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Posts: 111

weimar74

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Joined: Nov, 2007

Posts: 1326

Posted: Jan. 1, 2013 - 4:53 PM ET #76

im an idiot by the way - hogan is qb now. on stan also - go cards

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Jfox6546

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Joined: Aug, 2012

Posts: 2483

Posted: Jan. 1, 2013 - 4:54 PM ET #77

Quote Originally Posted by atovar01:

Any thoughts on the rose bowl under??

Was gonna take under for a unit, but I don't like playing totals when I have a side in a game.

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WakeAndRake

Banned

Joined: Aug, 2012

Posts: 291

Posted: Jan. 1, 2013 - 4:54 PM ET #78

Quote Originally Posted by Jfox6546:

Was gonna take under for a unit, but I don't like playing totals when I have a side in a game.

Interesting, why not?

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deweyby3

Veteran

Joined: Feb, 2007

Posts: 2145

Posted: Jan. 1, 2013 - 4:55 PM ET #79

Have a great new year

cant wait for NFL playoffs

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holydiver

Banned

Joined: Jun, 2012

Posts: 4987

Posted: Jan. 1, 2013 - 5:02 PM ET #80

BOL FOXX I AM ALL OVER THE UNDER I AM AFRAID OF WISKY WITH A POSSIBLE LATE GAME COVER SO I AM POUNDING THE UNDER 47

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BPosey28

Prospect

Joined: Dec, 2012

Posts: 271

Posted: Jan. 1, 2013 - 5:03 PM ET #81

Hey Fox,

I know a write up should come near game time but which way are you leaning for the NIU / Florida State game?

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wiggins

Captain

Joined: Aug, 2006

Posts: 8740

Posted: Jan. 1, 2013 - 5:03 PM ET #82

any lean on the late game? keep up the good work.

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Jfox6546

Veteran

Joined: Aug, 2012

Posts: 2483

Posted: Jan. 1, 2013 - 5:03 PM ET #83

Quote Originally Posted by WakeAndRake:

Interesting, why not?

IMO totals hold a lot more of unpredictable variability to cap than do sides. If im confident with side, I don't see any reason to make a total play on the same game. For myself, it would just be smarter to increase the units I have on the side play. I don't want to win a side play, and then the total play lose, and decrease my winnings on the side. Just my thought.

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Jfox6546

Veteran

Joined: Aug, 2012

Posts: 2483

Posted: Jan. 1, 2013 - 5:05 PM ET #84

Quote Originally Posted by wiggins:

any lean on the late game? keep up the good work.

Woof woof

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wiggins

Captain

Joined: Aug, 2006

Posts: 8740

Posted: Jan. 1, 2013 - 5:07 PM ET #85

Quote Originally Posted by Jfox6546:

Woof woof

perfect

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loureed

Prospect

Joined: Dec, 2010

Posts: 208

Posted: Jan. 1, 2013 - 5:07 PM ET #86

glad to see you like the dog in the late game jfox; always enjoy reading your thoughts and seeing what sides your on. keep up the great run.

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arubadk

Veteran

Joined: Dec, 2009

Posts: 1010

Posted: Jan. 1, 2013 - 5:09 PM ET #87

sc wins we deserve th t doesn t make up for duke c mich b green

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Jfox6546

Veteran

Joined: Aug, 2012

Posts: 2483

Posted: Jan. 1, 2013 - 5:10 PM ET #88

Quote Originally Posted by wiggins:

perfect

Spread max bet, Ml 1u. Write up coming

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Drbug2000

Prospect

Joined: Dec, 2012

Posts: 84

Posted: Jan. 1, 2013 - 5:23 PM ET #89

Awesome job Fox!!!

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Jfox6546

Veteran

Joined: Aug, 2012

Posts: 2483

Posted: Jan. 1, 2013 - 6:23 PM ET #90

ORANGE BOWL

$2000 Northern Illinois +14.5

$500 Northern Illinois ML (+425)

A lot to break down in this game so here we go.

Motivation Factor:

First is the motivation factor. This always plays an important role in college Bowl games and it's no different here. NIU will surely have the advantage in wanting to be in this game. A long shot in the first place to even get to this game, NIU has been hearing for a month of how they don't deserve to be in this game. I can assure you for how much they lack some talent in this game, motivation and intensity will make up for some of it.

