A couple of small plays this evening
Virginia Tech - 1 unit - strong over/under squeeze outweighs low ticket favorite
Utah - 1 unit - low ticket favorite outweighs sharp indicator
A couple of small plays this evening
Virginia Tech - 1 unit - strong over/under squeeze outweighs low ticket favorite
Utah - 1 unit - low ticket favorite outweighs sharp indicator
A couple of small plays this evening
Virginia Tech - 1 unit - strong over/under squeeze outweighs low ticket favorite
Utah - 1 unit - low ticket favorite outweighs sharp indicator
@HooAlum
Well, the week looked to start out great as Virginia Tech was clearly the right call and Utah was causing to a cover until the 4th quarter so a 1-1 start (what is irritating is one fo the sharp indicator reports that I draw from had both Wazzu and V tech that would have increased but I missed seeing it. Stinks to leave 2 units on the table). Let's start with a recap of last week which was very strange week as it started out 10-3 entering the evening and went 0-4 at night capped off by a backdoor 1/2 point cover by Cal. Still a solid week nonetheless.
WEEKLY RECORD: 10-7
OVERALL RECORD: 85-75 (53.13%)
WEEKLY REVENUE: 58.9 units on 52 placed
OVERALL REVENUE: 509.2 units on 475 placed (7.20% profit)
FRIDAY
BYU (2 units) - low ticket favorite
SATURDAY NOON
TCU (2 units) - low ticket favorite
Auburn-Arkansas - No Bet
Notre Dame (3.5 units) - sharp indicator and SKS
Penn St-Ohio St - No Bet
Iowa St-Oklahoma - No Bet
SATURDAY. AFTERNOON
Georgia (2 units) - low ticket favroite
Nebraska-Illinois - No Bet
Louisville-Wake - No Bet
UCF (3 units) - SKS
Cal-Oregon - No Bet
Kansas St (5.5 units) - sharp indicator, SKS
SATURDAY EVENING
Kentucky-Tennessee - No Bet - low ticket favorite balanced out with bye week return and sharp indicator
Baylor-Texas Tech - No Bet
Texas A&M (3 units) - reverse movement and sharp indicator
Michigan (4 units) - low ticket favorite and sharp indicator
Colorado (3 units) - over/under squeeze
Pitt (1 unit) - sharp indicator outweighs bye week return
SATURDAY LATE NIGHT
Stanford (4 units) - lopsided wagering and reverse movement
********************
INDICATOR PERFORMANCE TO DATE (this way if you like a particular indicator you can pick and choose your games above based on that, if you feel an indicator is weak you can adjust based on the description ov the selections above)
West Coast Early Eastern Start Time - 100% (1-0)
SKS: 65.08% (line does not align with public ranking)
Over/Under Squeeze: 61.97%
Bye Week Return: 58.82%; augmentation 75%
Low Ticket Favorite: 55.81%
Line Movement (measured but not applied): 54.21%; positive line movement 60.3%, negative line movement 45.83%
Reverse Movement: 53.6%; Positive Reverse movement 50%, negative reverse movement 55.00%
Lopsided Wagering 52.17%; lopsided wagering on an away favorite 50%
Sharp Indicator: 51.6%; 53.3% straight up before augmentation
Steam Movement: 50%
Blowout Response: 50%
@HooAlum
Well, the week looked to start out great as Virginia Tech was clearly the right call and Utah was causing to a cover until the 4th quarter so a 1-1 start (what is irritating is one fo the sharp indicator reports that I draw from had both Wazzu and V tech that would have increased but I missed seeing it. Stinks to leave 2 units on the table). Let's start with a recap of last week which was very strange week as it started out 10-3 entering the evening and went 0-4 at night capped off by a backdoor 1/2 point cover by Cal. Still a solid week nonetheless.
WEEKLY RECORD: 10-7
OVERALL RECORD: 85-75 (53.13%)
WEEKLY REVENUE: 58.9 units on 52 placed
OVERALL REVENUE: 509.2 units on 475 placed (7.20% profit)
FRIDAY
BYU (2 units) - low ticket favorite
SATURDAY NOON
TCU (2 units) - low ticket favorite
Auburn-Arkansas - No Bet
Notre Dame (3.5 units) - sharp indicator and SKS
Penn St-Ohio St - No Bet
Iowa St-Oklahoma - No Bet
SATURDAY. AFTERNOON
Georgia (2 units) - low ticket favroite
Nebraska-Illinois - No Bet
Louisville-Wake - No Bet
UCF (3 units) - SKS
Cal-Oregon - No Bet
Kansas St (5.5 units) - sharp indicator, SKS
SATURDAY EVENING
Kentucky-Tennessee - No Bet - low ticket favorite balanced out with bye week return and sharp indicator
Baylor-Texas Tech - No Bet
Texas A&M (3 units) - reverse movement and sharp indicator
Michigan (4 units) - low ticket favorite and sharp indicator
Colorado (3 units) - over/under squeeze
Pitt (1 unit) - sharp indicator outweighs bye week return
SATURDAY LATE NIGHT
Stanford (4 units) - lopsided wagering and reverse movement
********************
INDICATOR PERFORMANCE TO DATE (this way if you like a particular indicator you can pick and choose your games above based on that, if you feel an indicator is weak you can adjust based on the description ov the selections above)
West Coast Early Eastern Start Time - 100% (1-0)
SKS: 65.08% (line does not align with public ranking)
Over/Under Squeeze: 61.97%
Bye Week Return: 58.82%; augmentation 75%
Low Ticket Favorite: 55.81%
Line Movement (measured but not applied): 54.21%; positive line movement 60.3%, negative line movement 45.83%
Reverse Movement: 53.6%; Positive Reverse movement 50%, negative reverse movement 55.00%
Lopsided Wagering 52.17%; lopsided wagering on an away favorite 50%
Sharp Indicator: 51.6%; 53.3% straight up before augmentation
Steam Movement: 50%
Blowout Response: 50%
May be my only update today so will try to put notes where the tell could go away (much like last night's low ticket favorite on BYU flipped about an hour before game time taking away the lone tell there). The most common thing that will change are sharp indicators. I suggest to read Patrick Everson's (formerly of covers) tweet storm this morning as that is chalk full of good info as one source and will almost always move some of the line sharp indicators, for example he was key to moving the Minnesota-Illinois game a few weeks ago that I know a few folks saw. Once again, I apologize for family commitments. The good news is that this is easily the most bland betting weekend in terms of volume since week 0 so not missing too much. I may be able to update late morning but do not know so apologize in advance
SATURDAY NOON
TCU (2 units) - low ticket favorite (at 46% so could go away)
Auburn-Arkansas - No Bet
Notre Dame (3.5 units) - sharp indicator and SKS (could reduce as the line is moving dramatically to Cuse and if it jumps the fence things will change)
Penn St-Ohio St - No Bet
Iowa St-Oklahoma - No Bet
WATCH - I have been seeing some initial action on Eastern Michigan-Toledo but handle is not there. I do not think it will get there but if it does it would be. small play on EMU based on sharp indictors.
