BRIDGE PLAYS WEEK 4

Where did you find ole miss -7.5? All I found was -21 

@DueceDropper22

That was from Fan Duel's 'Game of the year' lines... they released a bunch of those sometime over the summer like late may or so ..  I post all those in my Bridge Pre-ssn thread .. Think this was -10.5 or maybe it got to -11 by week 1 before the GOY's get taken down .. think FD was the only one with that particular game and yeah I thought that one was a little crazy too .. 

Man o Man colorado state already had one WR Dante Wright, an absolute gamer, say he's hitting the portal already .. now Stovall one of the good Nevada xfers says he's out too .. probably projected his stats for this year ending with ZERO receptions lol holy sheeeit .. couple rough games against a brutal sack attack that OL is just murdering their QB now .. but wow this is getting ugly with guys leaving .. esp guys you really need if there's any shot to turn this ship around .. and double esp when all the other pretty decent players they need to do that are seeing others jump ship .. man o man .. COLO STATE maybe gets the 'massive dude' award this year already .. man and now a FG dog to sac state this week .. AT HOME????!!! ... Sac state did beat N.Iowa sooooo .. I guess it makes sense ..... but wowzerz, what in the world is going on in Fort Collins coach??!?!??.. 

I think its bullshit them being allowed to leave once games have started. If they move, they have to sit out right?

Are they there to get an education as well or just football? The ethics too of embarrassing a coach and program is not cool unless, something egregious was done to them. Not getting receptions does not fall into that category, only prima donna classification

Thoughts on Kansas and Michigan st. I think Kansas played alot better teams then Duke like them here. Also Michigan st i think bounces back at home getting pts. Plus bell out best wr for Minnesota. 

I agree Autman Bell is a big loss but I think Minny is going to win both trenches. I think Sparty showed some real warts vs WMU in the trench and their secondary was again exposed last week... Only one of those might matter this week, but I'm not in on Sparty, who might be without their WR1 still. Curious what Bridge thinks 

No real thought on MSU/Minny .. was thinking Mich State was overrated and wanted to hit Wash last week -3 but missed out .. haven't seen much Mich State this year haven't seen minny at all .. I trust minny's run game even w the new OL's they've been waiting around like 3 years to start so feel good they'll be fine gaggle of good RB's .. Mich state unable to run at all vs Wash is concerning, I get its a new DC and maybe some new guys but their run D stuuuunk bad LY and that's just not a good sign if Wash totally plugged them up .. also wash ripping em thru the air, obvi w.mich didn't but Broncos QB turned a few heads when they weren't putting hime into the ground .. 

idk just trust minny way more run the ball, on the road its way less risky poundin it all game .. maybe unknown is minny's D but they at least didn't stumble much even w their garbage schedule .. lotta unknowns stuff we'll find out .. not that I don't care about Bell think he was the deep threat but don't think this is the game him being out would matter unless they're really struggling running the ball .. 

Not on Kansas/Duke but if I had to play would be KU all da way .. 

SMALLER

JMU / APP STATE UNDER 59

Took JMU plus the points pretty much sight unseen, fair to say that play was probably the smallest of the smallers this week .. there isin't much to go on for them other than kinda familiar w them from FCS and got a look at the game vs Mid T .. not saying the score is misleading they did beat them up but just watching them particularly in the first half I just don't get the feeling the big scores will translate to better competition ... Mid T was totally outmatched by a whole team of really good football players and Middies had some considerable problems in the pre-ssn, lotta guys out in the spring and it showed on the field .. we've seen Stock tank huge in a few non-cons before too and def wasn't ready for that one .. think we then look at how Mid T then slaughtered Colorado State, again that team seems like its filled with problems just a total misnomer.. What I saw from JMU looks like alot of short plays and Ciento did hit a few shots downfield but also whiffed on quite a few, guy is still pretty much a short pass or scrambler but does have a few guys to aim at downfield vs weaker competition .. I don't think we see many big shots here more short stuff and picking up the first downs w his legs if he can .. that style of play short yardage drives really has a way of burning that clock and great for unders when they crap out after burning 5 or so minutes ..  

Tough to say what JMU's D is too but they looked stout aggressive and not getting pushed around .. App we know is a run heavy team all the way and maybe Chase Brice can sling it a little better this year idk he did lose alot of his WR's.. not chalking his early success up to luck but UNC and Troy weren't really all that busy pass rushing .. so idk think we more/less get a slug fest here and without a doubt one team gets the lead they can really choke the clock down we saw App basically do that all game to TAMU and if JMU happens to be in the lead we know from their FCS days the stranglehold they can put on a game .. in a close game I just expect to stick w the best and safest option which is obvi running the ball, both look like they can play some defense too when not up against like Drake Maye or some epic gamer .. anyway misleading early scores gives us a little bump on the total to 59 .. makes it a kinda sorta tempting over if just checking scores but think books know what they're doing here if they thought this was tit for tat scoring they'd have no prob putting this in the low 60's for us .. think lower 50's is where this ends up most of the time .. 

