home games and now another roadie to G.SO who have been playing really tough.. I realize they are missing RB King but they have a few go to guys back there and just seems like Bobs D gets gashed pretty bad here... Also while G.SO does play super duper slow its somewhat mitigated by Tex State's pace and think we do end up getitng a normal number of possessions .. not much has impacted the opponent scores on recent bob games so just gunna play it and hope the intuition on the Bob's D is right .. 

Good luck!

Wow Ga st posted late. Missed that one by 35 minutes. Crap

Bridge...are you looking to add anymore today?

BRIDGE PLAYS FINAL .... 6-4 .. 1 to go .. 

Wins mostly good .. tulsa sleepwalking in H1.. great comeback .. Oregon finally got their hooks in, coulda gone other way .. losses pretty much duds except Wisco/Mich total we shoulda won that .. 

CMU -7... blowout win .. 
TULSA -1...  Huge winds and tulsa finally woke up in H2 (again).. shutout and net +21 pts
OREGON -10 ... not an easy cover... wash st lookin like a real tough out .. 
FLORIDA -16.5 .. points dont stop coming!!
NORTHWESTERN PK ... NU .. best deal out there.. 
G.SOUTHERN TT OVER 30 ... good stuff.. almost covered in H1.. 

WISCO / MICH UNDER 54  ... shoulda gone our way .. 
COLORADO ST. +14.5 .. turd of the week .. 
WASHINGTON -13 ... ugh .. same ole husky offense.. dud.. 
STANFORD -8.5 .. turd of the week pt 2.. 

CAL / UCLA OVER 57 - SUNDAY

FUN BET 

CAL -3 / OVER 57 .. 3/1