SATURDAY. AFTERNOON
Georgia (3 units) - low ticket favorite and sharp indicator
Nebraska-Illinois - No Bet
Louisville-Wake - No Bet
UCF (3 units) - SKS
Cal-Oregon - No Bet
Kansas St (5.5 units) - low ticket favorite, sharp indicator, SKS
SATURDAY EVENING
Kentucky-Tennessee - No Bet - low ticket favorite balanced out with bye week return and sharp indicator (I could see this swing to Kentucky as sharp indicators are building in that direction)
Baylor (2 units) - reverse movement
Texas A&M (3 units) - reverse movement and sharp indicator (this could come back easily as the reverse movement is about to go away as I eliminate reverse movement as betting %s even out which is starting to happen here)
Michigan (4 units) - low ticket favorite, positive reverse movement outweighs sharp indicator (reverse movement threatening to go away just as in TAMU-Ole Miss so would be a smalerl Wolverine bet)
Colorado (3 units) - over/under squeeze
Pitt (1 unit) - sharp indicator outweighs bye week return
SATURDAY LATE NIGHT
Stanford-UCLA - No bet as reverse movement and lopsided wagering went away overnight
May be my only update today so will try to put notes where the tell could go away (much like last night's low ticket favorite on BYU flipped about an hour before game time taking away the lone tell there). The most common thing that will change are sharp indicators. I suggest to read Patrick Everson's (formerly of covers) tweet storm this morning as that is chalk full of good info as one source and will almost always move some of the line sharp indicators, for example he was key to moving the Minnesota-Illinois game a few weeks ago that I know a few folks saw. Once again, I apologize for family commitments. The good news is that this is easily the most bland betting weekend in terms of volume since week 0 so not missing too much. I may be able to update late morning but do not know so apologize in advance
SATURDAY NOON
TCU (2 units) - low ticket favorite (at 46% so could go away)
Auburn-Arkansas - No Bet
Notre Dame (3.5 units) - sharp indicator and SKS (could reduce as the line is moving dramatically to Cuse and if it jumps the fence things will change)
Penn St-Ohio St - No Bet
Iowa St-Oklahoma - No Bet
WATCH - I have been seeing some initial action on Eastern Michigan-Toledo but handle is not there. I do not think it will get there but if it does it would be. small play on EMU based on sharp indictors.
SATURDAY. AFTERNOON
Georgia (3 units) - low ticket favorite and sharp indicator
Nebraska-Illinois - No Bet
Louisville-Wake - No Bet
UCF (3 units) - SKS
Cal-Oregon - No Bet
Kansas St (5.5 units) - low ticket favorite, sharp indicator, SKS
SATURDAY EVENING
Kentucky-Tennessee - No Bet - low ticket favorite balanced out with bye week return and sharp indicator (I could see this swing to Kentucky as sharp indicators are building in that direction)
Baylor (2 units) - reverse movement
Texas A&M (3 units) - reverse movement and sharp indicator (this could come back easily as the reverse movement is about to go away as I eliminate reverse movement as betting %s even out which is starting to happen here)
Michigan (4 units) - low ticket favorite, positive reverse movement outweighs sharp indicator (reverse movement threatening to go away just as in TAMU-Ole Miss so would be a smalerl Wolverine bet)
Colorado (3 units) - over/under squeeze
Pitt (1 unit) - sharp indicator outweighs bye week return
SATURDAY LATE NIGHT
Stanford-UCLA - No bet as reverse movement and lopsided wagering went away overnight
@HooAlum
Were some changes
SATURDAY NOON
TCU -WVU- No Bet - it went away as predicted
Auburn-Arkansas - No Bet
Notre Dame (2.5 units) - sharp indicator and SKS (could reduce as the line is moving dramatically to Cuse and if it jumps the fence things will change)
Penn St-Ohio St - No Bet
Iowa St-Oklahoma - No Bet
SATURDAY. AFTERNOON
Georgia (4 units) - low ticket favorite and sharp indicator
Nebraska-Illinois - No Bet
Louisville-Wake - No Bet
UCF (2 units) - SKS & a sharp indicator outweighs emerging lopsided wagering
Cal-Oregon - No Bet
Kansas St (5.5 units) - low ticket favorite, sharp indicator, SKS
SATURDAY EVENING
Kentucky-Tennessee - No Bet - low ticket favorite balanced out with bye week return and sharp indicator (I could see this swing to Kentucky as sharp indicators are building in that direction)
NEW GAME Arizona (4 units) - reverse movement and lopsided wagering
Baylor (2 units) - reverse movement
Texas A&M (4 units) - reverse movement and sharp indicator (this could come back easily as the reverse movement is about to go away as I eliminate reverse movement as betting %s even out which is starting to happen here)
Michigan (2 units) - low ticket favorite, positive reverse movement went away as expected
Colorado (3 units) - over/under squeeze
Pitt (1 unit) - sharp indicator outweighs bye week return
SATURDAY LATE NIGHT
Stanford-UCLA - No bet as reverse movement and lopsided wagering went away overnight
@HooAlum
Were some changes
SATURDAY NOON
TCU -WVU- No Bet - it went away as predicted
Auburn-Arkansas - No Bet
Notre Dame (2.5 units) - sharp indicator and SKS (could reduce as the line is moving dramatically to Cuse and if it jumps the fence things will change)
Penn St-Ohio St - No Bet
Iowa St-Oklahoma - No Bet
SATURDAY. AFTERNOON
Georgia (4 units) - low ticket favorite and sharp indicator
Nebraska-Illinois - No Bet
Louisville-Wake - No Bet
UCF (2 units) - SKS & a sharp indicator outweighs emerging lopsided wagering
Cal-Oregon - No Bet
Kansas St (5.5 units) - low ticket favorite, sharp indicator, SKS
SATURDAY EVENING
Kentucky-Tennessee - No Bet - low ticket favorite balanced out with bye week return and sharp indicator (I could see this swing to Kentucky as sharp indicators are building in that direction)
NEW GAME Arizona (4 units) - reverse movement and lopsided wagering
Baylor (2 units) - reverse movement
Texas A&M (4 units) - reverse movement and sharp indicator (this could come back easily as the reverse movement is about to go away as I eliminate reverse movement as betting %s even out which is starting to happen here)
Michigan (2 units) - low ticket favorite, positive reverse movement went away as expected
Colorado (3 units) - over/under squeeze
Pitt (1 unit) - sharp indicator outweighs bye week return
SATURDAY LATE NIGHT
Stanford-UCLA - No bet as reverse movement and lopsided wagering went away overnight
@HooAlum
Last week was definitely a strong week so buyer beware this week :-). It unfortunately was also one of the least bet so while the percentages gained on the amount bet (and even the total amount collected) was up, its disappointing that it came on a 35 unit play week and not the 80 unit play week 3.