Game in the trenches:

As most would expect Fl St. on paper has the advantage talent wise on both sides of the ball. But IMO it's not a huge advantage. NIU has proven through out this year that they have a very good front four and the ability to slow down a power running game. There is no doubt that FL St. is going to try and establish the run game in this game, and will probably end up with 40 carries on the ground. Fl st does have a good running game by committee, but they don't have a stand out rb, which may limit them a bit. The front 4 defensively for Fl. St. also lost a key DE late in the year in Carradine and his play may be limited in this one tonight. This puts a lot of pressure on on Freshman DE's Edwards and Newberry. Their inexperience may prove costly tonight if they don't maintain gap integrity, because Jordan Lynch will take advantage and run the ball when he has the chance. The main difference between both these team in the trenches is their depth. FL St. has the depth to rotate lineman and stay active for 4 Qtrs. Any early injuries to the line of NIU on either side of the ball may be very costly in the long run of the game.

WR And Secondary Play:

Again FL St. on paper def has the advantage at the WR position. They have more depth and overall speed as well. NIU does do a very good job at flooding zones and finding soft spots in the defense, and FL St's corners have shown to be overly aggressive at times, which leads to some big plays overtop. The difference for the most part here will be the decision making of the respective QB to find the open man. NIU strength in defense is probably their secondary and the ability to get after the QB and force interceptions, and with Manuel for Florida St, he has shown his vulnerability to turning it over, whether it being stripped sacked or throwing int. If NIU can win the turnover margin, which I think they will, they have a very good chance at pulling the upset tonight.

QB Play:

The most important position in football today has to be the QB position. I give the advantage to NIU here and this is why I think they win the game tonight. A good QB can mask all the other deficiencies a team has. Jordan Lynch is the leader of this team and he makes smart decision on the field. He only has 5 Int this year and can beat you with his arm or legs. He knows he must get the ball out of his hands quickly and take what the defense gives him. I think NIU will do just that tonight. They will look to do a lot of speed plays to the outside and spread the field out offensively. This will limit some of the size FL St has upfront as well as open up some running lanes for Lynch. Lynch makes everyone on his team better, and he will carry them tonight once again. Manual has been mediocre all year, and I have no reason to believe it will be any different tonight. He turns the ball over too much and although he can pull the ball down and run it, he doesn't make many defenders miss in the open field. NIU has some speed at the defensive end position and Manual has shown he doesn't feel backside pressure very well. Look for NIU to bring some blitzes from the backside and try and force some strip sacks tonight. Manual has shown he can make all the throws, but he's very inconsistent in doing so and has been inaccurate all year.

I think the difference tonight will be Lynch outplaying Manual and I have NIU with the huge upset tonight. May I also add that both teams are very good on special teams in this one. FL ST. does have the Slight advantage with the Fg kicker who will be playing on Sundays, but the NIU kicker has been very good all year as well. Should be a very good back and forth game. NIU wins 27-26

0

ORANGE BOWL

$2000 Northern Illinois +14.5

$500 Northern Illinois ML (+425)

A lot to break down in this game so here we go.

Motivation Factor:

First is the motivation factor. This always plays an important role in college Bowl games and it's no different here. NIU will surely have the advantage in wanting to be in this game. A long shot in the first place to even get to this game, NIU has been hearing for a month of how they don't deserve to be in this game. I can assure you for how much they lack some talent in this game, motivation and intensity will make up for some of it.

Game in the trenches:

As most would expect Fl St. on paper has the advantage talent wise on both sides of the ball. But IMO it's not a huge advantage. NIU has proven through out this year that they have a very good front four and the ability to slow down a power running game. There is no doubt that FL St. is going to try and establish the run game in this game, and will probably end up with 40 carries on the ground. Fl st does have a good running game by committee, but they don't have a stand out rb, which may limit them a bit. The front 4 defensively for Fl. St. also lost a key DE late in the year in Carradine and his play may be limited in this one tonight. This puts a lot of pressure on on Freshman DE's Edwards and Newberry. Their inexperience may prove costly tonight if they don't maintain gap integrity, because Jordan Lynch will take advantage and run the ball when he has the chance. The main difference between both these team in the trenches is their depth. FL St. has the depth to rotate lineman and stay active for 4 Qtrs. Any early injuries to the line of NIU on either side of the ball may be very costly in the long run of the game.

