Posted:
#1
Vegas is not in the business of giving money away. Oregon and Baylor are public darling that score a TON and have covered all year. So which one ruins the parlays and teasers tonight. With the Baylor line continuing to rise...almost to the point of daring us to take OU, I think it's Oregon that is set to let everyone down tonight. Stanford has a tough, experienced D. They're at home, and have an offense that can grind clock and keep Mariota off the field. I think Stanford covers, and also keep it close enough to ruin teasers, too. Lose by 4 or less, maybe even win. I'm taking Stanford, 1Q, 1H, Game, with a small bet on 1H and game ML's.
This is the matchup that Vegas will use as their "net" to catch all the fish. Leaning Baylor to blow out Okie...but haven't acted on that one yet.
My theory is simple. I look at lines and try to figure, who does Vegas want me to take, and then if I can convince myself, take the other side. Some "public" sides are jus too attractive, so I'm not always "sharp" but this year I've been right a LOT more than I've been wrong. GLTA!
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