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NCAA Football Regular Season Wins discussion / week 1 thoughts

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Posted: #26
Quote Originally Posted by steponaduck:

Greetings and Salutations my friends, 

cannot wait for the season to start. here is my wish list of sorts for RSW plays, along with some of the lines I like in week 1.

South Alabama under (6)
Pitt under (7)
Kentucky under (5.5)
West Virginia under (8)
BYU under (8.5)
Western Ky under (9)
*UTSA under (5.5)
*UL Lafayette under (6.5)
*Colorado State under (6)
*Temple under (7)
*UAB under (4.5)
*CMU under (6.5) top lean of the plays listed.

Of course, this is a wish list for R.S.W. Plays, but if i get the number on the * rated plays, I do plan to lock in. will update leans and plays as we get closer to summer, into the thick of it. 

Week 1 leans (5Dimes -120 lines)

Rice +33
Purdue +20.5
Georgia Tech +6.5
Notre Dame -10.5
BYU +14.5
VT -2

hoping to get the discussion going. talk soon!



Purdue is up to +26 at 5Dimes.

 
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Posted: #27
I'm holding out, as it has already crossed a few key numbers, but may cross 28. I just have a feeling they come out swinging, scoring at least a few touchdowns, and I do think they have a chance to be quasi ompetitive in the second half. 49-28 type game. 

Should be very very high-scoring
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Posted: #28
First play locked in

WAKE FOREST -35 (-120). 1 unit play. 

PC has scored 20 total points in 6 games vs FBS opponents over the last 3 seasons. 

2014 vs NIU. LOSS 55-3
2014 vs NCST. LOSS 42-0
2014 vs Ole MISS. LOSS 48-0
2015 vs MIAMI OH. LOSS 26-7 
2016 vs Central Michigan. LOSS 49-3
2016 vs SOUTH ALABAMA. LOSS 31-7

I like where wake is headed offensively and believe this is a monumental talent disparity. Very likely PC scores 0, 3 or 7, and I'll make this bet believing wake is in the high 40s or 50s, not just at 42. 

Would also lean under or PC team total under but we will never see that offered. 

Until the wallet is full.
 
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Posted: #29
Adding. 

New Mexico State +26. I believe they can place 3 TDs on the Board. Maybe 4. 42-24 type score. LR3 is healthy and they should have improvement in the trenches as well (OL/DL). AZ state usually sleepwalks through these games. 
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Posted: #30
GOY plays:  (opponent) in ()

9/9. Fresno state +42.5. (Alabama)
9/16. Air Force +25.5. (Michigan)
9/16. Army +30. (Ohio state)
9/23. Old Dominion +22. (VT)
9/23. NC State +19.5. (Clemson)
9/23. Nevada +24.5. (Washington State)
9/29. Washington State +10. (USC)
10/14. Arkansas +28. (Alabama)
10/28. Georgia Tech +18.5. (Clemson)
11/18. Mercer +50. (Alabama)
11/25. West Virginia +21.5. (Oklahoma)


All -120 on the juicer.  Expect to go 7-4 at worst on these plays. Too many points in many of these spots. BUT... I'm also betting on some bad teams too!! GL guys. 

Until the wallet is full.
 
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Posted: #31
FCS "college extra" action
Delaware -35
North Dakota State -51
Montana -34
Citadel -30
Alcorn State -19.5

All -120. All 0.5u 
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Posted: #32
Quote Originally Posted by steponaduck:

HERE are my official 2017 College FB regular season wins plays, courtesy of the South Pointe Hotel and Casino in LV, NV. 

*Central Michigan under 7  -125
*BYU under 10   -125
*Georgia State under 6   -120
Southern Miss under 7.5   -120
Kansas State under 7.5    +110
Western Michigan under 9   -130
UNLV under 5.5   -120
Tulsa under 7.5   -110
Arkansas over 6  -110
Idaho over 4.5  -110

Looks like brad powers copied all of my RSW plays for his periodicals that come out. Yikes.  
Until the wallet is full.
 
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Posted: #33
Quote Originally Posted by steponaduck:

HERE are my official 2017 College FB regular season wins plays, courtesy of the South Pointe Hotel and Casino in LV, NV. 

*Central Michigan under 7  -125
*BYU under 10   -125
*Georgia State under 6   -120
Southern Miss under 7.5   -120
Kansas State under 7.5    +110
Western Michigan under 9   -130
UNLV under 5.5   -120
Tulsa under 7.5   -110
Arkansas over 6  -110
Idaho over 4.5  -110


Positive movement in favor of these plays. All but one. Current lines

CMU 6.5 -155u
BYU 9 -130u
Georgia State 5+100u
So Miss 7 -120u
KSU 8.5 +110u
WMU 8.5 -130u
UNLV 5.5 -135u
Tulsa 7.5 -170u
Arkansas 7 +125o
Idaho 4.5 -140o
Until the wallet is full.
 
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Posted: #34
Week 1 plays 

CSU vs Ore St o58.5


UB vs Minn o52
BC-2.5
Wake -35
New Mexico State +26
Nevada vs NW o54
App st +14.5
Ky -10
UTSA +14


Will play CCSU vs Syr over whatever number they release. If they release in the 50's. As Massey suggests, it will be MAXED out and parlayed with everything. 


Until the wallet is full.
 
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Posted: #35

Quote Originally Posted by steponaduck:

HERE are my official 2017 College FB regular season wins plays, courtesy of the South Pointe Hotel and Casino in LV, NV. *Central Michigan under 7  -125*BYU under 10   -125*Georgia State under 6   -120Southern Miss under 7.5   -120Kansas State under 7.5    +110Western Michigan under 9   -130UNLV under 5.5   -120Tulsa under 7.5   -110Arkansas over 6  -110Idaho over 4.5  -110

Until the wallet is full.
 
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Posted: #36
*Central Michigan under 7  -125.   4-4. Not winning out 
*BYU under 10   -125.   Easiest play of all 130 teams. 
*Georgia State under 6   -120. Cancelled due to washouts. Counting as a push
Southern Miss under 7.5   -120 5-3. MUST LOSE THIS WEEK VS TENNESSEE
Kansas State under 7.5    +110. 4-4 and dogs again this week. Not losing this play 
Western Michigan under 9   -130. Already three losses. Cannot lose this play. 
UNLV under 5.5   -120 Could not believe they won as +21.5 vs Fresno. Likely still going 2-2 down the stretch to end 5-7. 
Tulsa under 7.5   -110. Already in with this win 
Arkansas over 6  -110. Loser likely. 
Idaho over 4.5  -110. 3-5.  with ga state and coastal on the docket they still could end up 5-7


Wins: BYU, Tulsa (cannot lose WMU)
Losses: None 
PUSHES/CANCELLED. GA State
PENDING. K-State, So Miss, UNLV, Idaho, ark, CMU

2-0-1 with 7 plays pending. 

Shaping up to be a VERY good RSW year yet again. I foresee CMU and WMU to be wins, K-State a winner, 

Likely will end at 7-2-1 or better. 
Until the wallet is full.
 
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Posted: #37
my GOD... BYU was lined at 10?...



 
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Posted: #38
10 Wins?? BYU might not win 10 games combined over the next 3 years. That program is in shambles!
 
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Posted: #39
That’s what they get hiring a fullback to be their HC. Cannot believe their offensive regression. 
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Posted: #40
3-0-1 now after WMU under locks in. 

Sad thing is now CMU is nearly guaranteed to push
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