In hindsight, the proper play was betting the Under knowing that Michigan's offense would suck, it did and Michigan's strength was their defense and that in certain games during the season Bama's offense struggled some. That's hindsight... but i do agree that other than the playoff games the other bowl games are just getting so difficult to handicap. Perhaps it is time for us to turn to college bball for those of us who like other sports.
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In hindsight, the proper play was betting the Under knowing that Michigan's offense would suck, it did and Michigan's strength was their defense and that in certain games during the season Bama's offense struggled some. That's hindsight... but i do agree that other than the playoff games the other bowl games are just getting so difficult to handicap. Perhaps it is time for us to turn to college bball for those of us who like other sports.
BRIDGE BOWLS .. 8-7 .. eesh .. what a nasty turn ..
GEORGIA PK'EM ARIZONA ST +14 TEXAS STATE -9.5 DUKE / OLD MISS UNDER 53.5 NAVY +1 TOLEDO +7 PENN STATE -8 OHIO STATE -7 SAM HOUSTON +7 JAMES MADISON -7.5 IOWA ST/ MIAMI OVER 54.5 CUSE / WASH STATE OVER 59.5 PITT TEAM TOTAL UNDER 28.5 ARMY / LA TECH OVER 42.5 ARMY TT OVER 28.5 TEXAS TECH +1.5 TULANE +14.5 TEXAS A&M -3 ALABAMA -10
ADD: ASU / TEXAS OVER 51.5
ASU can play some defense but huge glaring issue with a lack of any sorta good pass rusher .. also have maybe their best CB Simmons out H1 .. Texas' OL has easily their best OL back Kelvin Banks whose lockdown at OT and get another big WR weapon in Bond back for this game .. ASU's coaches been schemin up how to handle the UT Defense and my sense is they'll find some ways to move the ball .. Kam Skatt is so huge picking up the short yards and breaking big plays and Sam Levitt can scramble as well moving the chains .. hard to imagine UT doesn't land some TD's here and I think ASU can find ways to answer .. good luck!
3
BRIDGE BOWLS .. 8-7 .. eesh .. what a nasty turn ..
GEORGIA PK'EM ARIZONA ST +14 TEXAS STATE -9.5 DUKE / OLD MISS UNDER 53.5 NAVY +1 TOLEDO +7 PENN STATE -8 OHIO STATE -7 SAM HOUSTON +7 JAMES MADISON -7.5 IOWA ST/ MIAMI OVER 54.5 CUSE / WASH STATE OVER 59.5 PITT TEAM TOTAL UNDER 28.5 ARMY / LA TECH OVER 42.5 ARMY TT OVER 28.5 TEXAS TECH +1.5 TULANE +14.5 TEXAS A&M -3 ALABAMA -10
ADD: ASU / TEXAS OVER 51.5
ASU can play some defense but huge glaring issue with a lack of any sorta good pass rusher .. also have maybe their best CB Simmons out H1 .. Texas' OL has easily their best OL back Kelvin Banks whose lockdown at OT and get another big WR weapon in Bond back for this game .. ASU's coaches been schemin up how to handle the UT Defense and my sense is they'll find some ways to move the ball .. Kam Skatt is so huge picking up the short yards and breaking big plays and Sam Levitt can scramble as well moving the chains .. hard to imagine UT doesn't land some TD's here and I think ASU can find ways to answer .. good luck!
Yeah dude hindsight wins 100% .. Buddy hit Mich TT under and it was dead in Q1 Mich really had one real offensive drive that landed 3 points shoulda won that easy .. total shoulda gone way wayyyy under and bama basically gotta hand em free points to not cover .. But yeah Under 45.5 is the best bet if we rolled the dice w that matchup over n over .. Mich gott'em again first day of 2024 and on the final day of 2024 .. SEC Staaanks lol
1
@GMoneyGTown
Yeah dude hindsight wins 100% .. Buddy hit Mich TT under and it was dead in Q1 Mich really had one real offensive drive that landed 3 points shoulda won that easy .. total shoulda gone way wayyyy under and bama basically gotta hand em free points to not cover .. But yeah Under 45.5 is the best bet if we rolled the dice w that matchup over n over .. Mich gott'em again first day of 2024 and on the final day of 2024 .. SEC Staaanks lol
Hey Bridge. You have done some fine work on the toughest time of the year. It seems more than once one team just doesn’t show up…hard to fathom. We had an absolutely evil “bad beat” with Army TT….missed chip shot FG. Still trying to recover from that. Kudos for Army still trying to score at the end of the game. They gave us a chance. Thanks for all you do.
