All Forums | College Football

NCAA wk 13

...
Participants:
Search model icon
Views: 134653
Posts: 525
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2015
Posts: 224
Posted: #276
I know you're Canadian, Mega, but Happy Thanksgiving from your neighbors to the South!d :)
 
MVP
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2003
Posts: 18138
Posted: #277
next pick

FLORIDA ST -2.5


(write-up next)
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2015
Posts: 2092
Posted: #278
Got on FSU earlier in the week..... Glad to see it
 
MVP
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2003
Posts: 18138
Posted: #279
Quote Originally Posted by MEGALOCKS:

next pick

FLORIDA ST -2.5


(write-up next)

1. Florida St will be able to do much more on offense in this game and at the end of the day - barring a bunch of turnovers - actually moving the ball and scoring points wins more games than not. And Florida St has only turned it over 10 times all year so do not think that will be a huge problem. Obviously Cook is fantastic - almost 1500Y 16 TD 8 yds a pop....Nice receiving targets and Whitfield is developing nicely. Of course Florida's D is fantastic - no argument there - but there are banged up quite a bit on the DL and even with their depth - AND the injuries on the Fla St OL - in a game we expect to be low scoring - Florida St is the team more likely to make the big play IMO whether it is running or MATRICULATING in the passing game.

2. Florida offense is a mess. Stats Cruncher Averages Guy will not realize how much more dangerous Florida was with Grier under center. As we all know Florida has barely escaped Vandy and Florida Atlantic WTFFFFF - and in particular last game vs FAU they had to go to OT and gave up 5 sacks.....In fact - Florida is now dead LAST in the SEC in sacks allowed and 11th in TFL allowed. Florida St D is not what it has been but they must be licking their chops waiting to go against that Florida OL.

3. Good offenses can score on Florida. EC got 24. Tenn 27. LSU 35. Last 4 games Fla got the offenses of GA, SC FAU Vandy this is a bit of a step up in class.

4. Stats Cruncher Averages Guy will also be missing the fact that Florida St is a much more dangerous team with Maguire under center at least teams need to respect the medium to deep pass now.

5. If it comes down to FG - ummm - we will take Aguayo. Not as deadly as last yr but a better option that Florida has at PK.

6. We like Jimbo a lot has been in a bunch of big games - yes he had Winston - but this is McElwain's biggest game yet - only to be surpassed next game vs Bama.

7. The Swamp. Crowd Will Be Rocking Guy should note Florida St has won the last 2 here....yes with a slightly better QB. Also - while they were day games - Florida at home this year was life and death to beat Vandy and FAU and probably should have lost to the Vols. We are just saying for real like for real - Florida St will be able to handle it IMO.

GL mega
 
MVP
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2003
Posts: 18138
Posted: #280
Quote Originally Posted by djmont:

I know you're Canadian, Mega, but Happy Thanksgiving from your neighbors to the South!d :)


thanks ! happy holidays !
we are getting ready to fire up some turkey.
 
MVP
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2003
Posts: 18138
Posted: #281
moonstorm 

Cams 

rleong -  let's do it !
 
MVP
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2003
Posts: 18138
Posted: #282
THREAD SUMMARY

Picks
Texas Tech +1.5 (would play down to pk em)
Marshall +10.5 (would play down to +10)
Florida St -2.5 (would play up to -3)

Write-ups
Tuesday - BGreen/Ball (6) NIU/Ohio(23)
Thursday - UCF/SF (36) TT/Texas (53)
Friday - Kent/Akron(88) Toledo/WM (97)
Friday - TCU/Baylor(100) Neb/Iowa (128)
Friday - Chips/EM (141) Pitt/Mia(170)
Friday - Buff/UMass(171) Ga St/Troy (178)
Friday - Oregon/Ore St (189) Ark/Mizz (191)
Friday - Wash/Wash St (199) Tulane/Tulsa(201)
Friday - Boise/SJ (204) Marshall/WKU (207)
Sat - SC / Clemson (252)  GT/Georgia (254)
Friday - Navy/Houston (267) 
Sat - Tenn/SC (268)  Florida/Fla St (279)

next up - rest of SEC
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2009
Posts: 3124
Posted: #283
Happy Thanksgiving Mega, yea I know, but still can wish you happy turkey.

