All Forums | College Football

NEVADA @ PURDUE: I'll be DAMNED if I lead my Covers Brothers to slaughter with 2 losses in a row.

...
Participants:
Search model icon
Views: 17190
Posts: 219
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2006
Posts: 28221
Posted: #1
2016 Record: 14-6-1 (70% albeit a small sample)

The pick: 

PURDUE -3 over Nevada 

I know you may think we are committing betting suicide here laying points with a team that has gone 7-31 under Darrell Hazell's tenure.

We are not.

I know you think I am making this play because I have to, that is, because I have Purdue over 4.5 wins on the season.

I am not.

This game has been capped on its individual merits.

The line opened at -3.5 and 2 hours later moved to 3. That is a huge line move. I have to take Purdue now. If it gets to 2.5, screw me, but 3 as a push line is what I am taking on a Monday. If you guys want to wait feel free.

We are laying points but we are actually going against the squares who herded on Nevada as soon as this opened. 

Purdue can win and cover this game. I know you don't believe it after watching Cincinnati get 18 straight 3rd down conversions (yes that really did happen), but Purdue is the play here. If they do not, the season will go to hell right now and everyone's head will roll. That is a good thing for our bet. I may not bet on Purdue the rest of the year because I don't know how they will respond against to superior conception (and all of it is superior) except this team in this spot.

I know you don't like the pick but I am not here to please posters. I am here to make money and share that with others.

I will provide the succinct write-up later in the week. We will not lose two in a row.






 
Legend
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2009
Posts: 33526
Posted: #2
Good Luck buddy 
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2013
Posts: 473
Posted: #3
Purdon't is more and likely gonna make my card, prior to your posting I had very similar thoughts about this game for the Boilermakers, I don't see the Wolfpack traveling well in this one 

BOL brotha 
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2005
Posts: 91
Posted: #4
Purdue opened -5 1/2 (BetOnline) about 3:30 pm yesterday, then most offshore sportbooks opened -3, about 3 hrs later, I see it has risen to -4 1/2  this morning, looks like you got the good number

GL
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2006
Posts: 28221
Posted: #5
Good lord: I always post the line I see on 5Dimes. Literally at 10:38am, the time of this post it was -3.

Now 1/2 hour later we are at -4.5. You are correct 

5/5.5 are dead numbers and you won't have to worry about it getting to 6 so I'd let this number rise and fall between 4.5 and get my number if you can. 

If not, we'll comment on that towards the end of the week.


 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2014
Posts: 5647
Posted: #6
Great info thanks for sharing. In leaning Nevada here but may have to reconsider. Good post thanks!
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2006
Posts: 3329
Posted: #7
Game is scheduled for Noon local time.

so, 9am for Nevada players
 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: Apr, 2006
Posts: 6290
Posted: #8
But there a basketball school! 
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2006
Posts: 28221
Posted: #9
Quote Originally Posted by dytide:

Game is scheduled for Noon local time.

so, 9am for Nevada players

Great addition. 

Purdue is also coming off its bye week.

Folks if you are in the Big 10 (and yes Purdue is among the worst if not the worst in conference), and you can't beat an out of conference opponent like Nevada off a bye week and after a game where you got shredded in Cincinnati, then you are worthless. 

I'm serious when I say this: the entire net worth of Hazell and crew and Purdue as a program is on the line if they lose to Nevada and they know it.

If they win not much is gained by if they lose, everyone should go. Blow it all up. ALL of it.

You need that pressure from fans and employers to lay points with Purdue. 

There is a new AD in town and he will axe Hazell. In fact, that is why he was brought in.

If they lose here the fans will be on the verge of rioting. Season over after game 3. I can't even express the disdain and dismay the fan base has for this team right now.

Win and get a reprieve for two weeks. Lose and Perish.

Nevada is coming in off an impressive win (for them) against borderline FCS Buffalo (so in reality it's not much of a win at all) has NONE of this pressure.

And who else did Nevada beat? Nothing Cal Poly. This team has proven nothing.

Neither has Purdue but this is Purdue a program that dates back to the 1800's.

If you can't beat Nevada...off a bye...as a power 5 school...as a team that has gone 7-31 in four years...folks, it's all on the line here. The schedule CAN'T get any easier than this. That is why we lay the points with lowly Purdue!




 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2016
Posts: 28
Posted: #10
Love this play. 

Always scary betting on bad teams laying points but sometimes its gotta be done (SMU/Tulane). If Purdue loses this game at home coming off a bye week and playing this Nevada team dealing with the timezones then they might as well fire every employee involved with the team.

