Posted:
#1
Finally time for write-ups on my top 3 plays in the bowls. I bet these games weeks ago, but am adding some more units.
Started off well on the bowl games, but back to just over .500....but these three games are being played 3x the amount of the others.
Game 1
USC -7 5 units (bet on 12/4)
Adding USC -8 +110 5 units
I obviously am a huge Big 10 fan, but I do not feel this Penn St team is one of the top 3 teams in the Big Ten. Yes, they beat OSU, but on multiple lucky fluke plays. I was at the Michigan game when Michigan absolutely destroyed this team. The last few games of the season Penn St was chucking it all over the field against smaller/less athletic Big 10 teams.
While I do not feel the Pac 12 is good, I do believe USC is one of the best teams in the country. They have top 5 talent in the country and it took them a few weeks to get going. USC is loaded in the secondary, and I expect atleast 2-3 INTS...maybe more if they get out to a big lead.
It was a great story for Penn St this season...but this is a very bad draw for them. I do not see this staying within 10 points, and think this could easily be a 14+ win for USC.
Game 2
Wisky -7 5units (bet 12/4)
Adding Wisky -8.5 +100 5 units
Once again, another team with a great season/story...WMU. But, that Row Boat is in big trouble here. The MAC stinks, and WMU ran through that. I am a huge fan of Davis the WR, and would love to see GB draft him, but other than that, I think this game is huge mismatches all over the field.
For Wisconsin, they have 3 losses this season, all to top 5 teams. Starting with their defense, their DLine and Linebackers is going to control this game. I expect many sacks and a few forced fumbles/INTS. The only drawback on their defense, which we saw in the Penn St game is small corners that you can throw deep on. But, I dont believe WMU will have anytime to throw the ball.
Moving on to the offense, this can get ugly for WMU. Wisconsin OLine will outweigh the Dline by about 50-60lbs per player. I think Wisconsin may rush for 300+ yds this game at about 7-8yds per rush. I am not a fan of any QB Wisconsin will put out there, but I dont see them having to throw the ball more than 15ish times.
Game 3
Bama -13 10 units (bet 12/4)
Adding Bama -13.5 5 units
I am very surprised to see this line still so low. I think its to the success of the dogs so far in the bowl games. I think this game is a mismatch all over the field on both sides of the field.
Starting with Washington. Once again, I am not a fan at all of the Pac 12, besides USC. Yes, Washington put up great numbers in the Pac 12, but they have the worst defenses in the country. When you watch their games, WR's are catching the ball without a defender within 15yds of them. Sure, once again they have speed at WR, but so does Bama at corner. The one thing is they have a month to prepare, and their coach is the king of trick plays. I truly only believe Washington will score via trick plays, and will not have one 70+ yd drive of multiple plays. Washington faced a defense similar to that of Bama this year in USC at home, and did nothing. Without multiple trick play TDs, I dont see Washington sniffing 20 points.
Bama is well Bama. They currently have 9 players from their defense projected to be top 4 round draft picks, with 4 going in the first round, maybe 3 in the top 10. They have a NFL defense out there. I think they are going to put on an absolute show out there, and shut down this high-powered offense everyone is talking about. For the offense, it comes down to one thing, Hurts has to protect the ball. Bama should be able to run very easily on this Washington D, so as long as he doesnt take too many chances against the Washington corners(which are very good)...Bama should win this easily. Bama will be running the ball 5-6yds per run, which will open up the play fake and QB options.
Like I said, without multiple trick play TDs, I dont see this game staying within 21 points.
Good luck on the games....cant wait for these good games to begin, because the bowl games so far have been pretty brutal
0
....thats what you get for betting on your team
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