Ball St.(+2) @ EMU_.9 to win .819
Ball St. has struggled on the road over the past couple of years but I believe they get B2B road wins here, better team is not favored. EMU has struggled ever since beating Illinois.
Ball St.(+2) @ EMU_.9 to win .819
Ball St. has struggled on the road over the past couple of years but I believe they get B2B road wins here, better team is not favored. EMU has struggled ever since beating Illinois.
Ball St.(+2) @ EMU_.9 to win .819
Ball St. has struggled on the road over the past couple of years but I believe they get B2B road wins here, better team is not favored. EMU has struggled ever since beating Illinois.
Week 7(4-3) +1.349 units Total (25-20-2) +7.6235
Iowa St. @ Texas Tech(+6)_1u to win .91
Line has moved to +6½ since I made this bet this morning. ISU will be playing their 3rd road game in past 4 games and Lubbock is always a difficult place to play ask Oklahoma St.. Tech is coming off a tough lost to Baylor but this team is different from other Red Raider teams and doesn't seem like it will crumble like teams in the past. They got routed by OU then beat OSU shows a sense of toughness this current coach is installing into this team.The B12 as whole seems to be getting away from high scoring spread teams and Tech is a prime example.
Duke(+4½) @ Virginia_1u to win .91
This line moved from this morning also to +3½ I think Duke has a chance to win SU. Duke is still in the hunt for the Coastal in the ACC and is a very solid team. Virginia has won 4 in row in this series and this one could be a rock fight between these two so I'll take points when they could be hard to come by
Week 7(4-3) +1.349 units Total (25-20-2) +7.6235
Iowa St. @ Texas Tech(+6)_1u to win .91
Line has moved to +6½ since I made this bet this morning. ISU will be playing their 3rd road game in past 4 games and Lubbock is always a difficult place to play ask Oklahoma St.. Tech is coming off a tough lost to Baylor but this team is different from other Red Raider teams and doesn't seem like it will crumble like teams in the past. They got routed by OU then beat OSU shows a sense of toughness this current coach is installing into this team.The B12 as whole seems to be getting away from high scoring spread teams and Tech is a prime example.
Duke(+4½) @ Virginia_1u to win .91
This line moved from this morning also to +3½ I think Duke has a chance to win SU. Duke is still in the hunt for the Coastal in the ACC and is a very solid team. Virginia has won 4 in row in this series and this one could be a rock fight between these two so I'll take points when they could be hard to come by
Oregon @ Washington(+3)_1u to win .91
Oregon has a TE that got injured last game and is out for the season, he was also Herbert's favorite target. I remember last year the Ducks had problems with drops last year not sure if they still have that issue but it something to look for in the game. Oregon's defense has been great so far giving up only 265 per game. Looking at their schedule; Cal, Nevada, and Stanford are in the 100's in yards per game. Also all those schools have had issues with QB and Oline play this year. Washington has been solid on the offensive side of the especially on the line, QB play has been a mixed bag, some people have Eason behind Herbert as draft eligible QB's. The knock on him is that he's not consistent but has a rocket for an arm. UW defense has a lot of young players and it showed vs Stanford as they got pushed around by them. This possibly the toughest game left for the Ducks as they are at least 1½ ahead of everyone in 12P North. I'll take the home dog in a rivalry game with the to keep Oregon from pretty much clinching the North.
Oregon @ Washington(+3)_1u to win .91
Oregon has a TE that got injured last game and is out for the season, he was also Herbert's favorite target. I remember last year the Ducks had problems with drops last year not sure if they still have that issue but it something to look for in the game. Oregon's defense has been great so far giving up only 265 per game. Looking at their schedule; Cal, Nevada, and Stanford are in the 100's in yards per game. Also all those schools have had issues with QB and Oline play this year. Washington has been solid on the offensive side of the especially on the line, QB play has been a mixed bag, some people have Eason behind Herbert as draft eligible QB's. The knock on him is that he's not consistent but has a rocket for an arm. UW defense has a lot of young players and it showed vs Stanford as they got pushed around by them. This possibly the toughest game left for the Ducks as they are at least 1½ ahead of everyone in 12P North. I'll take the home dog in a rivalry game with the to keep Oregon from pretty much clinching the North.
