nostradamus week 3

20-11 (3-0) (+9.1)

10-7 (+3u) last week after 0-2 start.....good start long way to go.....hit couple big ones with FLA and Auburn.... few dogs came through VT, USC, Ball St, NIU other than Michigan.......couple tough losses on totals

mainly looking at 6-8 matchups this week, could be pretty short card.....waiting on some BM or heritage numbers

Ohio St -29.5 (1.5)

Mississippi -26 (1.25)

Georgia -3 (hook)

LA Tech +6.5 (0.75)

UCF +10 (-115) (0.75)

Texas St +12.5 (0.75)

should do it for now...scores and thoughts tomorrow.....tough odds this week.....waiting on injury reports and line movement on a couple others, BOL all

all - what's going on fellas

whoa looks like a little early cash came in on UGA jumping from 3-3.5 to 6-6.5

lilpapi - yeah definitely like LT more...although weighted the same for now.....like Reynolds a lot as well (had them LW against the Owls) and TSU won't contain them all night...getting the sense though that TSU offense is improved, like Jones and Lowe, spread option gives them some familiarity there and did not matchup too bad with less talented team in 2012 losing 21-10 in Annapolis although Navy did hang up their usual 400 rushing

Ohio St 52 Kent St 7 - questionable to lay this many with young QB off 9-29, lack of RB playmakers and unproven OL....not liking as much as FL and Auburn last week....after loss that eliminates one of their goals to make final 4, Bucks can either pack it in and come up flat or come out to take it out here.....KSU run first offense missing Durham and lacks playmakers to do much damage, and undersized front 7 and step slow might allow OSU offense (not bad 420 against Navy) to make some plays....if Buckeyes come out flat could be 34-13 type

Ole Miss 48 ULL 13 - although matchup is a little old, Ole Miss dominated 43-21 matchup back in '10 (478-215) with 4-8 team led by Stanley...so both teams improved however Miss. much more so.....Freeze seems to have Rebels focused this year and Memphis on deck so should be able to keep it going....not showing on most injury reports yet is that ULL key WR Robinson is questionable with lower leg injury leaving LT game early.....if he can't go, LT WRs drop significantly and Cajuns unlikely to sustain running game against tough defense

Georgia 30 SC 20 - Dogs have not played well in Columbia lately averaging 6.5 ppg in last two trips so could be somewhat of a reverse public trap....uh yeah maybe....however current form is so much different willing to take shot with short number, believe Gurley and bunch of others can run some and Mason can hit a few passes against depleted SC defense, believe Bulldogs defense is improved with new DC, could be tight into 4th

LA Tech 26 No Texas 23 - like LT to get this one straight up, looked pretty good last week although only ULL....even yardage in last year's 28-13 loss to UNT however feeling like LT has improved and mean green not quite as good this year...decent run defense should match up pretty well against unproven passing game and LT should be better at QB...upset alert

Missouri 27 UCF 24 - UCF able to play with just about anyone lately losing only once by DD over last 25+ including couple games vs. SC, PSU, UL, Baylor....solid core of team back so if getting decent QB play should be tough, with Holman as new starter and looked pretty good in 2H against PSU so feeling Knights can hang around and possibly win this one

Navy 27 Texas St 23 - not really seeing TSU as much different than Temple, passing game looks improved with Jones and running game and OL solid should be able to put up a few....Bobcats some talent at LB with Mayo and Orakpo decent against run....similar to Coker at UTSA, Franchione nice job building program....spread option should help and did not matchup too bad in '12 losing 21-10.,...not sure Middies will be motivated to run it up in San Marcos and Rutgers on deck

nice start to the season Nostra

tide, mac - same here 

don't have as much on TSU so calling that a small play (0.5).....oddly enough full plays are 16-10 and small half plays are 9-2....probably should have played those for more...still making some better than not playing at all....eventually evens out so what the hell

updated week 3

Ohio St -29.5 (1.5)

Mississippi -26 (1.25)

Georgia -3 (hook)

LA Tech +6.5 (0.75)

UCF +10 (-115) (0.75)

small plays (0.5) - Texas St +12.5

checking out a few matchups closer today.....WV-MD, Tulsa-FAU, UTSA-OSU....Walsh out waiting on line, Toledo-Cincinnati