I assume there will be some MACtion tonight so why I wanted to get this post out in advance (plus who doesn't like rehashing success)
WEEKLY RECORD: 8-3 & 1 push
SEASON RECORD: 93-78 (54.39%)
WEEKLY REVENUE: 51.6 units on 35 wagered
YEARLY REVENUE: 560.8 units on 510 wagered (9.96% profit)
*************
@HooAlum
Last week was definitely a strong week so buyer beware this week :-). It unfortunately was also one of the least bet so while the percentages gained on the amount bet (and even the total amount collected) was up, its disappointing that it came on a 35 unit play week and not the 80 unit play week 3.
I assume there will be some MACtion tonight so why I wanted to get this post out in advance (plus who doesn't like rehashing success)
WEEKLY RECORD: 8-3 & 1 push
SEASON RECORD: 93-78 (54.39%)
WEEKLY REVENUE: 51.6 units on 35 wagered
YEARLY REVENUE: 560.8 units on 510 wagered (9.96% profit)
*************
@HooAlum
No MACtion last night surprisingly. But there is some tonight
Northern Illinois (2 units) - low bet favorite
WMU-Bowling Green - No Bet
@HooAlum
No MACtion last night surprisingly. But there is some tonight
Northern Illinois (2 units) - low bet favorite
WMU-Bowling Green - No Bet
@HooAlum
Hopefully the slow start to week will turnaround tonight.
Appalachian St (1 unit) - sharp action (was THIS close to calling small SKS for the App State but I am being conservative)
@HooAlum
Hopefully the slow start to week will turnaround tonight.
Appalachian St (1 unit) - sharp action (was THIS close to calling small SKS for the App State but I am being conservative)
@HooAlum
Well, 0-2 to start the week and it is shaping up to a big bet week so hopefully get things turned around
Washington (5 units) - Low ticket favorite and SKS
Texas Tech (1 unit) - sharp indicator and blowout response outweighs low ticket favorite
Texas A&M (2 units) - low ticket favorite
Virginia (2 units) - reverse movement
Kentucky (1 unit) - blowout response
Oklahoma (4 unit) - low ticket favorite and lopsided wagering
Indiana (6 units) lopsided wagering with road favorite and over/under squeeze
Pitt (7 units) - low ticket favorite, SKS, reverse movement
Kansas (7 units) - low ticket favorite, SKS, blowout response, bye week return
Georgia (4 units) - low ticket favorite, lopsided wagering
Arkansas (7 units) - low ticket favorite, SKS, outweighs bye week return
Alabama (4 units) - low ticket favorite, reverse movement
Texas (6.5 units) - SKS, Byer week return
Notre Dame-Clemson - No Bet - lopsided wagering balanced with bye week return
Rutgers (7 units) - lopsided wagering with away favorite, reverse movement, over/uncder squeeze and blowout response outweighs style points
Miami-Florida St - No Bet
Mississippi St (4 units) - lopsided wagering, low ticket favorite and bye week return outweighs over/under squeeze
Wake Forest (2 units) - SKS and blowout response outweighs reverse movement
Arizona St (3 units) - lopsided wagering and road favorite
California (2 units) - lopsided wagering
@HooAlum
Well, 0-2 to start the week and it is shaping up to a big bet week so hopefully get things turned around
Washington (5 units) - Low ticket favorite and SKS
Texas Tech (1 unit) - sharp indicator and blowout response outweighs low ticket favorite
Texas A&M (2 units) - low ticket favorite
Virginia (2 units) - reverse movement
Kentucky (1 unit) - blowout response
Oklahoma (4 unit) - low ticket favorite and lopsided wagering
Indiana (6 units) lopsided wagering with road favorite and over/under squeeze
Pitt (7 units) - low ticket favorite, SKS, reverse movement
Kansas (7 units) - low ticket favorite, SKS, blowout response, bye week return
Georgia (4 units) - low ticket favorite, lopsided wagering
Arkansas (7 units) - low ticket favorite, SKS, outweighs bye week return
Alabama (4 units) - low ticket favorite, reverse movement
Texas (6.5 units) - SKS, Byer week return
Notre Dame-Clemson - No Bet - lopsided wagering balanced with bye week return
Rutgers (7 units) - lopsided wagering with away favorite, reverse movement, over/uncder squeeze and blowout response outweighs style points
Miami-Florida St - No Bet
Mississippi St (4 units) - lopsided wagering, low ticket favorite and bye week return outweighs over/under squeeze
Wake Forest (2 units) - SKS and blowout response outweighs reverse movement
Arizona St (3 units) - lopsided wagering and road favorite
California (2 units) - lopsided wagering
Friday Update. Well be on travel much of tomorrow
Washington (5 units) - Low ticket favorite and SKS
Texas Tech (1 unit) - sharp indicator and blowout response outweighs low ticket favorite
Texas A&M (2 units) - low ticket favorite
Virginia (2 units) - reverse movement
Kentucky (1 unit) - blowout response
Oklahoma (1 unit) - low ticket favorite outweighs sharp indicators
Indiana (8 units) lopsided wagering with road favorite, reverse movement, over/under squeeze & bye week return
Pitt (7 units) - low ticket favorite, SKS, reverse movement
Kansas (7 units) - low ticket favorite, SKS, blowout response, bye week return
Georgia (6 units) - low ticket favorite, lopsided wagering & reverse movement
Arkansas (7 units) - low ticket favorite, SKS, outweighs bye week return
Alabama (4 units) - low ticket favorite, reverse movement
Texas (6.5 units) - SKS, Byer week return
Clemson (2 units) - No Bet - bye week return
Rutgers (5 units) - lopsided wagering with away favorite, over/under squeeze and blowout response outweighs style points
Florida St (2 units) - sharp indicators
Mississippi St (4 units) - lopsided wagering, low ticket favorite and bye week return outweighs over/under squeeze
Wake Forest (1 unit) - SKS and blowout response outweighs reverse movement
Arizona St (3 units) - lopsided wagering and road favorite
California-Southern Cal (No Bet)
Friday Update. Well be on travel much of tomorrow
Washington (5 units) - Low ticket favorite and SKS
Texas Tech (1 unit) - sharp indicator and blowout response outweighs low ticket favorite
Texas A&M (2 units) - low ticket favorite
Virginia (2 units) - reverse movement
Kentucky (1 unit) - blowout response
Oklahoma (1 unit) - low ticket favorite outweighs sharp indicators
Indiana (8 units) lopsided wagering with road favorite, reverse movement, over/under squeeze & bye week return
Pitt (7 units) - low ticket favorite, SKS, reverse movement
Kansas (7 units) - low ticket favorite, SKS, blowout response, bye week return
Georgia (6 units) - low ticket favorite, lopsided wagering & reverse movement
Arkansas (7 units) - low ticket favorite, SKS, outweighs bye week return
Alabama (4 units) - low ticket favorite, reverse movement
Texas (6.5 units) - SKS, Byer week return
Clemson (2 units) - No Bet - bye week return
Rutgers (5 units) - lopsided wagering with away favorite, over/under squeeze and blowout response outweighs style points
Florida St (2 units) - sharp indicators
Mississippi St (4 units) - lopsided wagering, low ticket favorite and bye week return outweighs over/under squeeze
Wake Forest (1 unit) - SKS and blowout response outweighs reverse movement
Arizona St (3 units) - lopsided wagering and road favorite
California-Southern Cal (No Bet)
Lone Saturday Update. Remember sharp action and lopsided wagering (and low ticket favorite) can change. I'll try to note where it is close.
