Well Covers Nation is great. Why ? We picked East Carolina last night bad pick and not ONE person came in here to give us grief. WOW. Even if you go back years in my threads there is basically never any negativity and THAT is why we do this - you all make it fun. THANKS. Did not mean to be but it needed to be said.
Sagon - REQUEST coming next sorry for the delay
Harvard - I actually prefer playing a TT under in the SD ST Utah St game would want -2.5 for Utah st and +6 for SD St. GL !
d8
prophet - sorry buddy that you don't have Team Totals
Break ....Miami can definitely win that game but need to be + in the turnover battle. GL !
Bridge
BayArea - Baylor ML at -40000 seems steep GL man
Barneys Dad - ....Can't disagree with the facts; Ole Miss can score points at home. GL man really looking forward to that game
shark - Will give you my top 5 10pt teaser picks late this afternoon ....GL !
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Ok guys I am back Had work to do.
Well Covers Nation is great. Why ? We picked East Carolina last night bad pick and not ONE person came in here to give us grief. WOW. Even if you go back years in my threads there is basically never any negativity and THAT is why we do this - you all make it fun. THANKS. Did not mean to be but it needed to be said.
Sagon - REQUEST coming next sorry for the delay
Harvard - I actually prefer playing a TT under in the SD ST Utah St game would want -2.5 for Utah st and +6 for SD St. GL !
d8
prophet - sorry buddy that you don't have Team Totals
Break ....Miami can definitely win that game but need to be + in the turnover battle. GL !
Bridge
BayArea - Baylor ML at -40000 seems steep GL man
Barneys Dad - ....Can't disagree with the facts; Ole Miss can score points at home. GL man really looking forward to that game
shark - Will give you my top 5 10pt teaser picks late this afternoon ....GL !
Mega, I probably speak for many silent members, but you are a true treasure to this site and have made it so much more enjoyable to continue coming on here.
THANKS man love doing our work .....Never fun to lose picks like last night but only one game. Appreciate the kind words. At least 20-25 great cappers on here that win every year so the roster on here is as deep as ever. GL !
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Quote Originally Posted by LineKiller28:
Mega, I probably speak for many silent members, but you are a true treasure to this site and have made it so much more enjoyable to continue coming on here.
THANKS man love doing our work .....Never fun to lose picks like last night but only one game. Appreciate the kind words. At least 20-25 great cappers on here that win every year so the roster on here is as deep as ever. GL !
Can I get a brief summary on Houston (-22) @ UCF and Duke (+3) @ Vtec? Those seem like the best bets for me this weekend but seems like a trap too.
UCF has averaged less than 20ppg and Houston is probably going to drop 40 on that team (Tulane, UCONN, and Temple scored 45, 40, and 30 respectively) and they're no where close to Houston's tempo and offensive power. You put in an undefeated record and believing they should be conversation for a possible playoff bid and 2 other undefeated legit teams - they will put the pedal to the medal and not let this opportunity to run up the score slip. It gets slightly harder with Cincy, Memphis, and Navy on the horizon as well. **Let's be honest though, AAC will not get a bid anytime soon regardless of how legit they might be**
Duke has been a very very quiet 5-1 team. While their offensive is mediocre at best, their defense can make noise. While the teams they faced so far are nothing to brag about, it's still impressive to be fourth in defense in all of D1 football allowing only 9.6ppg. Factor in V-tech being 65th in overall offense with 29.5ppg BUT only 205.7 - if you play a field positioning game with a superior defense you'll most likely lose. I like Duke to win outright here but will gladly take the +3.
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Can I get a brief summary on Houston (-22) @ UCF and Duke (+3) @ Vtec? Those seem like the best bets for me this weekend but seems like a trap too.
UCF has averaged less than 20ppg and Houston is probably going to drop 40 on that team (Tulane, UCONN, and Temple scored 45, 40, and 30 respectively) and they're no where close to Houston's tempo and offensive power. You put in an undefeated record and believing they should be conversation for a possible playoff bid and 2 other undefeated legit teams - they will put the pedal to the medal and not let this opportunity to run up the score slip. It gets slightly harder with Cincy, Memphis, and Navy on the horizon as well. **Let's be honest though, AAC will not get a bid anytime soon regardless of how legit they might be**
Duke has been a very very quiet 5-1 team. While their offensive is mediocre at best, their defense can make noise. While the teams they faced so far are nothing to brag about, it's still impressive to be fourth in defense in all of D1 football allowing only 9.6ppg. Factor in V-tech being 65th in overall offense with 29.5ppg BUT only 205.7 - if you play a field positioning game with a superior defense you'll most likely lose. I like Duke to win outright here but will gladly take the +3.
