nostradamus week 6

mdc, gw -

 

ballpicker - the line does sound high on BC-VT (would have thought around 10 based on line based ratings), nice to get that many with teams with solid defenses, on the other hand pattern in series leans heavily towards home team and VT probably recalls last year at chestnut hill, BC could hang most of the way and then get dorked with a classic VT special teams or defensive TD, at least it's not a night game which helps BC chances as well, conflicting thoughts on that one, agree number seems high though

 

bustin - Malzahn photo in cubicle may have to come down if Auburn loses, confused co-workers not sure if it's my pop, brother or something more disturbing, good to see you on UW hopefully they're not hungover from ND loss, BOL bro

adding

 

BC-Va Tech under 44.5...teams combined for 51 last yr in Chestnut Hill with only combined 540 yds

 

Georgia-Tenn under 46.5...UGA offense slowing down last couple weeks, Vols offense slowing down last couple years

 

Mich-Iowa under 48.5....Hawkeyes not 30+ many times in B10 games last couple yrs (5 of 15), UM offense could be somewhat overrated from early season weaker defenses

 

Army under 14.5 (team)...hard to see one dimensional Army ground assault getting much done against disciplined Vandy defense

 

Kan St-Tex Tech over 58....sounds kind of low for TT game, TT avg 58.5 vs KSU last couple, Potts questionable backup probably just as good or better

 

remaining scores and updated card later, BOL

Nos,

 

How do you like Nevada at 10.5 now?

GL this week, Nos! 

Nos GL this week, like Auburn also  

gl this week buddy

like your thoughts on Auburn---not sure why everyone loves Arkansas around here.  at least Auburn can play some defense.  just because Arky smokes a very, very bad TAMU team (that was almost my game of the year and i'm kicking myself)---they are jumping on them as a small home dog.

 

everyone looks at Mallett but haven't seen anyone post something positive against porous Arky defense.

 

 

On 3 (Wash/Bama/Auburn). Only opposite on Utah. I'll give you 4-0 if I can go 3-1.   

all -

 

bastard - would still lean Nevada, might be tempted to look around for 10 or buy 1/2

 

kroch - true many that hit Arky against A&M were recouping from piling on them vs UGA anyway, QB play is much improved with Mallett rest of team not that much different than last year, upset is very possible, still like the war eagle chances

 

kaplan - i'd always take 3-1 as well

 

shakey - agree that NM-Wyo total sounds interesting, probably will look some more at that and one other today

 

remaining scores

 

Nevada 34 La Tech 20 - Wolfpack strong home fav over the years, LT not great road team

Washington 23 Arizona 21 - favor points with two fairly even teams, surface change

Bowling Green 31 Kent St 17 - not sure why this line dropped so much, maybe KSU found some more players around campus

Utah 30 Colo St 17 - having second thoughts about this game

Ariz St 38 Wash St 10 - WSU won't have much luck against pretty solid ASU defense, as long as Sullivan is mediocre or better ASU should roll

LSU 23 Florida 21 - doubt Tebow will play, even so believe LSU in this spot can play with them most of the way, not an easy team to blowout

Ohio St 27 Wisconsin 17 - Badgers usually play OSU pretty tough and possible the running games shorten the game some may help

NC State 38 Duke 17 - Duke could have trouble matching good showing last week and NCS offense and Wilson picking up 

Fres St 38 Hawaii 21 - Bulldogs looking pretty good on offense so far, remember home loss to UH last year, not convinced UH backup can match points

 

 

Good luck as always Nos...I'm going to add Fresno as well.

Anyone looking at Nebraska -3.5.  My thoughts are Gabbert was former Husker committment.  Mizzou has not seen a defense like Neb.  Looks like a good play.  Any thoughts?

Kansas -19 (large)

Auburn -2 (large)

Alabama -5.5 (1.5 u)

Oklahoma -23 (1.5 u)

LSU +10 (hook)

NOS,

 

GL this week

 

Nevada's spread is up to 10.5 today o/u being 58.  You think that line went too high to still take Nevada?  Keep em coming, and GL for the season

Nevada 

Utah = $ $ $ $ 

GL this weekend! 

Nostras...you been sniffin' grandads old model airplane glue?  Arkansas routes Auburn.

OKST has very good value, Arkansas exposed them as a bad team vs. the pass and OKST even without one their WR's is still a good team to bet on this week GL 

here are 5 games i like for sat.

 

alab -4.5  (miss o line is horrible)

navy -11  (rice cant stop anyone)

mich st -4 (i live in illinois and they just suck)

wisc +16 (too many points for an undefeated team)

ariz -3.5 (let down spot after notre dame)

all Nevada backers

 

whodey - good to see we agree on a few, i'm offsetting Utah somewhat, BOL bro

 

ryguy - lean Okie St, Indiana, Mich St and UGA, held off play on OSU with Bryant out

 

USM - have been on the Tigers this year feeling they were underrated after last year, not a true fan however have had them quite a few times over the past 10-15 seasons and respected as tough team that gives a good effort most times over the years, not to mention the cool war eagle flying in

 

reduced (offset) Alabama to 1.25 units - Nutt tough in these spots and offset Utah -6.5 down to 0.75 units (CSU +8)

 

adding

 

Wyoming under 28.5 team (0.75 u) - seems high for a team with 3 TD passes, avg 1.5 ppg last two versus NM, possible snow and wind

 

few small plays (all for 0.25 u) - Wash St under 14 (team), Ponder -45.5 passing yds (-220) over Nesbitt (even with high price, like finding money in the street), AJ Green -34.5 rec yds over Hancock, ML parlay (even) - VT, NC St, NW, KS, Ohio St and Ariz St

 

BOL Nos