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NCAA Marketwatch week 3

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Posted: #51
G G What is ur opinion on Neb/Ark st o/u.
 
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Posted: #52

Quote Originally Posted by skig8tr:

I was at Osan 69/70 clearing aircraft out to protrct the DMZ.  Ski

Ski,

 

 
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Posted: #53
Impressive Gekko......Greed is good
 
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Posted: #54

GG- good looking card and nice start to the season

I'm on UT & OK St as well.  GL

 
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Posted: #55
Gordon, which one is a better ML bet? UCLA, Ohio St, Auburn or Central Florida? Thanks
 
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Posted: #56
Your thoughts on N. Illinios -3 vs Army? 
 
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Posted: #57
Well done Gordon..............
 
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Posted: #58
UCLA is better ML bet for sure.
 
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Posted: #59
Good luck GG
 
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Posted: #60
Haven't looked into Army game yet, may not as database has this at fair value
 
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Posted: #61
Ohio state is a team I'll fade quite often, such as Notre Dame, however, Ohio St may be fade this week, while ND may make play range, want 6.5...
 
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Posted: #62
so you make take Cal with the points against Ohio St.?
 
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Posted: #63
9-15

W. Michigan @ Minnesota
Vegas line:  -3
Market percentage:  63 %

W.Michigan comes into Minnesota as a 3 point underdog as they've played Illinois tough losing by 17, they then faced off vs E. Illinois and blew them out.  The Golden Gophers on the other hand beat UNLV in 3 OT and then FCS New Hampshire by a lopsided score.  

My line is off by 7-10 points.  Both teams have played some defense and W.Michigan is ranked 13th in pass efficiency but stats seemed to be padded by blowout win.  Even with the 3 OT win, Minnesota's defense ranks 3 in Pass Efficiency defense.  Overall defensively they are ranked 16th by NCAA standards.  

I agree with the market here and will take the Big 10 team at home laying less than a TD.

My prediction for this game is 

Minnesota 30  W. Michigan 17

Gekko's Play:  Minnesota -3
 
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Posted: #64
Quote Originally Posted by chizonum:

so you make take Cal with the points against Ohio St.?

Not yet, I think it hits 17 as money should come in on the Buckeyes. 
 
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Posted: #65
Wake Forest @ Florida State
Vegas line:  27.5
Market percentage:Even

The Deacons go into Seminole territory to face one of the hottest most prolific offenses in college football.  This team can score against Superman if he was on defense.  They opened this line at 23 and it's up to 28 in some places.  Hmmm..Who did this team beat?  Savannah State and Murray State both ranked respectively 329 and 200.  While Wake Forest has played Liberty and North Carolina both ranked much higher.  

Now I know the Seminoles can score and they have played tremendous defense but this Wake Forest team has been in a dog fight so far.  I always like teams who've battled and won.  And now they are almost giving me 4 TD's.  

Market has moved the line a bit even at 50 percent.  Big weeks and headlines has grown this line in my opinion.  

Gekko's Play:  Wake Forest +27.5
 
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Posted: #66
Quote Originally Posted by skig8tr:

G G What is ur opinion on Neb/Ark st o/u.

My concern is the amount that Arkansas State will score, I believe that Nebraska will score in 35-45 range but if it's not out of hand can they both put up points.  I'd stay away..
 
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Posted: #67
Quote Originally Posted by LetsBeatDaHouse:

Gordon, which one is a better ML bet? UCLA, Ohio St, Auburn or Central Florida? Thanks

I'm not sure why you would have such heavy ML Chalk.  I can't see unless you plan laying a large Parlay with all 3 ML's but can any of these go down, yes...but playing ML is risky business for such heavy loss of profits with one loss, in my opinion of course.
 
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Posted: #68
Quote Originally Posted by danmcc:

Your thoughts on N. Illinios -3 vs Army? 

Interesting line here as I've circled this game as potential play.  Hmmm...N.Illinois has beaten TN Martin by substantial margin and lost away by 1 point to Iowa (a good loss if you can say that), while Army was blown out at San Diego State.  So what do oddsmakers do, make a 2.5 road favorite with all databases stating 10-15 pt differential.  Market buying N. Illinois but line only moves .5 pts so far.  68 percent so far on Huskies.  I'd take the Dog at home especially if it gets to 3.5
 
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Posted: #69
Quote Originally Posted by Gordon Gekko:

Added Play:

Under Arizona St/Missouri 63.5

Damn bastards followed the crew into casino, now line down to 58.5
 
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Posted: #70

"GG", I have to say.....I've been tailing alot of good cappers on this site.  I've seen alot of bs go "in and out" of covers threads.  You're threads, however, seem to have nothing but the meat.  Maybe an occasional jackass but for the most part, good shit!  I really appreciate your time and expertise!  Oh, and praise God for your dad brother!  Semper Fi!

 
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Posted: #71
Quote Originally Posted by brthestar:

"GG", I have to say.....I've been tailing alot of good cappers on this site.  I've seen alot of bs go "in and out" of covers threads.  You're threads, however, seem to have nothing but the meat.  Maybe an occasional jackass but for the most part, good shit!  I really appreciate your time and expertise!  Oh, and praise God for your dad brother!  Semper Fi!


I respect all of the Armed Forces, got a little more out of him tonight, he was military intelligence that dealt with Cambodia trails, no B52 bombs but strategic teams who had secret missions when Nixon realized it was a sovereign country.  Really good stuff, I guess it's in the genes, analyze information, data and try to make best decision possible, NO BS.  I'm not here to sell picks as I've been on this site since 2003 and enjoy talking sports and sports market, more of learning the business and trade to earn a few extra dollars.  Information is the key hence the Avatar.  Hopefully can continue the strong start.

 
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Posted: #72
Hey G. G., is Okie st your big play this weekend? Thanks man.
 
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Posted: #73
Quote Originally Posted by BLAK_MAMBA:

Hey G. G., is Okie st your big play this weekend? Thanks man.

Right now flat money on all posted plays.  I'm liking Minnesota more and more as I look at them.
 
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Posted: #74
Ohio @ Marshall
Vegas Total: 69
Market Percentage: Even

Until the market adjusts to these offenses, I'll continue to wager on the over.  Ohio ranks 14th while Marshall ranks 6th.  What's also impressive is Marshall is #1 in passing offense.  Quick hits, stoppage of the clock.  Marshall also ranks 110th in defense.  I'm hoping that Ohio can get out to a lead and doesn't rely on a decent defense.  If this was in Ohio it wouldn't be on my list but since it's at the Thundering Herd, I like it.  

Oddsmakers opened it at 66 which is above predictions and still taking some money on over even with a 50/50 balance.  The potential of a high scoring game is there.  

Gekko's Play:  Over 69
 
 
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Posted: #75
GG, did u look deep on the okie st game? I heard that this LA Lafayette team is the best team they had in years, i actually picked em last week and won me some money, im kinda worried laying that much chalk to this team, thanks for ur insights.
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