SCC sure let me get to those....Just gotta post up some stuff I looked at late last night
REQUEST LINE....Megalocks - "Giving out winners when not giving out losers"
Cincy 12.5 UConn 58
Megalocks line 9
Sagarin 12
See a little bit of value in the doggie....Now you guys know we have always had a soft spot for UConn ....and while we do like their D - the harsh reality is that recently they have not performed as well - run D gashed for 275 vs SF and pass D ripped apart by the only good QB they have faced this yr (BYU) - so we have to revisit how good they really are on D just to be fair....especially after Cincy cleaned them 41-cack last yr and now have home field and a very good QB and passing game.....UConn has 2 good things going for it - 1) motivation - Cincy looks like they are gonna scrape into a bowl game based on the remaining schedule but they are out of division contention and really how can they get up for this one - and do not get us started on Tuberville....Meanwhile UConn can still meet their goal of a bowl appearance - but need 3 more wins and this is who is left .....cincy E Carolina Houston temple Tulane....Need 3 wins there...If they lose this game - would be behind the 8 ball - so just saying not saying just saying.....UConn should put their best effort out there and we love the way they compete...Their passing game seems to be getting better and Shirrefffssffss passed for over 350 last wk and ran for 100....There might actually be more points than we think in this one just would feel better with a slightly lower number.
Summary. Lean UConn at 13+....Will consider adding to card on Saturday if it gets to 14.....Also lean over.
mega
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SCC sure let me get to those....Just gotta post up some stuff I looked at late last night
REQUEST LINE....Megalocks - "Giving out winners when not giving out losers"
Cincy 12.5 UConn 58
Megalocks line 9
Sagarin 12
See a little bit of value in the doggie....Now you guys know we have always had a soft spot for UConn ....and while we do like their D - the harsh reality is that recently they have not performed as well - run D gashed for 275 vs SF and pass D ripped apart by the only good QB they have faced this yr (BYU) - so we have to revisit how good they really are on D just to be fair....especially after Cincy cleaned them 41-cack last yr and now have home field and a very good QB and passing game.....UConn has 2 good things going for it - 1) motivation - Cincy looks like they are gonna scrape into a bowl game based on the remaining schedule but they are out of division contention and really how can they get up for this one - and do not get us started on Tuberville....Meanwhile UConn can still meet their goal of a bowl appearance - but need 3 more wins and this is who is left .....cincy E Carolina Houston temple Tulane....Need 3 wins there...If they lose this game - would be behind the 8 ball - so just saying not saying just saying.....UConn should put their best effort out there and we love the way they compete...Their passing game seems to be getting better and Shirrefffssffss passed for over 350 last wk and ran for 100....There might actually be more points than we think in this one just would feel better with a slightly lower number.
Summary. Lean UConn at 13+....Will consider adding to card on Saturday if it gets to 14.....Also lean over.
Have to respect both of these teams so far and the schedules they have played - Ark ranked #2 and Auburn #22.....This was our number one pick of the week if it opened -3 or less and we thought it might even if briefly but it opened in the 4s briefly and kept on climbing.....similar to the App St game - sometimes you do not get the number you want but have to suck it up and move on to the next game.....Certainly not going to lay a TD even tho we think it is a great matchup for Ark....Off a bye and their run game gets to go against the #100 ranked run D....Auburn has given up the most rushing TDs in the SEC and rank 13th in rushing yds/game D and ypc rush D over 5/pop....So while Ark is not the killer running team that they were last yr they should be able to control the game in our opinion.....Ark QB White looked decent vs Kentucky but auburn still gave up almost 500Y.
Summary. Won't play at this number but consider using Auburn ML in a parlay with another decent fav you like (Fla St? Clem? etc..) and get -110ish
mega
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finishing up the SEC..........
