nostradamus week 1

Oahu, thoy, bando, amd -

droyder - philosophy is that if you can go 115-85 (57%) it's as profitable as lower volume player with 65-40 (62%)...both +21u....of course problem is neither is easy over long term ,otherwise no one would need to work, so we're glad to be able to get to it anyway we can

doc - also other good ones megalocks and boom might show.....agree combo plenty of reps for Barrett and Meyer is enough to keep us in the play....although Meyer did refer to him as Barnett the week before

rctiger - funny that was the one I was having second thoughts about the other day....the USU defense is always tough along with strong road dog lately and Keeton..versus an unproven Vols team....on the other hand USU has young OL, inexperienced secondary and thin at WR (hopefully thinner if Natson and Butler are suspended)....however will keep although might be reducing (offsetting) to smaller play

waiting on some write in numbers to wrap things up.....3 days to kickoff

Hey Nos, I saw you put a play on Troy at +1 and I'm seeing it now at some books at +3 (-125). Do you have any idea why this line has moved?

firebird - nope haven't seen anything.....barring an late injury not posted yet it's probably just money on UAB...probably more concerned on Neb dropping to 21 although not seeing much new there other than Sterup questionable

MJM -

although we don't use their picks obviously since they just came out we like to check out the GS scores and write ups for feel if agree we know the capping was solid....doesn't mean a winning week just a good sign long term....GS scores on main plays.....Neb 42-13, Fla. 40-10, Ohio St 41-17, LSU 27-17, Tenn. 24-23, Baylor 55-16, Troy 31-25, PSU 30-17, BG 34-21, Wash St 41-37, Kent 28-21, UL 30-20....still waiting on BM or heritage to post some write in games

Quote Originally Posted by nostradamus12:

adding......

Ohio St -17 (0.75)

small play on Oklahoma St +17.5 (0.5)

Ohio St 41 Navy 17 - Middies lack the speed to contain OSU and minus couple good tacklers....so will probably need to score 25-30 to hang around....Bucks pretty solid against run LY and front 7 should be tougher this year....Navy mostly all or nothing on offense, contained against better defenses some not even so great WKU, Duke, Pitt

Florida St 30 Oklahoma St 20 - OSU not blown out much over last few years with one loss 20+ against some explosive offenses....although young believe skill players can make a few plays and like JC Hill....defense although questionable in secondary used to facing similar system in practice

will check back game week

updated week 1

Florida -34 (1.75) Nebraska -23.5 (1.75) LSU -4.5 (1.25) Penn St PK (1.25) Baylor -31 (-115) Tennessee -6.5 Rutgers +10 (-115) (0.75) Troy +1 (0.75) Ohio St -17 (0.75) Bowling Green -7 (-115) (0.75) Ohio-Kent St under 50 (0.75)

others  - Notre Dame -23 (0.5), Oklahoma St +17.5 (0.5)

GL

Da. Pun

Nice to see you back Nos and let's all have a profitible CFB season.

Cheers CC

thanks fellas, BOL this season

EKUD - units are Baylor 1u, Tenn. 0.75, ND 0.5

EL - like the USC defense....not sure how FSU offense will do though....could be decent at QB and possibly defense improved....plus now with Shaw out and some other guys banged up 3 TDs we'll pass there

pufkit - those are the gold sheet scores...earlier you'll see we've got FL score at 51-3

da pun - don't say that, dang it inside info on closed practices.....Miles is good though in those type of neutral field openers....appreciate the insight though, GL bud

floor - no problem man, yeah not my thing as you figured out that wasn't me as I don't have time for those kind of posts

reducing Tennessee to 0.75u....adding a couple write-in games and small degenerate play

Akron -21 (0.75)

Akron 48 Howard 13 - feeling Bowden has Zips improving, good core returning, and beat similar level Morgan St 66-6 in '12

others - Middle Tenn. -39.5 (0.5)...MTSU 58 SVS 10.....small degenerate play UConn +16.5 (0.5).....Huskies 19-4 home dog lately and BYU down a couple WRs and just had 2 top DBs suspended this morning......BYU 27-20

updated week 1

others (0.5) -  Notre Dame -23, Oklahoma St +17.5, Cal +11, SC -3/UGA -0.5 (teaser), UConn +16.5, Middle Tennessee -39.5.....as with previous years although units count half plays toward W/L only if net 2-0 or 0-2.....and had locked in earlier loose change on lottery play 7 team parlay with first 7....0.05 to win 7.5u.....150-1

should do it for week 1,  BOL all