1
Hey Bridge. You have done some fine work on the toughest time of the year. It seems more than once one team just doesn’t show up…hard to fathom. We had an absolutely evil “bad beat” with Army TT….missed chip shot FG. Still trying to recover from that. Kudos for Army still trying to score at the end of the game. They gave us a chance. Thanks for all you do.
Dude yeah we had 21 at half .. had the long drive dashed to start H2 .. had the fumble .. TD they even went for 2 for us .. missed FG .. yeah and even tried to get the ball to the 1 let QB tie that rushing TD record .. we lost a few minutes of time when refs didn't review LA Tech's pretty clear TD score too the money shot at the end shoulda had more time .. also underestimated La Tech's desire to play a full 60 mins the depth chart was real thin and looked like they had starers in the whole time playing real tough .. got almost no big explosive run plays all the options to the edge were stopped up / made Army run that FB dive a zillion times .. but yeah still felt like they had to go matrix to miss that one ..
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@robtri
Dude yeah we had 21 at half .. had the long drive dashed to start H2 .. had the fumble .. TD they even went for 2 for us .. missed FG .. yeah and even tried to get the ball to the 1 let QB tie that rushing TD record .. we lost a few minutes of time when refs didn't review LA Tech's pretty clear TD score too the money shot at the end shoulda had more time .. also underestimated La Tech's desire to play a full 60 mins the depth chart was real thin and looked like they had starers in the whole time playing real tough .. got almost no big explosive run plays all the options to the edge were stopped up / made Army run that FB dive a zillion times .. but yeah still felt like they had to go matrix to miss that one ..
Wisner has ripped defenses numerous times this year for 150-ish yards but vs all the stronger D's his totals remained fairly low around 50 or so yards .. UGA 51,52 yds .. no Wisner wasn't the top guy in the Mich game but top RB there only went for 50 yds .. and ASU shut UT's run game down Wisner with nearly all the carries (18) ended the day with 45 yds, and that went into 2 rounds of overtime .. We also saw there maybe another injury concern with Kelvin Banks but that's TBD .. Buckeyes obliterated maybe the best run game in the country yesterday James Jordan led with 14 yds .. Tenn leading rusher eventually did get 77 but they put Top RB Dylan Sampson out of the game early .. Penn State's TE Tyler Warren led the day in that one w 47 the two good RB's Allen and Singleton totaled 42 yds .. Mich RB Mullings did end w 116, but he got 32 att's in that game .. I'm not sure Wisner will get THAT many att's here esp with the other RB Blue being a capable backup available to them .. Bucks D is that good think 70 yds is a tall order for even their top RB option ..
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PROPS (FAN)
Q.WISNER TEXAS UNDER 69.5 RUSH YDS
Wisner has ripped defenses numerous times this year for 150-ish yards but vs all the stronger D's his totals remained fairly low around 50 or so yards .. UGA 51,52 yds .. no Wisner wasn't the top guy in the Mich game but top RB there only went for 50 yds .. and ASU shut UT's run game down Wisner with nearly all the carries (18) ended the day with 45 yds, and that went into 2 rounds of overtime .. We also saw there maybe another injury concern with Kelvin Banks but that's TBD .. Buckeyes obliterated maybe the best run game in the country yesterday James Jordan led with 14 yds .. Tenn leading rusher eventually did get 77 but they put Top RB Dylan Sampson out of the game early .. Penn State's TE Tyler Warren led the day in that one w 47 the two good RB's Allen and Singleton totaled 42 yds .. Mich RB Mullings did end w 116, but he got 32 att's in that game .. I'm not sure Wisner will get THAT many att's here esp with the other RB Blue being a capable backup available to them .. Bucks D is that good think 70 yds is a tall order for even their top RB option ..
Think it'll be tough sledding overall on offense for texas and Ewers 243 passing seems a bit rich against this defense .. we know he could hit this but we also seen him struggle mightily vs a quality defense especially vs pressure which Bucks will bring plenty of .. seems like there could still be an ankle issue with him and if things aren't going particularly well / if they get behind and need a spark it wouldn't surprise anyone if the next Gen QB came in to see if he can effect a needed comeback .. again bucks D is good n nasty and best games of the season been their 2 playoff games, defense has led the way all year and been relentless in the playoffs .. - Good luck!