Arkansas 6.5 Auburn (51)
Megalocks line 7
Sagarin 1.5
Have to respect both of these teams so far and the schedules they have played - Ark ranked #2 and Auburn #22.....This was our number one pick of the week if it opened -3 or less and we thought it might even if briefly but it opened in the 4s briefly and kept on climbing.....similar to the App St game - sometimes you do not get the number you want but have to suck it up and move on to the next game.....Certainly not going to lay a TD even tho we think it is a great matchup for Ark....Off a bye and their run game gets to go against the #100 ranked run D....Auburn has given up the most rushing TDs in the SEC and rank 13th in rushing yds/game D and ypc rush D over 5/pop....So while Ark is not the killer running team that they were last yr they should be able to control the game in our opinion.....Ark QB White looked decent vs Kentucky but auburn still gave up almost 500Y.
Summary. Won't play at this number but consider using Auburn ML in a parlay with another decent fav you like (Fla St? Clem? etc..) and get -110ish
Long time listener first time request line caller here....Utah+3.5/USC. Really feel like im missing something when analyzing this line. Would love to hear ur take on this particular match-up.
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Long time listener first time request line caller here....Utah+3.5/USC. Really feel like im missing something when analyzing this line. Would love to hear ur take on this particular match-up.
Line looks about right to us....No way we can back SMU in any game right now - love where they are headed but just do not have enough athletes on D....Other than the NTexas game have given up a mind boggling 56 56 48 49 49 and let's be real I know the schedule has been rough but they have been putrid on D....So Flo is a team we have tried to grab last couple of weeks but the linemakers respect them - we were hoping for -9.5 but once again were just not being realistic - their running game is humming right now 281/275 yds rushing last 2 games and getting nice qb play - bit of passing and nice running - basically a C+ or B- version of Ward on Houston - SMU gonna need help to cover in this one even though their QB is excellent 11 TD passing and 8 rushing.
Summary. Lean USF at -12 or better. Lean over at 58.5 or better. Do not think this game makes the final card but will think about it later tonight.
mega
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Kiki - will look at that one
REQUEST LINE......"Caring until the end"
USF 13 SMU (58.5)
Megalocks line 12
Sagarin 12
Line looks about right to us....No way we can back SMU in any game right now - love where they are headed but just do not have enough athletes on D....Other than the NTexas game have given up a mind boggling 56 56 48 49 49 and let's be real I know the schedule has been rough but they have been putrid on D....So Flo is a team we have tried to grab last couple of weeks but the linemakers respect them - we were hoping for -9.5 but once again were just not being realistic - their running game is humming right now 281/275 yds rushing last 2 games and getting nice qb play - bit of passing and nice running - basically a C+ or B- version of Ward on Houston - SMU gonna need help to cover in this one even though their QB is excellent 11 TD passing and 8 rushing.
Summary. Lean USF at -12 or better. Lean over at 58.5 or better. Do not think this game makes the final card but will think about it later tonight.
Very tempted to lay the lumber is this one....It would be a revenge from last yr 247253948 star MEGALOCKS loser in the ACC title game when Florida St had the cover and then "accidentally" let GT pass their way down the field for over 90Y in like 30 seconds for a meaningless TD it was awesome our HOO HOO is still raw from that game.....so REVENGE we say !
Would have liked to get in the 4 range on this one...As bad as GT has looked - and think about it - they could lose 7-8 games which is pretty remarkable - they came alive on offense last wk vs a decent Pitt D and finally go the running game going with 376 rushing yards...not sure what the issue has been - OL....QB....lack of explosive guys in the backfield - BUT - the MEGALOCKS EYE OPENING STAT OF THE WEEK ....you just do not get this stuff anywhere....last 2 years Ga Tech has been FIRST and FOURTH in 3rd down conversions....you guys who have bet against GT know how frustrating it is when they get on a roll - well this year they are #114which is really incredible and like we said earlier - not sure what in the SAM HILL is going on but maybe just maybe GT has it figured out a bit and they get a banged up Fla St D who as much as we hate to admit it - have played GT twice in the last 3 yrs and only won 37-35 and 21-15.
We want to barf but might have to pass this one too holy moly.
