nostradamus week 1

BD, SC - GL this year fellas

TH - no problem what's the question

NC - what's going on buddy, good to you see back this season....yep typical week 70/30 chalk...also more under than over on totals, whatever works for your game, BOL this season

reducing (offset) Notre Dame to a small play 0.5u...combo of likely suspensions and some others banged up ....pretty good depth at those positions however play getting weaker so dropping amount

checking out Ohio St-Navy and a couple write in matchups

adding......

Ohio St -17 (0.75)

small play on Oklahoma St +17.5 (0.5)

Ohio St 41 Navy 17 - Middies lack the speed to contain OSU and minus couple good tacklers....so will probably need to score 25-30 to hang around....Bucks pretty solid against run LY and front 7 should be tougher this year....Navy mostly all or nothing on offense, contained against better defenses some not even so great WKU, Duke, Pitt

Florida St 30 Oklahoma St 20 - OSU not blown out much over last few years with one loss 20+ against some explosive offenses....although young believe skill players can make a few plays and like JC Hill....defense although questionable in secondary used to facing similar system in practice

will check back game week

updated week 1

what's going on fellas.....been checking out a couple remaining week 1 to add and week 2 matchups...looking at 7 favorites and 6 dogs....only a week under sun night week 2 openers....hasn't been the luckiest preseason with Huskers losing LB Rose and DB and a couple others, ND suspensions and now Miller going down....OSU number moved too much to offset and risk middle now so we'll just stick with it....still believe they're get 30+ and comes down to stopping the option where Navy usually either gets shut down or scores 30+ and Bucks front 7 should have a shot to contain them

WG - thanks buddy, yeah we managed to reduce that one some when that came out...probably Daniels has the most impact although have a couple other WRs we like and running game should work against Owls

TH - not so much, we use the gold sheet ratings which are good for estimating lines and then try to predict outcome compared to number

droyder - that's probably fair although not a huge number of games....typically 10-14 a week

doc - what's going on my friend, good to see you again for another season...yeah hopefully vets tree and wahoo are back and any new quality capping welcome...hate to see Miller go down hopefully you're not locked in at 17 like myself, still give them a decent shot to cover although obviously big step down, BOL this season doc

bando - tough to make much of a case for Rutgers pass defense against WSU other than hoping the young back 7 is better as soph....WR Marks (74 rec) is questionable so that would help....as far as RU offense...like the addition of Friedgen for play calling (and maybe helping Nova) and with solid OL and RBs they should be able to run some as well, WRs are young although Carroo has some talent and TE with Kroft....WSU doesn't hold too many under 20 although did hold USC and AZ....somehow...although at the time USC offense was in shambles still a good day for the defense, BOL

bandit - yeah that wasn't good news the day Neb lost the 3 defensive guys....especially Rose with the most impact in FAU matchup....still they should have enough on defense to contain the Owls so probably depends more on the QB play and running game and whether they can get to 40+, GL this season

NC -  missed the UCLA question earlier....we'll probably pass on that one.....Bruins obvious large talent diff and especially at QB and VA losing big at home to similar last year, however Cavs starting to build some young talent on defense and could improve on offense so not that comfortable laying 3+ TDs or taking unproven VA that could get smoked either

adding

Miami-Louisville under 54 (0.75)

Louisville 27 Mia FL 20 - rematch of 36-9 bowl matchup even with a couple losses UL defense should  still match up pretty well with Canes probably going with 3rd string Heaps average at best and maybe look more to running game.....Miami defense underachieving for years and not really to be trusted however QB inexperience and Parker downgraded to doubtful this morning may have a shot to keep them under 30

other small plays - Cal +10 (0.5)....tough to get too carried away on team as bad as Bears were last year.....pretty even matchup last year in 44-30 loss (2 INT TDs) and Cal should benefit from gaining QB experience and healthier defense.....NW not much for blowing out teams and loss of WR Jones......NW 30-27

degenerate 7 pt. teaser (-120).....So Carolina -3/Georgia -0.5 (0.5).....although A&M has some talent, tough to see SC losing this one with much more solid defense...and 26-2 SU at home over last few doesn't hurt....Clemson has a shot however not really seeing them winning here against Bulldogs with experience advantage at skill positions and looking for payback after last year....new DC should improve the defense

should do it other than checking out a couple write in games next week to wrap things up