Day 15 and maybe last one for thread. Falcon Sports (Power Totals) 60-39 (+17.10 units) 60.60% Winners To win one unit on each at (-110) odds CFB (16-17) NHL (25-14) NFL (7-5) MLB (4-1) NBA (8-2) Fridays Power Totals Texas Over 8 Charlotte Under 225.5 Memphis Under 224.5 Boston Under 218 Cleveland Under 225.5 Chicago Under 218.5 Spurs Over 227.5 Utah Over 229 Sacramento Under 239.5 Washington Over 6 Vancouver Under 6.5 Model likes 11 of them today. Good luck Falcon Sports
First I wanted to thank you for all you do and for your posts. Very insightful and informative. I’ve been following since mid-Chase 1 and it’s been a heck of a ride!
Question: While I’ve followed the Chase, for these power picks, I know they are 1 unit each. But based on your model, are some better than others? Are they in any specific order? I don’t bet a lot of games and tend to only pick a few, which is why I’m asking. Thanks again!
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Quote Originally Posted by MITM:
Day 15 and maybe last one for thread. Falcon Sports (Power Totals) 60-39 (+17.10 units) 60.60% Winners To win one unit on each at (-110) odds CFB (16-17) NHL (25-14) NFL (7-5) MLB (4-1) NBA (8-2) Fridays Power Totals Texas Over 8 Charlotte Under 225.5 Memphis Under 224.5 Boston Under 218 Cleveland Under 225.5 Chicago Under 218.5 Spurs Over 227.5 Utah Over 229 Sacramento Under 239.5 Washington Over 6 Vancouver Under 6.5 Model likes 11 of them today. Good luck Falcon Sports
First I wanted to thank you for all you do and for your posts. Very insightful and informative. I’ve been following since mid-Chase 1 and it’s been a heck of a ride!
Question: While I’ve followed the Chase, for these power picks, I know they are 1 unit each. But based on your model, are some better than others? Are they in any specific order? I don’t bet a lot of games and tend to only pick a few, which is why I’m asking. Thanks again!
Every play in here, I've been personally betting to win $100 and recording them here as one unit plays.
In the Power Totals Chase, I'm using my best ones, in a one at a time format. I'm playing to win $50 on the Chase but I'm betting the Chase plays on the side as well for much larger wagers.
Hope that answers your questions, if not keep asking.
I personally love betting larger in the one at a time format but I also can't ignore whats going on in this thread.
I look at tomorrow and I know I'm going to be tied up for about 2-3 hours working.
I have to update everything after every game. Its a MUST that I keep the model very current. Then I must run each game through my 8 step formula. Then once I do that, I have my Power Total for each game. Then I must line shop to get my plays. Then I must bet my plays at the best book. Then I put them on Twitter, then I email about 10 close people in this business with my plays. Then I post them on Covers.
Its a process and I'm just not sure how badly I want this job. I'm retired these days for the most part.
I'm just torn what to do right now.
Falcon Sports
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@Litig8r
Every play in here, I've been personally betting to win $100 and recording them here as one unit plays.
In the Power Totals Chase, I'm using my best ones, in a one at a time format. I'm playing to win $50 on the Chase but I'm betting the Chase plays on the side as well for much larger wagers.
Hope that answers your questions, if not keep asking.
I personally love betting larger in the one at a time format but I also can't ignore whats going on in this thread.
I look at tomorrow and I know I'm going to be tied up for about 2-3 hours working.
I have to update everything after every game. Its a MUST that I keep the model very current. Then I must run each game through my 8 step formula. Then once I do that, I have my Power Total for each game. Then I must line shop to get my plays. Then I must bet my plays at the best book. Then I put them on Twitter, then I email about 10 close people in this business with my plays. Then I post them on Covers.
Its a process and I'm just not sure how badly I want this job. I'm retired these days for the most part.
If u knew my exact Power Total for each game, u may see which are stronger but I won't share those numbers on a public forum, at least not daily.
Here is my scale for the difference to initiate a play in each sport.
NHL (0.75) goals
MLB (1.00) runs
NFL (3.00) pts
CFB (5.00) pts
NBA (5.00) pts
CBB (5.00) pts
Thats the difference needed between my Mathematical Total and the books Perceived posted Total.
This is all about me believing that the better Total is the true Mathematical Total. Most times the book has a great number but its my belief they are off at times. They are trying to draw action on both sides and not simply setting the True Mathematical Total.
I believe the True Mathematical Total is the better number at least 55% of the time and u can see the results in my posted plays right here.
Falcon Sports
1
@Litig8r
If u knew my exact Power Total for each game, u may see which are stronger but I won't share those numbers on a public forum, at least not daily.
Here is my scale for the difference to initiate a play in each sport.
NHL (0.75) goals
MLB (1.00) runs
NFL (3.00) pts
CFB (5.00) pts
NBA (5.00) pts
CBB (5.00) pts
Thats the difference needed between my Mathematical Total and the books Perceived posted Total.