Summary. Lean Florida St at -6 or better. Outside chance this gets added.....hoping to make a final decision on the card tomorrow am.
mega
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Random game
Florida St 6.5 Georgia Tech (56.5)
Megalocks line 7
Sagarin 8
Very tempted to lay the lumber is this one....It would be a revenge from last yr 247253948 star MEGALOCKS loser in the ACC title game when Florida St had the cover and then "accidentally" let GT pass their way down the field for over 90Y in like 30 seconds for a meaningless TD it was awesome our HOO HOO is still raw from that game.....so REVENGE we say !
Would have liked to get in the 4 range on this one...As bad as GT has looked - and think about it - they could lose 7-8 games which is pretty remarkable - they came alive on offense last wk vs a decent Pitt D and finally go the running game going with 376 rushing yards...not sure what the issue has been - OL....QB....lack of explosive guys in the backfield - BUT - the MEGALOCKS EYE OPENING STAT OF THE WEEK ....you just do not get this stuff anywhere....last 2 years Ga Tech has been FIRST and FOURTH in 3rd down conversions....you guys who have bet against GT know how frustrating it is when they get on a roll - well this year they are #114which is really incredible and like we said earlier - not sure what in the SAM HILL is going on but maybe just maybe GT has it figured out a bit and they get a banged up Fla St D who as much as we hate to admit it - have played GT twice in the last 3 yrs and only won 37-35 and 21-15.
We want to barf but might have to pass this one too holy moly.
Summary. Lean Florida St at -6 or better. Outside chance this gets added.....hoping to make a final decision on the card tomorrow am.
East Carolina - garbage happens Mega - your thread is tops - no one is going to get them all right. Thanks for all your info each and every week - you and Train are the best!!!
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East Carolina - garbage happens Mega - your thread is tops - no one is going to get them all right. Thanks for all your info each and every week - you and Train are the best!!!
I get gun shy on FSU because of the risk that Cook re-injures himself. Seemed like there's been a few inj issues w him. Offense looks alot like the emoji above when he's out, only not moving as fast.I've been shying away from FSU most of the season just from that. I guess its a capping question whether you put any weight on that risk or is it not significant IYO.
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Quote Originally Posted by MEGALOCKS:
Random game
Florida St 6.5 Georgia Tech (56.5)
I get gun shy on FSU because of the risk that Cook re-injures himself. Seemed like there's been a few inj issues w him. Offense looks alot like the emoji above when he's out, only not moving as fast.I've been shying away from FSU most of the season just from that. I guess its a capping question whether you put any weight on that risk or is it not significant IYO.
Bridge - excellent point re Cook. ....that did factor in my decision to pass - saw him stop running and go out of bounds a couple of times vs Louisville - you never know. He is my fav player to watch right now so explosive !
next play
UCF TT under 16 (sports interaction)
write-up coming
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Bridge - excellent point re Cook. ....that did factor in my decision to pass - saw him stop running and go out of bounds a couple of times vs Louisville - you never know. He is my fav player to watch right now so explosive !
Mega thanx for tha great write ups bro I ain't gonna lie ery weekend before I submit any college bets in I have to chk ur thread ur a great capper cus of u I haven't had a loosing weekend yet thanx bro I have a question on da LSU WK O/U I'm leaning on da over I play teasers pls tell me watcha think of this 7pt teaser CLEM - .5 and LSU WK O 59.5 again bro thanx for all your great work an pls keep it up and if you don't mind can u pls give me your Twitter account I would luv to follow you live BOL this weekend brotha
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Mega thanx for tha great write ups bro I ain't gonna lie ery weekend before I submit any college bets in I have to chk ur thread ur a great capper cus of u I haven't had a loosing weekend yet thanx bro I have a question on da LSU WK O/U I'm leaning on da over I play teasers pls tell me watcha think of this 7pt teaser CLEM - .5 and LSU WK O 59.5 again bro thanx for all your great work an pls keep it up and if you don't mind can u pls give me your Twitter account I would luv to follow you live BOL this weekend brotha
Bridge - excellent point re Cook. ....that did factor in my decision to pass - saw him stop running and go out of bounds a couple of times vs Louisville - you never know. He is my fav player to watch right now so explosive !
