TD21 where are you?

Anything cooking with RSWs, game of year or week 1 lines?  Saw you liked Louisville RSW Under 7. Hope you are well. Ty sir 

I’m doing well, just extremely busy with work and baseball all-stars coaching this summer so wasn’t going to post much, at least preseason.  Maybe not into the season either, we’ll see.

I’m about 40 units or slightly more invested right now.  About half or a little more of that is RSW totals and the balance is week 1.  I can post what I have later, but some of those have been locked in for a while now and lines moved some already and even more moves again this week when Circa opened and others adjusted.  Most moved in my favor, only a couple against me.

In general, watch out for the forfeit rules on RSW totals.  I had to email FanDuel as I couldn’t find their rules online.  They will handle it differently than most other books and said they will “likely” grade wins/loses based on how the league (conference) considers the outcome.  i.e., any COVID / can’t field a team related wins/losses may actually count and the wager is not voided.  Hope I don’t get burned on a couple of those as I didn’t think to clarify until I had a couple locked in.  Overall, using 4 shops so not too worried about it with tickets spread out across all 4, hopefully the good luck/ bad luck element of which teams end up with forfeits will balance out for those particular FD tickets.  Anyway, something for everyone to keep an eye on as rules may vary from one shop to another.

Excellent info on Fanduel RSW "likely" rules. THANKS!!

My one and only RSW of Northwestern Under 6.5 is at Fanduel.

GL this year TD.

gabalja,

Here you go, full disclosure time.  Sorry I haven't been posting:

BOL:

RSW Totals:

Louisville Under 7 -125 (2.5u)

Miami (Ohio) Over 4.5 -135 (2u)

ODU Under 3.5 +110  (2.5u to win 2.75u)

Maryland Under 6 -135 (0.75u)

Missouri Under 7 +110 (0.5u to win 0.55u)

West Virginia Under 7 -105  (0.5u)

LSU Under 8.5 -120  (0.2u)

GOY:

Indiana +10.5 -105 vs. Ohio State

Week 1:

East Carolina +13 -115 (1.5u)

North Carolina -6 -110 (1u)

BYU -11.5 -110 (2u)

Miami (OH) / Cinci Under 50 -110 (1.5u)

Arizona / BYU Under 57 -105 (1.5u)

Marshall / Navy Under 46  (1u)

BAS:

RSW Totals:

Georgia Tech Under 5 +110 (1u to win 1.1u)

Week 1:

Indiana +7 -125 (0.48u)

FD:

GOY:

Iowa +5.5 -105 at Iowa State

Week 1:

Ole Miss -7 -110 (5u!)

North Carolina -6.5 +100 (1.5u)

RSW Totals:

WSU Under 6.5 -150 (1u)

Arizona Under 2.5 +110 (0.9u to win 0.99u)

Auburn Under 7.5 -110 (0.75u)

Indiana Over 7.5 -110 (0.5u)

Michigan State Under 5.5 -110  (0.4u)

ODU Under 4.5 -130  (1u)

Minnesota Under 7 -110 (0.5u)

UDML Parlay:

ECU, Penn State, Indiana, Maryland, ULL, Houston (risk 0.1u to win 60.3u)

DK:

RSW Totals:

Utah Over 8.5 -120  (0.75u)

Arkansas Under 6 -110 (0.75u)

Auburn Under 7 -120 (1.5u)

Michigan State Under 5 -120  (1u)

Week 1:

Fresno State +22 (2.5u)

Indiana / Iowa Under 48.5  (0.75u)

Indiana +5 -110 (0.25u)

Ohio State / Minnesota Under 66 (2.5u)

Illinois -6.5 -121 (0.9u)

Bubba said it best in Forest Gump, "That's, that's about it"...... for now, need some FCS vs. FBS lines & totals.  

DU4L, thanks.  Hope you have been well.   yourself..... and    

UNIMAN,

Tempting to try and middle some of these RSW Total lines, but it would suck to be voided on one side and lose the hedge (each ticket at a different shop).  Good luck his year.  

Had to look it up.  Here you go:

Regarding the forfeits, we likely would decide the wager based on the official governing body of the league.

Bridge,

Just saw your messages tonight for the first time.  Been checking the board on & off, but haven't looked at the Inbox in quite some time.  Hope you're ready to go this fall.  I'm not completely ready yet, but firing away on what I have looked at.  Best of luck to you bud and keep up the good work.    

