Top 3 Bowl game plays....

Started off well on the bowl games, but back to just over .500....but these three games are being played 3x the amount of the others.

Game 1 

   USC -7 5 units (bet on 12/4)

   Adding USC -8 +110 5 units

   I obviously am a huge Big 10 fan, but I do not feel this Penn St team is one of the top 3 teams in the Big Ten.  Yes, they beat OSU, but on multiple lucky fluke plays.  I was at the Michigan game when Michigan absolutely destroyed this team.  The last few games of the season Penn St was chucking it all over the field against smaller/less athletic Big 10 teams.  

 While I do not feel the Pac 12 is good, I do believe USC is one of the best teams in the country.  They have top 5 talent in the country and it took them a few weeks to get going.  USC is loaded in the secondary, and I expect atleast 2-3 INTS...maybe more if they get out to a big lead. 

  It was a great story for Penn St this season...but this is a very bad draw for them.  I do not see this staying within 10 points, and think this could easily be a 14+ win for USC.

Game 2

   Wisky -7 5units (bet 12/4)

   Adding Wisky -8.5 +100 5 units

  Once again, another team with a great season/story...WMU.  But, that Row Boat is in big trouble here.  The MAC stinks, and WMU ran through that.  I am a huge fan of Davis the WR, and would love to see GB draft him, but other than that, I think this game is huge mismatches all over the field.

  For Wisconsin, they have 3 losses this season, all to top 5 teams.  Starting with their defense, their DLine and Linebackers is going to control this game.  I expect many sacks and a few forced fumbles/INTS.  The only drawback on their defense, which we saw in the Penn St game is small corners that you can throw deep on.  But, I dont believe WMU will have anytime to throw the ball.  

  Moving on to the offense, this can get ugly for WMU.  Wisconsin OLine will outweigh the Dline by about 50-60lbs per player.  I think Wisconsin may rush for 300+ yds this game at about 7-8yds per rush.  I am not a fan of any QB Wisconsin will put out there, but I dont see them having to throw the ball more than 15ish times.  

Game 3 

  Bama -13 10 units (bet 12/4)

  Adding Bama -13.5 5 units

  I am very surprised to see this line still so low.  I think its to the success of the dogs so far in the bowl games.  I think this game is a mismatch all over the field on both sides of the field.

  Starting with Washington.  Once again, I am not a fan at all of the Pac 12, besides USC.  Yes, Washington put up great numbers in the Pac 12, but they have the worst defenses in the country.  When you watch their games, WR's are catching the ball without a defender within 15yds of them.  Sure, once again they have speed at WR, but so does Bama at corner.  The one thing is they have a month to prepare, and their coach is the king of trick plays.  I truly only believe Washington will score via trick plays, and will not have one 70+ yd drive of multiple plays.  Washington faced a defense similar to that of Bama this year in USC at home, and did nothing. Without multiple trick play TDs, I dont see Washington sniffing 20 points.  

Bama is well Bama.  They currently have 9 players from their defense projected to be top 4 round draft picks, with 4 going in the first round, maybe 3 in the top 10.  They have a NFL defense out there.  I think they are going to put on an absolute show out there, and shut down this high-powered offense everyone is talking about.  For the offense, it comes down to one thing, Hurts has to protect the ball.  Bama should be able to run very easily on this Washington D, so as long as he doesnt take too many chances against the Washington corners(which are very good)...Bama should win this easily.  Bama will be running the ball 5-6yds per run, which will open up the play fake and QB options.  

Michigan -7.5 +110 7 units

  In my opinion, Michigan is the 2nd best team in the country.  They laid an egg(like most teams do once a year) at Iowa, then dominated OSU at home but were robbed by about 6 awful calls.  

 Could Michigan beat Bama?  Probably not...but I think they would have the best chance of any team.  

  LIke the Pac 12...I have zero respect for the ACC talent level, which FSU struggled in.

  Anytime I watched a FSU game Francois was hit about 15 times, injured twice a game and would end the game barely able to walk.  Now, you face one of the top 3 defenses and maybe the best DLine in football.  I would not be surpirsed to see him not make it out of this game healthy.  

   For Michigan...this game is a disappointment.  They dont belong here.  Most teams wouldnt show up.  But Harbaugh wont allow that to happen.  They have a great team coming back next year with another top 5 recruiting class, along with McCaffreys (spelling?) brother at QB.  Harbaugh will not allow his team to not show up and they will make a statement heading into next season as a top 3 team.  

Coming into this game with the 8th best offense and an undefeated record is something you really should not ignore.

I also believe that  if the defense that showed up against Penn St, takes the field on Monday, this will be a game that goes to the wire my friend.

Funny you should bring up the Penn St matchup with your other play.

Your right.Penn St should lose this game but in that Championship game they took the Badgers completly out of there game in a rather convincing manner I might add.

Western Michigan offense is just as good as Penn St.. Maybe better.

Dont underestimate a very motivated,we belong team  with an undefeated record just because they come from a slightly weaker conference.

But good luck on you plays and I just hope the Badgers win

Again Lets Go Pack.!!!!

I never underestimate the lack of motivation.  However, there are a few teams I would never worry about that with....Michigan and Wisky are at the top of the list.  Those programs just dont allow that to happen.

I disagree on your opinion of the WMU offense.  Yes, they put up great numbers, but in the MAC....this Dline and Linebackers for Wisky is going to destroy that offensive line.  

The MAC isnt a slightly weaker conference, it isnt close.  The size is just too much.  I am a bit worried about Wiskys corners and how they looked against PSU, but I just dont think WMU will have anytime to get anything down field.  Plus, I truly believe Wisky wont punt once in this game. 

Yes, most importantly GO Pack Sunday Night

Thanks you too....hopefully we end the year well 

Bama started at midfield every possession....pathetic showing by their offense, but boy oh boy that defense is amazing....if Bama had any offense they win by 30+

HUGE WIN  +$1500

(Still upset over Michigan last night.....thats what you get for betting on your team.....they just didnt show up in the 1st half and it was too late after that)

Two more big wins coming up....USC and Wisky 

I am betting this for a few reasons.  I am a Michigan fan and hate OSU.  I think Watson is a bad matchup for OSU Defense, with WIlliams on the outside.  OSU and the refs robbed Michigan, and Barrett is not very good.  I think Clemson will win this one, possibly by 10+.

Great day 2-0

MrWhat....Cant wait for tomorrow night...just got to get into the playoffs and anything can happen!  

Clemson 

Write-up for Championship game will be coming soon....I will be taking Clemson and the points with a sprinkle on the ML 

Need big wins from Wisky and USC to start 2017 off with a bang