SMALLER

STANFORD +14

Was all set to deliver the over pick here but that moved pretty fast from 58.5 .. 63 now .. but did put something on this too just seems like a spot to not lay 2 TD's off the big win and stanford off a bye its a huge game for both teams think series is tied and there have been a few times one team just totally bests the other but not quite sure this is that spot Stan's offense was humming along but had some rediculous number of turnovers vs USC really can't have that here .. McKee is solid runs a good RPO similar to what Wake is doing draws the D out and knows where to put the ball .. Can't say USC's defense is any good but think we found out last week Wash's pass D isin't anything super special either .. seemed like Sparty had to take the scenic route to discover the pass was their best option the run was just totally plugged up the whole game .. that obvi could stunt Tree's growth here too if they can't do any running but this is very much a pass friendly team and also they did have more runs on USC and blew them up pretty well over 200 yds rushing..  idk just seems like if Sparty can hit like 75%ish 330 3TD's then little emphasis on heavier pass game from McKee could maybe get them close to 400 and Stan has a pretty good group of WR's nothing epic but big targets .. Could obvi see Wash just laying the wood here too but idk 2 TD's off a big W and Stan off the bye, big game .. think we've learned this year and last take 2 free TD's in these situations so ... mmm .. boom .. 

@Bridge1

 Thx brother always looking for opinions thoughts. A couple of heads are better than one.

SMALLER

UTAH / ARIZONA STATE OVER 53.5

'Okay guys, let's win one for HERM' I think roughly translates into 'Let's get off our ass and score a few points try to hang in this game you fat ugly sacks of sh!t just got your coach fired you lazy no good pieces of crap' .. I took ASU's TT Under last week just thinking this is a kinda ugly spot for them and sure enough sloppy offense couldn't close out drives w points but the numbers not awful 20/32 passing for 182 .. 170 rushing good /carry average .. and dominated in the ToP like 35/25 so room for at least one more offensive drive if they can even it out .. I think we truly saw the D for what it was EMU with Powell in slices and dices em passing .. Powell out backup in okay we gottem cornered right, nope backup 4/8 75 yds 1 TD..  I figured ASU's pass D was problematic but woah nellie EMU in Tempe backup QB and RB put another 20 points on these guys just RIPPIN em on the ground for 305 and playin keep away .. Like I could totally see us getting short hopped again by ASU w Utah winning like 38-7 here but I'm hoping if ASU has one bullet in the chamber on offense we see it here and get us 3 TD's here Utah defense obvi dominated a totally inept SDSU team on maybe their 3rd or 4th QB and that makes sense but ASU's only shot here is to score and think/hope we see maybe an inspired performance .. I don't have any faith in this Devils D to play a big game Utes offense looked like Chuckie Child's Play went to Chuckie Cheese last week just murdering them and everything working .. Really hope Devils' new interim regime doesn't try to play small ball here and hope they can maybe eek out a close game they need points right away or they gunna git Frost Bitten like Nebraska did last week .. clearly a timely firing of Herm that starts moving them on from their loser ways and gives them a shot at redemption in a big game .. COME ON DEVILS quit F'ing around fine if you want to lose but at least help me win this total .. F'ing A .. same ole devils WOW!

@Hogheaven696969

You Razorback Hogs fan Hogheaven? .. any info on them this week, really seems like they could put a dagger in TAMU if the Aggs show up sloppy in any way on offense they can't get away with this under 20 point stuff for that long IMO .. 

@Bridge1

 Also been looking at Stanford. As much as I can't stand Shaw and his team of gutter rats, I think this is a great spot for them. 

SMALLER

BUFFALO / E.MICHIGAN UNDER 60.5

This is def on the smaller side of the smallers FYI, I've just seen so little of both teams but a trip thru the stats and drives it does feel like we got 2 teams with maybe some misleading scoring over the first few games and we also see Circa putting this out at 57.5 which seems like code for 'bet the over' if we're just looking at the scores and wallah got what they wanted up 3 points in the early 60's .. My read on Buffalo pre-ssn we have Rutgers backup QB coming in and the guy that left is now the guy I call #VANT4HEISMAN I mean it kinda seems like he's got more yards in 3 games at triple option transitioning GA-So than he did starting 3 years at Buffalo so idk let's just say that UB's accelerated learning for QB classes likely doesn't have the best teachers if ya catch my drift .. But I did note an abundance of P5 xfers coming in on D particularly bolstering the secondary .. Buff vs MD I kinda got the feeling Buff's D was gunna maybe help bust the cover no?.. Coastal Carolina we see 8 turnovers with ALOT of them converted into quick easy scores I count 27 points off very short fields .. and as usual got Coastal just such awesome quick strikers finally getting the magic going and 28 points get scored in Q4 and even the quick Buff strike TD before the half on really not a great CC D I suspect, at least they are fairly beatable .. that total was at 35 going into Q4 there .. HC is a bit of a mystery more 1 play scores and just like a quarter of going tit for tat scoring, we know HC to be really good and just in my mind have to discout those results a bit ..  

