CFB Picks and why

We had a very good bowl season - let's see if we can continue that into this season.   What I have found over the last several years when betting the first week of CFB - you can use the prior years ending numbers and this years opening line for handicapping.   Still you wanna becareful but there are opportunities to take advantage of.  Let's look at some numbers:

8   Col   41  112  98  26  

    Haw  101  83  123  81

Colo opens up as a 8 pt fav.  Currently hovering around 7.5.   Col ranks better in Total off. 41 vice 101.  Hawaii has a better Def 83 vice 112.  Col has a better sagarin rank and a better schedule strength.   Basically Col is better in 3 out of the 4 categories while Hawaii is only better in Total Def.   Historically when you have this situation along with an opening line of 8 - the home team covers the spread and very often wins the game su.

Thurs I'm taking:   1.  +7.5 Hawaii on the spread 2.  Hawaii m/l +250  3.   Under Mich game 46   4.  Over Az game 59

Good luck all and hope everyone has a great season.

Biscuit-longtime no see - back at ya

Jos - hopefully we will bring home the cash

Green - thanks for the  weather update - if Hawaii can keep it close that will be great and if they can win it su - even sweeter. Let's go Hawaii

Rleith - hopefully Hawaii will cover rain or shine - good luck buddy

Hoya, Green - thanks.

We went 4-0 yesterday to begin the season - let's see if we can get them tonite.  I like two games:

1. Under 52 Kent/ill game  2.   - 13 Boise st

Good luck all

TheHump - thanks.

Meat - not sure about that but very kind words - I  appreciate it.

Raider - yes...Hawaii m/l   was sweet - glad it worked out for us

Unfortunately Boise st – didn’t complete the job – record stands at 4-1.   Let’s look at some numbers:

       UL Mon  109  47  128   86  

35  Ga             31   17   5       8  

Ga opens up as a 35 pt fav currently around 36.   Ga dominates in all the categories – historically when you have this type of scenario – the away team somehow some way – gets the cover.    I’m on the side of history and taking Monroe.  

My plays for Sat:   1. Mon +36     2. Florida – 35.5   3.  Under 53 ucla gm     3.   Under 57.5 Aub gm 

4.  Ncstate -26    5.   Over 57.5 Okla gm  6. Ark.   -33.5    7. Fla. St  -29.5  8.  Under  48.5 Ala gm  9. USC – 28

Noosh - back at ya 

Good luck all.

rookie - no problem

mlb - back at ya