 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2015
Posts: 199
Posted: #284
Quote Originally Posted by MEGALOCKS:

Quote Originally Posted by MEGALOCKS:

next pickFLORIDA ST -2.5(write-up next)
1. Florida St will be able to do much more on offense in this game and at the end of the day - barring a bunch of turnovers - actually moving the ball and scoring points wins more games than not. And Florida St has only turned it over 10 times all year so do not think that will be a huge problem. Obviously Cook is fantastic - almost 1500Y 16 TD 8 yds a pop....Nice receiving targets and Whitfield is developing nicely. Of course Florida's D is fantastic - no argument there - but there are banged up quite a bit on the DL and even with their depth - AND the injuries on the Fla St OL - in a game we expect to be low scoring - Florida St is the team more likely to make the big play IMO whether it is running or MATRICULATING in the passing game.2. Florida offense is a mess. Stats Cruncher Averages Guy will not realize how much more dangerous Florida was with Grier under center. As we all know Florida has barely escaped Vandy and Florida Atlantic WTFFFFF - and in particular last game vs FAU they had to go to OT and gave up 5 sacks.....In fact - Florida is now dead LAST in the SEC in sacks allowed and 11th in TFL allowed. Florida St D is not what it has been but they must be licking their chops waiting to go against that Florida OL.3. Good offenses can score on Florida. EC got 24. Tenn 27. LSU 35. Last 4 games Fla got the offenses of GA, SC FAU Vandy this is a bit of a step up in class.4. Stats Cruncher Averages Guy will also be missing the fact that Florida St is a much more dangerous team with Maguire under center at least teams need to respect the medium to deep pass now.5. If it comes down to FG - ummm - we will take Aguayo. Not as deadly as last yr but a better option that Florida has at PK.6. We like Jimbo a lot has been in a bunch of big games - yes he had Winston - but this is McElwain's biggest game yet - only to be surpassed next game vs Bama.7. The Swamp. Crowd Will Be Rocking Guy should note Florida St has won the last 2 here....yes with a slightly better QB. Also - while they were day games - Florida at home this year was life and death to beat Vandy and FAU and probably should have lost to the Vols. We are just saying for real like for real - Florida St will be able to handle it IMO.GL mega

I also jumped this line early in the week, so I am glad to see you are on it, Mega. Roll roll seminole wind.
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2013
Posts: 143
Posted: #285
happy holidays hoser! 

good time to drink some canadians and sing along to some stompin tom! 

here's a bit of rubberhead for chip kelly and his cup of coffee in the nfl!

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_FZSt8tSn50


 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2015
Posts: 678
Posted: #286
Welcome back buddy, lets get some Cash
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2009
Posts: 1393
Posted: #287
Quote Originally Posted by MEGALOCKS:

next pick

FLORIDA ST -2.5


(write-up next)


NOW WE'RE COOKIN'!!!
 
MVP
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2003
Posts: 18138
Posted: #288
Area51 ....happy holidays bro ! just stuffed my face with turkey now gonna catch some football

BYU 

gman 

prophet  thx

puffkit  happy holidays man



 
MVP
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2003
Posts: 18138
Posted: #289
Louisville 4.5 Kentucky (53.5)

Megalocks line 3

Sagarin 7.5 


Sagarin and I disagree on more than a few every week - sometimes he gets the better of me - I am just not sure about this one - Now on PRINCIPLE - will not add this to the official play list because like we all have nemesis teams that we have a hard time figuring out - Kentucky and Louisville are both on that list for us especially this year.

Louisville looked a lot better early in the year losing to Aub by 7....Clemson by 3 and houston by 3.....but lately their D has not been as sharp and they have had major problems on the OL....They beat BC by 3 WF by 1 and VA by 7.....last 2 games gave up 76 points....They already have a bowl invite sewn up.

Kentucky will be going for RS FR Barker at QB again - he was 16-29 vs Charlotte but did not need to do much as they ran for over 400Y in that game....They are 5-6 and Need To Get Bowl Eligible Guy should be looking at the Wildcats this week and they get some SEC relief.....were struggling to score before Charlotte - now they face a struggling Louisville D BUT have a new QB ?? Puzzler.

