All Forums | College Football

NCAA Football week 1

...
Participants:
Search model icon
Views: 50937
Posts: 293
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2009
Posts: 9120
Posted: #26


i have 16 and locked in there, and i am unloading more at 21. i also have +26 in a 5dimes error line that has still been in the pending wagers section so we will see if they honor that.

i really like ohio here to keep this game close. i am not sold on Louisville as a big fave yet.

several times last year i saw them struggle vs weak comp.

2012 vs FIU: win 28-21 vs a WEAK FIU Team as 14 pt faves
2012 vs So Miss: Win 21-17 vs a TERRIBLE USM Team as 11pt faves
2012 vs So. Fla: Win 27-25 vs a HORRID USF Team as 6pt Faves
2012 vs Syracuse: ROCKED 26-45 they got HAMMERED
2012 vs UCONN: they lost in OT, Teddy was hurt but they lost
2012 vs Rutgers: Squeaked by after being DOMINATED in the 1H

this line is absurd.

Lousiville is getting much attention, but it is overreaction In my opinion

Ohio +21 (-130) betting 2u to win 1.54u

Locked in
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2009
Posts: 9120
Posted: #27
        Week 1 card (Updated)      
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Florida state -6.5.   0.5u
Ohio +16
Ohio +26 (5D mistake)
Ohio +21 (-130) 2u to win 1.54u
NIU +6.5
Utah state +4.5
RICE VS A&M over 67. MONSTER PLAY 4u
Temple +28.5
Temple +27.5
UL Monroe +23
Ball st -7.5.   0.5u
Arkansas pine bluff +45.5 
UNC vs Carolina under 59
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2009
Posts: 9120
Posted: #28
another thing:

Louisville backed into their bowl game with 1-2 L3 in the Reg. Season and 1-2 ATS as well. (winning a coin flip game vs Rugters)

LY they were just 3-4 ATS as home favorites, and a meager 6-7 ATS overall, and that includes wins vs kentucky and Temple.

this year louisville lose their top 2 OL from last year and while michael dyer should add some explosiveness, ill have to pay to see it as he hasnt played football in 30 months. you cannot mimic game speed, no matter how much you try. he will be rusty.
 
All-Star
Participation Meter
Joined: Jun, 2007
Posts: 10740
Posted: #29

man was FSU really -6.5 or 5D error, 100% chance they cancel the Ohio +26 (keeping in mind you're not the only one out there that took a stab at it, and it has to catch their eye and probably already has, some books just wait all the way until kickoff, only opposite on Utah St...have Utah some at -3 and some at 2.5, Utah St beat me a couple times last year so no surprise if they do it again, GL this year bro 

 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2011
Posts: 210
Posted: #30
JDN-

If you could only pick 5 of your bets what would you rank 1-5?
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2009
Posts: 9120
Posted: #31
Nos, FSU opened at -6.5 on betonline 

No error bro...


Bunny:

1. Rice vs A&M over ( before the Manzeil crap)
2. Ohio + whatever
3. Ark pine bluff +45.5
4. ULM +23

 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2009
Posts: 9120
Posted: #32
Florida KR/PR Dubose OFY...

This is a huge injury for UF. This guy was very explosive and a huge part of their special teams...

Toledo was almost a play but now almost has to be.
 
MVP
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2003
Posts: 18138
Posted: #33
Thx for update
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Jun, 2006
Posts: 1442
Posted: #34
Quote Originally Posted by jimmydafreak:

  Jimmydafreak

Yeah, sorry.  Harnish was NIU's QB in 2010 & 2011.  I meant Lynch of course.

I'll probably stay away from the game, but I definitely lean Iowa.

 

Freak, TBall is right. NIU is the right side. Lynch is a monster against this type of competition.

 

Da Pun.

 
MVP
Participation Meter
Joined: Jun, 2008
Posts: 17342
Posted: #35
great line on FSU...you got it early im guessing. Did you get a limit on that play?

BOL this season buddy
 
All-Star
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2003
Posts: 13864
Posted: #36
Quote Originally Posted by jdnmoney:

Yes jimmy you are accurate...

It was BIG news in that year...

Blown call and toledo gets screwed.


Correct.  And that was the only game that Toledo failed to cover in your write-up, when really they won the game outright.


 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2008
Posts: 613
Posted: #37

Keep your analysis/write-ups coming, JDN.  This is truly one of the most informative threads on covers.

 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2009
Posts: 9120
Posted: #38
gwjtf:  thanks for the kind words my man. i really work hard to provide quality analysis and winning plays, and i am completely accountable to my brethren here on the forum.

boom: got that line early on Betonline.

james: BOL man, love your collaboration.
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2009
Posts: 9120
Posted: #39
i am highly considering a play on UMASS Team Total over 3.5 when it comes out.


one way or another they score a TD vs Wisc.

UMASS really turned it up the 2nd half of  last year after getting acclimated to the new environment of D-1a football.

they were very competitive vs ohio, scored two td's vs wmu, and scored 22,19 and 21 points in their last three games.

