NCAA wk 11

Thanks everyone  gotta get caught up with the comments then try and fit in 5-6 more games today somehow....will try to get to all the requests instead of looking at an entire conference.............Sorry if we miss anyone.

Bandos - VT .....You always find some interesting ones buddy....Gonna check out Mia Oh TT and will look at UNLV game later today.....Not sure yet what to do with Temple....thanks again for posting

JayUCLA -  I am gonna try and stay up for UCLA game but getting too late for me GL

dodgy, gmitron - will look at the iowa game

Harvard .....Will take a look at the UNLV game

puffkit - you OWN the FUNBELT and you also have good intel on the Mtn West  love that - under the radar games....I have Boise giving a TD too much so I think you may be right GL

Break  gotta play 4Q bro. GL

Johnny ....Yup Pinnacle just increased their limits like for Ga Tech -2.5 .....Baylor -2.5 is now a limit of 47 trillion US boy that is a steal.....The Okie St total looks about right to us buddy ya it dropped a bit from open but I think that was high to begin with and did not check weather will have to go back and look at my write up. GL pal !

Oda thx

Oktober    Prepping

SST - thanks man ! GL Sat go Tigers

sunbrn  thanks

Hstead  thanks

Puff -

Brian - thanks

THANKS ! appreciate it very much  BOL - hope we can stay consistent - Lots of work to do yet.

lastchance  thx. VT game was a good lesson for all you young Sparkies 1. sometimes you lose even when your team dominates "the stats"...it sucks but it happens....it sucks but gotta put the big boy pants on and suck it up2. They play 4Q and hopefully by the end of it the game goes the way you hoped....Have faith.....Worst case you lose GL Saturday pal

papa

dadale

BYU

Wahoo - we got the cash buddy....It ended up the way it should have ended up but we both have seen it go the other way where the team with more yards is just snakebit and you lose....Let's collaborate MORE ! MEGAHOO

billyh ....I would say that is tacky but I think it is a good idea....Save some of those bills for when we have bad weeks

chad - love reverse jinx threads ....And reverse jinx comments - for example - Congrats UCLA backers

VITS -

niceehh - ....Im an hour outside Toronto in north part of waterloo

Betfriends

degengambler ...."smush"....EXACTLY....that is how we find edges sometimes - look for "averages" that Number Cruncher Guy uses that make no sense.....Have not looked at the Troy total but you may be on to something GL

somethnew....We had nothing to do with it - it was the Beamer SCOWLS that turned the tide !

estes - my man

Adogg - fumblayyyaa - love it

calbear ....hope to get out to LA !

Jamie

Bridge - thx man - our INSIDERS are 2nd to none

Henne

Area51  thanks man

Tien  thx....MVP over Durant?

dish

Ok gotta get cracking and find time to get to more games.

GL and thanks - Mega

THREAD SUMMARY 

Picks

Virginia Tech +3.5  (would not play below 3)

Miss St TT under 21 (would not play below 21)

Wash St +10.5 (would not play below 10)

Order of write-ups

Tuesday - Ohio / Kent (post 9)  Toledo / C Mich (post 11)

Wednesday - BG / W Mich (29)  Buffalo / NIU (31)

Thursday - ULL / S Ala (45)  V Tech / G Tech (65)

Friday - USC / Colorado (88)

SEC - Mizz / BYU (96)  LSU / Ark (101)

SEC - Kent / Vandy (103)   Fla / SC (106)

SEC - Ga / Auburn (113)

SEC - Alabama / Miss T (115)

Request - Cincy / Tulsa (145)

Request - Ga S / Troy (172)   Okie st / Iowa St (174)

Request - Okla / Baylor (180)

Request - Wash St / UCLA (235)

Request - Army / Tulane (246)

NEXT UP - REQUESTS and ONE LAST SEC GAME  

Any chance you could look over the Texas Tech vs Kansas State game? Bill owns Kliff but Kstate is still +6.

Consider the way Okie St. scores and look at the O/D passer efficiency data. Ok St. scored on 5 plays of more than 40 yds against TCU last week. Ok St #10 passing efficiency O, Iowa St. #112 in passing efficiency D. Based on the large disparity in O/D efficiency data, I see no reason that won't happen again this week but on a larger scale. The only way this stays within the number is if ok st turns it over...but Iowa St. has only picked off 4 passes all year...and Ok st has only thrown 8 picks. ok st it plus/game in turnovers and iowa st is minus/game.

We all know the talent difference between the two teams but will Okie St. show up? Baylor look-ahead/TCU Big-Win letdown? Okie St. needs style points from here on out, as evidenced by their 10-0 record and sub par ranking. They will be ready.

***Most Importantly***Let's also not forget that Ok St. was a perfect 10-0 in 2011 and #2 in the country and took a trip to Ames and lost. Still a few seniors on the team that were signed recruits at the time. They will NOT overlook Iowa St. here IMO

REQUEST LINE.....Megalocks....."People People"

Iowa 11 Minn (45.5)

Megalocks line 13

Sagarin 19

Definitely cannot think of a worse spot - as you guys pointed out....Minny off of 2 big time games Michigan and Ohio St will Iowa is focused and tuning up for a B10 title run....We also like if you lean Iowa that Iowa is 6-0 SU L6 home to Minny and probably remember the 51-14 pasting LY at Minny fwiw.....Minny has allowed more points than they have scored ....while Iowa has scored almost 150 more than their opp......Seems like a fair price.....The one thing that They Are Gonna Kill Em Guy must respect - is that Minny has covered against TCU Ohio St and Michigan this year.....Now say what you want - that is a factoid...and so easy to just brush that aside - but they are very scrappy and while the QB may be limited in mobility their MATRICULATION ability in the passing game has been improved....If Iowa doesn't put them away early then this might get interesting yet again.

Summary. Lean Iowa no higher than 11.

NOTE STEAM COMING on minny for real as I type this

SCRATCH that - NO LEAN....run away....MEGA

upside - thanks man

Cams - cannot win at the lottery buddy - get a sportsbook

bmoser - sorry bro - just no idea what to expect from K St just so up and down cannot figure that team out - GL

don88 - Beamer. Respect the guy but wow those expressions

lebreton - hey buddy - You know what we say - go with your gut on Oklahoma St .....Not going to talk you out of it and yes aluded to 3 straight comfy wins since the debacle.....Not touching that game but see the merit in Okie St. One thing I will say tho - style points mean squat - if they win every game by 1 - which includes Baylor and Oklahoma - they are 100% lock city USA in the playoff. GL !!

vorvan

longhorn

gogirl - THANKS so much  REALLY appreciate it......New Mexico is a definite possibility - the only criteria that it does not pass for me is I am very careful in playing big dogs at Boise b/c that is a bad place for an underdog if they get rolling - but I WILL say you are on to something for sure....Their HF Adv not as strong ATS as it has been in the past because the pointspreads there are almost always very inflated. I would lean to NMex just not sure if I have enough time to analyze fully. thanks for the heads up MEGA