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SEC Week 8

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Posted: #76
Updated:
UGA -13.5 (VIP)
Arkansas+10.5 (Adding more)
 
 
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Posted: #77
Like your card against you on a few UGA gets to 13.5 I will be one happy person as well.  Arkansas just curious what you think the big advantage they have in this game.  Thanks in advance. 
 
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Posted: #78
solid card younger
 
liking the big play on Arkansas as matchups look similar to Ark/Aub game, BC sounds pretty good as VT rarely plays well in Chestnut Hill or on turf
 
BOL this week buddy
 
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Posted: #79
GL dyounger...
 
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Posted: #80
Dyounger - I like your Ole Miss pick. Why do you like Georgia so much? After watching them suck again last week, I decided I'm never betting on them again. I'm probably going to take Vandy coming off a loss. And I still think Arkansas sucks even though they finally won a game. Kentucky is coming off a loss and they will take it out on the Razorbacks. But you did get a good line at +10.5. Good luck bro!
 
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Posted: #81
Vandy has named Adams the starter@ QB, benching Chris Nickson.
 
Should have been the pick at the start of the year IMO. The offense clicks better with him im the game. I don't really consider him to be "a backup". He started 6 games last year including road victory at SC. He lead Vandy to victory over Auburn (I know, just Auburn).  When he was finallly put in the Miss State game in the 4th Qtr, he doubled the offensive stats for the game on one drive--capping it with a touchdown.
The kid can play and he changes everything for the offense. He makes better decisions in the option game and is a much better passer than Nickson. That is no a  slap at Nickson-he is the better pure runner, just the facts. 
 
Adams can run too. Former anchor on a 4 x 100 relay championship team in the state of Oklahoma.   
 
When Nickson plays, the team has to win with defense hoping to get one or two knock out plays on offense. With Adams in the game, they expect to double their point production and sustain long drives. they definitely open up the play book when he comes in. I think Nickson got he nod this year because he is a senior. 
 
 
If you are lucky enough to still get Vandy +14.5, do it now.
 
Georgia plays @ LSU next week. Vandy hosts Duke.
 
Also, Georgia has lost another offensive line beast this week.
 
Vandy off of a loss. If the go to Adams earlier, they win by 10 IMO.
 
Georgia off of a sloppy win. If not for a couple of bad turnovers in
the red zone, the Dogs beat UTennessee by 30.
 
 
+14.5 ML +575 on the Dores    
 
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Posted: #82
gl this week d
 
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Posted: #83
I'll be the first to admit that I was not a believer of the Florida -6 vs. LSU last week.  Boy was I happy to be wrong.  Being in the stands at the Swamp, it had an SEC Championship feel throughout the stadium.  Lose and Go Home atmosphere.  But its hard for me to believe the LSU is only -3.5 over South Carolina.  Maybe its the night game at South Carolina that has line that low, but LSU was #4 in the country last week and if they win out will be playing for a SEC Championship.  I like LSU in this game although Spurrier is 11-2 against LSU all-time.

I also like:
LSU -3.5 vs. South Carolina
Miami -5 vs. Duke
Troy -7 vs. Florida International
Wake Forest +1 vs. Maryland

Thoughts?
 
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Posted: #84
gl this week dyounger, will be on a few of those myself
 
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Posted: #85
Why do you like Ole Miss?
 
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Posted: #86
Quote Originally Posted by UFG8rAlum:



I also like:
LSU -3.5 vs. South Carolina
Miami -5 vs. Duke
Troy -7 vs. Florida International
Wake Forest +1 vs. Maryland

Thoughts?

I'm already on SC, and put a gun to my head, I'd be on the opposite side of the other three

Bagel Sandwiches Suck
 
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Posted: #87
Quote Originally Posted by dyounger:

 i still dont know what the interim coach is going to be able to differently with there offensive line.

I'm not sure the interim, any other coach, or a genie from a bottle is going to all of a sudden have the Clemson OL blocking an NFL caliber D-Line.  I'm definitely still going to be on GT as well

 

Bagel Sandwiches Suck
 
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Posted: #88

Quote Originally Posted by gcnmoo:

   As long as Dick doesn't throw INTs

Not likely to happen, as Dick has 2 more Ints than TD so far this year, with 7 and 5, respectively.

Also, dyounger, Michael Smith RB at Arkansas is a Junior. Not a big deal, but just in case your were looking for his name on the All-SEC freshman team ballot or something.

 
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Posted: #89
Solid thread - great info here.  Appreciate all the insight.
 
 
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Posted: #90
Great job this year and good luck younger

I will def. be following you picks on the SEC this week and probably tailing a few games
 
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Posted: #91
Quote Originally Posted by dyounger:

Jimmy- Your welcome to trash my thread as much as you like as long as your not bashing me
 
Ok on to UGA vs Vandy:
Couple of things that stand out to me.  For 1 considering how Vandy is ranked in the top 25 and was just ranked in the top 15 before last week i would have expected this line to be around 7-10 points.  I think the way they set the line was to encourage the money on Vandy because like you said Vandy has played them tight last 3 games and Vandy's team has been outstanding this year, top 25, blah blah all that. Now on to the meat and potatoes of this game.
 
Vandys primary offensive weapon is the run game.  They are basically nothing if they cant run the ball as you saw against Miss st last weekend.  UGA's rushing defense is there strength BY FAR. They only give up 2.2 yards per rush. Vandy will be better suited to pass the ball against UGA, but im not so sure they are set up to do that because they havent been able to pass the ball all year long. Vandy has played 6 games so fafr this year and out of those only 1 game have they passed for more than 100 yards. BTW that was for 150 yards against Auburn.  That 1 sided attack doesnt stand a chance against UGA.  UGA has been VERY good against the run all year and there is no way they can win or even stay close running the ball in this game.
 