0-3 start to the week including a 1 point loss last night on a big bet. Looks like the big gains of last week will go back to the mean. (but at least the mean is still a winning amount - though a grinding modest amount).
Lone Saturday Update. Remember sharp action and lopsided wagering (and low ticket favorite) can change. I'll try to note where it is close.
0-3 start to the week including a 1 point loss last night on a big bet. Looks like the big gains of last week will go back to the mean. (but at least the mean is still a winning amount - though a grinding modest amount).
For some reason the picks themselves did not take
NEW Game handle level but no bet on Air Force-Army
TCU-Texas Tech - No Bet - sharp indicator and blowout response balances low ticket favorite
Texas A&M (1 unit) - low ticket favorite outweighs late steam
Virginia (2 units) - reverse movement
Missouri (1 unit) - low ticket favorite outweighs blowout response
Baylor-Oklahoma - No Bet - low ticket favorite balances sharp indicators
Indiana (8 units) lopsided wagering with road favorite, reverse movement, over/under squeeze & bye week return
Pitt (5 units) - low ticket favorite, SKS,
Kansas (7 units) - low ticket favorite, SKS, blowout response, bye week return
Georgia (4 units) - low ticket favorite & reverse movement
NEW GAME - Michigan St (1 unit) - over/;under squeeze outweighs low ticket favorite
Arkansas (8 units) - low ticket favorite, SKS, & sharp indicator outweighs bye week return
Alabama (2 units) - low ticket favorite
Texas (7.5 units) - SKS, Bye week return & sharp indicator
Clemson (3 units) - bye week return & sharp indicator
Rutgers (3 units) - sharp indicator over/under squeeze and blowout response outweighs style points
Florida St (4 units) - sharp indicators & (slight) low ticket favorite (as in could change)
Mississippi St (4 units) - lopsided wagering, low ticket favorite and bye week return outweighs over/under squeeze
Wake Forest (1 unit) - SKS and blowout response outweighs reverse movement
Arizona St (3 units) - lopsided wagering and road favorite
California-Southern Cal (No Bet)
For some reason the picks themselves did not take
NEW Game handle level but no bet on Air Force-Army
TCU-Texas Tech - No Bet - sharp indicator and blowout response balances low ticket favorite
Texas A&M (1 unit) - low ticket favorite outweighs late steam
Virginia (2 units) - reverse movement
Missouri (1 unit) - low ticket favorite outweighs blowout response
Baylor-Oklahoma - No Bet - low ticket favorite balances sharp indicators
Indiana (8 units) lopsided wagering with road favorite, reverse movement, over/under squeeze & bye week return
Pitt (5 units) - low ticket favorite, SKS,
Kansas (7 units) - low ticket favorite, SKS, blowout response, bye week return
Georgia (4 units) - low ticket favorite & reverse movement
NEW GAME - Michigan St (1 unit) - over/;under squeeze outweighs low ticket favorite
Arkansas (8 units) - low ticket favorite, SKS, & sharp indicator outweighs bye week return
Alabama (2 units) - low ticket favorite
Texas (7.5 units) - SKS, Bye week return & sharp indicator
Clemson (3 units) - bye week return & sharp indicator
Rutgers (3 units) - sharp indicator over/under squeeze and blowout response outweighs style points
Florida St (4 units) - sharp indicators & (slight) low ticket favorite (as in could change)
Mississippi St (4 units) - lopsided wagering, low ticket favorite and bye week return outweighs over/under squeeze
Wake Forest (1 unit) - SKS and blowout response outweighs reverse movement
Arizona St (3 units) - lopsided wagering and road favorite
California-Southern Cal (No Bet)
@HooAlum
Initial calls of the week but first a recap of a poor week
Weekly Record: 8-13
Season Record: 101-91 (52.6%)
Weekly Revenue: 62.8 units on 72.5 units wagered
Season Revenue: 623.6 units on 582.5 wagered
East Carolina-Cincinnati (No Bet): low bet favorite balanced by bye week return
Tennessee (3 units): style points and low ticket favorite
Arkansas (1 unit): sharp indicator
Oklahoma (1 unit): low ticket favorite
Alabama (2 units): low ticket favorite lopsided wagering outweighs bye week return
Louisville-Clemson - No Bet
Maryland (2 units): lopsided wagering
Oklahoma St-Iowa St: No Bet
UCF (2 units): reverse movement
Iowa-Wisconsin: No Bet
Mississippi St (2 units): sharp indicators, over/under squeeze outweighs style points
Washington (2 units): lopsided wagering
Baylor (1.5 units): SKS
Texas Tech (1 unit): low ticket favorite
Texas (6.5 units): low ticket favorite, SKS, Sharp indicator
Wake Forest (4 units): low ticket favorite, SKS
Texas A&M (2 units): lopsided wagering
Syracuse (2 units): lopsided wagering
Arizona (2 units): lopsided wagering
*****************
INDICATOR PERFORMANCE TO DATE (this way if you like a particular indicator you can pick and choose your games above based on that, if you feel an indicator is weak you can adjust based on the description ov the selections above)
West Coast Early Eastern Start Time - 100% (1-0)
SKS: 63.41% (line does not align with public ranking)
Over/Under Squeeze: 61.11%
Reverse Movement: 58.82%; Positive Reverse movement 55.56%, negative reverse movement 60.00%
Bye Week Return: 56.00%; augmentation 57.14%
Steam Movement: 54.55%
Line Movement (measured but not applied): 54.55%; positive line movement 58.9%, negative line movement 49.21%
Low Ticket Favorite: 53.27%
Sharp Indicator: 51.89%; 52.85% straight up before augmentation
Lopsided Wagering 50.00%; lopsided wagering on an away favorite 50%
Blowout Response: 33.33%
@HooAlum
Initial calls of the week but first a recap of a poor week
Weekly Record: 8-13
Season Record: 101-91 (52.6%)