I'm seeing -4.5 at my book as well so I'm gonna wait in hopes that it drops. 

GL as always 

 
Legend
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2001
Posts: 85256
Posted: #11
you got a good deal @ "Old P U" -3, scalabrine. -4 1/2 now in Las Vegas BUT the Boilers are pretty stinky. Wolf Pack really not much either BUT they did beat SUNY-Buffalo last week 38-14 after getting smacked @ Notre Dame 10-39. I guess the Boilers could be "the dog with the least fleas" BUT I will just stay away
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2007
Posts: 66896
Posted: #12
I am on Nevada ML for small .... 

No idea why you like this Purdue squad ???

If anything it might be a great spot to hedge ....





BEST OF LUCK BROTHER= MUCH RESPECT
 HOPE THEY WIN 6+ AND GO BOWLING 
BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2006
Posts: 28221
Posted: #13
Quote Originally Posted by LeRinkRat:

you got a good deal @ "Old P U" -3, scalabrine. -4 1/2 now in Las Vegas BUT the Boilers are pretty stinky. Wolf Pack really not much either BUT they did beat SUNY-Buffalo last week 38-14 after getting smacked @ Notre Dame 10-39. I guess the Boilers could be "the dog with the least fleas" BUT I will just stay away

If Buffalo isn't the worst team in the FBS they certainly are very close to it.

So for my money, Nevada has two wins over FCS opponents which bodes well for me because it falsely inflates their confidence and lowers this line.

 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2006
Posts: 28221
Posted: #14
Quote Originally Posted by DoubleUp4Life:

I am on Nevada ML for small .... 

No idea why you like this Purdue squad ???

If anything it might be a great spot to hedge ....





BEST OF LUCK BROTHER= MUCH RESPECT
 HOPE THEY WIN 6+ AND GO BOWLING 

Nevada is undersized and overvalued Double, even as a dog. Purdue can beat this team. Purdue has to beat this team.
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2006
Posts: 1898
Posted: #15
Good luck on the play!!! 
 
Hall of Fame
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2008
Posts: 22698
Posted: #16
Good luck this week Broham!
 
Legend
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2001
Posts: 85256
Posted: #17
Quote Originally Posted by scalabrine:


If Buffalo isn't the worst team in the FBS they certainly are very close to it.

So for my money, Nevada has two wins over FCS opponents which bodes well for me because it falsely inflates their confidence and lowers this line.



Hey thanks for the input. I have been looking @ Army -14 @ SUNY-Buffalo and was hookey about the line . gonna BET the CADETS now
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2006
Posts: 28221
Posted: #18
Dilemma Mike


I found that army line quite attractive. Not a fan of laying 14 points on the road but army has been impressive this year and the option teams offer steady scoring to run it up.
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2006
Posts: 28221
Posted: #19
Purdue now at -6 blows my mind. Never did I think it would get there after it plummeted upon opening.

Are squares now herding on.....Purdue???? How is that possible for a team of such low caliber???
 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2008
Posts: 8446
Posted: #20
I REALLY want to bet on Purdue here but Bodog doesn't even have the game what in the fuk?
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2004
Posts: 4722
Posted: #21
2nd week in a row I come into your thread and will say I like the over more than the side, you were on the right side last despite the result



BOL to all
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2012
Posts: 1852
Posted: #22
Scal, great write up as always. Do you expect this line to drop back down?
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2009
Posts: 1485
Posted: #23
You already move the line up to 6 now.  

Good Luck!

 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: May, 2016
Posts: 63
Posted: #24
Quote Originally Posted by Coin86:

I REALLY want to bet on Purdue here but Bodog doesn't even have the game what in the fuk?

Gotta get off bodog. Bookmaker is where it's at.
 
 
Legend
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2002
Posts: 54651
Posted: #25
Like the O58 much better than a side.....both offenses much better than defenses.....
All Forums | College Football
About Us
Contact Us
Careers
Our Team
Brand
Testimonials
Betting Guides
Sportsbook Reviews
Sports Betting News
Podcasts
Responsible Gaming
Sports Betting
US Betting Sites
Canada Betting Sites
Canada Casinos
Best Betting Apps
Contests
Streak Survivor
King of Covers
Ultimate Race
Office Pools
The Covers community has
618,670
lifetime members worldwide
Covers 25 Years Logo Established in 1995,
Covers is the world
leader in sports
betting information.
Site Map Help Privacy Terms of Service youtube logo facebook logo twitter logo instagram logo linkedin logo google news logo
Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo
Copyright © 1995 - 2024 CS Media Limited All Rights Reserved.

If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.