Texas @ Michigan thoughts?

Vegas making the defending champs a 7.5 dog at home is kinda crazy

Why is it crazy?  

Not the same team.  No harbough no qb1 = no scare

I'm in Texas the earlier game to start out my Sat.  If lose, double up next game martingale style. 

I think it’s inflated quite a bit. At 7.5, in my opinion Michigan is the only play 

Mich +13.5 in a teaser. Mkt perception of Mich too low? 80% of handle on TX also. Huge liability,exposure in heaviest bet game of the weekend.  Doubt the Boyz gonna allow that to happen. Who knows...

Michigan should get waxed lol ?? They lost everyone. Blow out city

Michigan looked like trash in their last game

I backed them at +7 and the under but they better play a physical game in the trenches to keep it close but Texas has all the tools . If Michigan falls behind early they will get blown out

*Hint* *Hint*, look into totals, there is and should still be come game day.  I'm waiting on weather updates.

Live betting.  Would love to see Michigan score first and give us a bargain on Texas.

Down to 7 Thur evening...

Agree with blacknight, total dropped big time. Michigan defense will stop run and control game.

Too bad a cold front doesn’t roll in for game time. The total shows slow, methodically game. I liked Tejas, but 7 1/2 too much with 2 RB out.

@TheBlackKnight

Already been bet down 6.5 points on the total. Kicking myself for not playing this last week..

Texas potential weakness long the D front.

Texas secondary is a concern.

Michigan starting all new OL.  I think that's a huge liability that mitigates my concern for Texas D line.

Michigan QB/WR issues.  Mitigates my concern regarding Texas secondary.

Michigan rush defense did very well last week.

Texas OL is good.  

Texas has dynamic passing game and good play caller.  (I am not down on Ewers like some in the media seem to be)

Michigan secondary is very capable.

I think Michigan D gonna be on the field a lot more than they were used to LY because of offensive issues.

Texas waxed a good Colorado State team.

Michigan did okay against a Tedford-less Fresno State team (Fresno State is not the same after a late-season retirement of a very good HC)

I like Texas even at 7.5.  Ideally it would drop down again.  I think Texas is gonna wanna go up by 2 scores to put the game out of reach and I don't trust a UM Offense to hurry down the field and score.

UM’s DL made a mess of Penix and the Joe Moore award winning UW OL. This DL is better. Lbs are better too. Secondary is still very good but has a young CB2 in Hill and lost Sanistril. 

Michigan’s offense is a huge concern. But if they can run on Texas (Colorado St got 118 on them), it’s gonna be close. They have the talent on the OL, but they didn’t play well last week  

I think Texas wins but UM keeps it close.