Despite last night's debacle, I actually feel pretty good about this week's card. So here we go.
Friday Night Game:
USC @ Utah -2.5 (-120)
Saturday Early Games:
Georgia @ Mississippi -6.5 (-120) ** Best Bet **
East Carolina @ Virginia Tech OVER 56
Florida State @ South Florida UNDER 30.5 (1st Half)
Saturday Afternoon Games:
Florida @ Tennessee UNDER 21.5 (1st Half) ** Best Bet **
Florida +5 @ Tennessee
Florida ML +185 @ Tennessee
Auburn Team Total UNDER 20.5 ** Best Bet **
LSU -2.5 (-120) @ Auburn
Saturday Night Games:
Oklahoma State +8 @ Baylor ** Best Bet **
Oklahoma State ML +260 @ Baylor
South Carolina -2.5 @ Kentucky
Bowling Green +17 @ Memphis
Saturday Late Games:
California @ Arizona State -3 (-120)
Air Force -4.5 @ Utah State
Idaho @ UNLV -15.5
Yes, that's obviously suppose to be +2.5. I agree that Kentucky really shouldn't be favored in any conference game. I'll take a flyer on Muschamp here.
I actually didn't pick Arkansas State to beat Auburn. Nevertheless, LSU is the better team here. The play is only a gamble only because the village idiot Les Miles coaches LSU, and if he can figure out a way for LSU to blow the game, I'm sure we can count on him to do it.
I was torn between laying points with the village idiot, or rely on his ineptness by betting the UNDER. I think both are excellent plays, but ultimately I decided to lay the points, and play UNDER the Auburn team total.
Both defenses should enjoy a significant edge over both offenses. If there is any bright spot for either offense, it would be the LSU run game led by Leonard Fournette.
But what I feel best about in this game is that Auburn won't score many points, which has pretty much the case against every conference foe they've played since Nick Marshall left the program. I'm not sure what you are seeing here that would indicate that Auburn will score 3 or more touchdowns against a very stout LSU defense.
I agree with you. I took a close look at this game, and am convinced I'm on the right side.
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