system that wins every week...similar to that one in the nfl

stil perfect with ncaa 4-0, 80% in all of football

the system i am looking at this week says...

favorites of less than 24 after a dog win are 180-276 ats in games #5 to #9 if their opponent won more than 1/3 of their games...several teams fit the system but i will only focus on those games where the underdog is not in a bad situation...i.e. pittsburgh fits the sys but rutgers won a big one too last week, as well as arkansas where auburn is off of a big win. there is also wmu but i will not take bgr in their third straight road contest, right before their big rivalery game against toledo. so, the game i am looking at is tol/emu.

toledo upset temple on the road last week, they played syracuse in ot the week before, and had two more emotional games against boise and ohio state. this team is probably extremely tired, both physically and emotionally. and next week they have their big rivalery game against bowling green. usually they play bowling green in one of their last two games but this season they played them early and thats why the look ahead factor is very possible (see illinois against wmu before playing nwestern this season). toledo defense spent 34 minutes on the field last week, played ot the week before, and spent another 35 minutes on the field against boise. they scored 36 pts on only 12 first downs against temple, as temple was not focused at all after their big win against maryland. 14 toledo points came off of temple mistakes. emu is a team that relies heavilly on their run game, they are doing it rather well, and they do everything slowly on offense, and that is why they have been able to cover both at psu and at michigan. i am taking eastern michigan +21 buy 0.5

looking at some other systems...will update

ok here is the 2nd system i am looking at this week...

unbeaten teams 5-0 or better after a non covering home win  are 69-108 ats if they were favored by 5 or more in that win. and if they won by 26 or less they are 52-97 ats. two teams are in that situation this week but i will fade only one at it is illinois.

illinois got a close win last week against northwestern after trailing by double digits in 4th quarter and it was also a rivalery game for them. usually they play nortwestern at the end of the season so the letdown is usually not a factor as their next game is usually a bowl game. but this time they have just a week after their rivalery game and the letdown possibility is big. they lost 5 straight regular season games after playing northwestern and they are also 0-5 ats last 5 as favorites in regular season after playing northwestern. next week they play ohio state, and while ohio state is not very good this season, it is stil a huge game for illinois as they lost three straight and eight in a row at home against the buckeyes. last 3 seasons they were favored before the ohst game and they went 0-3 ats. finally, the illi/ind series is a series where the home team covered 7 of last 9 and 10 of last 14. another interesting info about this series is that in this series the home team is 10-0 su and 9-0-1 ats if losing previous game as well as 9-2 SU and 8-3 ATS if looking for revenge. play #2 is indiana +17 buy 0.5

I have already taken Indiana + 16

You have made me a believer

Might be a good idea to look at ML parlays, last week I had Clemson, Auburn and Utah st 46-1 and if it wasn't for a tipped pass with 11 seconds left Utah st wins outright. Hit with Clemson and Auburn 17-1

Let me know if you like any ML parlays I lean to these dogs for ML Indiana Auburn +10.5  Ttech +7 .5

Wyoming +9.5

value not there any more. stay away unless it goes back up, which I dont see happen. +16.5 bought up to +17 is a much bettter line than +14 that is currently avaiable. good luck.

last system for this week, but this one gives us two plays.

unbeaten favorites that covered their last game by more than 20 pts on the road are 87-126 ats. fading those gives us a 59.2% system that goes back to over 20 years. as i said many times, i like those a lot more than small sample systems. two teams are on the fade list according to this system in week 6. alabama & clemson. b.c. a much better team with montel harris back in the lineup. clemson due for a bad game after beating v-tech, fsu and auburn back-to-back-to-back. and by the way, all three of those schools are very overrated this season. as for bama, they beat florida last week and usually they can not find their rhytm after playing florida. vandy is fresh after their bye week, and their defense is good enough to make some key stops. they have 14 interceptions in only 4 games played. that defensive unit allowed scarolinas first offensive td with 10 secs left in the first half and ole miss scored their only td and only points with just over 2 minutes left in the game. uconn scored two tds against vandy, one from their defensive unit and une from their special units. no offensive tds scored for them in that game. the plays are vanderbilt +29 and boston college +21.

kansas state was my play last week against baylor, not touching them this week. good luck