Toledo @ Ball St. ML(-114)_1u to win .88
Time for some MACtion going back the Ball St. well again, once again I believe BSU is a better team and not getting credit for it as they opened as slight underdogs. Toledo is reeling after losing to Bowling Green also there starting QB is injured and his status is still unknown for this game. Toledo struggles on defense giving up 458 per game. Seems like a topsy turvy year in the MAC as teams like NIU, Toledo, and Ohio are at the bottom and Ball St. and Kent St. are at the top early in conference play.
Toledo @ Ball St. ML(-114)_1u to win .88
Time for some MACtion going back the Ball St. well again, once again I believe BSU is a better team and not getting credit for it as they opened as slight underdogs. Toledo is reeling after losing to Bowling Green also there starting QB is injured and his status is still unknown for this game. Toledo struggles on defense giving up 458 per game. Seems like a topsy turvy year in the MAC as teams like NIU, Toledo, and Ohio are at the bottom and Ball St. and Kent St. are at the top early in conference play.
Week 8(1-3)-2.12 units Total(26-23-2) +5.5035
Wisconsin(+14) @ Ohio St._1 unit to win .91
Badgers had a rough week getting upset by Illinois and pretty much ruining there playoff hopes. They still can meet up with the Buckeyes in the B10CG but must win here. The line started at +14½ then went back to 14. Looking at the Buckeyes other preseason lines the spreads moved at least a TD, Nebraska from 7½ to 17½ and MSU from 13½ to 21½. So I'm getting the sense that the linemakers feel like that whatever they thought of this matchup back in July they feel the same way now, which is in contrast to the public which are leaning tOSU so far. At looking at the stats there is no real difference in these two but athletic and coaching wise I'm giving tOSU the advantage. I do believe if Wisky can slow the game down and make this a grind of a game they make this game interesting going into the 4th. At some point the Buckeyes get challenged, I'm taking a shot here.
Week 8(1-3)-2.12 units Total(26-23-2) +5.5035
Wisconsin(+14) @ Ohio St._1 unit to win .91
Badgers had a rough week getting upset by Illinois and pretty much ruining there playoff hopes. They still can meet up with the Buckeyes in the B10CG but must win here. The line started at +14½ then went back to 14. Looking at the Buckeyes other preseason lines the spreads moved at least a TD, Nebraska from 7½ to 17½ and MSU from 13½ to 21½. So I'm getting the sense that the linemakers feel like that whatever they thought of this matchup back in July they feel the same way now, which is in contrast to the public which are leaning tOSU so far. At looking at the stats there is no real difference in these two but athletic and coaching wise I'm giving tOSU the advantage. I do believe if Wisky can slow the game down and make this a grind of a game they make this game interesting going into the 4th. At some point the Buckeyes get challenged, I'm taking a shot here.
South Florida @ East Carolina(-1)_1 unit to win .91
ECU traditionally struggles with USF but I see a reversal here. USF has had problems with there QB and O-line play and when you throw in road environment those things don't mix well. ECU has chance to make a bowl at 6-6 but need to win here, on the other side USF closes out the season with Temple, Cincy, Memphis, and UCF needing 3 wins out remaining games to become bowl eligible. Coach Houston has turned the program around quickly already matching last years win total for the Pirates. I look for them to exceed it in front of the homecoming crowd.
South Florida @ East Carolina(-1)_1 unit to win .91
ECU traditionally struggles with USF but I see a reversal here. USF has had problems with there QB and O-line play and when you throw in road environment those things don't mix well. ECU has chance to make a bowl at 6-6 but need to win here, on the other side USF closes out the season with Temple, Cincy, Memphis, and UCF needing 3 wins out remaining games to become bowl eligible. Coach Houston has turned the program around quickly already matching last years win total for the Pirates. I look for them to exceed it in front of the homecoming crowd.