next play
UCF TT under 16 (sports interaction)
write-up coming
Not an incredibly surprising play .....UCF has only scored more than 16 points in one game this year and that was against Tulane....Now they get a red hot Houston team fresh off a drubbing of Tulane on the road and HC Herman has them playing inspired football undefeated season still a possibility not to mention conf title aspirations....Their D is ranked #54....#11 against the run and they are #5 in turnover margin WHILST UCF is ranked #125 while also ranked in the bottom 5 of virtually every stat known to mankind....Houston has given up some points to decent teams but held Tulane to 7 and Tex St to 14.....a TD and 2 FG we still get a push but cannot see UCF getting past 10 without special teams or defensive TDs and that is always a possibility....HC lame duck does not help UCF....UCF avg a mind boggling 3.9/play and we read somewhere avg 1 yard on first down wtf.......Final thought....If you exclude their RBs kicked off the team, on the injury list, or QBs....their leading rusher has 8 yards on 3 carries ....Holman prob gonna start he is a veteran but not sure it matters 3 guys have had significant action and they all flat out stink with what they have to work with at WR and RB...feel sorry for the D.
GL: mega
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Quote Originally Posted by MEGALOCKS:
Bridge - excellent point re Cook. ....that did factor in my decision to pass - saw him stop running and go out of bounds a couple of times vs Louisville - you never know. He is my fav player to watch right now so explosive !
next play
UCF TT under 16 (sports interaction)
write-up coming
Not an incredibly surprising play .....UCF has only scored more than 16 points in one game this year and that was against Tulane....Now they get a red hot Houston team fresh off a drubbing of Tulane on the road and HC Herman has them playing inspired football undefeated season still a possibility not to mention conf title aspirations....Their D is ranked #54....#11 against the run and they are #5 in turnover margin WHILST UCF is ranked #125 while also ranked in the bottom 5 of virtually every stat known to mankind....Houston has given up some points to decent teams but held Tulane to 7 and Tex St to 14.....a TD and 2 FG we still get a push but cannot see UCF getting past 10 without special teams or defensive TDs and that is always a possibility....HC lame duck does not help UCF....UCF avg a mind boggling 3.9/play and we read somewhere avg 1 yard on first down wtf.......Final thought....If you exclude their RBs kicked off the team, on the injury list, or QBs....their leading rusher has 8 yards on 3 carries ....Holman prob gonna start he is a veteran but not sure it matters 3 guys have had significant action and they all flat out stink with what they have to work with at WR and RB...feel sorry for the D.
Mega thanx for tha great write ups bro I ain't gonna lie ery weekend before I submit any college bets in I have to chk ur thread ur a great capper cus of u I haven't had a loosing weekend yet thanx bro I have a question on da LSU WK O/U I'm leaning on da over I play teasers pls tell me watcha think of this 7pt teaser CLEM - .5 and LSU WK O 59.5 again bro thanx for all your great work an pls keep it up and if you don't mind can u pls give me your Twitter account I would luv to follow you live BOL this weekend brotha
thx Boz !! not a teaser guy but I do like that one for what it is worth.......play safe man GL this weekend ! congrats on the great season so far....my Twitter is my username here on covers - GL !
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Quote Originally Posted by Boz403:
Mega thanx for tha great write ups bro I ain't gonna lie ery weekend before I submit any college bets in I have to chk ur thread ur a great capper cus of u I haven't had a loosing weekend yet thanx bro I have a question on da LSU WK O/U I'm leaning on da over I play teasers pls tell me watcha think of this 7pt teaser CLEM - .5 and LSU WK O 59.5 again bro thanx for all your great work an pls keep it up and if you don't mind can u pls give me your Twitter account I would luv to follow you live BOL this weekend brotha
thx Boz !! not a teaser guy but I do like that one for what it is worth.......play safe man GL this weekend ! congrats on the great season so far....my Twitter is my username here on covers - GL !
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Had work to do.
last night bad pick and not ONE person came in here to give us grief. 
WOW. Even if you go back years in my threads there is basically never any negativity and THAT is why we do this - you all make it fun. THANKS. Did not mean to be 
but it needed to be said.
sorry for the delay
GL man
you crazy madman
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