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PROPS (FAN)
Q.EWERS (TEX) UNDER 242.5 PASS YDS
Think it'll be tough sledding overall on offense for texas and Ewers 243 passing seems a bit rich against this defense .. we know he could hit this but we also seen him struggle mightily vs a quality defense especially vs pressure which Bucks will bring plenty of .. seems like there could still be an ankle issue with him and if things aren't going particularly well / if they get behind and need a spark it wouldn't surprise anyone if the next Gen QB came in to see if he can effect a needed comeback .. again bucks D is good n nasty and best games of the season been their 2 playoff games, defense has led the way all year and been relentless in the playoffs .. - Good luck!
NAVY +1 TOLEDO +7 PENN STATE -8 OHIO STATE -7 ARIZONA ST +14 SAM HOUSTON +7 JAMES MADISON -7.5 ASU / TEXAS OVER 51.5 IOWA ST/ MIAMI OVER 54.5 CUSE / WASH STATE OVER 59.5 PITT TEAM TOTAL UNDER 28.5 DUKE / OL MISS UNDER 53.5 ARMY / LA TECH OVER 42.5 ARMY TT OVER 28.5 TEXAS STATE -9.5 TEXAS TECH +1.5 TULANE +14.5 TEXAS A&M -3 ALABAMA -10 GEORGIA PK
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BRIDGE BOWLS .. 10-10 ..
NAVY +1 TOLEDO +7 PENN STATE -8 OHIO STATE -7 ARIZONA ST +14 SAM HOUSTON +7 JAMES MADISON -7.5 ASU / TEXAS OVER 51.5 IOWA ST/ MIAMI OVER 54.5 CUSE / WASH STATE OVER 59.5 PITT TEAM TOTAL UNDER 28.5 DUKE / OL MISS UNDER 53.5 ARMY / LA TECH OVER 42.5 ARMY TT OVER 28.5 TEXAS STATE -9.5 TEXAS TECH +1.5 TULANE +14.5 TEXAS A&M -3 ALABAMA -10 GEORGIA PK
Hit this 5-1 on ESPN as bucks were SMOKIN the Vols .. ESPN routinely doesn't take futures down when they need to btw .. fyi .. also hit OSU -1.5 and ML vs Texas on the fan dual look ahead last week when it came out and again while ASU was taking it to the Horns .. Fan left that up was another mistake .. Hard to tell anyone to lay the 6 esp when playing in the cotton bowl but gun to head its bucks for sure .. the 'hypo' natty on Czr's shows us OSU -7.5 vs ND and -8.5 vs PSU, my hope there was something under a TD for those .. the nice thing about that is if OSU doesn't make it they refund you .. however I think OSU does make the natty and given the current line vs the Horns and early look ahead's over a TD getting +odds of any kind seems like the way to go .. Circa moved this down after my bet to -110 now but shop around there might be +105 I'd go as low as -105 .. the reason is I can't see Bucks win vs the horns by any amount hurting their outlook and really PSU/ND have to show off some kindof ability on offense to get in and it seems like a huge rock fight .. very possible if bucks make the natty they are closer to -10 so just playing now via the futures market .. good luck!
PROPS
SEMIS Q.WISNER (TEX) UNDER 69.5 RUSH YDS Q.EWERS (TEX) UNDER 242.5 PASS YDS
CFP NATTY MVP: JEREMIAH SMITH 24-1 .. hit again at 8-1 .. TYLER WARREN 26-1
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NATTY
OHIO STATE +115 (CIRCA)
Hit this 5-1 on ESPN as bucks were SMOKIN the Vols .. ESPN routinely doesn't take futures down when they need to btw .. fyi .. also hit OSU -1.5 and ML vs Texas on the fan dual look ahead last week when it came out and again while ASU was taking it to the Horns .. Fan left that up was another mistake .. Hard to tell anyone to lay the 6 esp when playing in the cotton bowl but gun to head its bucks for sure .. the 'hypo' natty on Czr's shows us OSU -7.5 vs ND and -8.5 vs PSU, my hope there was something under a TD for those .. the nice thing about that is if OSU doesn't make it they refund you .. however I think OSU does make the natty and given the current line vs the Horns and early look ahead's over a TD getting +odds of any kind seems like the way to go .. Circa moved this down after my bet to -110 now but shop around there might be +105 I'd go as low as -105 .. the reason is I can't see Bucks win vs the horns by any amount hurting their outlook and really PSU/ND have to show off some kindof ability on offense to get in and it seems like a huge rock fight .. very possible if bucks make the natty they are closer to -10 so just playing now via the futures market .. good luck!