I know wisc. is much better defensively than akron, buffalo, and central michigan, but in yr two at this level, i think UMASS will be better offensively.

i still dont know if this game will be 41-7 or 61-7 but i think either way UMASS goes over their projected team total of 3.5 right now.

vegas is calling for a 49-4 game... i think it will be much more high scoring than that but tough to predict a slower paced wisc. offense.

thoughts?
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2009
Posts: 9120
Posted: #40
        Week 1 card (Updated) w/ Phil Steel Power Rankings      
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Florida state -6.5.   0.5u (136.5-122.96)
Ohio +16 (112.65- 133.89)
Ohio +26 (5D mistake) (112.65- 133.89)
Ohio +21 (-130) 2u to win 1.54u (112.65- 133.89)
NIU +6.5 (127.48-121.83)
Utah state +4.5 (121.96-122.10)
RICE VS A&M over 67. MONSTER PLAY 4u doesnt rank totals
Temple +28.5 (110.35-138.70)
Temple +27.5 (110.35-138.70)
UL Monroe +23 (112.91-136.04)
Ball st -7.5.   0.5u n/a on the power rankings
Arkansas pine bluff +45.5  n/a on the power rankings
UNC vs Carolina under 59 doesnt rank totals


im not a big believer in power rankings, but phil steele has 9 sets of power rankings that he uses, and this is what he comes up with.

good luck to all.

20 days left


 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2012
Posts: 192
Posted: #41
FSU at 6.5 is a gift.  Wow. Pitt has 5 new offensive lineman including a freshman and a defensive lineman who they converted to OL. New QB, new receivers, etc.....you get the picture....

Most people expect thier defensive to be excellent again but they just lost a starting LB who quit the team.  Good luck.

 
All-Star
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2003
Posts: 13864
Posted: #42
Quote Originally Posted by Pdriver:

FSU at 6.5 is a gift.  Wow. Pitt has 5 new offensive lineman including a freshman and a defensive lineman who they converted to OL. New QB, new receivers, etc.....you get the picture....

Most people expect thier defensive to be excellent again but they just lost a starting LB who quit the team.  Good luck.



I like FSU quite a bit at anything south of 2 TDs.  Most people are concerned about Jameis Winston making his first collegiate start on the road - a very valid concern no doubt - but I've seen him play, and he is a monster.  I think he'll be the 2013 breakout player of the year, just as Johnny Manziel was last season.  Style-wise, I think he'll remind a lot of people of Cam Newton.  Winston not only has 1st round talent, like Cam Newton, he has 1st overall pick in the draft type talent.

FSU is by far the more talented team pretty much across the board, and I think they blast Pitt on their home turf.  This one has "Best Bet" potential.


 
All-Star
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2002
Posts: 12927
Posted: #43
Quote Originally Posted by jimmydafreak:



FSU is by far the more talented team pretty much across the board, and I think they blast Pitt on their home turf.  This one has "Best Bet" potential.

FSU is a lot faster.  So was Miami a couple years ago when they went to Pitt an won 31-3.  
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2007
Posts: 214
Posted: #44
JDN,

Do you post on twitter, or just here?  Love your work.  Followed you last year. You are one of the last solid cappers still on Covers!!!  Sent you a friend request
 
Hall of Fame
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2007
Posts: 20628
Posted: #45
JDNmo,

As usual....Thoughtful.....Intelligent.....Facts........Stats......Heart!

You got it all!!....made some serious mo reading a lot of your threads last year.

Looking forward to this season with you....C
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2009
Posts: 857
Posted: #46
Don't know when or if you bet these #'s, but Marshall went from 17 to now 18, NIU @3.  A&M off!.  IF I could get Huskies @6- bet the farm.  LOL
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2009
Posts: 9120
Posted: #47
Quote Originally Posted by TBallgame:

Don't know when or if you bet these #'s, but Marshall went from 17 to now 18, NIU @3.  A&M off!.  IF I could get Huskies @6- bet the farm.  LOL

Sure you do my man...

When asking yourself that question you noticed that I post links to my previous threads and you looked with ease as all my plays are completely traceable as I link all my threads together...


 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2009
Posts: 9120
Posted: #48
Hates

Cooler



BOL guys thanks for the kind language 
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2010
Posts: 1164
Posted: #49
FYI......Ohio's 3 captains are all from the state of Oklahoma.  All three are good kids and have the toughness that really helps a team. It's the only bet I've made so far.
 
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2009
Posts: 9120
Posted: #50
Additional leans:

Wyo vs neb over 61
Texas vs NMST under 62
ULL vs ark over 58
W mich vs mich st over 46
FAU +33

All Forums | College Football
About Us
Contact Us
Careers
Our Team
Brand
Testimonials
Betting Guides
Sportsbook Reviews
Sports Betting News
Podcasts
Responsible Gaming
Sports Betting
US Betting Sites
Canada Betting Sites
Canada Casinos
Best Betting Apps
Contests
Streak Survivor
King of Covers
Ultimate Race
Office Pools
The Covers community has
618,670
lifetime members worldwide
Covers 25 Years Logo Established in 1995,
Covers is the world
leader in sports
betting information.
Site Map Help Privacy Terms of Service youtube logo facebook logo twitter logo instagram logo linkedin logo google news logo
Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo
Copyright © 1995 - 2024 CS Media Limited All Rights Reserved.

If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.