Texas @ TCU ML(-106)_1 unit to win .95
I believe this line was the same when it was offered before the season and everybody has jumped on Texas. I was leaning Texas until seeing where their defense is giving up over 450 yards per game. Done betting Texas schools that give up over 400 a game looking at you Tech. TCU has been up and down this year looking bad in there loses vs SMU, ISU, and KSU. The Frogs actually out gained and had more 1st downs than KSU but a blocked punt early in the game turned out being a deciding factor. Same thing can be said about the SMU game except it was TO's that did them in. I look for TCU to slow down the Longhorns on the grass at home and put some plays together versus a struggling defense to get the win.
Texas @ TCU ML(-106)_1 unit to win .95
I believe this line was the same when it was offered before the season and everybody has jumped on Texas. I was leaning Texas until seeing where their defense is giving up over 450 yards per game. Done betting Texas schools that give up over 400 a game looking at you Tech. TCU has been up and down this year looking bad in there loses vs SMU, ISU, and KSU. The Frogs actually out gained and had more 1st downs than KSU but a blocked punt early in the game turned out being a deciding factor. Same thing can be said about the SMU game except it was TO's that did them in. I look for TCU to slow down the Longhorns on the grass at home and put some plays together versus a struggling defense to get the win.
Arizona St. @ UCLA ML(+130)_.8 to win 1.04
I like UCLA down the stretch to surprise the teams left on their schedule starting with ASU. I know UCLA's defense is not anything to write home about but neither is ASU's offense. Daniels is having a great year but is still a true FR, and I want to see how handles his bad performance vs Utah. The key will be UCLA's ability to run the ball. The Bruins have been improving since the season started each week as the RB Kelley seems to get healthier. Sparky gives up only 100 ypg on the ground, but it seems like the front end of schedule had teams that had issues running the ball . Many had/have Chip Kelly getting fired after this season, I look for the Bruins to keep improving and quiet that talk down as the season comes to an end.
Arizona St. @ UCLA ML(+130)_.8 to win 1.04
I like UCLA down the stretch to surprise the teams left on their schedule starting with ASU. I know UCLA's defense is not anything to write home about but neither is ASU's offense. Daniels is having a great year but is still a true FR, and I want to see how handles his bad performance vs Utah. The key will be UCLA's ability to run the ball. The Bruins have been improving since the season started each week as the RB Kelley seems to get healthier. Sparky gives up only 100 ypg on the ground, but it seems like the front end of schedule had teams that had issues running the ball . Many had/have Chip Kelly getting fired after this season, I look for the Bruins to keep improving and quiet that talk down as the season comes to an end.
Week 9(3-2)+.94 units Total +6.4435 units
Georgia Southern(+18) @ Appalachian St._1 unit to win .91
What can say I'm sucker for option offenses mix in some good defense and you have yourself a possible live dog. Defensively stat wise pretty much the same, only big difference between these two is on offense were Appy has some resemblance of an passing attack and teams vs GaSo. have been efficient completing passes against them but not for many yards. Appy has both Georgia schools nipping at their heels SBCEast and possibly a NY6 Bowl if they finish undefeated.
SMU(+3½) @ Memphis_1 to win .91
Both teams last games were not their best effort of the season as both held on to victories possibly overlooking their opponents for this match-up. I liked the coming into year and I wish would have been able to predict the improvement on defense they have made to put some futures on them to win the AAC. Stat wise offensively and defensively the two are similar, where this game will be won is in the trenches were SMU has an edge.
Week 9(3-2)+.94 units Total +6.4435 units
Georgia Southern(+18) @ Appalachian St._1 unit to win .91
What can say I'm sucker for option offenses mix in some good defense and you have yourself a possible live dog. Defensively stat wise pretty much the same, only big difference between these two is on offense were Appy has some resemblance of an passing attack and teams vs GaSo. have been efficient completing passes against them but not for many yards. Appy has both Georgia schools nipping at their heels SBCEast and possibly a NY6 Bowl if they finish undefeated.
SMU(+3½) @ Memphis_1 to win .91
Both teams last games were not their best effort of the season as both held on to victories possibly overlooking their opponents for this match-up. I liked the coming into year and I wish would have been able to predict the improvement on defense they have made to put some futures on them to win the AAC. Stat wise offensively and defensively the two are similar, where this game will be won is in the trenches were SMU has an edge.