Weekly Revenue: 62.8 units on 72.5 units wagered
Season Revenue: 623.6 units on 582.5 wagered
East Carolina-Cincinnati (No Bet): low bet favorite balanced by bye week return
Tennessee (3 units): style points and low ticket favorite
Arkansas (1 unit): sharp indicator
Oklahoma (1 unit): low ticket favorite
Alabama (2 units): low ticket favorite lopsided wagering outweighs bye week return
Louisville-Clemson - No Bet
Maryland (2 units): lopsided wagering
Oklahoma St-Iowa St: No Bet
UCF (2 units): reverse movement
Iowa-Wisconsin: No Bet
Mississippi St (2 units): sharp indicators, over/under squeeze outweighs style points
Washington (2 units): lopsided wagering
Baylor (1.5 units): SKS
Texas Tech (1 unit): low ticket favorite
Texas (6.5 units): low ticket favorite, SKS, Sharp indicator
Wake Forest (4 units): low ticket favorite, SKS
Texas A&M (2 units): lopsided wagering
Syracuse (2 units): lopsided wagering
Arizona (2 units): lopsided wagering
*****************
INDICATOR PERFORMANCE TO DATE (this way if you like a particular indicator you can pick and choose your games above based on that, if you feel an indicator is weak you can adjust based on the description ov the selections above)
West Coast Early Eastern Start Time - 100% (1-0)
SKS: 63.41% (line does not align with public ranking)
Over/Under Squeeze: 61.11%
Reverse Movement: 58.82%; Positive Reverse movement 55.56%, negative reverse movement 60.00%
Bye Week Return: 56.00%; augmentation 57.14%
Steam Movement: 54.55%
Line Movement (measured but not applied): 54.55%; positive line movement 58.9%, negative line movement 49.21%
Low Ticket Favorite: 53.27%
Sharp Indicator: 51.89%; 52.85% straight up before augmentation
Lopsided Wagering 50.00%; lopsided wagering on an away favorite 50%
Blowout Response: 33.33%
Thursday Evening. Lot of analysis but not action on MACtion and nothing tonight in Memphis. A few new games for Friday and Saturday. Will be once again intermittent on Saturday so hopefully can give good updates tomorrow.
East Carolina-Cincinnati (No Bet): low bet favorite balanced by bye week return
Colorado-Southern Cal (No Bet)
Fresno St (1 unit): sharp Indicator
Illinois (2 units): low ticket favorite and sharp indicator
Tennessee (3 units): style points and low ticket favorite
Arkansas-LSU (NO Bet):
Oklahoma (1 unit): low ticket favorite
Alabama (2 units): low ticket favorite lopsided wagering outweighs bye week return
Clemson (1 unit) - low ticket favorite
Maryland (2 units): lopsided wagering
Oklahoma St-Iowa St: No Bet
UCF (2 units): reverse movement
Iowa-Wisconsin: No Bet
Mississippi St (2 units): sharp indicators, over/under squeeze outweighs style points
Washington (3 units): lopsided wagering with aggressive line movement
Baylor (1/2 unit): SKS outweighs sharp indicator
Texas Tech (1 unit): low ticket favorite
Texas (6.5 units): low ticket favorite, SKS, Sharp indicator
Wake Forest (5 units): low ticket favorite, SKS, sharp indicator
Texas A&M-Auburn (No bet)
Syracuse (2 units): lopsided wagering
Arizona (2 units): lopsided wagering
Thursday Evening. Lot of analysis but not action on MACtion and nothing tonight in Memphis. A few new games for Friday and Saturday. Will be once again intermittent on Saturday so hopefully can give good updates tomorrow.
East Carolina-Cincinnati (No Bet): low bet favorite balanced by bye week return
Colorado-Southern Cal (No Bet)
Fresno St (1 unit): sharp Indicator
Illinois (2 units): low ticket favorite and sharp indicator
Tennessee (3 units): style points and low ticket favorite
Arkansas-LSU (NO Bet):
Oklahoma (1 unit): low ticket favorite
Alabama (2 units): low ticket favorite lopsided wagering outweighs bye week return
Clemson (1 unit) - low ticket favorite
Maryland (2 units): lopsided wagering
Oklahoma St-Iowa St: No Bet
UCF (2 units): reverse movement
Iowa-Wisconsin: No Bet
Mississippi St (2 units): sharp indicators, over/under squeeze outweighs style points
Washington (3 units): lopsided wagering with aggressive line movement
Baylor (1/2 unit): SKS outweighs sharp indicator
Texas Tech (1 unit): low ticket favorite
Texas (6.5 units): low ticket favorite, SKS, Sharp indicator
Wake Forest (5 units): low ticket favorite, SKS, sharp indicator
Texas A&M-Auburn (No bet)
Syracuse (2 units): lopsided wagering
Arizona (2 units): lopsided wagering
This might be my only update before games as I am on travel all day tomorrow.
Friday Night
East Carolina (1 unit) - Sharp indicator and bye week return outweighs low ticket favorite
Southern Cal (2 units) - Sharp Indicator
UNLV (1 unit) - reverse movement outweighs sharp indicator
Saturday NOON
Illinois (2 units): low ticket favorite and sharp indicator
Missouri-Tennessee (No Bet): style points balanced by reverse movement and negative line movement
Arkansas-LSU (NO Bet):
Oklahoma (1 unit): low ticket favorite
Notre Dame (5 units): low ticket favorite, stream reverse movement
Saturday AFTERNOON
Alabama (2 units): low ticket favorite lopsided wagering outweighs bye week return
Clemson (1 unit) - low ticket favorite
Maryland (2 units): lopsided wagering
Iowa St (1 unit): low ticket favorite
UCF (2 units): reverse movement
Iowa-Wisconsin: No Bet
SATURDAY EVENING
Mississippi St (2 units): sharp indicators, over/under squeeze outweighs style points
Washington (2 units): reverse movement
Baylor (2 1/2 unit): SKS, sharp indicator
Kansas-Texas Tech (No Bet):
Texas (6.5 units): low ticket favorite, SKS, Sharp indicator
Wake Forest (6 units): low ticket favorite, SKS, sharp indicator
Texas A&M-Auburn (No bet)
Syracuse-Florida St (No Bet)
Arizona-UCLA (No Bet)
This might be my only update before games as I am on travel all day tomorrow.