A couple minor edits:

GOY:

Iowa +5.5 -105 at Iowa State  (0.75u)

Week 1 UDML Parlay:

ECU, Penn State, Indiana, Maryland, ULL, Houston (risk 0.1u to win 60.3u)

@TD21

Great stuff TD thanks for posting .. yeah BAS took their mistake down and voided all my bets lol .. bummer .. 

Lock'd n loaded for this year .. might be too loaded at this point .. Got a few of the same picks you got, don't think I have any opposite except bagged OSU -10 vs Indy, Def hit the indy/iowa under that looks like a real slug fest ..  I bagged a few RSW's, AZ, ODU, Ville unders on my list .. Hit the totals pretty hard almost all under, bunch looked high some real high when DK of all places came out with them quite a few on my list dropped already .. kinda figured Army / G.State would shimmy down from 57 .. lol ..  

Would be great to hear about any FCS leans or teams to watch you got on the radar  ... there's a few teams I think will be improved or got the butt end of the luck coin in spring, maybe some value in the early goins but other than that haven't peered into the FCS world much, gotta wait to see what they look like and hope I have time to check some of them out .. can't imagine books will suddenly be much sharper for any of them .. 

Good luck! 

@TD21

 Great to see you again, TD, and glad to hear you've been well 

All the best to you this year and this upcoming football season 

Happy to you on Miami Ohio wins over...

I'd highly recommend a longshot play on them to win the MAC at +3300 ...The east is a 4 headed race and they're as good as anyone not named Kent St ( who they play at the last game of season ) ...

Redhawks are getting no respect despite winning the MAC in 2019 and being the only team to beat Mac champion BALL st last year..

@TD21

 TD!!!!!!  Thank you my man. You are the best. Good luck with coaching as things wind down.  Have a blast!

@gabalja

 Thanks for the kind words.  We've been done since the District finals, but the time commitment made for a late start this summer compared to most with starting to review college football teams and what they have coming back.  Wouldn't change a thing, I missed my calling with coaching.

Hey all, for coming years - someone remind me to start Power Rating #s with the smaller conferences so I can bet them first.    Seems to be more value in the small conferences which makes sense.  ...... just got done with all of the MAC yesterday.  Power 5, AAC, and top 2 independents were reviewed before the MAC........ Late to the party, but still added Buffalo Under 7.5 for a RSW Total, -110 still available at FD.  1 unit play.  And to think some of you guys have Under 8 for Buffalo.  9 wins to beat you, wow!  Looks like a 6 win team to me with the new coaching staff and several losses to graduation and the transfer portal.

DU4L, I can't find anything better than +1800 on Miami University at this point.  I may end up with some futures on the MAC East division only, I like the 3rd & 4th team to win the division ahead of the two supposed favorites.  ...... off topic, but no idea how to rate Akron and BGSU at this point.  Taking 2020's final PR#s and showing some small improvement (benefit of the doubt) still arrives at huge lines in week 1 for at Auburn and at Tennessee, respectively.  Still processing that issue.  

@TD21

Not sure if you have a US outfit called betrivers in your state i think they're in a few, I got them in ILL, they had Miami at 33-1 .. think they've been even slower to update lines than DK is so def a good option to have esp for the futures .. I grabbed SMU 50-1, double what DK is offering .. 

Good luck

@Bridge1

 Thanks Bridge, got that done today.  

@TD21

haha nice .. site is a little annoying to navigate but be sure to shop around with them they had a few outlier odds I'm not seeing available ..  grabbed a few long shots in the MW too, I don't think any one team really stands head and shoulders above the rest in that conf ... also grabbed a free point or 2 with them on some of their week 1 and GOY's lines/totals .. unsure if they've trued those to consensus yet but grabbed a better deal on some there about a week ago - good luck! 

Added:  Akron / Auburn Under 56 (0.5u)  .....I'd still take it at 55.5.  

@TD21

Would you say BYU/Zona under 54.5 is still worth a unit?

thanks. 

@TD21

 While I like Miami Ohio's value  this season in the MAC , Kent St should once again put up video game numbers ..Their Futures are getting pounded...To win MAC is down to +700 from +1400 ..Golden Flashes season win total went up a whole win from 5 to 6 in most spots ...

I like your Akron bets , but I'm waiting on them until they host Temple game 2 ...Might be catching points at home and be thirsty for a early W ....

Best of luck Brother  

good to see you posting TD.  Have a great season!

