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NCAA wk 11

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Posted: #51
Keep up the good work, mega.  BOL this week.     
 
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Posted: #52
Thx boys!

Wahoo
 
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Posted: #53
BOL this week Mega 
 
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Posted: #54
boys 
further to our point about ncaa teasers - NO - if you liked ohio and miami ohio last night - extra points didnt matter - and when they do - you pay too much for them. Unless you have unlimited "units" and keep increasing your imaginary betsThere is nothing a 2 billion unit chase cant fix.


Fla St 35 Wake (54.5)
We have been reading writeups on this one all over the place - not ONE mentioned that essentially the entire WF offense is OUT. WR Campanaro is gone and he had 67 catches and 803 yards. Nobody else had more than 15 catches or 215 yards total all yr. Their game is basically run once in a while and gain 2 yards - throw to Camp - play good D - ranked 35. Get turnovers - ranked 45. Megalocks - "where CNN goes for info".....We are gonna play the under small - cant see WF getting more than 10...Fla St has scored 40+ every wk tho so not going big....and before "They need to win big Guy" says Fla St will score 70 pts - we are not so sure. WF decent at home this yr and 35 pts is still probably too many but just cant play them. LY 52-0 at Fla St.

add
small degen - Fla St under 54.5




 
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Posted: #55
Wisconsin has been my cash cow this year... At home 7.5 is it vs BYU, sick WR, filthy line and running game. Plus their run d is great and BYU is average at passing. I'm only nervous cause their covering streak is high. Any opinions
 
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Posted: #56
minny 2.5 penn st (48)
slight lean to the over here as both teams have played many games over 48....Cant pick a side here after riding Minny like a big boy the last 3 wks....Lines have finally caught up - ultimate toss up imo - penn st just leaking oil and maybe minny has one more win in them?....Penn has beat them SU 4 str not that it matters....slight lean to over but not gonna play it unless line moves down 

mizz 14 kentucky (56.5)
capping a lot tougher than one team sucks one team very good so i will take mizzou even tho they prob cover....Kentucky to us is a puzzle and very intruiged by QB Whitlow not sure why he doesnt play more but couldnt find anything on the net on this....K played Miss St tough and backdoored SC....Mizz is just trucking right now so cant fade them but normally we like to get ahead of the curve just not now unless this puppy cracks 14 and gets to 17. slight lean to under.

TCU 7.5 iowa st (46.5)
we have the line closer to 4.5 and so does Sag....Iowa is just sooooo bad statistically yes they could have beat texas if it were not for MAC refs cheating - but last 2 games blown away - and they are 108 rank O and 113 rank D just cant put cash on them - TCU has to be quitting tho??? 6 losses with k st and baylor left?? hmmmm.....no lean at all on this one pretty much any outcome would not be a shock


 
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Posted: #57
Quote Originally Posted by OGiant23:

Wisconsin has been my cash cow this year... At home 7.5 is it vs BYU, sick WR, filthy line and running game. Plus their run d is great and BYU is average at passing. I'm only nervous cause their covering streak is high. Any opinions

will look at this one next 

i had this one circled for a play over 10 was surprised to see 7.5
 
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Posted: #58
update

plays (none yet - card ugggglllyyyy)

small degen plays for idiots like us
- fla st under 54.5
- troy +13
- okla +14.5 (baylor could beat bama by 6 td right??)
- miami oh FH +14 (L)

waiting on
air force (want 3.5)
c mich (waiting for degens to get home from work and pound line higher)

 
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Posted: #59
"Could beat Bama by 6td's right?"

Hahahahaha , you're the best Mega!! Always have me laughing bro, love it

I do think Baylor dumptrucks Oklahoma though

We shall see tomorrow night my friend

.
 
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Posted: #60
 well baylor is freaking awesome on offense - just cant believe big game boob will be that much of an idiot to try and win a shootout. pressure on baylor buddy. im willing to take a small degen play and look like a moron
 
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Posted: #61
and for the record if i took baylor they would lose SU 
 
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Posted: #62
Nobody liking OU will look like an idiot, it's a big spread & OU is full of stud athletes

You're prob the best on here Mega & it's one game bro

I just like Baylor to expose them & light up the scoreboard

I'm looking forward to watching such a great matchup tomorrow

Obviously Oregon/Stanford will also be a great one to see

best Thursday lineup of the season

.
 