WR And Secondary Play:

Again FL St. on paper def has the advantage at the WR position. They have more depth and overall speed as well. NIU does do a very good job at flooding zones and finding soft spots in the defense, and FL St's corners have shown to be overly aggressive at times, which leads to some big plays overtop. The difference for the most part here will be the decision making of the respective QB to find the open man. NIU strength in defense is probably their secondary and the ability to get after the QB and force interceptions, and with Manuel for Florida St, he has shown his vulnerability to turning it over, whether it being stripped sacked or throwing int. If NIU can win the turnover margin, which I think they will, they have a very good chance at pulling the upset tonight.

QB Play:

The most important position in football today has to be the QB position. I give the advantage to NIU here and this is why I think they win the game tonight. A good QB can mask all the other deficiencies a team has. Jordan Lynch is the leader of this team and he makes smart decision on the field. He only has 5 Int this year and can beat you with his arm or legs. He knows he must get the ball out of his hands quickly and take what the defense gives him. I think NIU will do just that tonight. They will look to do a lot of speed plays to the outside and spread the field out offensively. This will limit some of the size FL St has upfront as well as open up some running lanes for Lynch. Lynch makes everyone on his team better, and he will carry them tonight once again. Manual has been mediocre all year, and I have no reason to believe it will be any different tonight. He turns the ball over too much and although he can pull the ball down and run it, he doesn't make many defenders miss in the open field. NIU has some speed at the defensive end position and Manual has shown he doesn't feel backside pressure very well. Look for NIU to bring some blitzes from the backside and try and force some strip sacks tonight. Manual has shown he can make all the throws, but he's very inconsistent in doing so and has been inaccurate all year.

I think the difference tonight will be Lynch outplaying Manual and I have NIU with the huge upset tonight. May I also add that both teams are very good on special teams in this one. FL ST. does have the Slight advantage with the Fg kicker who will be playing on Sundays, but the NIU kicker has been very good all year as well. Should be a very good back and forth game. NIU wins 27-26

dbledee

Banned

Joined: Aug, 2010

Posts: 402

Posted: Jan. 1, 2013 - 6:30 PM ET #91

best of luck fox! Lets get this money

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TrojanTodd

Captain

Joined: Oct, 2006

Posts: 5805

Posted: Jan. 1, 2013 - 6:30 PM ET #92

Like it....woof woof!

0

pimpudottcom

Veteran

Joined: Apr, 2007

Posts: 1264

Posted: Jan. 1, 2013 - 6:54 PM ET #93

Best of luck Fox

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atovar01

Prospect

Joined: Apr, 2009

Posts: 58

Posted: Jan. 1, 2013 - 7:13 PM ET #94

Gut feeling was telling me No. Illinois and you just helped me lock it FOX lets make some cash!!!!

0

CRS

Captain

Joined: Nov, 2007

Posts: 5620

Posted: Jan. 1, 2013 - 7:19 PM ET #95

Quote Originally Posted by Jfox6546:

ORANGE BOWL

$2000 Northern Illinois +14.5

$500 Northern Illinois ML (+425)

A lot to break down in this game so here we go.

Motivation Factor:

First is the motivation factor. This always plays an important role in college Bowl games and it's no different here. NIU will surely have the advantage in wanting to be in this game. A long shot in the first place to even get to this game, NIU has been hearing for a month of how they don't deserve to be in this game. I can assure you for how much they lack some talent in this game, motivation and intensity will make up for some of it.

Game in the trenches:

As most would expect Fl St. on paper has the advantage talent wise on both sides of the ball. But IMO it's not a huge advantage. NIU has proven through out this year that they have a very good front four and the ability to slow down a power running game. There is no doubt that FL St. is going to try and establish the run game in this game, and will probably end up with 40 carries on the ground. Fl st does have a good running game by committee, but they don't have a stand out rb, which may limit them a bit. The front 4 defensively for Fl. St. also lost a key DE late in the year in Carradine and his play may be limited in this one tonight. This puts a lot of pressure on on Freshman DE's Edwards and Newberry. Their inexperience may prove costly tonight if they don't maintain gap integrity, because Jordan Lynch will take advantage and run the ball when he has the chance. The main difference between both these team in the trenches is their depth. FL St. has the depth to rotate lineman and stay active for 4 Qtrs. Any early injuries to the line of NIU on either side of the ball may be very costly in the long run of the game.