Our ACC INSIDERS reminded us that Louisville is DEAD LAST in sacks allowed in the NCAA #128 behind such great teams like Charlotte UTSA and WF.....Sure Kentucky D is not Bama but that OL plus the fact that Louisville will probably use 6 QBs to make sure nobody gets in a rhythm - makes us think Kentucky if anything is the way to go. Odds on Pinnacle are -125 that Petrino bangs a hot biker skank after the game.

Summary. Lean Kentucky at +4 or better. ML would not be the worst idea ever. Not making our official card tho.

mega
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2014
Posts: 145
Posted: #290
Quote Originally Posted by MEGALOCKS:

Louisville 4.5 Kentucky (53.5)Megalocks line 3Sagarin 7.5 Sagarin and I disagree on more than a few every week - sometimes he gets the better of me - I am just not sure about this one - Now on PRINCIPLE - will not add this to the official play list because like we all have nemesis teams that we have a hard time figuring out - Kentucky and Louisville are both on that list for us especially this year.Louisville looked a lot better early in the year losing to Aub by 7....Clemson by 3 and houston by 3.....but lately their D has not been as sharp and they have had major problems on the OL....They beat BC by 3 WF by 1 and VA by 7.....last 2 games gave up 76 points....They already have a bowl invite sewn up.Kentucky will be going for RS FR Barker at QB again - he was 16-29 vs Charlotte but did not need to do much as they ran for over 400Y in that game....They are 5-6 and Need To Get Bowl Eligible Guy should be looking at the Wildcats this week and they get some SEC relief.....were struggling to score before Charlotte - now they face a struggling Louisville D BUT have a new QB ?? Puzzler.Our ACC INSIDERS reminded us that Louisville is DEAD LAST in sacks allowed in the NCAA #128 behind such great teams like Charlotte UTSA and WF.....Sure Kentucky D is not Bama but that OL plus the fact that Louisville will probably use 6 QBs to make sure nobody gets in a rhythm - makes us think Kentucky if anything is the way to go. Odds on Pinnacle are -125 that Petrino bangs a hot biker skank after the game.Summary. Lean Kentucky at +4 or better. ML would not be the worst idea ever. Not making our official card tho.mega

Line jumped to -260
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2015
Posts: 11
Posted: #291
Quote Originally Posted by MEGALOCKS:

Odds on Pinnacle are -125 that Petrino bangs a hot biker skank after the game.

Mega- I missed the -125 odds on Petrino and my book is already up to -450.... Should I wait and see if it drops or go after the over/under of the number of escorts at the next L'Ville basketball recruit party which I currently is 9 at -130?
 
MVP
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2003
Posts: 18138
Posted: #292
CsCollege 

Gatorhater - hammer the -450....I am seeing -500 and -600 starting to pop up - Gonna be a biker-tranny-petrino threesome 


LSU 5.5 Texas AM

Megalocks line 6

Sagarin 5

Tough game to call....LSU has lost the last three games 99-47 combined vs Alabama Ark and Ole Miss...they just HAVE to be beat up after that trilogy and WR Dural gone for the year....Not to mention HC on the hot seat.....line looks about right....but hard to go with LSU here.....AM ?? They are FOR SURE the fresher team and while QB Allen seems to playing on cheap drugs half the time - and playing fantastic the other half - hard to look past the matchup between the LSU run game (#9) and the AM run D (#105).....normally we would be all over this matchup in favor of LSU but due to the spot as mentioned above and no line value - gonna take a pass.

Summary. No leanage. (NOTE - if we find out this is Miles last game - we will be looking to add LSU to the card - say what you want - but the players love him and that would be a big motivational edge IMO - not saying just saying - just keep your eyes and ears open)

mega
 
MVP
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2003
Posts: 18138
Posted: #293
Ole Miss 1 Miss St (64)

Megalocks line pk

Sagarin 1

Looks to be a tossup to us - HOT TAKE - Ole Miss offense is red hot right now scoring 90 L2G vs LSU and Arkansas.....and yes they will have to do it with the offense and not ESPN's "Landshark Defense".....Worried about Ole Miss pass rush (none) vs QB Dak for Miss St....feels like this game comes down to the last possession - and in a game like this - we always want at least 3 points no matter which team we take - typically 3.5.....Our SEC INSIDERS tell us that the home team has won 14 of the last 16 games in this series....and we really like how scrappy Miss St has been this yr. Puzzler.