PROPS
SEMIS Q.WISNER (TEX) UNDER 69.5 RUSH YDS Q.EWERS (TEX) UNDER 242.5 PASS YDS
CFP NATTY MVP: JEREMIAH SMITH 24-1 .. hit again at 8-1 .. TYLER WARREN 26-1
Strong lean to the UNDER in Buckeyes game..... I don't know if Texas can score more than 21 on the Buckeyes, when the DUCKS score 21 and I sure like the Ducks QB and RBs better than I like Texas unit. Also, this will be the 2nd time Texas big Oline will be bullied big time with Georgia doing it 2x and Georgia D-line not as good as Buckeyes
I see a 30-21 game at most....and likely 33 - 20 push at worst.....and most likely 27 -20 and final for the Buckeyes because I am torn here in loving Texas defense but recognizing they have to be under threat in many positions against an NFL style offense.
I like your prop bets Bridge
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
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Strong lean to the UNDER in Buckeyes game..... I don't know if Texas can score more than 21 on the Buckeyes, when the DUCKS score 21 and I sure like the Ducks QB and RBs better than I like Texas unit. Also, this will be the 2nd time Texas big Oline will be bullied big time with Georgia doing it 2x and Georgia D-line not as good as Buckeyes
I see a 30-21 game at most....and likely 33 - 20 push at worst.....and most likely 27 -20 and final for the Buckeyes because I am torn here in loving Texas defense but recognizing they have to be under threat in many positions against an NFL style offense.
Yeah I don't disagree there however there are two offenses that can score from distance and while buckeyes stomped on oregon in round 2 and Tenn murdering 2 good run games there is some room for this to go a little more tit for tat with the quality of the WR's playing and buckeys do have some weakness at CB .. Oregon was able to put a deep ball down the field in rd 1 but think its fair to say Chip was either saving their best heat for the playoff or something clicked over .. or both .. they reallly know how to use those WR's now so that could make the total sweat a little if either gets to a neck stomping position opponent starts taking big desperate gambles in their own territory vs those top quality D's .. just a thought there ...
I think there is somewhat of an in-game play to be had we've seen the Bucks D give up longer drives on the first couple series or so sometimes giving up a score .. Indy, Mich St, NU, Akron, Marshall, Penn St, Mich, etc .. all had at least one early drive most landed points .. couple folks mentioned that vs Indy they played their base D before the DC dialed up the pressures and outside of Oregon the D slammed the door on em .. maybe we wait 1-2 possessions and see if we can't get UT's TT under at a reasonable odds north of 28 maybe algos move it to 30 quickly and total maybe to low 60's if things go back/forth early .. the tot is def a bit depressed under the strength of the D's but that perception can change real quick .. always hard to time these things but def like the idea of finding a way to play UT's TT under after some early success ..
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@Last2thirst
Yeah I don't disagree there however there are two offenses that can score from distance and while buckeyes stomped on oregon in round 2 and Tenn murdering 2 good run games there is some room for this to go a little more tit for tat with the quality of the WR's playing and buckeys do have some weakness at CB .. Oregon was able to put a deep ball down the field in rd 1 but think its fair to say Chip was either saving their best heat for the playoff or something clicked over .. or both .. they reallly know how to use those WR's now so that could make the total sweat a little if either gets to a neck stomping position opponent starts taking big desperate gambles in their own territory vs those top quality D's .. just a thought there ...
I think there is somewhat of an in-game play to be had we've seen the Bucks D give up longer drives on the first couple series or so sometimes giving up a score .. Indy, Mich St, NU, Akron, Marshall, Penn St, Mich, etc .. all had at least one early drive most landed points .. couple folks mentioned that vs Indy they played their base D before the DC dialed up the pressures and outside of Oregon the D slammed the door on em .. maybe we wait 1-2 possessions and see if we can't get UT's TT under at a reasonable odds north of 28 maybe algos move it to 30 quickly and total maybe to low 60's if things go back/forth early .. the tot is def a bit depressed under the strength of the D's but that perception can change real quick .. always hard to time these things but def like the idea of finding a way to play UT's TT under after some early success ..