WR And Secondary Play:

Again FL St. on paper def has the advantage at the WR position. They have more depth and overall speed as well. NIU does do a very good job at flooding zones and finding soft spots in the defense, and FL St's corners have shown to be overly aggressive at times, which leads to some big plays overtop. The difference for the most part here will be the decision making of the respective QB to find the open man. NIU strength in defense is probably their secondary and the ability to get after the QB and force interceptions, and with Manuel for Florida St, he has shown his vulnerability to turning it over, whether it being stripped sacked or throwing int. If NIU can win the turnover margin, which I think they will, they have a very good chance at pulling the upset tonight.

QB Play:

The most important position in football today has to be the QB position. I give the advantage to NIU here and this is why I think they win the game tonight. A good QB can mask all the other deficiencies a team has. Jordan Lynch is the leader of this team and he makes smart decision on the field. He only has 5 Int this year and can beat you with his arm or legs. He knows he must get the ball out of his hands quickly and take what the defense gives him. I think NIU will do just that tonight. They will look to do a lot of speed plays to the outside and spread the field out offensively. This will limit some of the size FL St has upfront as well as open up some running lanes for Lynch. Lynch makes everyone on his team better, and he will carry them tonight once again. Manual has been mediocre all year, and I have no reason to believe it will be any different tonight. He turns the ball over too much and although he can pull the ball down and run it, he doesn't make many defenders miss in the open field. NIU has some speed at the defensive end position and Manual has shown he doesn't feel backside pressure very well. Look for NIU to bring some blitzes from the backside and try and force some strip sacks tonight. Manual has shown he can make all the throws, but he's very inconsistent in doing so and has been inaccurate all year.

I think the difference tonight will be Lynch outplaying Manual and I have NIU with the huge upset tonight. May I also add that both teams are very good on special teams in this one. FL ST. does have the Slight advantage with the Fg kicker who will be playing on Sundays, but the NIU kicker has been very good all year as well. Should be a very good back and forth game. NIU wins 27-26

Spot On Jfox........Florida under achieves in these situations. Let's roll with No. Ill

0

Quote Originally Posted by Jfox6546:

ORANGE BOWL

$2000 Northern Illinois +14.5

$500 Northern Illinois ML (+425)

A lot to break down in this game so here we go.

Motivation Factor:

First is the motivation factor. This always plays an important role in college Bowl games and it's no different here. NIU will surely have the advantage in wanting to be in this game. A long shot in the first place to even get to this game, NIU has been hearing for a month of how they don't deserve to be in this game. I can assure you for how much they lack some talent in this game, motivation and intensity will make up for some of it.

Game in the trenches:

As most would expect Fl St. on paper has the advantage talent wise on both sides of the ball. But IMO it's not a huge advantage. NIU has proven through out this year that they have a very good front four and the ability to slow down a power running game. There is no doubt that FL St. is going to try and establish the run game in this game, and will probably end up with 40 carries on the ground. Fl st does have a good running game by committee, but they don't have a stand out rb, which may limit them a bit. The front 4 defensively for Fl. St. also lost a key DE late in the year in Carradine and his play may be limited in this one tonight. This puts a lot of pressure on on Freshman DE's Edwards and Newberry. Their inexperience may prove costly tonight if they don't maintain gap integrity, because Jordan Lynch will take advantage and run the ball when he has the chance. The main difference between both these team in the trenches is their depth. FL St. has the depth to rotate lineman and stay active for 4 Qtrs. Any early injuries to the line of NIU on either side of the ball may be very costly in the long run of the game.

