TD Week 2

@Xdoge

Thanks, bud.  Started to wonder if anyone saw those posts.  I didn't even fire off a post on the last one at U58.5 when they went up 21-0 I believe it was; felt like I was talking to myself at that point.  But you guys got the idea by then.  Teach a man to fish type analogy I guess.  Hope a few folks are in the black after Friday night heading into tomorrow.  

Week 2:

UTEP / Northwestern U37.5 (3u) & U38.5 (1u) 

Charlotte / Maryland U52.5 (3u)

Georgia Southern -5.5 (1.5u) & -4 -112 (0.5u) -- (2u overall)

Ole Miss -6.5 (0.5u) GOY line & -4.5 -115 (0.25u)  -- (0.75u overall)

Connecticut +4.5 (0.75u)

Iowa / Iowa State U38.5 (0.4u) & U40.5 (0.3u)  

Indiana State / Indiana  U49.5, U55.5, U56.5, *U58.5 All Live Bets.  WIN  (0.7u overall)  *not posted/like talking to a c-clamp.  Scoop & score or else its 41 points total and a shutout.

Eastern Michigan +20 (0.6u)

Appalachian State +15.5 (0.4u) & +17 (0.2u) -- (0.6u overall)  

Kansas -2 (0.5u)  & Illinois +4 (0.1u)  Net WIN: +0.39u

Miami University -6.5  (0.5u)

Jacksonville State +13.5 -112  (0.5u)

Georgia Southern / UAB Under 59  (0.4u)  

Sam Houston State +15 (0.4u)

Troy +16.5  (0.4u)

Texas / Alabama Under 57.5 -113  (0.4u)

Notre Dame -6.5  (0.7u)  & Added:  North Carolina State +8 -113  (0.35u)  lowering this amount down a bit.  Small middle too.

Vanderbilt +13.5 -112 (0.3u)

Added:  UAB team total Under 27.5 -109  (0.3u)

Southern Miss +31.5 -120  (0.25u)

Texas +7 -115  (0.2u)  GOY line

Stony Brook +25.5  (0.15u)  WIN

Need to try and get a Texas Tech UDML play into a parlay,....... will figure that out in the morning.  

One of the Best on overs! Continued success and BOL this season. Any thoughts on NW rising to 40? Thanks

@TBLbolts

I personally don't get it concerning that line going up.  Both teams scoring 20.  I just don't see it.  Whoever is betting the over must not have watched the same game I saw last weekend between Rutgers and Northwestern.  NU was extremely inept on offense.  They might be better off having Sullivan play more snaps this week against UTEP.  I don't know of anything that's changed since last Sunday when this opened.  NU with the new HC from NDSU is going to play bend don't break on defense and try not to give up any big plays.  I had a large wager on UTEP last week so I watched most of their game vs. UIW and they were back to running the ball that game, especially the 2nd half once they were in control after the early deficit.  Still feels like a ball control, field position game to me and someone in high teens or 20ish points will win the game.

Books much sharper this week on FCS vs. FBS so far.

This is much closer to my baseline number than I expected, but I took it anyway since it's much less than the 5D -17.5 listed on Maddux the last few days.

Added: Boston College -9.5  (0.3u)  

Will add more as the day goes on, but here's a quick update on a few just added:

Furman +17.5  (1u)

LSU -51.5  (0.4u)

Southern Utah +30 (0.15u)

Texas Southern +38  (0.15u)

Just betting #s on those last two.  I think Furman will play SC tough.  And LSU should just throttle Grambling.

I’ll be in and out the next few hours.  Should be able to post some though.

Added:

Idaho State +24.5 (0.4u)

Youngstown State +45 (0.3u)

GL this  season @TD21

GL on another season TD appreciate your write up and plays!!!

Macwestie1 and CCO687,

Thanks guys, appreciate it.  GL to you both as well!

.........so I'm in between my son's cross country meet and now heading to my nephew's soccer game.  Cell phone needs charged for some college football  

Added:

Maine +35 -108  (0.4u)...... now seeing +35.5 -115 as well.

Didn't get a chance to post, but go Stonehill College for FCS!  Off to a good start as 14.5 point dogs to open.  .... very small numbers play only, won't count it here, but still loving it.

Added:

Northern Iowa -4 (0.5u)

UTEP / NU U44.5 LIVE  (0.2u)

Not a good start on the pre-flop plays:

U49.5  LIVE  (0.2u)

Added FCS play, wrong team favored?

North Carolina Central +4.5, +5, +6.5  (2.06u overall)

Alright, going with this for the small parlay:

North Carolina Central ML +200

Texas Tech ML +185

Georgia Southern ML -240

Charlotte / Maryland U50.5 -110

Parlay is +2097

risk 0.07u to win 1.47u

I KNEW THAT FAMILY 1ST NARRATIVE WAS A BUNCHA CRAP !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Every football coaches son knows that FOOTBALL comes first - family is like 4th or 5th !!!!!!!!

Haha, good to see you buddy, BOL this year ................

NC Central !

  >> a Sagarin mistake (hopefully)  

@bookieassassin

 My wife has coined the phrase, "the three F's" that I must have..... football, food, and f'cking.  She's quite the comedian. 

Good to see you boss!  it's been awhile.  GL today and all season.  

WTF is going on at NW? They got 3 games worth of scoring in 3 quarters

@OneADayJ

pisses me off, I had the Over 31.5 in the queue and as I'm about to hit submit they score to make it 14-7.  Then the turnover and quick score.  You know the rest.  I put a little more on the Under 47.5 a couple minutes ago, but it could be bad if some of my "double downs" don't work out.

Jeebus Christ UTEP can go f themselves

Well that stunk to not hit either of my top 2 Unders.  I managed to grind out to "only" lose -2.48u on the week.  Took U61 live after Charlotte started hot up 14-0.  If either one of those pre-flop Unders hits then its a different outlook on the success of this week as one was a 6.3 unit swing and the other 8.4 unit swing. 

And both felt like they were tracking around half time & 3rd quarter.  UTEP/Northwestern with 14 points at halftime, then 31 points in the 2nd half.  Maryland / Charlotte with 31 points combined through 3 quarters and then 27 points in the 4th quarter alone including a garbage time Charlotte TD to beat my CLV.

NC Central was a nice gift late in the day.  The ML parlay had a chance at one point; at the end of the 3rd qtr for Charlotte/Maryland and Texas Tech game it was live.

As BA alluded to, this isn't the best hobby if you really want to "do it right" and still have time for everyone.  Manage your expectations wisely.  I'm still working on that.