Season Thread NCAA

Texas A&M(+13) @ Georgia_1 unit wins .91

Texas A&M ML(+430) .3 wins 1.29

Minnesota @ Northwestern(+14)_1 unit wins .91

Week 13(4-5)-.085  Total(40-43)+3.2085

Alabama @ Auburn(3½)_2 units wins 1.82   Auburn ML(+143)_1 unit

The same reason why I didn't bet Aubie vs UGa is why I'm taking the Tigers in this one. Bama's QB(Jones) is going to have to make plays to win this game. I have no idea if he can, but usually in these spots the defense comes out on top. You can say Nix is new to the "Iron Bowl"also but he has basically has a season as starter under his belt. These two are pretty even except at the QB position. WAR EAGLE

Virginia Tech @ Virginia ML(+115)_1.5 wins 1.725

The Cavs are due to beat them, that's all I got 

Go Hoos.

Happy Thanksgiving to Everybody.

Iowa @ Nebraska(+5)_1 unit wins .91 Nebraska ML(+175) .5 wins .875

Rivalry game that the Huskers and their coach want bad, Big Red goes bowling.

Cal ML(-110) @ UCLA_1 unit wins .91

UCLA QB missed two practices and was limited in Wed. practice. Conditions will be very unSoCal like with rain in the forecast I look for Cal to avenge last years game.

Week 14(4-1)+4.865  Total(44-44-2)+8.0735

Right back where I started this whole thing but with some units to play with. Finally recovered from a weeks ago, time to finish as the season is coming to an end.

Oregon(+6½) @ Utah_1 unit wins .91

I thought this team(Ducks) would represent the P12 in the playoff then ASU happened and that was that on that. Still can rep P12 in Rose Bowl question is do they want to? Once again game where teams are evenly matched. Utah's schedule was very easy, Ill said with Oregon for now might hit ML later.

Cincinnati(+10) @ Memphis_1 wins .91

Bearcats had a chance last week too many mistakes. I look for Fickell and his staff to make the adjustments and possibly win SU.

UAB(+7½) @ Florida Atlantic_1 unit wins .91

The main issue wth UAB is there offense or lack of. They will need to lean on their defense which led CUSA in a lot of categories. The Blazers are looking to repeat as champs and look for them to put up a good fight against the Owls.

Oregon ML(+205)

The loss to Sparky really changed the outlook of the Ducks. Before that game when I was looking ahead this game was close to a 2 point spread, now it's a 6½ point spread. I know they miss Pittman at WR but still 6½ is a lot for two teams who were gonna face each other in a play in game. If the off chance the Ducks win that play-in game scenario moves to the B12CG pending on what UGa does in its game.

Championship Week (3-1)+2.845  Total(47-45-2)+10.9185

Really looking forward to the bowl games only a handful of games left and want to finish strong. Here is some plays I decided to pull the trigger on.

[Las Vegas Bowl] Washington vs Boise St(+3½)_1 unit wins .91

As with most bowl game will both these teams be motivated? Washington had a disappointing season and will have their DC and future HC taking over for the bowl game. Boise won 12 games and gets their season to come to an end before Christmas. Both these teams did not show any let down in their last games and I don't expect any here. I feel like Boise can use this game as a springboard for the next season, were as UW might try some different things that might work or not. Boise's bowl game with B.C. got cancelled last year so I think they will be little more sharper as they have a chance to show their skills vs. an opponent outside the MWC.

[Hawaii Bowl] BYU vs Hawaii ML(+100)

BYU leads the all time series 23-9, and the last time they lost to the ?? was 2001. Hawaii trying to cap off a good season with double digit wins since 2010. Hawaii did not look sharp last game out but that was on the road, they are different at home and even the defense looks sharper when at Aloha Stadium.

[Independece Bowl] Miami vs Louisiana Tech_1 unit wins .91, ML(+205)_.5 wins .9225

Tech obviously has a shorter trip, chance to knock off The U, and Miami leads the nation in SU losses as double digit favorites. Sharps pounded this line from +10½ to +7, crossing 10 and 7½. 

[Independence Bowl] Miami vs Louisiana Tech_1 unit wins .91, ML(+205)_.5 wins .9225

I'm on Tech +7½ forgot to put the spread down.