@Sox

Probably so.  56 somewhat key number crossed for 8 TDs, but under 54.5 is still ok at less units I would think.  I don't think the Arizona offense scores much this game or all season; an NFL offense with less talented players in the Pac 12 is going to make for a long year for them.  I think Jedd Fisch Out of Water is going to have a year 0 type situation forcing his offense despite current personnel on the roster.

I am also wondering if Fisch (offensive guy) wants DC Don Brown to run his system with aggressive blitzing and man coverage as much as usual, or does he dial it back some to try and be more competitive with the current players he has.  Or are they all in on learning the new system and will put up with the growing pains in a "Year 0"?  I think the only reason to fear the Over hitting in this game is if BYU gets there nearly alone with big play touchdowns against a defense that's learning a new system that is susceptible to giving up big plays if you don't have the right cover corners.  Or if they miss the mobile QB when they do blitz and he runs for long gains.

At least Coach Sitake is known to take a knee on the goal line at the end of games rather than tacking on another meaningless touchdown.  We've seen that a few times over the years.  Navy game O/U last year comes to mind.

Good luck Week 1 and all season!  

@DoubleUp4Life

No Akron bets for me other than the Total.  Forget who I saw that was on Akron, you must be thinking of them.  Bumped the Total to 1u a couple days back.  2nd play half a point worse than the original at U55.5.  I'm a little worried the Auburn running game could just throttle Akron's D-Line which is a weakness, but the back 7 matches up reasonably well (for a 37 point spread) with an Auburn offense that is now a more physical run-first mentality & style with the new staff and is also breaking in a new WR corps.  Fingers crossed they don't run for 400+ and basically cover the total themselves.

@jefff

 Thanks jefff, good luck to you this season as well!     

Updated card:

BOL:

RSW Totals:

Louisville Under 7 -125 (2.5u)

Miami (Ohio) Over 4.5 -135 (2u)

ODU Under 3.5 +110  (2.5u to win 2.75u)

Maryland Under 6 -135 (0.75u)

Missouri Under 7 +110 (0.5u to win 0.55u)

West Virginia Under 7 -105  (0.5u)

LSU Under 8.5 -120  (0.2u)

GOY:

Indiana +10.5 -105 vs. Ohio State

Week 1:

East Carolina +13 -115 (1.5u)

North Carolina -6 -110 (1u)

BYU -11.5 -110 (2u)

Miami (OH) / Cinci Under 50 -110 (1.5u)

Arizona / BYU Under 57 -105 (1.5u)

Marshall / Navy Under 46  (1u)

BAS:

RSW Totals:

Georgia Tech Under 5 +110 (1u to win 1.1u)

Week 1:

Indiana +7 -125 (0.48u)

Akron / Auburn Under 56 (0.5u) & U55.5 (0.5u) -- (1u overall)  - mentioned above, just adding it to the full card.

Added: UDML Parlay:

ECU, Penn State, Fresno State, Indiana (risking 0.05 units to win 15.38u)

FD:

GOY:

Iowa +5.5 -105 at Iowa State

Week 1:

Added:  UTSA / Illinois Under 53.5 (1u) - still available at one shop, should move based on yesterday's game and QB injury - status uncertain.

Ole Miss -7 -110 (5u!)

North Carolina -6.5 +100 (1.5u)

RSW Totals:

WSU Under 6.5 -150 (1u)

Arizona Under 2.5 +110 (0.9u to win 0.99u)

Auburn Under 7.5 -110 (0.75u)

Indiana Over 7.5 -110 (0.5u)

Michigan State Under 5.5 -110  (0.4u)

ODU Under 4.5 -130  (1u)

Minnesota Under 7 -110 (0.5u)

UDML Parlay:

ECU, Penn State, Indiana, Maryland, ULL, Houston (risk 0.1u to win 60.3u)

DK:

RSW Totals:

Utah Over 8.5 -120  (0.75u)

Arkansas Under 6 -110 (0.75u)

Auburn Under 7 -120 (1.5u)

Michigan State Under 5 -120  (1u)

Buffalo Under 7.5 -110 (1u) - mentioned above, just adding it to the full card.

Week 1:

Fresno State +22 (2.5u)

Indiana / Iowa Under 48.5  (0.75u)

Indiana +5 -110 (0.25u)

Ohio State / Minnesota Under 66 (2.5u)

Illinois -6.5 -121 (0.9u) - may buy-back some, waiting on lines to re-open.

Ole miss for 5 units?!?

@Laroja

 Yes, largest pending wager.  Locked in early @ -7.