Posted:
#76
JDN,
I realize you're not putting much stock into the Steele ratings, but for the games listed in red, I agree there is some value in taking the points on UMass, Buffalo and FAU. Believe you're on NIU, I like Iowa -3. Will get to a writeup one of these days; have some good info here. No time right now, learned this week my next job assignment starts in mid September rather than November 1, so not exactly earning my keep as the new guy trying to provide some input to the forum. ...Back to football, gut feel on Cal vs. NU is no play, something just seems off. NU O-line and secondary worry me a bit to back them. And I think Cal's talent is there from recruiting. Maybe the coaching change will get their Defense back on track.
Love the moneyline parlay low risk, high reward concept. I still haven't hit the real big one, but am in the positive overall on parlays. Had Stanford ML over Oregon, Rutgers ML over Cinci, Ohio St. ATS vs. Wisc and Mizzou ATS vs. Syracuse. Needless to say, Mizzou in control mid second half to lose the way they did was a bummer. This year week 1 I'm looking into a parlay with Tulsa ML, La. Tech ML, or possibly ULL ML, but hard to see a SU upset two years straight. Thoughts on that ULL M/L?? Will probably throw in 1-2 straight ATS plays to the parlay as well. So, I like that you list La. Tech. NCSt may have QB issues, pass blocking concept is man to man scheme and not zone for the interior O-Line, but I think that won't become too exposed until the Clemson game. Stunts and delayed blitzes will give them trouble at some point until Canada makes an adjustment. Starting RB suspended. HC thinks they need to improve overall toughness. I lean UNLV and Ohio U. ATS, so your ML parlay on those two may have a shot.
Good luck and keep up the excellent work.
TD
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