Thursday

Week 4 : 9-6-0 +84.33 units

Overall : 21-10-0 +213.08 units

Texas A&M +3.5 (18 units to win 16.4)

Texas A&M +140 (6 units to win 10.8)

Don't think I'm going to need the points, but playing this one smart.  The more I look at this game, the more I like the Aggies.  I'll have a writeup on this in a bit.

Jose, D-Town - thanks fellas, good luck to you as well

Texas A&M ranks 50th in the nation against the pass, so whatever you have seen from Brandon Weeden to this point, don't expect tonight.  There are 120 D1 football schools and Weeden has rolled up passing yards against the 116th, 118th and 120nd ranked defense against the pass.  The Okie State system and the favorable matchups to begin the year allow Weeden to pad his stats and hopefully build confidence as he heads to conference play.  However, I take the opposite view.  This is his first full season at the helm and after three games, he just won't be prepped for a defense he will see tonight.  Are the Aggies dominating defensively?  not at all, but they are big, athletic and experienced and they have a staff that will force Weeden into situations he hasn't experienced in the first three weeks.  On offense, the Aggies live and die with Jerrod Johnson and he has yet to beat the Pokies in his career.  He lost a heartbreaker last year 36-31 after a marvelous performance of 279 yards and three TD's.  Okie State's defense is not overwhelming.  They have quickness, but Johnson should be able to carve them up as he did last year.  He is a more poised and consistent performer than Weeden, so the fact that this is a road game, doesn't way much on my mind.  Okie State who normally is dominant at home is not as polished a team as they have had in years past. A three point win at home vs Troy should be of concern for Cowboy backers.  I think Weeden and the offense make costly mistakes tonight and the experienced Aggies and Johnson take full advantage.

First of all, stats lie. But if your using them to base your pick.... did you ever think that those 3 teams and ranked so low BECAUSE of OKST and Brandon Weeden? For example, Tulsa gave up 65 points and 575 passing yards to OKST, but in their other two games are holding teams to an average of 17 points and around 200 yds passing. They are ranked so poorly BECAUSE of OKST. So maybe you should give OKST some credit instead of assuming they have played the worst pass defenses in the league. They havent. Troys pass defense is just as good, if not better than A&Ms

CoachE - I think your Tulsa stats are off.  Tulsa gave up 383 to East Carolina (including 5 TD passes) and 262to Bowling Green.  They have allowed 322 passing yards in non-Okie State games.

Also, Troy has given up an average of 272 passing yards in non-Okie State games.

I'm comfortable that both are poor defensively against the pass.  Maybe not ranked at the bottom, but Weeden won't get what he has been handed so far this year

With you on Texas A&M Spaz

Line already down to -2.5 with 70% on Ok St. Usually a good sign.

GL man

tooez - hope that's a good sign.

Thought about playing the under, but going to see how things look at halftime

It can also be seen as T A&M has faced the offensive powerhouses of FIU and La Tech, causing a misrepresentation of their defensive stats.

Seems stats don't lie as Weeden has struggled. I rarely do this, but see a great opportunity to try and add to the stack

Oklahoma State -3 second half (14 units to win 12.6)

I think A&M wins, but Okie Light wins the second half by at least a TD.  If you're on A&M, do not try and double down on your initial wager for the Aggies.

Spaz today was the day to get on the cards, carpenter did what he was supposed to finally, hope am can come back and win this for ya, not involved,,unlv +21 sat