WR And Secondary Play:

Again FL St. on paper def has the advantage at the WR position. They have more depth and overall speed as well. NIU does do a very good job at flooding zones and finding soft spots in the defense, and FL St's corners have shown to be overly aggressive at times, which leads to some big plays overtop. The difference for the most part here will be the decision making of the respective QB to find the open man. NIU strength in defense is probably their secondary and the ability to get after the QB and force interceptions, and with Manuel for Florida St, he has shown his vulnerability to turning it over, whether it being stripped sacked or throwing int. If NIU can win the turnover margin, which I think they will, they have a very good chance at pulling the upset tonight.

QB Play:

The most important position in football today has to be the QB position. I give the advantage to NIU here and this is why I think they win the game tonight. A good QB can mask all the other deficiencies a team has. Jordan Lynch is the leader of this team and he makes smart decision on the field. He only has 5 Int this year and can beat you with his arm or legs. He knows he must get the ball out of his hands quickly and take what the defense gives him. I think NIU will do just that tonight. They will look to do a lot of speed plays to the outside and spread the field out offensively. This will limit some of the size FL St has upfront as well as open up some running lanes for Lynch. Lynch makes everyone on his team better, and he will carry them tonight once again. Manual has been mediocre all year, and I have no reason to believe it will be any different tonight. He turns the ball over too much and although he can pull the ball down and run it, he doesn't make many defenders miss in the open field. NIU has some speed at the defensive end position and Manual has shown he doesn't feel backside pressure very well. Look for NIU to bring some blitzes from the backside and try and force some strip sacks tonight. Manual has shown he can make all the throws, but he's very inconsistent in doing so and has been inaccurate all year.

I think the difference tonight will be Lynch outplaying Manual and I have NIU with the huge upset tonight. May I also add that both teams are very good on special teams in this one. FL ST. does have the Slight advantage with the Fg kicker who will be playing on Sundays, but the NIU kicker has been very good all year as well. Should be a very good back and forth game. NIU wins 27-26

Spot On Jfox........Florida under achieves in these situations. Let's roll with No. Ill

holydiver

Banned

Joined: Jun, 2012

Posts: 4987

Posted: Jan. 1, 2013 - 7:40 PM ET #96

fox I have a question I reaize the huskies are sick of hearing that they do not belong. Now Fla St on the other hand has the talent and realizes whats at stake. Whats not to say that they don't come out and steam roll them Please note I am a big follower and supporter of you but I just don't see the huskies matching up against that army for 4 quarters. Bol to you buddy always

0

holydiver

Banned

Joined: Jun, 2012

Posts: 4987

Posted: Jan. 1, 2013 - 7:42 PM ET #97

fox I also like the under in the fla st game somewhere at 40 or low 40's

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Jfox6546

Veteran

Joined: Aug, 2012

Posts: 2483

Posted: Jan. 1, 2013 - 7:48 PM ET #98

Quote Originally Posted by holydiver:

fox I have a question I reaize the huskies are sick of hearing that they do not belong. Now Fla St on the other hand has the talent and realizes whats at stake. Whats not to say that they don't come out and steam roll them Please note I am a big follower and supporter of you but I just don't see the huskies matching up against that army for 4 quarters. Bol to you buddy always

What army!? Florida St is one of the most over rated teams IMO this season, besides USC. Beat one ranked team at home (Clemson), and got man handled against Florida. Lost to NC ST, and we saw that team get dominated by Vandy. Fl St gave up a bunch of late leads and hasn't beaten any decent team by more than 14 this year. So I'm taking the points here bro. If they come out and crush em so be it, but it will be very surprising to me, I like our chances with a 14.5 cushion.. BOL!

And im not a huge fan of totals. Its a be close on that total IMO.

0

holydiver

Banned

Joined: Jun, 2012

Posts: 4987

Posted: Jan. 1, 2013 - 8:01 PM ET #99

I understand about taking the points and everbody is. I just feel safer on the under and always follow you it's just a taboo I am feeling. bol to you tonight I will be routing for you

0

Jfox6546

Veteran

Joined: Aug, 2012

Posts: 2483

Posted: Jan. 1, 2013 - 8:07 PM ET #100

Quote Originally Posted by holydiver:

I understand about taking the points and everbody is. I just feel safer on the under and always follow you it's just a taboo I am feeling. bol to you tonight I will be routing for you

Both public and sharps are split on this one. BOL to u as well

0

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Fox's **New Years Day Picks and Anaysis**

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Fox's New Years Day Picks and Anaysis