UGA's offense is suprisingly doing very well passing the ball. They lead the SEC in passing offense and Vandy is among the bottom 3 in passing defense giving up over 6 yards per pass. Vandys total defense is among the worst in the SEC and will be exposed vs UGA this weekend. 
 
The way i think this game plays out is UGA comes out to an early lead which forces Vandy away from there game plan of running the football.  They are forced to pass the ball which isnt going to turn out well for them because there is a reason they have had only 1 game with over 100 yards passing.  I think UGA wins this game in a blow out, UGA needs some statement wins after the tough loss to Bama and this right here is where it will start.
 

The only person I ever bash DY is me.    I'm ulitamely responsible for the bets I place, not someone else.  So why would I bash someone else for idiotic bets I make?  Moreover, I see no benefactor in doing so.  How would bashing you or anyone else help me win more bets?

Be that as it may, you make a very lucid argument for Georgia this week.  One thing you point out that I didn't realize, is that Vandy has eclipsed the 100-yard passing mark only once all season.  With that in mind, it's rather remarkable what the 'Dores have accomplished so far this year.  And even though he has a girl's name, I think they'd be more effective throwing the ball if they just stick with McKenzie Adams.  He is clearly the better passer, and the team just seems to be more confident when he's behind center.

Nevertheless, your persuasive argument for the Bulldogs notwithstanding, I still don't see any value in laying a +2 TD spread with Georgia.  You're probably right as you were with Florida last week, but I just don't think I could pull the trigger on Georgia here.

 buddy!!!

FREAK OUT!!!

 
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Posted: #92
Excellent thread. Good points made, thoughts shared, positions taken without the garbage of some others on here.
 
GL (except on that UGA pick)
 
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Posted: #93
dyounger, I love taking SEC dogs in the double digits as the research and stats have shown it is a good play.  Ole miss scares me this week.  Saban has had two weeks of prep time and if you look at all of bama's games other than clemson they have finished horribly.  finishing being Saban's biggest key.  I think this could be a spot where bama puts it on Ole Miss and doesn't let up nor have second have defensive struggles either.  also, word is that saban has really stepped his hands on approach with bama's special teams.  just my humble opinion but wanted to bring it up to you and get your thoughts?  as always, thanks for the great insight
 
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Posted: #94
Great thread dy, GL this week!!!
 
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Posted: #95
Quote Originally Posted by dorejam:

Vandy has named Adams the starter@ QB, benching Chris Nickson.
 
Should have been the pick at the start of the year IMO. The offense clicks better with him im the game. I don't really consider him to be "a backup". He started 6 games last year including road victory at SC. He lead Vandy to victory over Auburn (I know, just Auburn).  When he was finallly put in the Miss State game in the 4th Qtr, he doubled the offensive stats for the game on one drive--capping it with a touchdown.
The kid can play and he changes everything for the offense. He makes better decisions in the option game and is a much better passer than Nickson. That is no a  slap at Nickson-he is the better pure runner, just the facts. 
 
Adams can run too. Former anchor on a 4 x 100 relay championship team in the state of Oklahoma.   
 
When Nickson plays, the team has to win with defense hoping to get one or two knock out plays on offense. With Adams in the game, they expect to double their point production and sustain long drives. they definitely open up the play book when he comes in. I think Nickson got he nod this year because he is a senior. 
 
 
If you are lucky enough to still get Vandy +14.5, do it now.
 
Georgia plays @ LSU next week. Vandy hosts Duke.
 
Also, Georgia has lost another offensive line beast this week.
 
Vandy off of a loss. If the go to Adams earlier, they win by 10 IMO.
 
Georgia off of a sloppy win. If not for a couple of bad turnovers in
the red zone, the Dogs beat UTennessee by 30.
 
 
+14.5 ML +575 on the Dores    


What are you smoking, dude?  When the last time Vandy beat Georgia in hallowed Sanford Stadium Between the Hedges???

What?  Last time they played there? Ok, well, never mind that, when was the last time Vandy outplayed Georgia and should have beaten them if it wasn't for an unlucky turnover at the end of the game????

What?  Last year?

Aw, shit. 

I wouldn't play Georgia this week if it was a pick 'em.
 
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Posted: #96
did you see bamas defense 2ndhalf against geaorgia
they died out
 
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Posted: #97
Good luck DY
 
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Posted: #98
What is a bigger play for you Ark or Ole Miss?
 
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Posted: #99
Ortiz--- they were up 31 freakin points! they scored 10 unanswered points when they had too!
 
 
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Posted: #100
1st just to respond to all the Vandy backers this week.  I realize not many will be with me on the UGA pick.  If you read my statement above to Jimmy, that is why im on UGA. Vandy will be the trendy pick by most people in this game, but i like the otherside in this one. To those who are worried about the other offensive lineman UGA had go down, dont think this game is the one to worry about for that.  Next week and weeks after will probably be time to fade UGA.  Even the backups will be able to dominate Vandys D line.
 
Nos, Pags,Badlands,Miked,dwaustin,anyone i missed- GL this week
 
Whoever asked about the large plays here is the order:
1. Arkansas
2.LSU
3. Ole Miss
 
D147-You are right he is a junior
 
 
 
 
 
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