Friday Night
East Carolina (1 unit) - Sharp indicator and bye week return outweighs low ticket favorite
Southern Cal (2 units) - Sharp Indicator
UNLV (1 unit) - reverse movement outweighs sharp indicator
Saturday NOON
Illinois (2 units): low ticket favorite and sharp indicator
Missouri-Tennessee (No Bet): style points balanced by reverse movement and negative line movement
Arkansas-LSU (NO Bet):
Oklahoma (1 unit): low ticket favorite
Notre Dame (5 units): low ticket favorite, stream reverse movement
Saturday AFTERNOON
Alabama (2 units): low ticket favorite lopsided wagering outweighs bye week return
Clemson (1 unit) - low ticket favorite
Maryland (2 units): lopsided wagering
Iowa St (1 unit): low ticket favorite
UCF (2 units): reverse movement
Iowa-Wisconsin: No Bet
SATURDAY EVENING
Mississippi St (2 units): sharp indicators, over/under squeeze outweighs style points
Washington (2 units): reverse movement
Baylor (2 1/2 unit): SKS, sharp indicator
Kansas-Texas Tech (No Bet):
Texas (6.5 units): low ticket favorite, SKS, Sharp indicator
Wake Forest (6 units): low ticket favorite, SKS, sharp indicator
Texas A&M-Auburn (No bet)
Syracuse-Florida St (No Bet)
Arizona-UCLA (No Bet)
@HooAlum
I'll give recap tonight of last weak (intentional pun). I really wanted to first and foremost express my consternation that there has been no play on MACtion this week nor the SMU-Tulane game tonight. Maybe some late sharp action will enter but it really has been unusually barren for November midweek. Maybe the NBA, NHL (and tonight) NFL have encroached on getting any action.
If it were not for the 3-0 early start, last week would have been a even worse. No advantage to an early start this week as there have been no bet calls..
@HooAlum
I'll give recap tonight of last weak (intentional pun). I really wanted to first and foremost express my consternation that there has been no play on MACtion this week nor the SMU-Tulane game tonight. Maybe some late sharp action will enter but it really has been unusually barren for November midweek. Maybe the NBA, NHL (and tonight) NFL have encroached on getting any action.
If it were not for the 3-0 early start, last week would have been a even worse. No advantage to an early start this week as there have been no bet calls..
Here is the update and the games for the weekend. Unusual week as with Florida St and Arizona going from no bet to a minor win. the overall record last week was positive BUUUUUUUUUT, the big plays (which is what people look at this thread for) unfortunately got WORSE specifically Texas gained a unit. There were three big plays last week and last week was a poor 0-3 on that score (Channelling the Bear on Gameday that would have been one of those embarrassing weeks had I been sitting with a 3 game board)
WEEKLY RECORD: 9-8
OVERALL RECORD: 110-99 (52.63%)
WEEKLY REVENUE: 27.6 units won on 40.5 wagered
OVERALL REVENUE: 651.2 units on 623 wagered (4.53% profit)
FRIDAY
New Mexico (2 units) - Over/Under squeeze
11am/NOON SATURDAY
Navy (1 unit) - Over/under squeeze outweighs low ticket favorite
Pitt (3 units) - low ticket favorite and lopsided wagering
Army (3 units) - low ticket favorite and sharp indicator
Vanderbilt-Florida - No Bet
Baylor (6 1/2 units) - lopsided wagering, sharp indicator, & SKS (yes I like Vegas generals has been burned over and over by TCU and it comes up AGAIN)
Nebraska-Wisconsin - NO bet as low ticket favorite balances out with over/under squeeze
Illinois (2 units) - sharp indicator and over/under squeeze outweighs Style points
AFTERNOON SATURDAY
Arizona St-Oregon St - No Bet
Boston College-Notre Dame - No Bet (low ticket favorite and lopsided wagering balanced out by over/under squeeze)
Clemson (1 unit) - style points outweighs over/under squeeze
Kentucky (1 unit) - lopsided wagering & over/under squeeze outweighs style points
Texas (3 units) - lopsided wagering and low ticket favorite
Iowa-Minnesota - No Bet
EVENING SATURDAY
Georgia Tech-North Carolina - No Bet
California (2 units) - sharp indicators
Iowa St (1 unit) - low ticket favorite
Tennessee (1 unit) - style points outweighs lopsided wagering
Arkansas-Ole Miss - No Bet
Oklahoma (8 1/2 units) - low ticket favorites, lopsided wagering sharp indicator, & SKS
UCLA (1 unit) - sharp indicators outweighs low ticket favorite
Syracuse-Wake Forest - No Bet
LATE NIGHT SATURDAY
Nevada (2 units) - over/under squeeze
Utah (2 units) - steam (jumped the fence)
*****************
INDICATOR PERFORMANCE TO DATE (this way if you like a particular indicator you can pick and choose your games above based on that, if you feel an indicator is weak you can adjust based on the description ov the selections above)
Style Points - 100% (3-0)
West Coast Early Eastern Start Time - 100% (1-0)
Over/Under Squeeze: 61.8%
SKS: 59.55% (line does not align with public ranking)
Bye Week Return: 59.26%; augmentation 62.5%
Reverse Movement: 58.97%; Positive Reverse movement 50%, negative reverse movement 62.07%
Line Movement (measured but not applied): 53.9%; positive line movement 57.14%, negative line movement 50%
Steam Movement: 53.85%
Low Ticket Favorite: 51.30%
Sharp Indicator: 50.78%; 51.15% straight up before augmentation
Lopsided Wagering 50.00%; lopsided wagering on an away favorite 45.45%
Blowout Response: 33.33%
Here is the update and the games for the weekend. Unusual week as with Florida St and Arizona going from no bet to a minor win. the overall record last week was positive BUUUUUUUUUT, the big plays (which is what people look at this thread for) unfortunately got WORSE specifically Texas gained a unit. There were three big plays last week and last week was a poor 0-3 on that score (Channelling the Bear on Gameday that would have been one of those embarrassing weeks had I been sitting with a 3 game board)
WEEKLY RECORD: 9-8
OVERALL RECORD: 110-99 (52.63%)
WEEKLY REVENUE: 27.6 units won on 40.5 wagered
OVERALL REVENUE: 651.2 units on 623 wagered (4.53% profit)
FRIDAY
New Mexico (2 units) - Over/Under squeeze
11am/NOON SATURDAY
Navy (1 unit) - Over/under squeeze outweighs low ticket favorite
Pitt (3 units) - low ticket favorite and lopsided wagering
Army (3 units) - low ticket favorite and sharp indicator
Vanderbilt-Florida - No Bet
Baylor (6 1/2 units) - lopsided wagering, sharp indicator, & SKS (yes I like Vegas generals has been burned over and over by TCU and it comes up AGAIN)
Nebraska-Wisconsin - NO bet as low ticket favorite balances out with over/under squeeze
Illinois (2 units) - sharp indicator and over/under squeeze outweighs Style points
AFTERNOON SATURDAY
Arizona St-Oregon St - No Bet
