thats how its done man!!!! congrats on your win. I was on it also numbers can be deceiving north texas had played some really tough teams so thats why they were a little down!!! congrats again though man!!! to us!!
0
thats how its done man!!!! congrats on your win. I was on it also numbers can be deceiving north texas had played some really tough teams so thats why they were a little down!!! congrats again though man!!! to us!!
I dont know a single thing about North Texas OR ULL -- except ULL steam moved from -23 last week to -30 against Tulane, and I took them at -27. They didnt cover the 30 but they covered for those who didnt jump on them too late. Only game on the board tn, public all over ULL again -- line movement was clearly not very favorable, hence the Tier II play; but it was the right play in the end. It was especially comforting when reading before tipoff various posts talking about how they couldnt touch NT with a 10-foot pole, and that they would never back such a team... Good indication for me to pull the trigger. Good job to you as well TonyMontana
0
I dont know a single thing about North Texas OR ULL -- except ULL steam moved from -23 last week to -30 against Tulane, and I took them at -27. They didnt cover the 30 but they covered for those who didnt jump on them too late. Only game on the board tn, public all over ULL again -- line movement was clearly not very favorable, hence the Tier II play; but it was the right play in the end. It was especially comforting when reading before tipoff various posts talking about how they couldnt touch NT with a 10-foot pole, and that they would never back such a team... Good indication for me to pull the trigger. Good job to you as well TonyMontana
whats ur opinion on 2 games tomm...oregon at asu,and houston at smu....i already locked in asu + 10 and houston - 5.5.....i even put a lil bit on asu ml + 290...your thoughts?
0
all....good call with n-tex last,nice hits!!
whats ur opinion on 2 games tomm...oregon at asu,and houston at smu....i already locked in asu + 10 and houston - 5.5.....i even put a lil bit on asu ml + 290...your thoughts?
Thanks guys.. insatiable, bluechips, bdc, MM, Rex, g37
As of right now, my obvious lean is Arizona State +8.5...
But there is one very important thing about this game that I dont like at all: ASU is not only ranked but are 5-1 ATS already. I would have preferred seeing Oregon at 5-1 ATS, and ASU at 2-4 ATS.
On the other hand, the line movement is pretty pretty beautiful, and Oregon being #2 in the country doesn't hurt. This is a game I think I will be able to read into a little more/better closer to game time.
0
Thanks guys.. insatiable, bluechips, bdc, MM, Rex, g37
As of right now, my obvious lean is Arizona State +8.5...
But there is one very important thing about this game that I dont like at all: ASU is not only ranked but are 5-1 ATS already. I would have preferred seeing Oregon at 5-1 ATS, and ASU at 2-4 ATS.
On the other hand, the line movement is pretty pretty beautiful, and Oregon being #2 in the country doesn't hurt. This is a game I think I will be able to read into a little more/better closer to game time.
Week 2: Home Favorite - Cincinnati covered ATS (public on Cin) Line opened at -3, went up to as high as -6, but closed around -5... line movement was right.
Week 3: Away Dog -- Rutgers covered ATS and won SU (public split between Rutgers and USF) Line dropped from -9.5 to -7.5 .... line movement was right.
Week 4: Away Dog - BYU covered ATS and lost SU (public on Boise St) Line dropped from -7.5 to -6.... line movement was right.
Week 5: Home Dog - Washington covered ATS and won SU (public on Stanford) Line didn't really do much, just hovered around -7.
Week 6: Only game that had any noticeable line movement was UCF vs. East Carolina, UCF dropped from -14 to -12, but public wasn't heavily on UCF. UCF covered ATS as home favorite. USC was the only ranked team that played, and Utah covered ATS as home dog that game.
Week 7: I got a little fooled myself and got stuck on Colorado not going to lie. But basically, Toledo was the only spread worth noting that moved and the line movement was right...
Week 8: Two games, both of which are reverse line movements, and both of which are home dogs. The ONLY thing that im worried about is the fact that so many underdogs have already covered ATS + won SU on these types of nights (as well as Wed and Fri nights). Something's gotta give.
Of the two games tomorrow night, I am actually more heavily leaning SMU than ASU. I like that SMU opened at +4.5, went all the way to +6.5, and then back down to +5/+4.5. In addition, Houston is riding a 3-game winning streak ATS, and SMU has a losing record ATS. Be back later with final plays.
0
THURSDAY NIGHT NCAAF GAMES:
Week 2: Home Favorite - Cincinnati covered ATS (public on Cin) Line opened at -3, went up to as high as -6, but closed around -5... line movement was right.
Week 3: Away Dog -- Rutgers covered ATS and won SU (public split between Rutgers and USF) Line dropped from -9.5 to -7.5 .... line movement was right.
Week 4: Away Dog - BYU covered ATS and lost SU (public on Boise St) Line dropped from -7.5 to -6.... line movement was right.
Week 5: Home Dog - Washington covered ATS and won SU (public on Stanford) Line didn't really do much, just hovered around -7.
Week 6: Only game that had any noticeable line movement was UCF vs. East Carolina, UCF dropped from -14 to -12, but public wasn't heavily on UCF. UCF covered ATS as home favorite. USC was the only ranked team that played, and Utah covered ATS as home dog that game.
Week 7: I got a little fooled myself and got stuck on Colorado not going to lie. But basically, Toledo was the only spread worth noting that moved and the line movement was right...
Week 8: Two games, both of which are reverse line movements, and both of which are home dogs. The ONLY thing that im worried about is the fact that so many underdogs have already covered ATS + won SU on these types of nights (as well as Wed and Fri nights). Something's gotta give.
Of the two games tomorrow night, I am actually more heavily leaning SMU than ASU. I like that SMU opened at +4.5, went all the way to +6.5, and then back down to +5/+4.5. In addition, Houston is riding a 3-game winning streak ATS, and SMU has a losing record ATS. Be back later with final plays.
Arizona state now +9.5 at my book. Play or no play?
I'm not touching that game. I dont like that ASU has already done so well this season ATS and at home. And Oregon, despite being #3 in the country, is by no means as good ATS. I would be all over ASU if it were the other way around.
On the other hand, Houston has covered 3 games in a row, and Southern Methodist lost as 18-point favorites just last week - I like the divergence in indicators presented by this game a lot more (in addition to the RLM)
0
Quote Originally Posted by justcover2win:
Arizona state now +9.5 at my book. Play or no play?
I'm not touching that game. I dont like that ASU has already done so well this season ATS and at home. And Oregon, despite being #3 in the country, is by no means as good ATS. I would be all over ASU if it were the other way around.
On the other hand, Houston has covered 3 games in a row, and Southern Methodist lost as 18-point favorites just last week - I like the divergence in indicators presented by this game a lot more (in addition to the RLM)
If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on
this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide
any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in
your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner
of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.