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NCAA WEEK 8 *****I am the Gambling God *****

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Legend
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Posted: #51

Quote Originally Posted by gridironguy:

in everyone's toilet.  signed, the god

Fixed it. You're welcome.

 
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Posted: #52
Good luck bro! F the D bags! 
 
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Posted: #53

Quote Originally Posted by syracusejoe:

We have the same 42 plays this week.  Not good.

Neither is your math.

 
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Posted: #54
Quote Originally Posted by TRAIN69:

Fixed it. You're welcome.


This guy is too easy Train. He started out making the "my followers are moving lines" claims........and sincerely believed it. Now it's all about making outlandish statements just to get a response. Dude's not a 32 year vet......like I said earlier, he's a kid with some stat books. Makes for good entertainment though.

Bad break losing Franklin. Enjoy seeing the old Big 12 schools doing well in the big, bad SEC.
 
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Posted: #55

Add:

Mizzou +3.5

Maryland pk/ WV +13 teaser

Iowa St +34

 
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Posted: #56
Quote Originally Posted by tideman:

Missouri has been impressive, it a shame Franklin got hurt, it would have been fun to see them make a run to Atlanta. I heard today he may only be out 4 to 5 weeks, maybe back in time for A&M... all winable games without him up till then.
 
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Posted: #57

Quote Originally Posted by abizzo24:

Train, fsu is favored for a reason. Dont fall into the trap bro.

FSU is favored because the are a good team that, in theory, should be able to beat Clemson. However, the night road game for a freshman is too much to overlook. This will be by far the toughest venue hes ever played in and the best d line hes seen. Boyd and company are also the best offense this defense has seen.

Can FSU win and cover? Absolutely.

Can they get beat be 17? Absolutely.

 

bizzo

 
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Posted: #58

Quote Originally Posted by abizzo24:

Sportsinsights currently showing 61% on clemson. They get their numbers from multiple books.

The "public or squares" are right 50% and wrong 50% of the time. The books just take their 10% and put up tomorrows lines. Worrying about Clemson getting 61% of the bets is never gonna help you pick a winner. What if 91% of the money was on FSU? Would you think Clemson was the play then?

Stop focusing on the wrong details.

 
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Posted: #59

Quote Originally Posted by Absolutxedge22:

Thanks for the reply train. I usually don't like wagering on my team but Purdue is just awful. Michigan State is starting to get their running game going. My opinion they can't let their foot off the gas in type of game because of how difficult November will be.

I  leave it alone all together...I may put Sparty in a teaser!

 

 

 
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Posted: #60
Quote Originally Posted by Oktoberfestlax4:

Love it Train, keep it up sir!!
 
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Posted: #61

Train:  long time, first time

Any thoughts on FSU-3 @Clemson and the Utah @Arizona -4?

 
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Posted: #62
G-O-D
GL buddy
 
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Posted: #63
Quote Originally Posted by TRAIN69:

The "public or squares" are right 50% and wrong 50% of the time. The books just take their 10% and put up tomorrows lines. Worrying about Clemson getting 61% of the bets is never gonna help you pick a winner. What if 91% of the money was on FSU? Would you think Clemson was the play then?

Stop focusing on the wrong details.



GG had responded that FSU was a public play, i was letting him know that they are not the public play here.  


 
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Posted: #64
Quote Originally Posted by TRAIN69:

The "public or squares" are right 50% and wrong 50% of the time. The books just take their 10% and put up tomorrows lines. Worrying about Clemson getting 61% of the bets is never gonna help you pick a winner. What if 91% of the money was on FSU? Would you think Clemson was the play then?

Stop focusing on the wrong details.

Also, in nationally televised prime-time games where the public is backing a line where they think they are getting a 'good deal' with the home team catching points it aint 50/50.   not saying clemson doesn't win here but if you follow the public in these plays long term you're going to lose more than you win.




 
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Posted: #65
Quote Originally Posted by abizzo24:

Also, in nationally televised prime-time games where the public is backing a line where they think they are getting a 'good deal' with the home team catching points it aint 50/50.   not saying clemson doesn't win here but if you follow the public in these plays long term you're going to lose more than you win.




I was basically saying that paying attention to what other people are doin usually is of no help.

 

bol

 
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Posted: #66

Add:

 

Duke +8.5/NW -5.5 teaser

 

 
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Posted: #67
Quote Originally Posted by abizzo24:



GG had responded that FSU was a public play, i was letting him know that they are not the public play here.  




where did i say that Florida State was the public play?

i dont give a rat's azz what the public plays.

you told me that i should not take clemson because THEY are the public play.

i make my own plays based on my own research.

anyhow, please show me where i said that florida state was the public play.


 
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Posted: #68
Quote Originally Posted by thesoulpurpose:

CYCLONES+31, crazy a** line, large play, no real need for talk just check the numbers, iowa state loses by 1 to texas, by 7 to texas tech, by 6 to iowa, (and are way past that 8 point loss to northern iowa) and yet are 31 point dogs to baylor, this line is weak, take it down, 

I like +34 better

 
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Posted: #69
Quote Originally Posted by jackal4422:

Betting Wazzu seems like a stretch vs oregon team that covers every game and is in a much different class of quality.  Wyoming should be able to cover, I am with you on a few of your plays.   

Dont stop the TRain !! 

I think Wazzu will have some success passing, and Oregon has bigger fish to fry. Looks like a 57-31 game to me

 

bol

 
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Posted: #70
Quote Originally Posted by BEARS1985:

Good Luck Train
 
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Posted: #71
Quote Originally Posted by jpurdy2:

Train, I am with you on the Army, Akron, Buffalo, Syracuse, LSU, BYU, and a few others.

Whats your take on Memphis at home laying 3.5 to SMU? Memphis is 7-3 ATS in their last ten while SMU is 1-9 ATS in their last ten, however SMU waxed Memphis last year.

Thoughts....

BOL

I like Memphis as a dog. Not a big fan of needing them to win by more than a fg. I dont think I can bet on the current SMU squad however....

 

bol

 
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Posted: #72
Quote Originally Posted by gypsyman63:

Love Mizzou Of Course I Live In Missouri But The New QB Makes Me nervous.. I'll Bet Them And Hope For The Best..Lol 
 
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Posted: #73
Quote Originally Posted by mzoufan:

On Mizzou and Mauk,

Homer perspective here, couple of other thoughts besides the stats Train has already shared.  Don't sell Mauk short.  Going into the spring game he was set to challenge Franklin for the starter spot but knew he would have to completely out play the senior.  MU has a "one touch" rule on QB's putting Mauk at a disadvantage to "make plays" to win the position.  He forced some stuff, threw 2 picks, game set match for Franklin.  Mauk is a different style versus Franklin and is more akin to a Chase Daniel type player.  Very comfortable on the roll out, a bit quicker and maybe faster than Franklin.  If he can get comfortable early by making a play or two, he'll be solid.

From all I've read, he has the full support of the O-line as well as Franklin.  They think he can step up immediately.  Last year this team was deflated when Franklin went down and Berkstresser was inserted. Not the case this year, as the talent level of Franklin and Mauk are equivalent, different but equal.  If Mauk plays well over the next few games, Franklin will have a hard time getting his job back. Mauk only needs the experience.  My 2 cents.
 
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Posted: #74
Train Im feeling that ISU pick..Baylor looked really weak last week. ISU is not a Bad 1-4 team. how strong you feel about that play...
 
 
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Posted: #75

Quote Originally Posted by abizzo24:



you've become so selective in your old age train

Yep, I've cut down to 1/2 the card per week.....

 

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