Boston College-Notre Dame - No Bet (low ticket favorite and lopsided wagering balanced out by over/under squeeze)
Clemson (1 unit) - style points outweighs over/under squeeze
Kentucky (1 unit) - lopsided wagering & over/under squeeze outweighs style points
Texas (3 units) - lopsided wagering and low ticket favorite
Iowa-Minnesota - No Bet
EVENING SATURDAY
Georgia Tech-North Carolina - No Bet
California (2 units) - sharp indicators
Iowa St (1 unit) - low ticket favorite
Tennessee (1 unit) - style points outweighs lopsided wagering
Arkansas-Ole Miss - No Bet
Oklahoma (8 1/2 units) - low ticket favorites, lopsided wagering sharp indicator, & SKS
UCLA (1 unit) - sharp indicators outweighs low ticket favorite
Syracuse-Wake Forest - No Bet
LATE NIGHT SATURDAY
Nevada (2 units) - over/under squeeze
Utah (2 units) - steam (jumped the fence)
*****************
INDICATOR PERFORMANCE TO DATE (this way if you like a particular indicator you can pick and choose your games above based on that, if you feel an indicator is weak you can adjust based on the description ov the selections above)
Style Points - 100% (3-0)
West Coast Early Eastern Start Time - 100% (1-0)
Over/Under Squeeze: 61.8%
SKS: 59.55% (line does not align with public ranking)
Bye Week Return: 59.26%; augmentation 62.5%
Reverse Movement: 58.97%; Positive Reverse movement 50%, negative reverse movement 62.07%
Line Movement (measured but not applied): 53.9%; positive line movement 57.14%, negative line movement 50%
Steam Movement: 53.85%
Low Ticket Favorite: 51.30%
Sharp Indicator: 50.78%; 51.15% straight up before augmentation
Lopsided Wagering 50.00%; lopsided wagering on an away favorite 45.45%
Blowout Response: 33.33%
@HooAlum
A few updates on where the tells landed in the morning and upcoming afternoon
11am/NOON SATURDAY
Navy (1 unit) - SAME
Pitt (1 unit) - low ticket favorite (lopsided wagering went away)
Army (7 units) - getting nervous given the present score lopsided wagering and reverse movement joined low ticket favorite and sharp indicator
Vanderbilt-Florida - No Bet
Baylor (6 1/2 units) - SAME though lopsided wagering was right on the line
Nebraska (2 units) - over/under squeeze strengthened (and it is playing itself out with that pathetic example of offensive football in the first half)
Illinois (2 units) - SAME
AFTERNOON SATURDAY
Arizona St-Oregon St - No Bet - SAME
Boston College (2 units) - over/under squeeze outweighs low ticket favorite
Clemson (2 unit) - style points adds a sharp indicator to outweigh over/under squeeze
Kentucky-Georgia (No Bet) - lopsided wagering went away (so style points and over/udner squeeze balance out)
Texas (3 units) -SAME
Minnesota (1 unit) - Low Ticket Favorite
Georgia Tech-North Carolina (NoBet) - SAME
California (2 units) - SAME
@HooAlum
A few updates on where the tells landed in the morning and upcoming afternoon
11am/NOON SATURDAY
Navy (1 unit) - SAME
Pitt (1 unit) - low ticket favorite (lopsided wagering went away)
Army (7 units) - getting nervous given the present score lopsided wagering and reverse movement joined low ticket favorite and sharp indicator
Vanderbilt-Florida - No Bet
Baylor (6 1/2 units) - SAME though lopsided wagering was right on the line
Nebraska (2 units) - over/under squeeze strengthened (and it is playing itself out with that pathetic example of offensive football in the first half)
Illinois (2 units) - SAME
AFTERNOON SATURDAY
Arizona St-Oregon St - No Bet - SAME
Boston College (2 units) - over/under squeeze outweighs low ticket favorite
Clemson (2 unit) - style points adds a sharp indicator to outweigh over/under squeeze
Kentucky-Georgia (No Bet) - lopsided wagering went away (so style points and over/udner squeeze balance out)
Texas (3 units) -SAME
Minnesota (1 unit) - Low Ticket Favorite
Georgia Tech-North Carolina (NoBet) - SAME
California (2 units) - SAME
@HooAlum
Productive morning and afternoon primaru=il because unlike last week 2 of 3 big plays have come home. The last is in Bedlam. GET it at 6. 5 (and barring that 7). I have a feeling that extra half point will be worth it. It is b=the biggest play of the weekend and could be very profitable if the unranked Sooners take out the Pokes by a touchdown.
EVENING SATURDAY
Iowa St (1 unit) - SAME
South Carolina-Tennessee (No Bet) - style points balances with lopsided wagering and sharp indicator
Ole Miss (1 unit) - Low Ticket Favorite
Oklahoma (8 1/2 units) - SAME (biggest play of the weekend)
UCLA (1 unit) - SAME (but it is really close on whether low ticket favorite would go away which would make it UCLA 2 units0
Wake Forest (1 unit) - low ticket favorite
LATE NIGHT SATURDAY
Nevada (2 units) - SAME
Utah (2 units) - SAME
@HooAlum
Productive morning and afternoon primaru=il because unlike last week 2 of 3 big plays have come home. The last is in Bedlam. GET it at 6. 5 (and barring that 7). I have a feeling that extra half point will be worth it. It is b=the biggest play of the weekend and could be very profitable if the unranked Sooners take out the Pokes by a touchdown.
EVENING SATURDAY
Iowa St (1 unit) - SAME
South Carolina-Tennessee (No Bet) - style points balances with lopsided wagering and sharp indicator
Ole Miss (1 unit) - Low Ticket Favorite
Oklahoma (8 1/2 units) - SAME (biggest play of the weekend)
UCLA (1 unit) - SAME (but it is really close on whether low ticket favorite would go away which would make it UCLA 2 units0
Wake Forest (1 unit) - low ticket favorite
LATE NIGHT SATURDAY
Nevada (2 units) - SAME
Utah (2 units) - SAME
@HooAlum
Productive morning and afternoon primaru=il because unlike last week 2 of 3 big plays have come home. The last is in Bedlam. GET it at 6. 5 (and barring that 7). I have a feeling that extra half point will be worth it. It is b=the biggest play of the weekend and could be very profitable if the unranked Sooners take out the Pokes by a touchdown.
EVENING SATURDAY
Iowa St (1 unit) - SAME
South Carolina-Tennessee (No Bet) - style points balances with lopsided wagering and sharp indicator
Ole Miss (1 unit) - Low Ticket Favorite
Oklahoma (8 1/2 units) - SAME (biggest play of the weekend)
UCLA (1 unit) - SAME (but it is really close on whether low ticket favorite would go away which would make it UCLA 2 units0
Wake Forest (1 unit) - low ticket favorite
LATE NIGHT SATURDAY
Nevada (2 units) - SAME
Utah (2 units) - SAME
@HooAlum
Productive morning and afternoon primaru=il because unlike last week 2 of 3 big plays have come home. The last is in Bedlam. GET it at 6. 5 (and barring that 7). I have a feeling that extra half point will be worth it. It is b=the biggest play of the weekend and could be very profitable if the unranked Sooners take out the Pokes by a touchdown.
