[Quote: Originally Posted by
Two posts on the subject, huh?
I don't bet games just because the public is on them. I pick my spots. I think there is value in Wyoming getting 10 points at home. Simple as that. If the large majority of bettors think otherwise, I like the play even more. Because the large majority of bettors lose.
You ever hear of contrarian betting?
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The large majority of bettors lose?
That's true and false. You can't just be contrarian to win. If it were true we'd all be winners. I've said repeatedly: If you cap a game completely, the concensus (a fallible but sometimes helpful shortcut I've used when I HAVEN'T capped a game completely) doesn't matter.
You haven't capped this game so you use concensus. Anyhow, it's all capped for you right here.
A 10 pt road dog is serious business. I don't take such a number lightly. But after capping it, I don't see how anything other than Laramie and senior day motivates this team. Perhaps that will be enough to cover this number. Perhaps not. But a major flaw in your previous post that I saw was pointing out that Air Force was somehow on the level of the Boise win. I mean, that is "strap the guy to a gurney, tell the men in the white coats to roll him out of the thread."
Air Force. Nice little season. 4-0 at the time. And even with all that, that is not a win over Boise who walloped that team ELEVEN straight times and has a sterling resume in recent years in the Mountain. Now come on.
And again, the Boise win will actually fall short of a win here to a team that is more dominant on both sides of the ball despite against alleged mediocre competition. Well when you are playing your conference and holding them to a microscopic SEVEN POINTS A GAME average with a 6-0, that is DESTROYING even the worst of them. What else do you want? Zero points a game? Even if they shut them all out people would still criticize SDSU.
I expect a completely different challenge here, and I see a defense that will be in big trouble. Almost 70 points to UNLV. There are embarrassing defensive performances and then there are ones you can't excuse. That is Rutgers Michigan levels with a team that is LIGHT YEARS away from Michigan. And now you are asked to take care of business against the best of the best out West. Muster yet ANOTHER win at home. Boise could have blown them out that last game. It was all about momentum and they had PERFECT timing for that. Do that twice in a few weeks time? After giving up 70? Not coming in with the same mindset, health or smoke and mirrors that made others think you weren't vulnerable. That is why I am willing to lay 10 here.
Wow, now I see he's resorting to "confidence levels" as though I'm supposed to sell every pick as a winner before kick. The troll of trolls. Goads you into using lock.
I'm chasing a loss even though I've posted 6 winners in a row you and am 29-11 this year. There you have it folks. Side with THAT guy.lol.
sure go ahead and Fade SD JUST CUZ THE PUB LIKES THEM. People on covers man smh 
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