[Fiesta Bowl] Clemson vs Ohio St ML(+102) 2.5 units wins 2.55

Big game big bet. Both teams seem evenly matched they are 1 and 2  in passing def efficiency, passing yards allowed, and total defense. Their are some stats were there is a gap, Clemson is better protecting their QB and the Buckeyes are better rated special teams. This is a game were you really have to break it down match up wise. What I'll be looking for is if tOSU can pressure Clemson and give their DB's a good chance at covering their WR's which might be the best in the country. This is were who you played in an out of conference matters, because has Clemson seen anything like tOSU, NO. Closest opponent on the schedule TAMU and they are not close to the Buckeyes. Now has Ohio St. played a schedule that has prepared them for this. Out of conference NO, but within the B10 kinda, size wise yes but speed wise not really. Even though teams like Michigan, Wisconsin, and Penn St. have nice skill players I don't think they have the depth and explosiveness like Clemson. The thing is Ohio St does though it's what separates them from everybody in the B10. As I pointed out earlier special teams is were the Buckeyes have a huge advantage. They are ranked 6th by Football Outsiders while Clemson is 103. In a game with a spread under a FG I think this nice advantage to have.

[Liberty Bowl] Kansas St vs Navy ML(-106)_1 unit wins .95

KSU has weeks to prepare for the option but practicing and live game action are two different things. Once again has Navy seen a team like KSU? yes. Has KSU seen an offense like Navy? no. I think it's going to take KSU a while to get adjusted to Navy and by then it ill be too late.

[Alamo Bowl] Utah vs Texas(+7½)_1 unit wins .91

Made this bet last week forgot to post. Utah has the better defense and in my opinion is better coached. Texas has had coaching changes on both sides of the ball and looked bad vs Baylor and for a half vs TTech before getting their stuff together to win. So why take Texas? First lets get the obvious out the way should have more support. Second Utah had their balloon popped vs Oregon. From CFBP to the Alamo Bowl. Third Texas has more talent especially on the offensive end. Huntley did not look sharp last time out, might change vs Texas' defense but Texas looked sharp in the second half vs Duffey who is pretty comparable skill wise to Huntley. Lastly a lot being made about the coaching changes at UT but I look at it like this, it's an all in move for the LH's. If they lose the have to hear about if the changes made a difference and maybe the HC is next out the door, all off-season. Winning cures all that and can springboard them into next year. Might bet SU closer to gametime, so spread for now.

[Citrus Bowl] Michigan(+7½) vs. Alabama_1 unit wins .91

This is mostly a contrarian play but, I like that Michigan is the underdog and will hopefully play better than expected. I'm still not sold on the Bama QB and I believe the UM defense can create some problems for him. Bama still has great skill players that are better than Michigan's but their defense is not the same as past Tide defenses. I think Michigan is really going to give a full effort to win this game while the jury is still out on Bama. Bama's 2 losses came as single digit favorites, every other game they were double digit favorites. I'll take the points for now and might take a chance SU a little closer to game time.

[Alamo Bowl] Texas ML(+210)_.5 wins 1.05

(Arizona Bowl) Georgia St.(+7) vs Wyoming_1 unit wins .91

Another contrarian play, Ellington a Sr. playing with an injury vs a true freshman getting 7 I'll take the Panthers. Wyoming has the better defense but the dont really blow teams out and don't see them doing in this game neither.

[Rose Bowl] Oregon ML(+118) vs Wisconsin_1 unit

I think this is a sharp line at +/-3 but the more I look at this game I think the Ducks are the better team. They have the better QB, but the Badgers have the better RB. These teams close in a lot of statistics so it's going to come down to who is better prepared and coached. Chryst has been solid as HC but his teams have been known to lay an egg every once in a while. This is Cristabol's 1st season as HC so there not too much to go on, but it has been a fantastic start to HC career. In the end I trust Herbert to make plays if needed more than Coan and I believe Oregon can slow down Taylor.  Oregon can also clinch a winning bowl season for the P12 after a poor showing last year.

[Citrus Bowl] Michigan ML(+230) vs. Alabama_.4 wins .92

[Gator Bowl] Indiana ML(+120) vs Tennessee_1 unit

Coin flip game that IU can win SU I'll take the plus money.

[Idaho Potato Bowl] Ohio vs Nevada(+8½)_1 unit wins .91, ML(+250)_.5 wins 1 unit

A lot being made about Nevada's defense but Ohio's is one of the worst. More familiar site, timezone, and elevation for Nevada. MWC has been pretty good this bowl season.

JMU ML(-121) vs North Dakota St._2 units wins 1.66

Started the year betting on JMU might as well bet them in Championship game. JMU is being under valued in my opinion. Statistically these two teams are similar. One big difference is on special teams, where the Dukes get their hands on more kicks\punts than anyone. DiNucci will be the key player in this game. JMU could be undefeated if the QB would not have thrown a bad interception in the WVU game. DiNucci makes some questionable throws at times but I'll trust the SR. in this to lead his team to victory.