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Posted: #63
Baylor TT  shouldnt be too ridiculously high

Mega i keep running Wisconsin stuff at home they should easily me over 10 probably 11-13

Im gonna risk it cause they have superiority in the trenches  and BYU struggled vs houston. Its probably a trap but Wisconsin and how lights out they've been since ohio state what the hell
 
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Posted: #64
wahoo - i agree best thursday night pair of games maybe - dare i say - ever?  .....gonna be fun buddy - believe me - i WILL feel like an idiot if Baylor destroys them - because as you said - Sooners have not shown they can slow down an attack like this....

OGiant - i for sure lean Wiscy my ratings show W by 10-11 as the fair line...BYU also on the road at W is a bit of a ? mark to me.....??? I have W as the 9th best team on paper - BYU just so scrappy and well coached....very tough game to get a read on....to me its W small or nothing - GL


officially added c michigan at +21 for small - see a couple 20.5s out there now 
 
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Posted: #65
 wisc 7.5 byu (55)

further to post 64 - gonna pass this game but we do have a slight lean to wisconsin and a slight lean to the over....Wisc seems joocy since we see some value and they have a great run game (10) and D (6) - however - BYU gets a big spotlight game and are all mature well coached football machines - rolling with 37 31 38 47 37 last 5 G....3 road games so far beat VA in slop - Utah St without Chucky - then squeeked by Houston in a MEGALOCKS cash burning fiasco under......Just too much uncertainty for us.

 
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Posted: #66
Quote Originally Posted by MEGALOCKS:

and for the record if i took baylor they would lose SU 



NOOOOOOO
What do you call an Eternal Optimist? An accordion with a beeper!
 
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Posted: #67
what does everyone think about taking central Michigan and the under too to wet condition?
 
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Posted: #68

Quote Originally Posted by bigdoggggggg:

what does everyone think about taking central Michigan and the under too to wet condition?

due to

 
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Posted: #69

Quote Originally Posted by bigdoggggggg:

what does everyone think about taking central Michigan and the under too to wet condition?

 

hey buddy - don't think weather gonna matter much tonight - but if you are worried - always best to wait - and take an in game play when you see how bad it is. just my 2 cents. I hear light rain and light to moderate winds. CM D is really bad but can put up the odd TD - and Ball explosive and D avg....so over may be the way to go anyway - GL man

 
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Posted: #70

 iowa 14.5 purdue (46)

purdue off epic thrashing shutout at home no way can play them they are historically bad.....slight lean to iowa - ya they don't score much - but against this team....?? to me you are asking iowa to get 30 and we can see that just not playing this one what a #shittfest

marshall 23 uab (66)

uab played a nice game last wk losing late and running the ball extremely well....lots of dog upsets in the series - but marshall has been sick at home winning 52-14 55*-0 34-10 61-13....UAB long injury list worries us too....slightest of leans to marshall no take on the total seems about right

 

 
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Posted: #71
We could get old waiting for AF + 3.5 Mega…have many books and the best I can do is +3.5 -130. 
 
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Posted: #72
Playing Troy/ULL Over 67, after breaking this one down. I liked Troy +13, but felt there was slightly more value in the over. ULL holding Troy to low numbers last two years does worry me a little bit. Thoughts here, 67 too high?

Would also like your thoughts on the ND-Pitt game, currently leaning Pitt +points.

FWIW, I had a strong lean on BYU +7.5, but after looking at my ratings and crunching some numbers I now lean Wisconsin by 10. This will be a no play for me.

Thanks in advance for the insight friend.
 
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Posted: #73
BTW, BYU lost to Virginia on the road in sloppy weather.
 
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Posted: #74
Quote Originally Posted by Vituperate:

We could get old waiting for AF + 3.5 Mega…have many books and the best I can do is +3.5 -130. 

I know buddy  Sometimes it works out not playing the game tho
 
 
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Posted: #75
Quote Originally Posted by SqueaksUofA:

Playing Troy/ULL Over 67, after breaking this one down. I liked Troy +13, but felt there was slightly more value in the over. ULL holding Troy to low numbers last two years does worry me a little bit. Thoughts here, 67 too high?

Would also like your thoughts on the ND-Pitt game, currently leaning Pitt +points.

FWIW, I had a strong lean on BYU +7.5, but after looking at my ratings and crunching some numbers I now lean Wisconsin by 10. This will be a no play for me.

Thanks in advance for the insight friend.

 Don't have a great feel for the total. Never a bad idea to go over in a Troy game. Will look at ND tomorrow. GL
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