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Kaplan's Week 6 Rolleater Picks

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Posted: #1
Week 1: 3-3
Week 2: 4-2
Week 3: 5-2-1
Week 4: 6-8
Week 5: 4-1
 
YTD: 22-16  (57.89%)
 
Good Luck Everybody.
 
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Posted: #2
Nice work Kaplan, I have been admiring your work. 
 
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Nebraska (-1)  1%

 
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Auburn (-2.5)
Purdue (+3.5)
Colorado State  (+7.5)
 
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Eastern Michigan  (+21.5)     1%
 
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Quote Originally Posted by tiasman:

Nice work Kaplan, I have been admiring your work. 

 

Thanks Brother. Gonna be a big week.

 
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Posted: #7
hopefully war eagle can get some for last year's disaster on the plains, BOL this week kap
 
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Kaplan, what made those 5 plays last week your main plays or is that all the games you gave out last week?
 
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Posted: #9
gl kaplan
 
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Posted: #10
Nice bounce last week Kap. This week looks solid. Could probably do without that Purdue game, but the rest look nice.
 
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Quote Originally Posted by PrimeTimeBoys:

Kaplan, what made those 5 plays last week your main plays or is that all the games you gave out last week?

 

Just depends. For the Washington game I had a line of -4.88. So betting the Huskies  catching 2 TD's was an easy choice. Same with Wisky. I had Minnesota +2 but they were laying 3. Pretty easy decision. Michigan was a little different situation. When it was around pick or MSU -1 I couldn't do anything with it with my line being MSU -1.3 (give or take), but once the line went to 3.5 and then 4 I felt like there was some value on Michigan. Obviously it was the wrong side as they got dominated the whole game. But in OT, if michigan doesn't have the missed tackle on 3rd and 7, MSU would have kicked the FG and given me the spread winner.

 

Usually I'm looking for a team with atleast 2 points difference in my spread and the Book's and a 57% or better chance to cover. By the time that Michigan line was around 4, I was giving the Wolves a 59% chance to cover, so they became a play.

 
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Man, I really hate to bet into your record. but NO WAY IN HELL does CSU hang witnin 14 of Utah IMHO
I do like NEB and AUB
 
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Quote Originally Posted by AtlFader:

Man, I really hate to bet into your record. but NO WAY IN HELL does CSU hang witnin 14 of Utah IMHO
I do like NEB and AUB

 

I hope you are wrong about CSU. Definately a scary pick.

 
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Kentucky  (+11)     1%
 
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Illinois  (+5)    1%
 
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Posted: #17
Good Luck this week Kaplan.
 
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Like Purdue and Kentucky A lot!!
 
 
 
 
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Quote Originally Posted by AtlFader:

Man, I really hate to bet into your record. but NO WAY IN HELL does CSU hang witnin 14 of Utah IMHO
I do like NEB and AUB

I took UTAH immediately at -6.5 on sunday night. I had this game capped at UTAH -15.

 
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Looks like you had another solid week Kaplan.  Keep up the good work I really think your offseason work is paying dividends right now.
 
 
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Illinois ? You're the only one I've seen who is on them. What makes you like them? Not being wise, just curious what makes them a play vs Michigan State. Juice got benched this week. I think MSU wins by 10.
 
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RedRockets/Centerpiece-
 
Bustin- Thanks Bro. It's still early, but it does seem to be paying off.
 
WinonSaturday- Only one of my 3 "sets" calls for MSU to cover this spread. The Ilini have sucked on offense, but the 3(1a) defenses they've played are giving up just 13.35 points per game. They are much better than they've shown, and Juice being on the bench is probably a plus for Illinois. I could be full of crap. It's just math to me. But I like it.
 
Current Card:
Purdue (+3.5)
Nebraska (-1)
Col. State (+7.5)
Auburn (-2.5)
EMU (+21.5)
Illinois (+5)
Kentucky (+11)
 
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RedRockets/Centerpiece-
 
Bustin- Thanks Bro. It's still early, but it does seem to be paying off.
 
WinonSaturday- Only one of my 3 "sets" calls for MSU to cover this spread. The Ilini have sucked on offense, but the 3(1a) defenses they've played are giving up just 13.35 points per game. They are much better than they've shown, and Juice being on the bench is probably a plus for Illinois. I could be full of crap. It's just math to me. But I like it.
 
Current Card:
Purdue (+3.5)
Nebraska (-1)
Col. State (+7.5)
Auburn (-2.5)
EMU (+21.5)
Illinois (+5)
Kentucky (+11)
 
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Adding: Washington (+3)
 
The Huskies sucked it up coming off the huge win vs USC. Hopefully it isn't as bad coming off the huge loss to ND. I've got the line at UW (+.38) with a 58.9% chance to cover the 3.
 
 
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Adding: Alabama (-4.5) Greek
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