that's the idea.. I feel good the bucks are the team to ride .. are the odds fair at even money now? I think so assuming they're at least a TD fav in the natty .. they're -6 / -235 ML vs UT so north of -240 in the natty means we're on par if we just went ML this week and rolled it over .. we're locked in and lose the ability to walk away if there's a sig injury yeah but all things equal feels like OSU is in solid shape injury-wise and ND or PSU seem more likely to have that issue .. injuries aside I think decent chance for the Natty line to end up well north of a TD the books already moved UT considerably from OSU -1.5 to now -6! .. if bucks look good covering that then hard to imagine the PR's don't adjust again move the line up past what's now being projected .. maybe the one plausible scenario is if Penn State's offense just goes HAM running all over ND poppin big plays to Warren and beats em big that would make me question a larger line for sure but I don't think we see that .. if the line ends over a TD then we'll still gain the ability to hedge out for +50% profit and/or play around middling w the bigger spread .. also would imagine the algos will be quick to jump OSU's way early on even if they put a couple first downs together or can get PSU/ND off the field on their first drive bucks money will be coming in quick they'll get ahead of it .. just alot to like about being on the Bucks side sooner than later IMO .. all that said .. they got a big job to do this week .. fingers xx'd
0
@lmb4321
that's the idea.. I feel good the bucks are the team to ride .. are the odds fair at even money now? I think so assuming they're at least a TD fav in the natty .. they're -6 / -235 ML vs UT so north of -240 in the natty means we're on par if we just went ML this week and rolled it over .. we're locked in and lose the ability to walk away if there's a sig injury yeah but all things equal feels like OSU is in solid shape injury-wise and ND or PSU seem more likely to have that issue .. injuries aside I think decent chance for the Natty line to end up well north of a TD the books already moved UT considerably from OSU -1.5 to now -6! .. if bucks look good covering that then hard to imagine the PR's don't adjust again move the line up past what's now being projected .. maybe the one plausible scenario is if Penn State's offense just goes HAM running all over ND poppin big plays to Warren and beats em big that would make me question a larger line for sure but I don't think we see that .. if the line ends over a TD then we'll still gain the ability to hedge out for +50% profit and/or play around middling w the bigger spread .. also would imagine the algos will be quick to jump OSU's way early on even if they put a couple first downs together or can get PSU/ND off the field on their first drive bucks money will be coming in quick they'll get ahead of it .. just alot to like about being on the Bucks side sooner than later IMO .. all that said .. they got a big job to do this week .. fingers xx'd
Taking on -7 or better vs ND or PSU .. right now PSU is at 7.5 on fan, not worth it IMO ... DK has the best deal ND/OSU at -6.5 but the limits in my case are at 64 bucks, you guys can enjoy it .. the even money natty future for them is 63 cents .. pathetic .. I'll leave that for you guys but yeah I'd be all over it and DK's PSU/OSU -7 I'd play that as well ...
and just a note on injuries Jeremyah Love had injury issues last game and seen w a brace in practice limited in what they're having him do.. backup is solid but J-LOVE is elite top RB .. DL Cross re aggravated his ankle that kept him out late in the year and missed the late stages of the UGA game he also did practice but heavy tape on him .. also one of their best DL's Mills went OFY vs Indy .. ND's depth is surprisingly solid at these positions but another tough game to play we'll see .. can't have too many more DUDEs dinged up or injured .. OSU is in surprisingly good shape the OL was the concern all year but doing well recently .. outside of QB that's the one place we don't want any injuries to show up ..
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HYPO NATTY
ND / OHIO ST -7 (FAN)
Taking on -7 or better vs ND or PSU .. right now PSU is at 7.5 on fan, not worth it IMO ... DK has the best deal ND/OSU at -6.5 but the limits in my case are at 64 bucks, you guys can enjoy it .. the even money natty future for them is 63 cents .. pathetic .. I'll leave that for you guys but yeah I'd be all over it and DK's PSU/OSU -7 I'd play that as well ...
and just a note on injuries Jeremyah Love had injury issues last game and seen w a brace in practice limited in what they're having him do.. backup is solid but J-LOVE is elite top RB .. DL Cross re aggravated his ankle that kept him out late in the year and missed the late stages of the UGA game he also did practice but heavy tape on him .. also one of their best DL's Mills went OFY vs Indy .. ND's depth is surprisingly solid at these positions but another tough game to play we'll see .. can't have too many more DUDEs dinged up or injured .. OSU is in surprisingly good shape the OL was the concern all year but doing well recently .. outside of QB that's the one place we don't want any injuries to show up ..
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