EVENING SATURDAY
Iowa St (1 unit) - SAME
South Carolina-Tennessee (No Bet) - style points balances with lopsided wagering and sharp indicator
Ole Miss (1 unit) - Low Ticket Favorite
Oklahoma (8 1/2 units) - SAME (biggest play of the weekend)
UCLA (1 unit) - SAME (but it is really close on whether low ticket favorite would go away which would make it UCLA 2 units0
Wake Forest (1 unit) - low ticket favorite
LATE NIGHT SATURDAY
Nevada (2 units) - SAME
Utah (2 units) - SAME
@HooAlum
Always good to followup a strong week with a 1-0 start and big wager so hopeful the last full slate will go well this week.
First a recap of a solid week where it was a polar opposite of the week before despite same overall record. teh difference was nailing the three big plays of the week.
WEEKLY RECORD: 10-9
OVERALL RECORD: 120-108 (52.63%)
WEEKLY REVENUE: 72.3 units on 50 units wagered
OVERAL REVENUE: 723.5 units on 673 wagered (7.50% profit)
FRIDAY NOON
Baylor-Texas (No Bet)
Cincinnati (1 unit): low ticket favroite
FRIDAY MIDDAY
Arizona St-Arizona (NO Bet)
Missouri-Arkansas (No Bet): Low ticket fvroiote and sharp indicator balance out
NC State (2 units): lopsided wagering
Nebraska (2 units):over/under squeeze outweighs low ticket favorite
Cal (2 units): lopsided wagering
FRIDAY EVENING
Florida-Florida St (No Bet)
SATURDAY NOON
Army (1 unit): sharp indicator
Georgia Tech (1 unit): over/under squeeze outweighs style points
Michigan-Ohio St (no Bet): low ticket favorite balances with Sharp indicator
Clemson (2 units): low ticket favorite lopsided wagering & sharp indicator outweighs over/under squeeze
SATURDAY MIDDA
Alabama (1 unit): lopsided wagering and low ticket favorite outweighs over/under squeeze
Oregon (1 unit): sharp indicator
Wisconsin (1 unit): low ticket favorite
Iowa St (3 units): over/under squeeze and low ticket favorite outweighs low ticket favorite
Michigan St (2 units): over/under squeeze
SATURDAY EVENING
Texas A&M (6 units):lopsided wagering and over/under squeeze
Southern Cal (1 unit): low ticket favorite
Texas Tech-Oklahoma (No Bet): Low ticket favorite balances with sharp indicator
Kansas (4 units): lopsided wagering, reverse movement
Washington St-Washington (NO Bet): Low Ticket favorite balances with sharp indicator
BYU (1 unit): sharp indicator
*****************
INDICATOR PERFORMANCE TO DATE (this way if you like a particular indicator you can pick and choose your games above based on that, if you feel an indicator is weak you can adjust based on the description ov the selections above)
Style Points - 100% (3-0)
West Coast Early Eastern Start Time - 100% (1-0)
SKS: 61.29% (line does not align with public ranking)
Reverse Movement: 60.0%; Positive Reverse movement 54.55%, negative reverse movement 62.07%
Over/Under Squeeze: 59.81%
Bye Week Return: 59.26%; augmentation 62.5%
Line Movement (measured but not applied): 56.21%; positive line movement 58.54%, negative line movement 53.33%
Lopsided Wagering 57.58%; lopsided wagering on an away favorite 50%
Low Ticket Favorite: 53.60%
Sharp Indicator: 53.37%; 53.90% straight up before augmentation
Steam Movement: 50.00%
Blowout Response: 40%
@HooAlum
Always good to followup a strong week with a 1-0 start and big wager so hopeful the last full slate will go well this week.
First a recap of a solid week where it was a polar opposite of the week before despite same overall record. teh difference was nailing the three big plays of the week.
WEEKLY RECORD: 10-9
OVERALL RECORD: 120-108 (52.63%)
WEEKLY REVENUE: 72.3 units on 50 units wagered
OVERAL REVENUE: 723.5 units on 673 wagered (7.50% profit)
FRIDAY NOON
Baylor-Texas (No Bet)
Cincinnati (1 unit): low ticket favroite
FRIDAY MIDDAY
Arizona St-Arizona (NO Bet)
Missouri-Arkansas (No Bet): Low ticket fvroiote and sharp indicator balance out
NC State (2 units): lopsided wagering
Nebraska (2 units):over/under squeeze outweighs low ticket favorite
Cal (2 units): lopsided wagering
FRIDAY EVENING
Florida-Florida St (No Bet)
SATURDAY NOON
Army (1 unit): sharp indicator
Georgia Tech (1 unit): over/under squeeze outweighs style points
Michigan-Ohio St (no Bet): low ticket favorite balances with Sharp indicator
Clemson (2 units): low ticket favorite lopsided wagering & sharp indicator outweighs over/under squeeze
SATURDAY MIDDA
Alabama (1 unit): lopsided wagering and low ticket favorite outweighs over/under squeeze
Oregon (1 unit): sharp indicator
Wisconsin (1 unit): low ticket favorite
Iowa St (3 units): over/under squeeze and low ticket favorite outweighs low ticket favorite
Michigan St (2 units): over/under squeeze
SATURDAY EVENING
Texas A&M (6 units):lopsided wagering and over/under squeeze
Southern Cal (1 unit): low ticket favorite
Texas Tech-Oklahoma (No Bet): Low ticket favorite balances with sharp indicator
Kansas (4 units): lopsided wagering, reverse movement
Washington St-Washington (NO Bet): Low Ticket favorite balances with sharp indicator
BYU (1 unit): sharp indicator
*****************
INDICATOR PERFORMANCE TO DATE (this way if you like a particular indicator you can pick and choose your games above based on that, if you feel an indicator is weak you can adjust based on the description ov the selections above)
Style Points - 100% (3-0)
West Coast Early Eastern Start Time - 100% (1-0)
SKS: 61.29% (line does not align with public ranking)
Reverse Movement: 60.0%; Positive Reverse movement 54.55%, negative reverse movement 62.07%
Over/Under Squeeze: 59.81%
Bye Week Return: 59.26%; augmentation 62.5%
Line Movement (measured but not applied): 56.21%; positive line movement 58.54%, negative line movement 53.33%
Lopsided Wagering 57.58%; lopsided wagering on an away favorite 50%
Low Ticket Favorite: 53.60%
Sharp Indicator: 53.37%; 53.90% straight up before augmentation
Steam Movement: 50.00%
Blowout Response: 40%
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