Summary. No leanage. For those that need action or will keel over and die - the over is probably the safest bet but we will just watch and enjoy.

mega


 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2015
Posts: 1126
Posted: #294
Uh oh
 
MVP
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2003
Posts: 18138
Posted: #295
bartender - cut everyone off please 
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2015
Posts: 199
Posted: #296
The atrocious defense in this game has the turkey and cranberries churning in my belly. Nevertheless, what a fun game to watch.
 
Legend
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2010
Posts: 35347
Posted: #297
Quote Originally Posted by MEGALOCKS:

bartender - cut everyone off please 



 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: May, 2007
Posts: 81
Posted: #298
Quote Originally Posted by MEGALOCKS:


1. Florida St will be able to do much more on offense in this game and at the end of the day - barring a bunch of turnovers - actually moving the ball and scoring points wins more games than not. And Florida St has only turned it over 10 times all year so do not think that will be a huge problem. Obviously Cook is fantastic - almost 1500Y 16 TD 8 yds a pop....Nice receiving targets and Whitfield is developing nicely. Of course Florida's D is fantastic - no argument there - but there are banged up quite a bit on the DL and even with their depth - AND the injuries on the Fla St OL - in a game we expect to be low scoring - Florida St is the team more likely to make the big play IMO whether it is running or MATRICULATING in the passing game.

2. Florida offense is a mess. Stats Cruncher Averages Guy will not realize how much more dangerous Florida was with Grier under center. As we all know Florida has barely escaped Vandy and Florida Atlantic WTFFFFF - and in particular last game vs FAU they had to go to OT and gave up 5 sacks.....In fact - Florida is now dead LAST in the SEC in sacks allowed and 11th in TFL allowed. Florida St D is not what it has been but they must be licking their chops waiting to go against that Florida OL.

3. Good offenses can score on Florida. EC got 24. Tenn 27. LSU 35. Last 4 games Fla got the offenses of GA, SC FAU Vandy this is a bit of a step up in class.

4. Stats Cruncher Averages Guy will also be missing the fact that Florida St is a much more dangerous team with Maguire under center at least teams need to respect the medium to deep pass now.

5. If it comes down to FG - ummm - we will take Aguayo. Not as deadly as last yr but a better option that Florida has at PK.

6. We like Jimbo a lot has been in a bunch of big games - yes he had Winston - but this is McElwain's biggest game yet - only to be surpassed next game vs Bama.

7. The Swamp. Crowd Will Be Rocking Guy should note Florida St has won the last 2 here....yes with a slightly better QB. Also - while they were day games - Florida at home this year was life and death to beat Vandy and FAU and probably should have lost to the Vols. We are just saying for real like for real - Florida St will be able to handle it IMO.

GL mega
Rumor has Jimbo Fisher taking LSU job ... have to wonder how this will effect Florida St. players.
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2015
Posts: 199
Posted: #299
But the fumblerooskie play was GLORIOUS!!
 
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2013
Posts: 2509
Posted: #300
usually don't like to clutter your thread, but I will to say great job
All Forums | College Football
About Us
Contact Us
Careers
Our Team
Brand
Testimonials
Betting Guides
Sportsbook Reviews
Sports Betting News
Podcasts
Responsible Gaming
Sports Betting
US Betting Sites
Canada Betting Sites
Canada Casinos
Best Betting Apps
Contests
Streak Survivor
King of Covers
Ultimate Race
Office Pools
The Covers community has
618,670
lifetime members worldwide
Covers 25 Years Logo Established in 1995,
Covers is the world
leader in sports
betting information.
Site Map Help Privacy Terms of Service youtube logo facebook logo twitter logo instagram logo linkedin logo google news logo
Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo
Copyright © 1995 - 2024 CS Media Limited All Rights Reserved.

If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.