Buffalo ML(+112) @ EMU_1 unit
The Bulls have better run game and defense than EMU. They also are better at the line scrimmage than EMU, the areas EMU has an advantage is at QB and home field advantage. If I lose this bet so be it, but Buffalo is the better team.
Georgia Southern ML(+650)_.20 to win 1.30 units
Conditions may be terrible at Boone, NC but GaSo. has played their last two games in the rain, this team is a mudder if I've ever seen one. Appy has S.Car. the next week and might get caught looking ahead also.
Buffalo ML(+112) @ EMU_1 unit
The Bulls have better run game and defense than EMU. They also are better at the line scrimmage than EMU, the areas EMU has an advantage is at QB and home field advantage. If I lose this bet so be it, but Buffalo is the better team.
Georgia Southern ML(+650)_.20 to win 1.30 units
Conditions may be terrible at Boone, NC but GaSo. has played their last two games in the rain, this team is a mudder if I've ever seen one. Appy has S.Car. the next week and might get caught looking ahead also.
Wofford @ Clemson Under 58_.90 units to win .819
Clemsons defense should matchup well vs Woffords option offense don't see the Terriers putting up to many points. Hopefully the Tigers don't run it up and Wofford can put some drives together and eat some clock w/o scoring.
Wofford @ Clemson Under 58_.90 units to win .819
Clemsons defense should matchup well vs Woffords option offense don't see the Terriers putting up to many points. Hopefully the Tigers don't run it up and Wofford can put some drives together and eat some clock w/o scoring.
Week 10(3-2)+1.43 Units Total(32-27-2)+7.8735
Going to go with my initial thoughts or leans for games since there is only a month left and we pretty much have enough stats and eye tests on most these schools at this point. I feel like I'm leaving more at the table than losing by not pulling the trigger on some plays
Washington @ Oregon St.(+10)_1u wins .91
I think these two teams are headed in two opposite directions the Beav's are trying to get bowl eligible for the first time since 2013. On the other hand every preseason goal UW had for the year is pretty much gone. Playoffs nope, Pac12 championship nope, Pac12N nope. Now this team(UW) is looking at playing in Cheezit or Foster Farms Bowl going against a team that is finding themselves(Beavs) and would love to go to any bowl.
Texas Tech @ WVU(+1)_1u wins .91
TT has not won on the road all year, WVU is traditionally good at home. WVU's defense is mediocre but it's not 460 yds per game bad like Tech. I look for WVU to give the home crowd something to feel good about against a team that invented a new way to lose a football game last time out.
Iowa(+9½) @ Wisconsin_1u wins .91
Once a again two teams, different directions. Wisconsin didn't have the expectations as the aforementioned Huskies but have had the their bubble bursted two weeks in a row. Iowa can relate because they lost two in a row to Michigan and PSU but have gotten themselves into the B10W race. Both teams play great defense. Wisconsîn has the advantage on the ground with Taylo at RB, but I believe Iowa has the advantage at QB. Everytime I bet Wiconsin with Coan at QB he looks terrible the one time I go against him he looks like Tom Brady, go figure. Stanley is more experienced and more use to playing in big games so I'll go with the Hawkeyes.
Wyoming(+11½) @ Boise St._1u wins .91
If I had a confidence scale of my pics this would be my least. Most people are waiting for Boise to start steamrolling the MWC as in most years but thats probably the reason why I like Wyo. Once again another team that has played teams tough in their losses(2) for Wyo. I don't think this Boise team is like the ones that could beat P5 schools routinely in years past. If Boise wins they pretty much wrap the MWCm, I look for the Pokes to give them a run for their $ even with a lack of offense they have showed this year.