We have EMU with maybe their backup QB maybe matters maybe not guy did pretty good LW but only 8 passes vs ASU so def expecting them to just be driving the ball alot more if he's in there and really chewed up that clock on O vs ASU's really crummy D .. even if Powell is in not at all sold on him he stunk at Troy and still throws mostly short stuff at EMU is what it looks like .. EMU sluggin it out w ULL for 3 quarters before just INSANE last Q or so ending w turnovers turned quick scores they were grindin em the whole way ugly loss .. but yeah another unusual scoring pattern and I just get the sense if both teams can buckle down and play that this is more slug than strike ..

But yeah both teams with some really wild turnovers turned TD's given up and taken so far is a little worrisome betting into so gotta keep this one on the smaller end of the smalls and see if our reads combined w maybe some value can generate a W for us .. wouldn't surprise me either if Buff plays a clean game they claim a W here .. EMU off a big W late roadie to Tempe and Buff gotta be salty should be 1-2 at least and if they didn't tank last week late could possibly have been 2-1 .. clean it the F up you losers ..  

@DrStrangelove

Yeah i mean this has to be the last time I give shaw a chance here right lol.. hate playing the Pac just so many crummy units impossible to get a read always implode .. hit the total over in that one and it zoomed so fast after it wasn't something worth posting at that point I mean that does feel like something we can count on .. man Stan huge game here can you not run it up the MF'ing gut when yer down 3 scores this time burn the clock away .. Wash O looking forreal and getting guys back i don't think their best OL Kincade or whoever was in last week, a few RB's and man lotta complexities motioning around in their first big game and did pretty well w it and can only expect them to keep adding wrinkles and get better by end of the year .. great to have a QB that already understands what DeBoer is trying to do too .. 

Would say if Stan can prove themselves at least as a dangerous run/pass team then outside of pretty well dead and buried colorado whose the weak links maybe ASU just collapses now .. Stan's D maybe just too much to overcome but maybe a dangerous offense we'll see ... UA / Cal couple steady improvers... Wazoo maybe dangerous we'll see .. not a great P5 conference here but everyone got a decent QB and at least something to like about em so far sans the Buffs .. tough to count anyone in for the a conf champ slots just yet think we got a Cannonball Run on our hands lotta stumbles and fumbles along the way should be a lotta laughs too! ..... Go Cougars !!! .. 

Why do you think the Ga Southern game will go over?

Against easy competition, both teams have scored a combined 66ppg.

They have both allowed 60ppg.

Number is at 65 right now.

I think their defenses are better than the ones they faced. I think Ball St. holds Georgia Southern to 32, making this a 55pg.

What's your angle and what am I missing? TIA.

@PeAceMaKer7690

I got nothing super duper sharp for you .. GA-So / Nebraska got together for a little over 1200 yards of offense and 87 points and also saw that ball state/w.mich had about 900 yds / 67 points .. so idk I just played over 61 on a whim and have a few bucks on eagles -9.5 .. hoping GA.So can win like 36-26 

Norvell brought over too much of the Nevada program with him to CSU. There is constant squabbling and division amongst the Nevada transfers and the members of the team who were with CSU from the start. I will grab the Sacramento State moneyline when it is available because I think Norvell has already lost this team. Sac State team total over if available will also be money. CSU and CU are an absolute disgrace at the moment.

Let's get it this week Bridge!!! Stay hot ????!! Thanks for all you do man. 

Cash some tickets this week ! 

@Greedybastard

 Good stuff .. good to know .. yeah that sounds like a team that's gunna find out how deep the abyss goes lol ... wahhhhhhhhh .. 

@UGA520

thanks brother .. yeap hope we can keep it rolling ... pretty boring week lotta mismatch games, pre-conf spots, teams maybe needing a rest here idk .. just a tricky week tough to know what we're gunna get ... fingers xx'd .. 

@SteamCave

How ya doing Bridge? Hope all is well. How do you feel about air force at the current price? I'll probably pass since its done gone thru 21 and 24. Thanks as always for the excellent info 

@BigTymePlayer25

idk what the price should be i knew it was going up and took at soon as it came out .. think we want to know is everyone on AF playing, they didn't last game .. WR's back? .. feels like wyoming was able to run up the gut on these guys and Nevada has a couple good RB's .. if the WR's are back I feel good we might get a couple of those big bombs outta daniels .. either way think Nevada D is prob in trouble here .. total 46 idk not sure I'd lay 24 .. I hit over 46 smaller but didn't make the posting card but theres a few bucks on that one ..