This is all about me believing that the better Total is the true Mathematical Total. Most times the book has a great number but its my belief they are off at times. They are trying to draw action on both sides and not simply setting the True Mathematical Total.
I believe the True Mathematical Total is the better number at least 55% of the time and u can see the results in my posted plays right here.
@Last2thirst I've been to Vegas a couple of times. I stayed at the Mirage once. Very nice hotel. Also, liked popping into the Bellagio as well! I think we gambled a bit there too. So so many years ago! I probably wouldn't go back now though. I've heard it's changed alot. (not for the better) Sorry, Falcon, I hope I didn't clutter your thread...
At TDHCentral, I was there in 2017 and 2018 with my wife and a group who always did Ironman training.....not me, them haha
I enjoyed being outside of Vegas, seeing it and then driving into the fray......thoroughly enjoyed the visit there and the region around it including drives and time spent in the desert and over the border to see Death Valley. I have an earth science background so to be in that region was spectacular!
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
1
Quote Originally Posted by TDHCentral:
@Last2thirst I've been to Vegas a couple of times. I stayed at the Mirage once. Very nice hotel. Also, liked popping into the Bellagio as well! I think we gambled a bit there too. So so many years ago! I probably wouldn't go back now though. I've heard it's changed alot. (not for the better) Sorry, Falcon, I hope I didn't clutter your thread...
At TDHCentral, I was there in 2017 and 2018 with my wife and a group who always did Ironman training.....not me, them haha
I enjoyed being outside of Vegas, seeing it and then driving into the fray......thoroughly enjoyed the visit there and the region around it including drives and time spent in the desert and over the border to see Death Valley. I have an earth science background so to be in that region was spectacular!
Thanks again for taking the time to explain it all to me. I try not to fill your thread with a bunch of questions, but I really appreciate the insight. BOL today and throughout the Chase!!
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@MITM
Thanks again for taking the time to explain it all to me. I try not to fill your thread with a bunch of questions, but I really appreciate the insight. BOL today and throughout the Chase!!
we all have brainfarts man. I totally forgot nfl game was on yesterday. If you have the time to reply that sentence, a simple NFL would have been nice.
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Quote Originally Posted by TBLbolts:
@Neutronz916 r u REALLY asking that question?
we all have brainfarts man. I totally forgot nfl game was on yesterday. If you have the time to reply that sentence, a simple NFL would have been nice.
Ok guys, Fridays update and plays are in post #326.
This will take me to 110 plays in this thread. I'll keep it going until at least 150 plays are in it.
Please remember my win rate goal here is 55% Winners.
Tomorrow I will be playing the professional sports as always but I'm going to try and limit my college football plays to just a handful of the better ones. I'm not going to do the work to get everyone of them. I just don't have it in me.
But ill be here tomorrow and until 150 plays are recorded, then we will see how the record looks.
Good luck tonight guys
Falcon Sports
1
Ok guys, Fridays update and plays are in post #326.
This will take me to 110 plays in this thread. I'll keep it going until at least 150 plays are in it.
Please remember my win rate goal here is 55% Winners.
Tomorrow I will be playing the professional sports as always but I'm going to try and limit my college football plays to just a handful of the better ones. I'm not going to do the work to get everyone of them. I just don't have it in me.
But ill be here tomorrow and until 150 plays are recorded, then we will see how the record looks.
@Last2thirst We had a friend who lived in Vegas who took us to Red Rock Canyon, and that was gorgeous!! We had a great time!
Hey TDH, my wife did her bike training in there while her friend's husband and I did all kinds of photos and I scoured the ground for gold or other precious metal 'clues' on the ground. I think in a couple instances, I was blown away by a scorpion, rattlesnake or incredible sedimentary layer colored so beautifully, it took my breathe away.
I told my wife that I could live in Henderson and around there no problem (except for summer heat haha)
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
1
Quote Originally Posted by TDHCentral:
@Last2thirst We had a friend who lived in Vegas who took us to Red Rock Canyon, and that was gorgeous!! We had a great time!
Hey TDH, my wife did her bike training in there while her friend's husband and I did all kinds of photos and I scoured the ground for gold or other precious metal 'clues' on the ground. I think in a couple instances, I was blown away by a scorpion, rattlesnake or incredible sedimentary layer colored so beautifully, it took my breathe away.
I told my wife that I could live in Henderson and around there no problem (except for summer heat haha)
Keep it going!!!!! I think you could at least sustain 55 % plus.. maybe more! I was just perusing your NBA totals, so far, as they complete. I mean, unless you decide you aren't willing to share, it's up to you! I think most of us truly appreciate you posting all this for us. It's up to you whether you want to continue. I'd love for you to continue!
1
@MITM
Keep it going!!!!! I think you could at least sustain 55 % plus.. maybe more! I was just perusing your NBA totals, so far, as they complete. I mean, unless you decide you aren't willing to share, it's up to you! I think most of us truly appreciate you posting all this for us. It's up to you whether you want to continue. I'd love for you to continue!
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