Week 10(3-2)+1.43 Units Total(32-27-2)+7.8735
Going to go with my initial thoughts or leans for games since there is only a month left and we pretty much have enough stats and eye tests on most these schools at this point. I feel like I'm leaving more at the table than losing by not pulling the trigger on some plays
Washington @ Oregon St.(+10)_1u wins .91
I think these two teams are headed in two opposite directions the Beav's are trying to get bowl eligible for the first time since 2013. On the other hand every preseason goal UW had for the year is pretty much gone. Playoffs nope, Pac12 championship nope, Pac12N nope. Now this team(UW) is looking at playing in Cheezit or Foster Farms Bowl going against a team that is finding themselves(Beavs) and would love to go to any bowl.
Texas Tech @ WVU(+1)_1u wins .91
TT has not won on the road all year, WVU is traditionally good at home. WVU's defense is mediocre but it's not 460 yds per game bad like Tech. I look for WVU to give the home crowd something to feel good about against a team that invented a new way to lose a football game last time out.
Iowa(+9½) @ Wisconsin_1u wins .91
Once a again two teams, different directions. Wisconsin didn't have the expectations as the aforementioned Huskies but have had the their bubble bursted two weeks in a row. Iowa can relate because they lost two in a row to Michigan and PSU but have gotten themselves into the B10W race. Both teams play great defense. Wisconsîn has the advantage on the ground with Taylo at RB, but I believe Iowa has the advantage at QB. Everytime I bet Wiconsin with Coan at QB he looks terrible the one time I go against him he looks like Tom Brady, go figure. Stanley is more experienced and more use to playing in big games so I'll go with the Hawkeyes.
Wyoming(+11½) @ Boise St._1u wins .91
If I had a confidence scale of my pics this would be my least. Most people are waiting for Boise to start steamrolling the MWC as in most years but thats probably the reason why I like Wyo. Once again another team that has played teams tough in their losses(2) for Wyo. I don't think this Boise team is like the ones that could beat P5 schools routinely in years past. If Boise wins they pretty much wrap the MWCm, I look for the Pokes to give them a run for their $ even with a lack of offense they have showed this year.
Tennessee ML(+104) @ Kentucky_1u
Tennessee needs every win they can get down the stretch. They have a pretty solid defense and should be able to handle the UK offense. Only issue is offense and who is starting at QB. All the QB's have contributed and their is no big difference amongst them.
Tennessee ML(+104) @ Kentucky_1u
Tennessee needs every win they can get down the stretch. They have a pretty solid defense and should be able to handle the UK offense. Only issue is offense and who is starting at QB. All the QB's have contributed and their is no big difference amongst them.
Week 11(3-4)+.16 units Total(35-31-2)+8.0335 units
TCU(+1) @ Texas Tech_1u wins .91
Week 10 was a damage control week as it started terrible but still came out on the + side of things. To quote Jimmy the Greek"That s__t is over with on to the next one."
I'm late posting this but you sharps out there already knew that cause you pounded it to TCU-3. Like most teams at this point must win for the Frogs to get to a bowl. TT is becoming one of those teams I cant get good read on and this will hopefully be the last time I wager a game involving them.
Hawaii @ UNLV(+7)_1u wins .91
Hawaii coming off a big win looking to sweep the Nevada schools on the mainland. UNLV playing out the schedule, haven't won a game in the MWC. This is tread lightly game cause you don't know what your going to get from either team honestly. Had this pegged looking at the schedules before the season so I might as well pull the trigger.
Week 11(3-4)+.16 units Total(35-31-2)+8.0335 units
TCU(+1) @ Texas Tech_1u wins .91
Week 10 was a damage control week as it started terrible but still came out on the + side of things. To quote Jimmy the Greek"That s__t is over with on to the next one."
I'm late posting this but you sharps out there already knew that cause you pounded it to TCU-3. Like most teams at this point must win for the Frogs to get to a bowl. TT is becoming one of those teams I cant get good read on and this will hopefully be the last time I wager a game involving them.
Hawaii @ UNLV(+7)_1u wins .91
Hawaii coming off a big win looking to sweep the Nevada schools on the mainland. UNLV playing out the schedule, haven't won a game in the MWC. This is tread lightly game cause you don't know what your going to get from either team honestly. Had this pegged looking at the schedules before the season so I might as well pull the trigger.
Fresno St ML(+108) @ San Diego St_1 unit
SDSU plays a slow methodical style in which the rely on their defense, I have no problem betting on teams like that. The issue with SDSU is that they struggle at times running the ball and not fully being in control of the game. Also Fresno averages 17.2 pts. in the 1st half to SDSU's 9.9 for those of yaw that like 1st half wagers. Plus I enjoy anarchy and if Fresno wins thats what you'll get in the MWCw with all the teams jumbled together minus SJSU and UNLV and playing each other over the next couple of weeks.
Memphis @ Houston(+10.5)_1 unit wins .91
Memphis beat SMU and lost me some units and you know what I came away thinking, this conference is the big 12. High scoring games with no defense what so ever. So why would this game be any different, not a fan of totals but I like under the radar dogs. Houston has been playing pretty good lately and seem to be finding themselves with Holgorson at helm. 10.5 seems like a lot for a team thats given up 89 in it's last two games.
Fresno St ML(+108) @ San Diego St_1 unit
SDSU plays a slow methodical style in which the rely on their defense, I have no problem betting on teams like that. The issue with SDSU is that they struggle at times running the ball and not fully being in control of the game. Also Fresno averages 17.2 pts. in the 1st half to SDSU's 9.9 for those of yaw that like 1st half wagers. Plus I enjoy anarchy and if Fresno wins thats what you'll get in the MWCw with all the teams jumbled together minus SJSU and UNLV and playing each other over the next couple of weeks.
Memphis @ Houston(+10.5)_1 unit wins .91
Memphis beat SMU and lost me some units and you know what I came away thinking, this conference is the big 12. High scoring games with no defense what so ever. So why would this game be any different, not a fan of totals but I like under the radar dogs. Houston has been playing pretty good lately and seem to be finding themselves with Holgorson at helm. 10.5 seems like a lot for a team thats given up 89 in it's last two games.
Kentucky @ Vanderbilt(+10.5)_.9 units wins .819
Kentucky is coming off a tough loss to the Vols, Vandy got blown out by Fla. neither has any momentum going into this game. Kentucky trying to get bowl eligible currently 4-5, Vandy is just playing out the schedule should be breeze for UK? I think this is a "not so fast my friend" game. Even with the season UK had last year it's odd seeing them as dd favorites.
Kentucky @ Vanderbilt(+10.5)_.9 units wins .819
Kentucky is coming off a tough loss to the Vols, Vandy got blown out by Fla. neither has any momentum going into this game. Kentucky trying to get bowl eligible currently 4-5, Vandy is just playing out the schedule should be breeze for UK? I think this is a "not so fast my friend" game. Even with the season UK had last year it's odd seeing them as dd favorites.
Florida @ Missouri(+7)_1 unit wins .91
Bryant should start for Mizzou will he finish is another question. Florida's run game averages 131 ypg thus they might have to rely on Trask to make plays on the road vs a top 10 defense. Mizzou still has no idea if bowl ban will be lifted, but hopefully it will help them play better without putting pressure on themselves.
Florida @ Missouri(+7)_1 unit wins .91
Bryant should start for Mizzou will he finish is another question. Florida's run game averages 131 ypg thus they might have to rely on Trask to make plays on the road vs a top 10 defense. Mizzou still has no idea if bowl ban will be lifted, but hopefully it will help them play better without putting pressure on themselves.
Week 12(1-7)-4.74 units Total(36-38-2)+3.2935
Punch drunk from the beating I took just gonna post the plays
Kansas St.(-1) @ Texas Tech_1.5 wins 1.365
Georgia Southern(+1) @ Arkansas St._1.25 wins 1.0875
Coastal Carolina(+6) @ Louisiana-Monroe_1 wins .91
San Diego St(+1) @ Hawaii_1 wins .91
Week 12(1-7)-4.74 units Total(36-38-2)+3.2935
Punch drunk from the beating I took just gonna post the plays
Kansas St.(-1) @ Texas Tech_1.5 wins 1.365
Georgia Southern(+1) @ Arkansas St._1.25 wins 1.0875
Coastal Carolina(+6) @ Louisiana-Monroe_1 wins .91
San Diego St(+1) @ Hawaii_1 wins .91
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